Super Rugby Pacific Predictability Index

Super Rugby Pacific


The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

1 Brumbies 4015.5
2 Rebels 3027.7
3 Chiefs 3027.9
4 Waratahs 2038.5
5 Moana Pasifika 30211.1
6 Blues 20213.8
7 Crusaders 20313.9
8 Fijian Drua 20314.9
9 Force 20215.5
10 Hurricanes 30216.5
11 Highlanders 10416.9
12 Reds 20319.5

Home Fixtures

1 Brumbies 1013.0
2 Rebels 30012.2
3 Chiefs 2002.0
4 Waratahs 1014.5
5 Moana Pasifika 20114.8
6 Blues 00212.0
7 Crusaders 10214.8
8 Fijian Drua 10118.5
9 Force 10217.2
10 Hurricanes 1011.0
11 Highlanders 10221.5
12 Reds 00220.5

Away Fixtures

1 Brumbies 3007.2
2 Rebels 0021.0
3 Chiefs 10211.8
4 Waratahs 10211.2
5 Moana Pasifika 1015.5
6 Blues 20015.5
7 Crusaders 10112.5
8 Fijian Drua 10212.5
9 Force 10010.5
10 Hurricanes 20126.8
11 Highlanders 00210.0
12 Reds 20118.8

Other Resources

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on

The interactive Super Rugby Pacific form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The Super Rugby Pacific betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The Super Rugby Pacific home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The Super Rugby Pacific line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The Super Rugby Pacific stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The Super Rugby Pacific Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The Super Rugby Pacific winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.




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