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NBL Predictability Index

NBL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 JackJumpers 1701210.2
2 Taipans 1401410.3
3 Hawks 1501410.3
4 Breakers 1601310.5
5 Bullets 1301510.6
6 Wildcats 1601210.7
7 Melbourne 1501310.8
8 36ers 1601211.1
9 Kings 1001912.4
10 Phoenix 1001815.3

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 JackJumpers 80713.0
2 Taipans 80611.3
3 Hawks 7079.8
4 Breakers 8069.7
5 Bullets 7078.6
6 Wildcats 80611.4
7 Melbourne 7078.3
8 36ers 100411.1
9 Kings 501012.1
10 Phoenix 60816.6

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 JackJumpers 9057.1
2 Taipans 6089.2
3 Hawks 80710.8
4 Breakers 80711.2
5 Bullets 60812.6
6 Wildcats 80610.0
7 Melbourne 80613.2
8 36ers 60811.2
9 Kings 50912.7
10 Phoenix 401013.9

Other NBL Resources

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on AusSportsBetting.com.

The interactive NBL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NBL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NBL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NBL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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