NFL - Betting Value Index

NFL

The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from bet365 are used. If you would like to compare betting value in line markets, check out the the NFL line betting table.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is September 7, 2006.

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Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
# = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

Betting Value Index: Home & Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Buffalo
Fav:$4.55 19 28.4%
Und:$0.85
All:$5.40

Miami
Fav:$0.26 16 32.6%
Und:$4.95
All:$5.21

Kansas City
Fav:$4.47 19 26.2%
Und:$0.50
All:$4.97

Cleveland
Fav:$1.33 18 20.4%
Und:$1.45
All:$3.68

Cincinnati
Fav:$0.74 16 15.9%
Und:$1.80
All:$2.54

Las Vegas
Fav:$0.12 16 15.8%
Und:$1.50
All:$2.52

Green Bay
Fav:$0.82 18 13.7%
Und:$1.65
All:$2.47

Tennessee
Fav:$0.24 17 14.4%
Und:$3.20
All:$2.44

Tampa Bay
Fav:$0.31 19 11.1%
Und:$1.80
All:$2.11

LA Rams
Fav:-$0.65 18 10.3%
Und:$2.50
All:$1.85

Pittsburgh
Fav:-$0.20 17 8.8%
Und:$1.70
All:$1.50

New Orleans
Fav:$0.58 18 7.7%
Und:$0.80
All:$1.38

Seattle
Fav:$1.59 17 3.5%
Und:-$1.00
All:$0.59

Indianapolis
Fav:$1.74 17 -2.1%
Und:-$2.00
All:-$0.36

NY Giants
Fav:$1.04 16 -2.3%
Und:-$1.40
All:-$0.36

NY Jets
Fav:-$1.00 16 -3.8%
Und:$0.40
All:-$0.60

Arizona
Fav:-$2.69 16 -4.9%
Und:$1.90
All:-$0.79

Chicago
Fav:-$0.40 17 -5.6%
Und:-$0.55
All:-$0.95

Washington
Fav:$1.01 17 -6.4%
Und:-$2.10
All:-$1.09

Denver
Fav:$0.00 16 -11.9%
Und:-$1.90
All:-$1.90

Baltimore
Fav:-$0.36 18 -13.1%
Und:-$2.00
All:-$2.36

Minnesota
Fav:-$1.54 16 -16.2%
Und:-$1.05
All:-$2.59

New England
Fav:-$2.50 16 -16.3%
Und:-$0.10
All:-$2.60

San Francisco
Fav:-$5.11 17 -15.9%
Und:$2.40
All:-$2.71

Dallas
Fav:-$3.61 16 -17.3%
Und:$0.85
All:-$2.76

Carolina
Fav:-$2.17 16 -26.4%
Und:-$2.05
All:-$4.22

LA Chargers
Fav:$0.13 16 -27.0%
Und:-$3.45
All:-$4.32

Philadelphia
Fav:-$3.62 16 -31.1%
Und:-$1.35
All:-$4.97

Detroit
Fav:-$0.81 16 -33.2%
Und:-$4.50
All:-$5.31

Atlanta
Fav:-$2.50 16 -44.7%
Und:-$4.65
All:-$7.15

Houston
Fav:-$1.70 16 -59.7%
Und:-$7.85
All:-$9.55

Jacksonville
Fav:-$1.00 16 -73.4%
Und:-$10.75
All:-$11.75
 

Betting Value Index: Home

Team Betting Value # Profit

Buffalo
Fav:$3.75 10 55.5%
Und:$1.80
All:$5.55

Cincinnati
Fav:$0.74 8 68.0%
Und:$4.70
All:$5.44

New England
Fav:-$0.72 8 25.4%
Und:$2.75
All:$2.03

LA Rams
Fav:$0.42 8 19.6%
Und:$1.15
All:$1.57

Seattle
Fav:$1.39 9 15.4%
Und:$0.00
All:$1.39

Pittsburgh
Fav:$0.12 9 11.9%
Und:$0.95
All:$1.07

Cleveland
Fav:$1.10 8 12.5%
Und:-$1.00
All:$1.00

Miami
Fav:$1.24 8 10.5%
Und:-$0.40
All:$0.84

Kansas City
Fav:$1.77 11 7.0%
Und:-$1.00
All:$0.77

Green Bay
Fav:$0.30 10 3.0%
Und:$0.00
All:$0.30

Indianapolis
Fav:$1.14 8 1.8%
Und:-$1.00
All:$0.14

Dallas
Fav:-$2.21 8 -0.1%
Und:$2.20
All:-$0.01

New Orleans
Fav:$0.41 10 -5.9%
Und:-$1.00
