NBA Predictability Index

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pistons	40	1	41	9.0
2	76ers	52	1	36	9.4
3	Rockets	45	2	35	9.4
4	Wizards	36	3	43	9.5
5	Warriors	42	2	39	9.7
6	Suns	35	2	49	9.7
7	Heat	43	2	44	9.7
8	Bulls	42	1	41	9.9
9	Nuggets	43	2	49	10.0
10	Spurs	43	1	38	10.0
11	Clippers	40	0	48	10.1
12	Nets	34	3	45	10.2
13	Hornets	34	0	48	10.3
14	Raptors	36	0	46	10.4
15	Magic	55	0	34	10.5
16	Hawks	29	0	54	10.6
17	Lakers	43	0	46	10.6
18	Knicks	48	1	46	10.6
19	Trail Blazers	40	1	41	10.8
20	Timberwolves	49	3	46	10.9
21	Grizzlies	40	0	42	10.9
22	Celtics	51	6	44	11.1
23	Jazz	42	0	40	11.2
24	Cavaliers	44	1	49	11.3
25	Thunder	52	1	39	11.3
26	Pacers	55	3	42	11.9
27	Mavericks	60	1	43	12.0
28	Bucks	38	0	50	12.2
29	Kings	43	1	40	12.4
30	Pelicans	45	2	41	13.0

Home Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pistons	18	1	21	8.1
2	76ers	25	1	19	10.1
3	Rockets	27	1	13	11.4
4	Wizards	14	1	26	8.3
5	Warriors	15	2	24	9.7
6	Suns	16	1	26	8.5
7	Heat	17	0	27	10.1
8	Bulls	19	1	22	11.7
9	Nuggets	23	1	24	9.3
10	Spurs	21	1	19	9.4
11	Clippers	19	0	25	12.3
12	Nets	20	3	18	10.2
13	Hornets	19	0	22	9.6
14	Raptors	14	0	27	10.9
15	Magic	31	0	13	12.8
16	Hawks	15	0	26	9.4
17	Lakers	22	0	23	10.4
18	Knicks	23	1	24	10.5
19	Trail Blazers	19	0	22	9.1
20	Timberwolves	21	1	27	10.9
21	Grizzlies	16	0	25	9.8
22	Celtics	28	3	21	11.7
23	Jazz	24	0	17	10.5
24	Cavaliers	23	0	24	10.9
25	Thunder	29	0	17	11.9
26	Pacers	29	2	18	11.1
27	Mavericks	26	0	25	11.0
28	Bucks	21	0	24	13.1
29	Kings	19	0	23	12.6
30	Pelicans	21	0	23	12.9

Away Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pistons	22	0	20	10.0
2	76ers	27	0	17	8.6
3	Rockets	18	1	22	7.3
4	Wizards	22	2	17	10.7
5	Warriors	27	0	15	9.6
6	Suns	19	1	23	10.8
7	Heat	26	2	17	9.4
8	Bulls	23	0	19	8.0
9	Nuggets	20	1	25	10.6
10	Spurs	22	0	19	10.7
11	Clippers	21	0	23	8.0
12	Nets	14	0	27	10.2
13	Hornets	15	0	26	10.9
14	Raptors	22	0	19	10.0
15	Magic	24	0	21	8.2
16	Hawks	14	0	28	11.8
17	Lakers	21	0	23	10.8
18	Knicks	25	0	22	10.7
19	Trail Blazers	21	1	19	12.5
20	Timberwolves	28	2	19	10.8
21	Grizzlies	24	0	17	12.1
22	Celtics	23	3	23	10.4
23	Jazz	18	0	23	11.9
24	Cavaliers	21	1	25	11.7
25	Thunder	23	1	22	10.8
26	Pacers	26	1	24	12.7
27	Mavericks	34	1	18	12.9
28	Bucks	17	0	26	11.2
29	Kings	24	1	17	12.2
30	Pelicans	24	2	18	13.1

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.