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NFL - Betting Value Index

NFL

The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from bet365 are used. If you would like to compare betting value in line markets, check out the the NFL line betting table.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is September 7, 2006.

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Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
# = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

Betting Value Index: Home & Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Houston
Fav:$-0.04 19 28.0%
Und:5.35
All:$5.31

Green Bay
Fav:$0.57 19 26.4%
Und:3.55
All:$5.02

Baltimore
Fav:$0.43 19 23.6%
Und:4.05
All:$4.48

Cleveland
Fav:$1.33 18 23.8%
Und:2.95
All:$4.28

Kansas City
Fav:$-1.97 21 18.2%
Und:5.80
All:$3.83

Pittsburgh
Fav:$-0.42 18 17.9%
Und:3.65
All:$3.23

Detroit
Fav:$3.62 20 12.1%
Und:-1.20
All:$2.42

Tampa Bay
Fav:$0.39 19 11.0%
Und:1.70
All:$2.09

Indianapolis
Fav:$4.54 17 10.8%
Und:-1.70
All:$1.84

Cincinnati
Fav:$-0.69 17 10.6%
Und:2.50
All:$1.81

Denver
Fav:$-0.51 17 8.5%
Und:1.95
All:$1.44

Las Vegas
Fav:$1.43 17 7.9%
Und:-1.00
All:$1.34

Arizona
Fav:$0.00 17 5.6%
Und:0.95
All:$0.95

Tennessee
Fav:$-1.45 17 4.4%
Und:2.20
All:$0.76

LA Rams
Fav:$2.42 18 1.0%
Und:-3.15
All:$0.18

NY Giants
Fav:$0.48 17 -2.8%
Und:-0.95
All:$-0.47

Seattle
Fav:$1.57 17 -4.6%
Und:-2.35
All:$-0.78

Jacksonville
Fav:$-0.11 17 -5.0%
Und:-0.75
All:$-0.86

Philadelphia
Fav:$-0.55 18 -7.5%
Und:-0.80
All:$-1.35

NY Jets
Fav:$1.27 17 -9.0%
Und:-1.80
All:$-1.53

San Francisco
Fav:$-1.62 20 -8.1%
Und:0.00
All:$-1.62

Dallas
Fav:$2.03 18 -11.0%
Und:-4.00
All:$-1.98

Minnesota
Fav:$-0.48 17 -11.6%
Und:-0.50
All:$-1.98

Chicago
Fav:$0.71 17 -12.0%
Und:-2.75
All:$-2.04

New Orleans
Fav:$-1.37 17 -12.5%
Und:-0.75
All:$-2.12

Buffalo
Fav:$-1.33 19 -11.7%
Und:-0.90
All:$-2.23

Miami
Fav:$2.21 18 -13.3%
Und:-4.60
All:$-2.39

Atlanta
Fav:$-2.54 17 -24.3%
Und:-1.60
All:$-4.14

New England
Fav:$-3.31 17 -25.4%
Und:-1.00
All:$-4.31

Washington
Fav:$-2.68 17 -51.0%
Und:-5.98
All:$-8.66

LA Chargers
Fav:$-3.38 17 -55.5%
Und:-6.05
All:$-9.43

Carolina
Fav:$0.00 17 -71.8%
Und:-12.20
All:$-12.20
 

Betting Value Index: Home

Team Betting Value # Profit

Cleveland
Fav:$2.14 9 77.6%
Und:4.85
All:$6.99

NY Giants
Fav:$0.00 8 36.9%
Und:2.95
All:$2.95

Houston
Fav:$1.10 10 28.5%
Und:1.75
All:$2.85

Green Bay
Fav:$1.04 8 31.7%
Und:1.50
All:$2.54

Tennessee
Fav:$-0.45 9 19.5%
Und:2.20
All:$1.76

Denver
Fav:$-1.11 9 17.1%
Und:2.65
All:$1.54

Pittsburgh
Fav:$-0.79 9 15.7%
Und:2.20
All:$1.41

Chicago
Fav:$0.71 8 17.0%
Und:0.65
All:$1.36

Las Vegas
Fav:$2.43 9 14.9%
Und:-2.00
All:$1.34

Dallas
Fav:$1.32 9 14.7%
Und:0.00
All:$1.32

Detroit
Fav:$1.24 10 12.4%
Und:0.00
All:$1.24

Atlanta
Fav:$-0.28 8 10.3%
Und:1.10
All:$0.82

