NRL - Betting Value Index

NRL

The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from bet365 are used. If you would like to compare betting value in line markets, check out the the NRL line betting table.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is March 13, 2009.

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Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
# = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

Betting Value Index: Home & Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Raiders
Fav:-$0.18 26 27.0%
Und:$7.20
All:$7.02

Cowboys
Fav:$2.08 26 23.4%
Und:$4.00
All:$6.08

Eels
Fav:-$1.71 28 19.1%
Und:$7.05
All:$5.34

Broncos
Fav:$0.28 24 19.1%
Und:$4.30
All:$4.58

Panthers
Fav:$2.25 27 14.3%
Und:$1.60
All:$3.85

Dragons
Fav:$3.08 24 6.3%
Und:-$1.57
All:$1.51

Sharks
Fav:$0.43 26 1.1%
Und:-$0.15
All:$0.28

Tigers
Fav:-$0.42 24 -1.8%
Und:$0.00
All:-$0.42

Rabbitohs
Fav:-$0.95 27 -3.9%
Und:-$1.02
All:-$1.06

Roosters
Fav:-$1.44 25 -7.2%
Und:-$0.35
All:-$1.79

Bulldogs
Fav:$0.24 24 -15.3%
Und:-$3.92
All:-$3.68

Storm
Fav:-$3.83 25 -22.6%
Und:-$0.82
All:-$5.65

Knights
Fav:$0.45 24 -30.9%
Und:-$8.80
All:-$7.42

Sea Eagles
Fav:-$2.30 24 -37.7%
Und:-$6.75
All:-$9.05

Titans
Fav:$1.06 24 -50.0%
Und:-$13.07
All:-$12.01

Warriors
Fav:$1.05 24 -50.8%
Und:-$12.25
All:-$12.20
 

Betting Value Index: Home

Team Betting Value # Profit

Dragons
Fav:$2.33 12 73.0%
Und:$6.43
All:$8.76

Bulldogs
Fav:$0.77 12 38.9%
Und:$3.90
All:$4.67

Rabbitohs
Fav:-$0.82 12 22.3%
Und:$2.58
All:$2.67

Broncos
Fav:$0.26 12 20.5%
Und:$2.20
All:$2.46

Panthers
Fav:$0.74 15 12.3%
Und:$1.10
All:$1.84

Eels
Fav:$0.21 13 13.2%
Und:$1.50
All:$1.71

Sharks
Fav:-$0.58 14 9.1%
Und:$1.85
All:$1.27

Raiders
Fav:$1.73 12 10.4%
Und:-$0.48
All:$1.25

Roosters
Fav:$1.53 13 6.0%
Und:-$0.75
All:$0.78

Cowboys
Fav:$0.05 13 5.0%
Und:$0.60
All:$0.65

Sea Eagles
Fav:$0.14 12 -6.3%
Und:-$0.90
All:-$0.76

Warriors
Fav:$0.45 12 -15.0%
Und:-$1.25
All:-$1.80

Titans
Fav:$1.06 12 -18.3%
Und:-$3.25
All:-$2.19

Storm
Fav:-$2.46 13 -26.6%
Und:-$1.00
All:-$3.46

Tigers
Fav:-$0.42 12 -51.4%
Und:-$5.75
All:-$6.17

Knights
Fav:$0.45 12 -71.3%
Und:-$9.00
All:-$8.55
 

Betting Value Index: Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Raiders
Fav:-$1.91 14 41.2%
Und:$7.68
All:$5.77

Tigers
Fav:$0.00 12 47.9%
Und:$5.75
All:$5.75

Cowboys
Fav:$2.03 13 41.8%
Und:$3.40
All:$5.43

Eels
Fav:-$1.92 15 24.2%
Und:$5.55
All:$3.63

Broncos
Fav:$0.02 12 17.7%
Und:$2.10
All:$2.12

Panthers
Fav:$1.51 12 16.8%
Und:$0.50
All:$2.01

Knights
Fav:$0.00 12 9.4%
Und:$0.20
All:$1.13

Sharks
Fav:$1.01 12 -8.3%
Und:-$2.00
All:-$0.99

Storm
Fav:-$1.37 12 -18.3%
Und:$0.18
All:-$2.19

Roosters
Fav:-$2.97 12 -21.4%
Und:$0.40
All:-$2.57

Rabbitohs
Fav:-$0.13 15 -24.9%
Und:-$3.60
All:-$3.73

Dragons
Fav:$0.75 12 -60.4%
Und:-$8.00
All:-$7.25

Sea Eagles
Fav:-$2.44 12 -69.1%
Und:-$5.85
All:-$8.29

Bulldogs
Fav:-$0.53 12 -69.6%
Und:-$7.82
All:-$8.35

Titans
Fav:$0.00 12 -81.8%
Und:-$9.82
All:-$9.82

Warriors
Fav:$0.60 12 -86.7%
Und:-$11.00
All:-$10.40
 

Other Resources

The interactive NRL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NRL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NRL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NRL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NRL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NRL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NRL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

The NRL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

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