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NBA Predictability Index

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Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Lakers 502478.6
2 Rockets 325458.7
3 Raptors 411418.7
4 Pacers 421398.8
5 Mavericks 303498.8
6 Pistons 334458.9
7 Wizards 383419.0
8 Heat 443569.1
9 Cavaliers 443409.2
10 Clippers 430449.2
11 Jazz 470359.5
12 Knicks 513399.6
13 Timberwolves 431459.7
14 Kings 490409.8
15 Hawks 391499.9
16 Hornets 3734210.0
17 76ers 5413810.0
18 Pelicans 4024110.0
19 Suns 4624510.1
20 Magic 4543310.1
21 Nuggets 5414310.1
22 Thunder 4823410.2
23 Grizzlies 3924710.2
24 Bucks 4273810.3
25 Trail Blazers 4004210.4
26 Nets 4314210.6
27 Warriors 4315111.0
28 Celtics 5514611.1
29 Bulls 4134011.4
30 Spurs 3304911.6

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Lakers 271228.8
2 Rockets 184199.2
3 Raptors 250178.3
4 Pacers 221187.5
5 Mavericks 123269.5
6 Pistons 161247.7
7 Wizards 182219.7
8 Heat 212288.4
9 Cavaliers 242189.2
10 Clippers 2002310.7
11 Jazz 2102010.5
12 Knicks 2222210.0
13 Timberwolves 2102310.4
14 Kings 2002510.2
15 Hawks 191249.1
16 Hornets 160259.2
17 76ers 280188.1
18 Pelicans 2411710.8
19 Suns 2512110.2
20 Magic 2301811.7
21 Nuggets 311189.1
22 Thunder 2411610.8
23 Grizzlies 2511810.1
24 Bucks 2421811.3
25 Trail Blazers 1802311.7
26 Nets 201228.5
27 Warriors 301169.5
28 Celtics 2812310.9
29 Bulls 2111913.6
30 Spurs 1902210.8

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Lakers 231258.4
2 Rockets 141268.1
3 Raptors 161249.1
4 Pacers 2002110.0
5 Mavericks 180238.2
6 Pistons 1732110.1
7 Wizards 201208.4
8 Heat 231289.8
9 Cavaliers 201229.2
10 Clippers 230217.8
11 Jazz 260158.5
12 Knicks 291179.2
13 Timberwolves 221229.0
14 Kings 290159.4
15 Hawks 2002510.6
16 Hornets 2131710.8
17 76ers 2612011.9
18 Pelicans 161249.3
19 Suns 2112410.0
20 Magic 224158.5
21 Nuggets 2302511.2
22 Thunder 241189.7
23 Grizzlies 1412910.4
24 Bucks 185209.2
25 Trail Blazers 220199.1
26 Nets 2302012.6
27 Warriors 1303512.4
28 Celtics 2702311.4
29 Bulls 202219.4
30 Spurs 1402712.4

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NBA table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NBA winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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