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Super Rugby Predictability Index

Super Rugby

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Reds 7086.6
2 Highlanders 6098.9
3 Rebels 7079.0
4 Waratahs 10059.2
5 Brumbies 9079.4
6 Blues 8099.9
7 Crusaders 80911.1
8 Chiefs 80811.4
9 Hurricanes 70811.6
10 Moana Pasifika 80613.4
11 Force 60813.6
12 Fijian Drua 70716.5

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Reds 3048.5
2 Highlanders 30410.4
3 Rebels 4039.6
4 Waratahs 5028.9
5 Brumbies 4047.1
6 Blues 5059.8
7 Crusaders 3069.8
8 Chiefs 50312.3
9 Hurricanes 60111.4
10 Moana Pasifika 50218.4
11 Force 30413.4
12 Fijian Drua 50211.5

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Reds 4045.0
2 Highlanders 3057.6
3 Rebels 3048.4
4 Waratahs 5039.5
5 Brumbies 50311.8
6 Blues 3049.9
7 Crusaders 50312.6
8 Chiefs 30510.5
9 Hurricanes 10711.9
10 Moana Pasifika 3048.5
11 Force 30413.8
12 Fijian Drua 20521.5

Other Resources

Watch Super Rugby games live and on demand with Kayo Sports. New to Kayo? Try Free Now.

The interactive Super Rugby form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The Super Rugby betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The Super Rugby home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The Super Rugby line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The Super Rugby stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The Super Rugby Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The Super Rugby winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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