NFL - Home-field Advantage Analysis

NFL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the difference between their winning record at home and their winning record on the road.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is September 7, 2006.

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NFL Home Advantage Measurements

Team Home Win % Away Win % Difference %

Cleveland
44.30%
(70/158)
23.75%
(38/160)
20.55%

Minnesota
62.96%
(102/162)
42.68%
(70/164)
20.28%

Green Bay
72.19%
(122/169)
52.35%
(89/170)
19.84%

Buffalo
61.08%
(102/167)
42.50%
(68/160)
18.58%

Jacksonville
44.72%
(72/161)
27.33%
(44/161)
17.39%

Baltimore
69.28%
(115/166)
52.02%
(90/173)
17.26%

Miami
53.16%
(84/158)
36.65%
(59/161)
16.51%

Denver
59.04%
(98/166)
43.13%
(69/160)
15.91%

Houston
54.27%
(89/164)
38.41%
(63/164)
15.86%

Pittsburgh
68.26%
(114/167)
53.01%
(88/166)
15.25%

Indianapolis
64.29%
(108/168)
49.40%
(82/166)
14.89%

Seattle
64.29%
(108/168)
49.41%
(84/170)
14.88%

Carolina
51.23%
(83/162)
37.89%
(61/161)
13.34%

Arizona
52.47%
(85/162)
39.26%
(64/163)
13.21%

Cincinnati
54.94%
(89/162)
41.82%
(69/165)
13.12%

Detroit
48.13%
(77/160)
35.80%
(58/162)
12.33%

Atlanta
55.21%
(90/163)
43.48%
(70/161)
11.73%

San Francisco
56.63%
(94/166)
45.83%
(77/168)
10.80%

Chicago
51.23%
(83/162)
40.88%
(65/159)
10.35%

Las Vegas
42.04%
(66/157)
31.88%
(51/160)
10.16%

NY Jets
44.65%
(71/159)
35.58%
(58/163)
9.07%

LA Chargers
57.67%
(94/163)
48.80%
(81/166)
8.87%

New England
71.51%
(128/179)
62.87%
(105/167)
8.64%

Kansas City
63.28%
(112/177)
54.82%
(91/166)
8.46%

New Orleans
61.31%
(103/168)
53.05%
(87/164)
8.26%

Tennessee
50.00%
(80/160)
43.29%
(71/164)
6.71%

Dallas
59.15%
(97/164)
53.05%
(87/164)
6.10%

Philadelphia
60.59%
(103/170)
54.76%
(92/168)
5.83%

LA Rams
47.24%
(77/163)
42.42%
(70/165)
4.82%

Tampa Bay
46.95%
(77/164)
42.59%
(69/162)
4.36%

NY Giants
46.54%
(74/159)
42.60%
(72/169)
3.94%

Washington
42.50%
(68/160)
38.89%
(63/162)
3.61%
League Average
(all teams,
past and present)
55.86% 43.87% 11.99%
League Average
(active teams only)
55.66% 43.76% 11.90%
League Median
(active teams only)
55.08% 42.64% 12.03%
 

Other NFL Resources

The interactive NFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

Notes

The statistics for "League Average (all teams, past and present)" apply equal weighting to each fixture. In contrast, "League Average (currently active teams only)" takes the average of each team's statistics. The two figures won't necessarily correspond if:

  1. There has been a change to the currently active teams
  2. Some teams have played more fixtures than others (i.e. due to finals / postseason fixtures)
  3. Some teams have played more home fixtures than others (common for partial season data)

For the reasons above we recommend using "League Average (all teams, past and present)" if you're taking note of league averages.

Please take these figures with a grain of salt because some postseason fixtures at neutral venues have not been appropriately accounted for. For these fixtures the "home" team was arbitrarily assigned to one of the two sides.

It is not uncommons for the Home Win % plus the Away Win % for "League Average(all teams, past and present)" to not sum to 100% where draws are possible.

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