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NRL Predictability Index

NRL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Sharks 4049.0
2 Rabbitohs 4049.3
3 Dragons 40310.9
4 Knights 20512.2
5 Tigers 40412.9
6 Warriors 50213.5
7 Bulldogs 50214.2
8 Cowboys 50214.8
9 Dolphins 50315.8
10 Sea Eagles 30516.0
11 Storm 30416.5
12 Broncos 30516.5
13 Eels 30416.5
14 Panthers 30517.0
15 Raiders 60217.1
16 Titans 20519.1
17 Roosters 30520.0

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Sharks 2018.8
2 Rabbitohs 2028.8
3 Dragons 3019.8
4 Knights 10214.2
5 Tigers 10310.3
6 Warriors 40012.0
7 Bulldogs 30014.5
8 Cowboys 20116.8
9 Dolphins 30118.5
10 Sea Eagles 20315.1
11 Storm 20212.5
12 Broncos 20215.0
13 Eels 10315.5
14 Panthers 10316.0
15 Raiders 40016.3
16 Titans 10220.5
17 Roosters 10327.0

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Sharks 2039.1
2 Rabbitohs 2029.8
3 Dragons 10212.5
4 Knights 10310.8
5 Tigers 30115.5
6 Warriors 10215.5
7 Bulldogs 20214.0
8 Cowboys 30113.3
9 Dolphins 20213.0
10 Sea Eagles 10217.5
11 Storm 10221.8
12 Broncos 10318.0
13 Eels 20117.8
14 Panthers 20218.0
15 Raiders 20218.0
16 Titans 10318.0
17 Roosters 20213.0

Other NRL Resources

The interactive NRL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NRL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NRL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NRL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NRL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NRL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NRL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NRL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NRL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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