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NBL Predictability Index

NBL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Kings 140167.3
2 Phoenix 210139.7
3 JackJumpers 150149.8
4 Bullets 1201710.8
5 36ers 1301811.0
6 Wildcats 1901411.3
7 Hawks 2301412.1
8 Breakers 1101812.5
9 Taipans 1301612.6
10 Melbourne 1801912.9

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Kings 50109.4
2 Phoenix 110510.3
3 JackJumpers 8068.9
4 Bullets 50911.3
5 36ers 70810.4
6 Wildcats 10079.2
7 Hawks 110813.9
8 Breakers 60911.4
9 Taipans 501011.5
10 Melbourne 701213.1

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Kings 9065.3
2 Phoenix 10089.1
3 JackJumpers 70810.8
4 Bullets 70810.3
5 36ers 601011.6
6 Wildcats 90713.4
7 Hawks 120610.2
8 Breakers 50913.6
9 Taipans 80613.9
10 Melbourne 110712.6

Other NBL Resources

The interactive NBL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NBL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NBL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NBL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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