NBL Predictability Index

NBL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 JackJumpers 6078.9
2 36ers 7059.6
3 Wildcats 60611.4
4 Melbourne 90412.0
5 Bullets 60814.1
6 Phoenix 70414.6
7 Breakers 50915.4
8 Taipans 60815.6
9 Kings 60616.8
10 Hawks 50621.2

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 JackJumpers 2059.5
2 36ers 3049.5
3 Wildcats 20310.5
4 Melbourne 40312.9
5 Bullets 10519.3
6 Phoenix 40120.7
7 Breakers 20511.5
8 Taipans 30513.1
9 Kings 20410.8
10 Hawks 20325.7

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 JackJumpers 4028.2
2 36ers 4019.7
3 Wildcats 40312.1
4 Melbourne 50111.0
5 Bullets 50310.1
6 Phoenix 3039.5
7 Breakers 30419.2
8 Taipans 30318.8
9 Kings 40222.7
10 Hawks 30317.5

Other NBL Resources

The interactive NBL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NBL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NBL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NBL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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