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NFL - Betting Value Index

NFL

The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from bet365 are used. If you would like to compare betting value in line markets, check out the the NFL line betting table.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is September 7, 2006.

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Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
# = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

Betting Value Index: Home & Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

NY Giants
Fav:-$0.50 19 33.4%
Und:$6.85
All:$6.35

Pittsburgh
Fav:$1.15 17 27.6%
Und:$3.55
All:$4.70

Washington
Fav:$0.49 17 25.2%
Und:$3.80
All:$4.29

Jacksonville
Fav:-$2.09 19 21.2%
Und:$6.12
All:$4.03

Cincinnati
Fav:$2.53 19 20.7%
Und:$1.40
All:$3.93

Kansas City
Fav:$2.63 20 18.7%
Und:$1.10
All:$3.73

NY Jets
Fav:-$1.97 17 19.6%
Und:$5.30
All:$3.33

Minnesota
Fav:$5.16 18 18.4%
Und:-$1.85
All:$3.31

Dallas
Fav:$0.65 19 17.1%
Und:$2.60
All:$3.25

Carolina
Fav:-$4.00 17 17.9%
Und:$7.05
All:$3.05

Detroit
Fav:$0.97 17 15.3%
Und:$1.62
All:$2.59

Philadelphia
Fav:$2.51 20 7.6%
Und:-$1.00
All:$1.51

Seattle
Fav:-$1.65 18 7.5%
Und:$3.00
All:$1.35

San Francisco
Fav:$1.97 20 4.6%
Und:-$1.05
All:$0.92

Buffalo
Fav:$0.57 18 3.2%
Und:$0.00
All:$0.57

LA Chargers
Fav:$2.12 18 -7.7%
Und:-$3.50
All:-$1.38

Baltimore
Fav:-$0.53 18 -13.0%
Und:-$1.80
All:-$2.33

Miami
Fav:$0.17 18 -14.3%
Und:-$2.75
All:-$2.58

Tennessee
Fav:$0.08 17 -15.6%
Und:-$2.73
All:-$2.65

Green Bay
Fav:-$4.23 17 -16.9%
Und:$1.35
All:-$2.88

New England
Fav:$3.23 17 -20.4%
Und:-$6.70
All:-$3.47

Cleveland
Fav:-$2.62 17 -20.7%
Und:-$0.90
All:-$3.52

New Orleans
Fav:-$0.01 17 -20.9%
Und:-$3.55
All:-$3.56

Atlanta
Fav:$0.94 17 -25.7%
Und:-$5.30
All:-$4.36

Las Vegas
Fav:-$3.61 17 -33.0%
Und:-$2.00
All:-$5.61

Tampa Bay
Fav:-$1.72 18 -31.8%
Und:-$4.00
All:-$5.72

Indianapolis
Fav:-$4.56 17 -37.4%
Und:-$1.80
All:-$6.36

Houston
Fav:$0.00 17 -39.9%
Und:-$6.78
All:-$6.78

LA Rams
Fav:-$2.01 17 -42.1%
Und:-$5.15
All:-$7.16

Arizona
Fav:-$1.29 17 -45.8%
Und:-$6.50
All:-$7.79

Chicago
Fav:-$0.38 17 -46.4%
Und:-$7.50
All:-$7.88

Denver
Fav:-$3.64 17 -50.8%
Und:-$5.00
All:-$8.64
 

Betting Value Index: Home

Team Betting Value # Profit

Carolina
Fav:-$3.00 9 63.9%
Und:$8.75
All:$5.75

Jacksonville
Fav:-$2.63 9 49.9%
Und:$7.12
All:$4.49

Dallas
Fav:$2.09 9 42.7%
Und:$1.75
All:$3.84

San Francisco
Fav:$3.62 11 23.8%
Und:-$1.00
All:$2.62

Cincinnati
Fav:$0.97 8 27.8%
Und:$1.25
All:$2.22

Minnesota
Fav:$3.15 10 21.5%
Und:-$1.00
All:$2.15

Pittsburgh
Fav:$0.32 8 22.7%
Und:$1.50
All:$1.82

Miami
Fav:$1.09 8 22.4%
Und:$0.70
All:$1.79

Atlanta
Fav:$1.94 9 18.8%
Und:-$0.25
All:$1.69

NY Giants
Fav:-$0.50 9 17.2%
Und:$2.05
All:$1.55

Seattle
Fav:-$1.97 9 16.5%
Und:$3.45
All:$1.48

Kansas City
Fav:$2.43 10 14.3%
Und:-$1.00
All:$1.43

NY Jets
Fav:-$1.73 8 12.8%
