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NRL Predictability Index

NRL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Bulldogs 0013.5
2 Dolphins 0028.0
3 Rabbitohs 1019.0
4 Dragons 10111.0
5 Sea Eagles 00213.0
6 Titans 10116.5
7 Roosters 10117.5
8 Raiders 10117.5
9 Knights 20019.0
10 Cowboys 00219.0
11 Panthers 20020.5
12 Sharks 10120.5
13 Tigers 10023.5
14 Broncos 00224.0
15 Storm 20029.0
16 Eels 10129.5
17 Warriors 20030.5

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Bulldogs 0013.5
2 Dolphins 0028.0
3 Rabbitohs 0000.0
4 Dragons 00118.5
5 Sea Eagles 00213.0
6 Titans 0000.0
7 Roosters 1006.5
8 Raiders 0000.0
9 Knights 10014.5
10 Cowboys 0000.0
11 Panthers 10012.5
12 Sharks 10028.5
13 Tigers 10023.5
14 Broncos 00224.0
15 Storm 10039.5
16 Eels 0000.0
17 Warriors 20030.5

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Bulldogs 0000.0
2 Dolphins 0000.0
3 Rabbitohs 1019.0
4 Dragons 1003.5
5 Sea Eagles 0000.0
6 Titans 10116.5
7 Roosters 00128.5
8 Raiders 10117.5
9 Knights 10023.5
10 Cowboys 00219.0
11 Panthers 10028.5
12 Sharks 00112.5
13 Tigers 0000.0
14 Broncos 0000.0
15 Storm 10018.5
16 Eels 10129.5
17 Warriors 0000.0

Other NRL Resources

The interactive NRL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NRL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NRL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NRL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NRL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NRL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NRL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NRL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NRL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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