NBL Predictability Index

NBL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 36ers 12069.2
2 JackJumpers 9099.8
3 Wildcats 901011.4
4 Melbourne 120812.1
5 Breakers 801113.4
6 Phoenix 110714.2
7 Bullets 601214.8
8 Taipans 801014.8
9 Kings 90816.3
10 Hawks 701017.7

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 36ers 6049.8
2 JackJumpers 30511.4
3 Wildcats 40610.5
4 Melbourne 60412.3
5 Breakers 40511.1
6 Phoenix 60318.7
7 Bullets 10719.9
8 Taipans 40711.8
9 Kings 3049.6
10 Hawks 40518.8

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 36ers 6028.5
2 JackJumpers 6048.5
3 Wildcats 50412.4
4 Melbourne 60411.8
5 Breakers 40615.6
6 Phoenix 5049.6
7 Bullets 50510.7
8 Taipans 40319.6
9 Kings 60421.0
10 Hawks 30516.4

Other NBL Resources

The interactive NBL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NBL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NBL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NBL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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