Cincinnati
Fav:$1.72 9 8.0%
Und:-1.00
All:$0.72

Philadelphia
Fav:$1.62 8 7.7%
Und:-1.00
All:$0.62

NY Jets
Fav:$0.67 9 6.8%
Und:-0.05
All:$0.62

Seattle
Fav:$-0.49 8 4.5%
Und:0.85
All:$0.36

Arizona
Fav:$0.00 8 4.4%
Und:0.35
All:$0.35

Tampa Bay
Fav:$-0.05 9 3.9%
Und:0.40
All:$0.35

Miami
Fav:$1.06 9 0.7%
Und:-1.00
All:$0.06

Buffalo
Fav:$-0.55 11 -5.0%
Und:0.00
All:$-0.55

LA Rams
Fav:$1.40 8 -7.5%
Und:-2.00
All:$-0.60

Kansas City
Fav:$-1.73 11 -5.7%
Und:1.10
All:$-0.63

New Orleans
Fav:$0.26 8 -9.2%
Und:-1.00
All:$-0.74

Baltimore
Fav:$-0.25 11 -11.4%
Und:-1.00
All:$-1.25

San Francisco
Fav:$-1.47 10 -14.7%
Und:0.00
All:$-1.47

Indianapolis
Fav:$2.08 9 -19.1%
Und:-2.80
All:$-1.72

Minnesota
Fav:$-3.00 8 -26.9%
Und:1.85
All:$-2.15

Jacksonville
Fav:$-0.06 9 -34.0%
Und:-3.00
All:$-3.06

Carolina
Fav:$0.00 8 -40.0%
Und:-3.20
All:$-3.20

New England
Fav:$-3.00 9 -54.4%
Und:-1.90
All:$-4.90

LA Chargers
Fav:$-2.44 9 -71.6%
Und:-4.00
All:$-6.44

Washington
Fav:$-1.68 8 -83.5%
Und:-5.00
All:$-6.68
 

Betting Value Index: Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Baltimore
Fav:$0.69 8 71.7%
Und:5.05
All:$5.74

Kansas City
Fav:$-0.24 10 44.6%
Und:4.70
All:$4.46

Indianapolis
Fav:$2.47 8 44.6%
Und:1.10
All:$3.57

Green Bay
Fav:$-0.47 11 22.6%
Und:2.05
All:$2.49

Houston
Fav:$-1.13 9 27.4%
Und:3.60
All:$2.47

Jacksonville
Fav:$-0.04 8 27.6%
Und:2.25
All:$2.21

Pittsburgh
Fav:$0.37 9 20.2%
Und:1.45
All:$1.82

Tampa Bay
Fav:$0.44 10 17.4%
Und:1.30
All:$1.74

Detroit
Fav:$2.38 10 11.8%
Und:-1.20
All:$1.18

Cincinnati
Fav:$-2.41 8 13.6%
Und:3.50
All:$1.09

LA Rams
Fav:$1.02 10 7.7%
Und:-1.15
All:$0.77

Arizona
Fav:$0.00 9 6.7%
Und:0.60
All:$0.60

New England
Fav:$-0.31 8 7.4%
Und:0.90
All:$0.59

Minnesota
Fav:$2.52 9 1.9%
Und:-2.35
All:$0.17

Las Vegas
Fav:$-1.00 8 0.0%
Und:1.00
All:$0.00

Denver
Fav:$0.61 8 -1.2%
Und:-0.70
All:$-0.09

San Francisco
Fav:$-0.15 10 -1.5%
Und:0.00
All:$-0.15

Tennessee
Fav:$-1.00 8 -12.5%
Und:0.00
All:$-1.00

Seattle
Fav:$2.06 9 -12.7%
Und:-3.20
All:$-1.14

New Orleans
Fav:$-1.64 9 -15.4%
Und:0.25
All:$-1.39

Buffalo
Fav:$-0.79 8 -21.1%
Und:-0.90
All:$-1.69

Philadelphia
Fav:$-2.16 10 -19.6%
Und:0.20
All:$-1.96

Washington
Fav:$-1.00 9 -22.0%
Und:-0.98
All:$-1.98

NY Jets
Fav:$0.61 8 -26.8%
Und:-1.75
All:$-2.14

Miami
Fav:$1.15 9 -27.3%
Und:-3.60
All:$-2.45

Cleveland
Fav:$-0.80 9 -30.0%
Und:-1.90
All:$-2.70

LA Chargers
Fav:$-0.94 8 -37.4%
Und:-2.05
All:$-2.99

Dallas
Fav:$0.70 9 -36.6%
Und:-4.00
All:$-3.30

Chicago
Fav:$0.00 9 -37.8%
Und:-3.40
All:$-3.40

NY Giants
Fav:$0.48 9 -38.0%
Und:-3.90
All:$-3.42

Atlanta
Fav:$-2.26 9 -55.1%
Und:-2.70
All:$-4.96

Carolina
Fav:$0.00 9 -100.0%
Und:-9.00
All:$-9.00
 

Other NFL Resources

The interactive NFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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