Super Rugby Predictability Index

Super Rugby

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Chiefs 6088.3
2 Hurricanes 6079.3
3 Force 8069.4
4 Rebels 9049.8
5 Blues 70710.6
6 Brumbies 80711.3
7 Waratahs 50811.7
8 Reds 60811.9
9 Highlanders 70712.1
10 Crusaders 70713.4

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Chiefs 3039.7
2 Hurricanes 40311.5
3 Force 2047.2
4 Rebels 20414.5
5 Blues 5038.6
6 Brumbies 30412.8
7 Waratahs 3049.2
8 Reds 30510.8
9 Highlanders 3049.4
10 Crusaders 40314.8

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Chiefs 3057.3
2 Hurricanes 2046.8
3 Force 60211.1
4 Rebels 7005.8
5 Blues 20413.3
6 Brumbies 50310.0
7 Waratahs 20414.7
8 Reds 30313.5
9 Highlanders 40314.9
10 Crusaders 30412.1

Other Resources

Watch Super Rugby games live and on demand with Kayo Sports.

The interactive Super Rugby form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The Super Rugby betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The Super Rugby home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The Super Rugby line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The Super Rugby stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The Super Rugby Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The Super Rugby winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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