Super Rugby Pacific - Betting Value Index

Super Rugby Pacific

The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from bet365 are used. If you would like to compare betting value in line markets, check out the the Super Rugby Pacific line betting table.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is March 7, 2009.

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Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
# = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

Betting Value Index: Home & Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Brumbies
Fav:$1.83 15 24.5%
Und:$1.85
All:$3.68

Blues
Fav:-$0.84 18 17.8%
Und:$4.05
All:$3.21

Waratahs
Fav:-$0.57 15 14.5%
Und:$2.75
All:$2.18

Crusaders
Fav:-$2.59 18 3.7%
Und:$3.25
All:$0.66

Chiefs
Fav:-$1.11 17 -0.6%
Und:$1.00
All:-$0.11

Rebels
Fav:$0.38 13 -2.8%
Und:-$0.75
All:-$0.37

Force
Fav:$0.50 12 -12.5%
Und:-$2.00
All:-$1.50

Fijian Drua
Fav:$0.75 13 -16.9%
Und:-$2.95
All:-$2.20

Hurricanes
Fav:$0.22 16 -23.6%
Und:-$4.00
All:-$3.78

Moana Pasifika
Fav:-$1.00 16 -43.8%
Und:-$6.00
All:-$7.00

Reds
Fav:-$0.45 15 -49.7%
Und:-$7.00
All:-$7.45

Highlanders
Fav:-$1.23 16 -48.6%
Und:-$6.55
All:-$7.78
 

Betting Value Index: Home

Team Betting Value # Profit

Waratahs
Fav:-$1.00 5 70.0%
Und:$4.50
All:$3.50

Rebels
Fav:$0.38 7 40.4%
Und:$2.45
All:$2.83

Fijian Drua
Fav:$0.00 7 29.3%
Und:$2.05
All:$2.05

Moana Pasifika
Fav:$0.00 7 28.6%
Und:$2.00
All:$2.00

Force
Fav:-$0.20 8 10.0%
Und:$1.00
All:$0.80

Brumbies
Fav:$1.13 6 2.2%
Und:-$1.00
All:$0.13

Crusaders
Fav:-$1.36 10 -13.6%
Und:$0.00
All:-$1.36

Reds
Fav:-$0.17 7 -31.0%
Und:-$2.00
All:-$2.17

Hurricanes
Fav:$0.64 8 -29.5%
Und:-$3.00
All:-$2.36

Chiefs
Fav:-$2.54 9 -28.2%
Und:$0.00
All:-$2.54

Blues
Fav:-$2.65 9 -29.4%
Und:$0.00
All:-$2.65

Highlanders
Fav:-$0.48 9 -49.8%
Und:-$4.00
All:-$4.48
 

Betting Value Index: Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Blues
Fav:$1.81 9 65.1%
Und:$4.05
All:$5.86

Brumbies
Fav:$0.70 9 39.4%
Und:$2.85
All:$3.55

Chiefs
Fav:$1.43 8 30.4%
Und:$1.00
All:$2.43

Crusaders
Fav:-$1.23 8 25.3%
Und:$3.25
All:$2.02

Waratahs
Fav:$0.43 10 -13.2%
Und:-$1.75
All:-$1.32

Hurricanes
Fav:-$0.42 8 -17.8%
Und:-$1.00
All:-$1.42

Force
Fav:$0.70 4 -57.5%
Und:-$3.00
All:-$2.30

Rebels
Fav:$0.00 6 -53.3%
Und:-$3.20
All:-$3.20

Highlanders
Fav:-$0.75 7 -47.1%
Und:-$2.55
All:-$3.30

Fijian Drua
Fav:$0.75 6 -70.8%
Und:-$5.00
All:-$4.25

Reds
Fav:-$0.28 8 -66.0%
Und:-$5.00
All:-$5.28

Moana Pasifika
Fav:-$1.00 9 -100.0%
Und:-$8.00
All:-$9.00
 

Other Resources

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on AusSportsBetting.com.

The interactive Super Rugby Pacific form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The Super Rugby Pacific home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The Super Rugby Pacific line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The Super Rugby Pacific predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The Super Rugby Pacific stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The Super Rugby Pacific Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The Super Rugby Pacific winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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