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NFL - Home-field Advantage Analysis

NFL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the difference between their winning record at home and their winning record on the road.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is September 7, 2006.

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NFL Home Advantage Measurements

Team Home Win % Away Win % Difference %

Minnesota
62.00%
(93/150)
41.06%
(62/151)
20.94%

Cleveland
45.21%
(66/146)
25.00%
(37/148)
20.21%

Seattle
66.45%
(103/155)
46.54%
(74/159)
19.91%

Green Bay
71.97%
(113/157)
52.53%
(83/158)
19.44%

Baltimore
69.93%
(107/153)
52.17%
(84/161)
17.76%

Jacksonville
44.59%
(66/148)
28.00%
(42/150)
16.59%

Buffalo
58.17%
(89/153)
41.89%
(62/148)
16.28%

Pittsburgh
68.59%
(107/156)
52.94%
(81/153)
15.65%

Houston
53.59%
(82/153)
38.00%
(57/150)
15.59%

Miami
53.06%
(78/147)
37.84%
(56/148)
15.22%

Cincinnati
55.63%
(84/151)
40.79%
(62/152)
14.84%

Denver
57.42%
(89/155)
43.15%
(63/146)
14.27%

Detroit
45.58%
(67/147)
32.00%
(48/150)
13.58%

Indianapolis
63.46%
(99/156)
50.00%
(77/154)
13.46%

Carolina
51.33%
(77/150)
38.93%
(58/149)
12.40%

Atlanta
55.63%
(84/151)
43.33%
(65/150)
12.30%

Arizona
52.35%
(78/149)
40.13%
(61/152)
12.22%

San Francisco
57.14%
(88/154)
46.15%
(72/156)
10.99%

Las Vegas
43.15%
(63/146)
32.65%
(48/147)
10.50%

New England
74.40%
(125/168)
64.29%
(99/154)
10.11%

NY Jets
46.58%
(68/146)
36.84%
(56/152)
9.74%

LA Chargers
57.33%
(86/150)
47.71%
(73/153)
9.62%

Chicago
51.33%
(77/150)
41.89%
(62/148)
9.44%

New Orleans
63.87%
(99/155)
55.56%
(85/153)
8.31%

Tennessee
53.02%
(79/149)
45.03%
(68/151)
7.99%

Dallas
61.18%
(93/152)
53.29%
(81/152)
7.89%

Kansas City
60.74%
(99/163)
54.25%
(83/153)
6.49%

Tampa Bay
46.36%
(70/151)
40.67%
(61/150)
5.69%

LA Rams
46.00%
(69/150)
40.79%
(62/152)
5.21%

Philadelphia
57.79%
(89/154)
53.21%
(83/156)
4.58%

NY Giants
48.30%
(71/147)
44.59%
(70/157)
3.71%

Washington
39.86%
(59/148)
37.41%
(55/147)
2.45%
League Average
(all teams,
past and present)
55.91% 43.83% 12.08%
League Average
(active teams only)
55.69% 43.71% 11.98%
League Median
(active teams only)
55.63% 42.52% 12.26%
 

Other NFL Resources

The interactive NFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

Notes

The statistics for "League Average (all teams, past and present)" apply equal weighting to each fixture. In contrast, "League Average (currently active teams only)" takes the average of each team's statistics. The two figures won't necessarily correspond if:

  1. There has been a change to the currently active teams
  2. Some teams have played more fixtures than others (i.e. due to finals / postseason fixtures)
  3. Some teams have played more home fixtures than others (common for partial season data)

For the reasons above we recommend using "League Average (all teams, past and present)" if you're taking note of league averages.

Please take these figures with a grain of salt because some postseason fixtures at neutral venues have not been appropriately accounted for. For these fixtures the "home" team was arbitrarily assigned to one of the two sides.

It is not uncommons for the Home Win % plus the Away Win % for "League Average(all teams, past and present)" to not sum to 100% where draws are possible.

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