Colossalbet

NBL Predictability Index

NBL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Kings 120126.8
2 Bullets 100139.1
3 Phoenix 15089.5
4 JackJumpers 130119.5
5 Taipans 901311.4
6 Hawks 1301012.0
7 36ers 801412.5
8 Wildcats 140912.9
9 Breakers 1001413.5
10 Melbourne 1201214.6

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Kings 40710.1
2 Bullets 5079.2
3 Phoenix 60410.2
4 JackJumpers 7058.8
5 Taipans 30910.3
6 Hawks 50614.2
7 36ers 60710.4
8 Wildcats 70310.3
9 Breakers 50711.8
10 Melbourne 50815.7

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Kings 8054.0
2 Bullets 5069.0
3 Phoenix 9048.9
4 JackJumpers 60610.2
5 Taipans 60412.6
6 Hawks 80410.0
7 36ers 20715.4
8 Wildcats 70614.9
9 Breakers 50715.2
10 Melbourne 70413.3

Other NBL Resources

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on AusSportsBetting.com.

The interactive NBL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NBL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NBL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NBL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

About:

Partners:

Sports and Leagues:

AFL A-League Men Big Bash League
English Premier League Indian Premier League NBA
NBL NFL NRL
Super Rugby

18+

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au

© 2012- Australia Sports Tipping