Und:$2.75
All:$1.02

Washington
Fav:-$0.82 9 7.6%
Und:$1.50
All:$0.68

Detroit
Fav:$1.97 9 7.2%
Und:-$1.33
All:$0.64

LA Chargers
Fav:$0.06 8 7.0%
Und:$0.50
All:$0.56

Philadelphia
Fav:$0.29 12 2.4%
Und:$0.00
All:$0.29

Cleveland
Fav:-$1.91 8 1.8%
Und:$2.05
All:$0.15

Buffalo
Fav:-$0.38 10 -3.8%
Und:$0.00
All:-$0.38

LA Rams
Fav:-$2.58 9 -8.1%
Und:$1.85
All:-$0.73

Green Bay
Fav:-$2.77 9 -11.9%
Und:$1.70
All:-$1.07

Baltimore
Fav:-$0.30 8 -16.3%
Und:-$1.00
All:-$1.30

Las Vegas
Fav:$0.39 8 -20.1%
Und:-$2.00
All:-$1.61

Denver
Fav:-$0.64 8 -20.5%
Und:-$1.00
All:-$1.64

New England
Fav:$1.23 8 -22.2%
Und:-$3.00
All:-$1.77

Tampa Bay
Fav:-$0.40 10 -24.0%
Und:-$2.00
All:-$2.40

New Orleans
Fav:$0.56 9 -27.1%
Und:-$3.00
All:-$2.44

Tennessee
Fav:-$1.61 8 -31.4%
Und:-$0.90
All:-$2.51

Indianapolis
Fav:-$3.20 8 -41.3%
Und:-$0.10
All:-$3.30

Chicago
Fav:-$0.38 9 -45.3%
Und:-$3.70
All:-$4.08

Houston
Fav:$0.00 8 -76.6%
Und:-$6.12
All:-$6.12

Arizona
Fav:-$0.29 9 -81.0%
Und:-$7.00
All:-$7.29
 

Betting Value Index: Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

NY Giants
Fav:$0.00 10 48.0%
Und:$4.80
All:$4.80

Washington
Fav:$1.31 8 45.1%
Und:$2.30
All:$3.61

Pittsburgh
Fav:$0.83 9 32.0%
Und:$2.05
All:$2.88

NY Jets
Fav:-$0.24 9 25.7%
Und:$2.55
All:$2.31

Kansas City
Fav:$0.20 10 23.0%
Und:$2.10
All:$2.30

Detroit
Fav:-$1.00 8 24.4%
Und:$2.95
All:$1.95

Cincinnati
Fav:$1.56 11 15.5%
Und:$0.15
All:$1.71

Philadelphia
Fav:$2.22 8 15.3%
Und:-$1.00
All:$1.22

Minnesota
Fav:$2.01 8 14.5%
Und:-$0.85
All:$1.16

Buffalo
Fav:$0.96 8 11.9%
Und:$0.00
All:$0.96

Seattle
Fav:$0.32 9 -1.4%
Und:-$0.45
All:-$0.13

Tennessee
Fav:$1.69 9 -1.6%
Und:-$1.83
All:-$0.14

Jacksonville
Fav:$0.54 10 -4.6%
Und:-$1.00
All:-$0.46

Arizona
Fav:-$1.00 8 -6.3%
Und:$0.50
All:-$0.50

Dallas
Fav:-$1.44 10 -5.9%
Und:$0.85
All:-$0.59

Houston
Fav:$0.00 9 -7.2%
Und:-$0.65
All:-$0.65

Baltimore
Fav:-$0.23 10 -10.3%
Und:-$0.80
All:-$1.03

New Orleans
Fav:-$0.57 8 -14.0%
Und:-$0.55
All:-$1.12

San Francisco
Fav:-$1.65 9 -18.8%
Und:-$0.05
All:-$1.70

New England
Fav:$2.00 9 -18.9%
Und:-$3.70
All:-$1.70

Green Bay
Fav:-$1.46 8 -22.6%
Und:-$0.35
All:-$1.81

LA Chargers
Fav:$2.06 10 -19.4%
Und:-$4.00
All:-$1.94

Carolina
Fav:-$1.00 8 -33.8%
Und:-$1.70
All:-$2.70

Indianapolis
Fav:-$1.36 9 -34.0%
Und:-$1.70
All:-$3.06

Tampa Bay
Fav:-$1.32 8 -41.5%
Und:-$2.00
All:-$3.32

Cleveland
Fav:-$0.72 9 -40.8%
Und:-$2.95
All:-$3.67

Chicago
Fav:$0.00 8 -47.5%
Und:-$3.80
All:-$3.80

Las Vegas
Fav:-$4.00 9 -44.4%
Und:$0.00
All:-$4.00

Miami
Fav:-$0.92 10 -43.7%
Und:-$3.45
All:-$4.37

Atlanta
Fav:-$1.00 8 -75.6%
Und:-$5.05
All:-$6.05

LA Rams
Fav:$0.57 8 -80.4%
Und:-$7.00
All:-$6.43

Denver
Fav:-$3.00 9 -77.8%
Und:-$4.00
All:-$7.00
 

Other Resources

The interactive NFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

The NFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

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