NBL - Betting Value Index

NBL

The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from bet365 are used. If you would like to compare betting value in line markets, check out the the NBL line betting table.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is November 19, 2010.

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Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
# = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

Betting Value Index: Home & Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Melbourne
Fav:$4.55 41 29.1%
Und:$7.40
All:$11.95

Wildcats
Fav:-$0.17 41 13.2%
Und:$5.57
All:$5.40

Phoenix
Fav:-$5.49 39 11.6%
Und:$10.02
All:$4.53

Bullets
Fav:-$4.54 36 9.8%
Und:$8.15
All:$3.52

Hawks
Fav:-$3.25 39 3.6%
Und:$4.67
All:$1.42

Kings
Fav:-$2.84 36 -2.1%
Und:$2.25
All:-$0.77

36ers
Fav:-$5.62 36 -12.4%
Und:$2.15
All:-$4.47

Breakers
Fav:-$6.09 36 -26.7%
Und:-$5.35
All:-$9.62

Taipans
Fav:-$7.12 36 -45.2%
Und:-$8.15
All:-$16.27
 

Betting Value Index: Home

Team Betting Value # Profit

Melbourne
Fav:$1.60 20 35.5%
Und:$5.50
All:$7.10

36ers
Fav:-$2.22 18 35.7%
Und:$8.65
All:$6.43

Phoenix
Fav:-$4.32 19 15.9%
Und:$7.35
All:$3.03

Wildcats
Fav:-$0.78 22 9.4%
Und:$2.85
All:$2.07

Kings
Fav:-$0.31 18 3.1%
Und:-$0.05
All:$0.55

Bullets
Fav:-$2.26 18 1.7%
Und:$2.65
All:$0.30

Hawks
Fav:-$0.43 19 -4.6%
Und:-$0.45
All:-$0.88

Breakers
Fav:-$1.09 18 -19.6%
Und:-$4.25
All:-$3.52

Taipans
Fav:-$4.25 18 -35.6%
Und:-$2.15
All:-$6.40
 

Betting Value Index: Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Melbourne
Fav:$2.95 21 23.1%
Und:$1.90
All:$4.85

Wildcats
Fav:$0.61 19 17.5%
Und:$2.72
All:$3.33

Bullets
Fav:-$2.28 18 17.9%
Und:$5.50
All:$3.22

Hawks
Fav:-$2.82 20 11.5%
Und:$5.12
All:$2.30

Phoenix
Fav:-$1.17 20 7.5%
Und:$2.67
All:$1.50

Kings
Fav:-$2.53 18 -7.3%
Und:$2.30
All:-$1.32

Breakers
Fav:-$5.00 18 -33.9%
Und:-$1.10
All:-$6.10

Taipans
Fav:-$2.87 18 -54.8%
Und:-$6.00
All:-$9.87

36ers
Fav:-$3.40 18 -60.6%
Und:-$6.50
All:-$10.90
 

Other Resources

Watch NBL games live and on demand with Kayo Sports.

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on AusSportsBetting.com.

The interactive NBL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NBL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

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