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Super Rugby Predictability Index

Super Rugby

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Reds 5087.0
2 Brumbies 7067.7
3 Highlanders 6078.9
4 Rebels 6079.1
5 Waratahs 10039.2
6 Blues 6079.4
7 Hurricanes 70611.2
8 Chiefs 70611.7
9 Moana Pasifika 70511.7
10 Crusaders 60712.3
11 Force 40812.7
12 Fijian Drua 60716.7

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Reds 3048.5
2 Brumbies 3046.9
3 Highlanders 30410.4
4 Rebels 30310.0
5 Waratahs 5019.2
6 Blues 4038.6
7 Hurricanes 60111.4
8 Chiefs 40312.4
9 Moana Pasifika 40116.1
10 Crusaders 20412.5
11 Force 20412.2
12 Fijian Drua 40211.0

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Reds 2045.2
2 Brumbies 4028.7
3 Highlanders 3037.2
4 Rebels 3048.4
5 Waratahs 5029.2
6 Blues 20410.3
7 Hurricanes 10511.0
8 Chiefs 30310.8
9 Moana Pasifika 3048.5
10 Crusaders 40312.2
11 Force 20413.2
12 Fijian Drua 20521.5

Other Resources

Watch Super Rugby games live and on demand with Kayo Sports.

The interactive Super Rugby form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The Super Rugby betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The Super Rugby home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The Super Rugby line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The Super Rugby stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The Super Rugby Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The Super Rugby winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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