Super Rugby Predictability Index

Super Rugby

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Force 3037.3
2 Hurricanes 2048.8
3 Chiefs 3029.5
4 Blues 30210.3
5 Rebels 40210.5
6 Reds 40312.4
7 Crusaders 40213.3
8 Brumbies 40313.4
9 Waratahs 10516.8
10 Highlanders 20417.0

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Force 0025.5
2 Hurricanes 10210.2
3 Chiefs 10113.5
4 Blues 20110.2
5 Rebels 10213.5
6 Reds 10311.0
7 Crusaders 20116.8
8 Brumbies 20216.0
9 Waratahs 10211.5
10 Highlanders 0039.5

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Force 3018.3
2 Hurricanes 1027.5
3 Chiefs 2016.8
4 Blues 10110.5
5 Rebels 3007.5
6 Reds 30014.2
7 Crusaders 2019.8
8 Brumbies 2019.8
9 Waratahs 00322.2
10 Highlanders 20124.5

Other Resources

Watch Super Rugby games live and on demand with Kayo Sports.

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on AusSportsBetting.com.

The interactive Super Rugby form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The Super Rugby betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The Super Rugby home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The Super Rugby line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The Super Rugby stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The Super Rugby Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

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