Next2go
Next2go

Super Rugby Pacific Predictability Index

Super Rugby Pacific

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Highlanders 40108.3
2 Blues 8089.4
3 Chiefs 90710.1
4 Waratahs 50910.3
5 Force 100410.9
6 Moana Pasifika 70711.0
7 Fijian Drua 60813.1
8 Reds 80713.8
9 Crusaders 90713.9
10 Brumbies 60917.5
11 Hurricanes 100620.1

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Highlanders 2059.5
2 Blues 4037.6
3 Chiefs 70212.4
4 Waratahs 20514.1
5 Force 4039.5
6 Moana Pasifika 3048.5
7 Fijian Drua 30415.8
8 Reds 50212.4
9 Crusaders 70114.5
10 Brumbies 20514.5
11 Hurricanes 60318.7

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Highlanders 2057.1
2 Blues 40510.8
3 Chiefs 2057.2
4 Waratahs 3046.5
5 Force 60112.4
6 Moana Pasifika 40313.5
7 Fijian Drua 30410.5
8 Reds 30515.1
9 Crusaders 20613.3
10 Brumbies 40420.1
11 Hurricanes 40321.9

Other Super Rugby Pacific Resources

The interactive Super Rugby Pacific form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The Super Rugby Pacific betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The Super Rugby Pacific Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The Super Rugby Pacific home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The Super Rugby Pacific line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The Super Rugby Pacific score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The Super Rugby Pacific stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The Super Rugby Pacific winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

Next2go

About:

Partners:

Sports and Leagues:

AFL A-League Men Big Bash League
English Premier League NBA NBL
NFL NRL Super Rugby

18+

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au

© 2012- Australia Sports Tipping