NBL Predictability Index

NBL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Phoenix 130157.6
2 Kings 190148.7
3 JackJumpers 180169.1
4 Bullets 120169.1
5 Taipans 130159.9
6 Wildcats 1201610.1
7 36ers 1501310.2
8 Hawks 1701310.4
9 Breakers 1301510.7
10 Melbourne 1601510.8

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Phoenix 5096.5
2 Kings 10078.7
3 JackJumpers 9079.3
4 Bullets 5099.5
5 Taipans 60810.6
6 Wildcats 5099.4
7 36ers 8069.6
8 Hawks 6098.8
9 Breakers 50911.7
10 Melbourne 80812.3

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Phoenix 8068.7
2 Kings 9078.8
3 JackJumpers 9098.9
4 Bullets 7078.6
5 Taipans 7079.1
6 Wildcats 70710.9
7 36ers 70710.8
8 Hawks 110411.9
9 Breakers 8069.8
10 Melbourne 8079.2

Other Resources

Watch NBL games live and on demand with Kayo Sports.

The interactive NBL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NBL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

The NBL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

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