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NRL - Home-field Advantage Analysis

NRL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the difference between their winning record at home and their winning record on the road.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is March 13, 2009.

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NRL Home Advantage Measurements

Team Home Win % Away Win % Difference %

Dragons
59.41%
(101/170)
37.21%
(64/172)
22.20%

Cowboys
59.65%
(102/171)
38.33%
(69/180)
21.32%

Panthers
66.48%
(119/179)
47.98%
(83/173)
18.50%

Broncos
60.92%
(106/174)
42.86%
(75/175)
18.06%

Warriors
50.60%
(84/166)
32.75%
(56/171)
17.85%

Sea Eagles
61.36%
(108/176)
43.75%
(77/176)
17.61%

Knights
47.27%
(78/165)
30.81%
(53/172)
16.46%

Eels
54.34%
(94/173)
38.86%
(68/175)
15.48%

Roosters
63.78%
(118/185)
50.58%
(87/172)
13.20%

Rabbitohs
64.00%
(112/175)
50.83%
(92/181)
13.17%

Storm
75.26%
(143/190)
64.74%
(112/173)
10.52%

Tigers
45.83%
(77/168)
36.90%
(62/168)
8.93%

Sharks
52.60%
(91/173)
44.00%
(77/175)
8.60%

Raiders
52.33%
(90/172)
44.57%
(78/175)
7.76%

Titans
42.60%
(72/169)
35.50%
(60/169)
7.10%

Bulldogs
49.13%
(85/173)
43.02%
(74/172)
6.11%
League Average
(all teams,
past and present)
56.85% 42.71% 14.14%
League Average
(active teams only)
56.60% 42.67% 13.93%
League Median
(active teams only)
56.87% 42.94% 14.34%
 

Other Resources

The interactive NRL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NRL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NRL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NRL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NRL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NRL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NRL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

The NRL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

Notes

The statistics for "League Average (all teams, past and present)" apply equal weighting to each fixture. In contrast, "League Average (currently active teams only)" takes the average of each team's statistics. The two figures won't necessarily correspond if:

  1. There has been a change to the currently active teams
  2. Some teams have played more fixtures than others (i.e. due to finals / postseason fixtures)
  3. Some teams have played more home fixtures than others (common for partial season data)

For the reasons above we recommend using "League Average (all teams, past and present)" if you're taking note of league averages.

Please take these figures with a grain of salt because some postseason fixtures at neutral venues have not been appropriately accounted for. For these fixtures the "home" team was arbitrarily assigned to one of the two sides.

It is not uncommons for the Home Win % plus the Away Win % for "League Average(all teams, past and present)" to not sum to 100% where draws are possible.

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