NFL Predictability Index

NFL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 LA Chargers 7277.1
2 Seattle 8097.2
3 Chicago 8097.5
4 Kansas City 80107.7
5 Philadelphia 60107.8
6 NY Giants 9078.0
7 Washington 9268.3
8 Houston 60108.3
9 Minnesota 60108.6
10 Cleveland 8199.1
11 Carolina 9079.2
12 Atlanta 7099.4
13 Indianapolis 9089.6
14 Arizona 7099.6
15 New Orleans 10089.6
16 Denver 9079.6
17 Jacksonville 7099.8
18 Cincinnati 82610.0
19 LA Rams 100810.0
20 Buffalo 120710.1
21 Detroit 61910.2
22 Pittsburgh 100710.2
23 Green Bay 110710.3
24 Baltimore 111610.5
25 NY Jets 601010.5
26 Tennessee 701010.6
27 Miami 110511.0
28 Las Vegas 80811.2
29 Tampa Bay 111711.7
30 Dallas 501112.2
31 New England 70913.1
32 San Francisco 70913.4

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 LA Chargers 4049.6
2 Seattle 6038.7
3 Chicago 3058.3
4 Kansas City 4068.7
5 Philadelphia 5036.2
6 NY Giants 30510.4
7 Washington 5138.1
8 Houston 3059.2
9 Minnesota 2069.0
10 Cleveland 3055.1
11 Carolina 20612.5
12 Atlanta 3059.9
13 Indianapolis 3059.2
14 Arizona 3056.8
15 New Orleans 5056.8
16 Denver 40410.8
17 Jacksonville 30512.8
18 Cincinnati 42211.7
19 LA Rams 5039.7
20 Buffalo 7038.6
21 Detroit 2158.8
22 Pittsburgh 50410.3
23 Green Bay 6049.6
24 Baltimore 50312.7
25 NY Jets 4048.9
26 Tennessee 4059.4
27 Miami 7016.8
28 Las Vegas 40411.1
29 Tampa Bay 51212.1
30 Dallas 30515.1
31 New England 50313.4
32 San Francisco 20612.9

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 LA Chargers 3234.6
2 Seattle 2065.4
3 Chicago 5046.8
4 Kansas City 4046.5
5 Philadelphia 1079.4
6 NY Giants 6025.6
7 Washington 4138.5
8 Houston 3057.4
9 Minnesota 4048.1
10 Cleveland 51412.3
11 Carolina 7015.9
12 Atlanta 4049.0
13 Indianapolis 6039.9
14 Arizona 40412.3
15 New Orleans 50313.1
16 Denver 5038.4
17 Jacksonville 4046.9
18 Cincinnati 4048.3
19 LA Rams 50510.3
20 Buffalo 50411.8
21 Detroit 40411.6
22 Pittsburgh 50310.1
23 Green Bay 50311.3
24 Baltimore 6138.8
25 NY Jets 20612.2
26 Tennessee 30511.9
27 Miami 40415.1
28 Las Vegas 40411.3
29 Tampa Bay 60511.4
30 Dallas 2069.3
31 New England 20612.7
32 San Francisco 50314.0

Other Resources

Watch NFL games live and on demand with Kayo Sports.

The interactive NFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

About:

Partners:

Sports and Leagues:

AFL A-League Big Bash League
English Premier League Indian Premier League NBL
NFL NRL Super Rugby

18+
Think! About your choices.
Call Gambler's Help or Gambling Help 1800 858 858 www.gamblinghelp.nsw.gov.au or www.gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Think of the people who need your support. Gamble Responsibly.

© 2012- Australia Sports Tipping