All:-$0.59

Philadelphia
Fav:-$0.62 8 -9.0%
Und:-$0.10
All:-$0.72

Tampa Bay
Fav:-$0.84 8 -10.5%
Und:$0.00
All:-$0.84

Tennessee
Fav:-$0.64 9 -11.6%
Und:$0.60
All:-$1.04

Arizona
Fav:-$1.60 8 -13.1%
Und:$0.55
All:-$1.05

NY Giants
Fav:$0.68 8 -19.0%
Und:-$2.20
All:-$1.52

LA Chargers
Fav:$0.14 8 -23.3%
Und:-$1.00
All:-$1.86

Chicago
Fav:-$0.60 8 -25.0%
Und:-$1.40
All:-$2.00

Baltimore
Fav:-$2.02 8 -25.3%
Und:$0.00
All:-$2.02

Washington
Fav:$0.66 9 -26.6%
Und:-$3.05
All:-$2.39

Denver
Fav:$0.00 8 -35.0%
Und:-$2.80
All:-$2.80

Las Vegas
Fav:-$0.48 8 -44.1%
Und:-$3.05
All:-$3.53

Carolina
Fav:-$3.00 8 -44.4%
Und:-$0.55
All:-$3.55

Minnesota
Fav:-$2.68 8 -46.0%
Und:-$1.00
All:-$3.68

Jacksonville
Fav:-$1.00 8 -46.9%
Und:-$2.75
All:-$3.75

Atlanta
Fav:-$2.50 8 -50.0%
Und:-$1.50
All:-$4.00

Houston
Fav:-$1.60 8 -55.6%
Und:-$2.85
All:-$4.45

NY Jets
Fav:-$1.00 8 -57.5%
Und:-$3.60
All:-$4.60

San Francisco
Fav:-$5.00 8 -71.3%
Und:-$0.70
All:-$5.70

Detroit
Fav:-$0.43 8 -80.4%
Und:-$6.00
All:-$6.43
 

Betting Value Index: Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Las Vegas
Fav:$0.60 8 75.6%
Und:$4.55
All:$6.05

Miami
Fav:-$0.98 8 54.6%
Und:$5.35
All:$4.37

Kansas City
Fav:$2.70 8 52.5%
Und:$1.50
All:$4.20

NY Jets
Fav:$0.00 8 50.0%
Und:$4.00
All:$4.00

Tennessee
Fav:$0.88 8 43.5%
Und:$2.60
All:$3.48

San Francisco
Fav:-$0.11 9 33.2%
Und:$3.10
All:$2.99

Tampa Bay
Fav:$1.15 11 26.8%
Und:$1.80
All:$2.95

Cleveland
Fav:$0.23 10 26.8%
Und:$2.45
All:$2.68

Green Bay
Fav:$0.52 8 27.1%
Und:$1.65
All:$2.17

New Orleans
Fav:$0.17 8 24.6%
Und:$1.80
All:$1.97

Washington
Fav:$0.35 8 16.3%
Und:$0.95
All:$1.30

NY Giants
Fav:$0.36 8 14.5%
Und:$0.80
All:$1.16

Detroit
Fav:-$0.38 8 14.0%
Und:$1.50
All:$1.12

Minnesota
Fav:$1.14 8 13.6%
Und:-$0.05
All:$1.09

Chicago
Fav:$0.20 9 11.7%
Und:$0.85
All:$1.05

Denver
Fav:$0.00 8 11.3%
Und:$0.90
All:$0.90

Pittsburgh
Fav:-$0.32 8 5.4%
Und:$0.75
All:$0.43

LA Rams
Fav:-$1.07 10 2.8%
Und:$1.35
All:$0.28

Arizona
Fav:-$1.09 8 3.3%
Und:$1.35
All:$0.26

Buffalo
Fav:$0.80 9 -1.7%
Und:-$0.95
All:-$0.15

Baltimore
Fav:$1.66 10 -3.4%
Und:-$2.00
All:-$0.34

Indianapolis
Fav:$0.60 9 -5.6%
Und:-$1.00
All:-$0.50

Carolina
Fav:$0.83 8 -8.4%
Und:-$1.50
All:-$0.67

Seattle
Fav:$0.20 8 -10.0%
Und:-$1.00
All:-$0.80

LA Chargers
Fav:-$0.01 8 -30.8%
Und:-$2.45
All:-$2.46

Dallas
Fav:-$1.40 8 -34.4%
Und:-$1.35
All:-$2.75

Cincinnati
Fav:$0.00 8 -36.3%
Und:-$2.90
All:-$2.90

Atlanta
Fav:$0.00 8 -39.4%
Und:-$3.15
All:-$3.15

Philadelphia
Fav:-$3.00 8 -53.1%
Und:-$1.25
All:-$4.25

New England
Fav:-$1.78 8 -57.9%
Und:-$2.85
All:-$4.63

Houston
Fav:-$0.10 8 -63.8%
Und:-$5.00
All:-$5.10

Jacksonville
Fav:$0.00 8 -100.0%
Und:-$8.00
All:-$8.00
 

Other Resources

Watch NFL games live and on demand with Kayo Sports.

The interactive NFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

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