Super Rugby Pacific Predictability Index

Super Rugby Pacific


The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

1 Brumbies 9077.0
2 Waratahs 7088.4
3 Chiefs 11069.4
4 Rebels 8069.8
5 Crusaders 100711.4
6 Highlanders 401011.4
7 Hurricanes 70812.1
8 Blues 80812.6
9 Fijian Drua 60913.0
10 Moana Pasifika 70714.1
11 Reds 70814.8
12 Force 70715.3

Home Fixtures

1 Brumbies 4044.8
2 Waratahs 4037.9
3 Chiefs 6047.2
4 Rebels 60113.6
5 Crusaders 60313.9
6 Highlanders 10613.1
7 Hurricanes 3049.4
8 Blues 30511.4
9 Fijian Drua 40314.8
10 Moana Pasifika 20513.2
11 Reds 10612.6
12 Force 40318.6

Away Fixtures

1 Brumbies 5039.3
2 Waratahs 3058.9
3 Chiefs 50212.5
4 Rebels 2055.9
5 Crusaders 4048.5
6 Highlanders 3049.8
7 Hurricanes 40414.5
8 Blues 50313.8
9 Fijian Drua 20611.4
10 Moana Pasifika 50215.1
11 Reds 60216.6
12 Force 30411.9

Other Super Rugby Pacific Resources

The interactive Super Rugby Pacific form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The Super Rugby Pacific betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The Super Rugby Pacific Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The Super Rugby Pacific home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The Super Rugby Pacific line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The Super Rugby Pacific score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The Super Rugby Pacific stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The Super Rugby Pacific winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.



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