EPL - Betting Value Index

EPL

The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from bet365 are used.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is August 14, 2010.

Filter by Date
Start date:  
End date:  
 
 

Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
# = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

Betting Value Index: Home & Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Brentford
Fav:$1.55 40 40.7%
Und:$14.72
All:$16.27

Newcastle
Fav:$10.76 40 32.7%
Und:$2.30
All:$13.06

Arsenal
Fav:$12.10 39 26.7%
Und:-$0.67
All:$10.43

Tottenham
Fav:$6.95 41 23.8%
Und:$2.80
All:$9.75

Brighton
Fav:-$4.14 39 8.9%
Und:$8.62
All:$3.48

Leeds
Fav:$0.38 39 5.6%
Und:$2.80
All:$2.18

Fulham
Fav:$1.22 15 0.8%
Und:-$1.10
All:$0.12

Nottm Forest
Fav:-$2.00 15 -1.3%
Und:$1.80
All:-$0.20

Man Utd
Fav:$0.91 39 -1.9%
Und:-$3.25
All:-$0.74

Liverpool
Fav:-$1.39 39 -4.2%
Und:-$0.25
All:-$1.64

Bournemouth
Fav:-$1.00 15 -11.0%
Und:-$0.65
All:-$1.65

Leicester
Fav:$3.34 40 -4.2%
Und:-$5.00
All:-$1.66

Man City
Fav:-$1.80 39 -4.6%
Und:$0.00
All:-$1.80

Wolves
Fav:-$3.63 40 -10.3%
Und:-$0.50
All:-$4.13

Crystal Palace
Fav:$1.68 39 -12.5%
Und:-$6.57
All:-$4.89

Aston Villa
Fav:-$1.68 40 -18.6%
Und:-$5.75
All:-$7.43

Southampton
Fav:-$4.45 40 -21.9%
Und:-$4.32
All:-$8.77

Everton
Fav:-$2.77 40 -23.7%
Und:-$6.70
All:-$9.47

Chelsea
Fav:-$8.11 39 -28.5%
Und:-$3.00
All:-$11.11

West Ham
Fav:-$4.99 40 -28.7%
Und:-$6.50
All:-$11.49
 

Betting Value Index: Home

Team Betting Value # Profit

Newcastle
Fav:$7.23 21 39.0%
Und:$0.95
All:$8.18

Nottm Forest
Fav:-$2.00 8 85.0%
Und:$8.80
All:$6.80

Man Utd
Fav:$2.01 19 33.5%
Und:$2.75
All:$6.36

Arsenal
Fav:$7.24 18 29.1%
Und:-$2.00
All:$5.24

Leicester
Fav:$2.19 19 27.3%
Und:$3.00
All:$5.19

Everton
Fav:$0.23 20 23.7%
Und:$4.50
All:$4.73

Brentford
Fav:-$0.30 19 14.3%
Und:$3.02
All:$2.72

Tottenham
Fav:$4.32 21 11.0%
Und:-$2.00
All:$2.32

Liverpool
Fav:-$0.89 20 9.3%
Und:$2.75
All:$1.86

Bournemouth
Fav:-$1.00 8 23.1%
Und:$2.85
All:$1.85

Crystal Palace
Fav:$3.08 19 9.4%
Und:-$1.30
All:$1.78

Fulham
Fav:-$0.38 8 12.8%
Und:$1.40
All:$1.02

Man City
Fav:$0.46 20 2.3%
Und:$0.00
All:$0.46

West Ham
Fav:-$1.81 21 -9.8%
Und:-$0.25
All:-$2.06

Leeds
Fav:-$1.17 20 -22.1%
Und:-$2.25
All:-$4.42

Brighton
Fav:-$5.94 19 -26.7%
Und:$0.87
All:-$5.07

Aston Villa
Fav:-$0.40 20 -26.5%
Und:-$4.90
All:-$5.30

Southampton
Fav:-$4.45 20 -28.3%
Und:-$1.20
All:-$5.65

Chelsea
Fav:-$5.55 18 -36.4%
Und:-$1.00
All:-$6.55

Wolves
Fav:-$2.63 21 -36.3%
Und:-$5.00
All:-$7.63
 

Betting Value Index: Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Brentford
Fav:$1.85 21 64.5%
Und:$11.70
All:$13.55

Brighton
Fav:$1.80 20 42.8%
Und:$7.75
All:$8.55

Tottenham
Fav:$2.63 20 37.2%
Und:$4.80
All:$7.43

Leeds
Fav:$1.55 19 34.7%
Und:$5.05
All:$6.60

Arsenal
Fav:$4.86 21 24.7%
Und:$1.33
All:$5.19

Newcastle
Fav:$3.53 19 25.7%
Und:$1.35
All:$4.88

Wolves
Fav:-$1.00 19 18.4%
Und:$4.50
All:$3.50

Fulham
Fav:$1.60 7 -12.9%
Und:-$2.50
All:-$0.90

Aston Villa
Fav:-$1.28 20 -10.7%
Und:-$0.85
All:-$2.13

Man City
Fav:-$2.26 19 -11.9%
Und:$0.00
All:-$2.26

Southampton
Fav:$0.00 20 -15.6%
Und:-$3.12
All:-$3.12

Liverpool
Fav:-$0.50 19 -18.4%
Und:-$3.00
All:-$3.50

Bournemouth
Fav:$0.00 7 -50.0%
Und:-$3.50
All:-$3.50

Chelsea
Fav:-$2.56 21 -21.7%
Und:-$2.00
All:-$4.56

Crystal Palace
Fav:-$1.40 20 -33.4%
Und:-$5.27
All:-$6.67

Leicester
Fav:$1.15 21 -32.6%
Und:-$8.00
All:-$6.85

Nottm Forest
Fav:$0.00 7 -100.0%
Und:-$7.00
All:-$7.00

Man Utd
Fav:-$1.10 20 -35.5%
Und:-$6.00
All:-$7.10

West Ham
Fav:-$3.18 19 -49.6%
Und:-$6.25
All:-$9.43

Everton
Fav:-$3.00 20 -71.0%
Und:-$11.20
All:-$14.20
 

Other Resources

The interactive EPL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The EPL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The EPL Poisson distribution tool applies the Poisson distribution to any pair of teams and chosen timeframe. Outcome probabilities predicted by the model along with their respective fair odds are provided.

The EPL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The EPL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The EPL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

The EPL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

EPL clean sheets displays each team's clean sheets tally for the date range of your choosing.

About:

Partners:

Sports and Leagues:

AFL A-League Men A-League Women
Big Bash League English Premier League Indian Premier League
NBA NBL NFL
NRL Super Rugby

Gamble Responsibly 18+
Think! About your choices.
Call Gambler's Help or Gambling Help 1800 858 858 www.gambleaware.nsw.gov.au or www.gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Think of the people who need your support. Gamble Responsibly.

© 2012- Australia Sports Tipping