NBA Predictability Index

NBA

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Hornets 372438.8
2 Suns 311509.1
3 Rockets 440409.4
4 Pelicans 332479.6
5 76ers 291529.6
6 Pistons 432399.6
7 Magic 430429.8
8 Cavaliers 491349.8
9 Bucks 432409.9
10 Timberwolves 4004410.0
11 Mavericks 3924310.1
12 Hawks 4114210.2
13 Jazz 4114010.2
14 Heat 4124310.2
15 Wizards 3414710.3
16 Nets 4123910.4
17 Thunder 5622710.7
18 Spurs 3904310.7
19 Raptors 4723310.8
20 Pacers 3834310.8
21 Celtics 4004410.9
22 Clippers 4903511.1
23 Nuggets 3824411.1
24 Grizzlies 4314211.2
25 Kings 3524611.3
26 Knicks 4114211.4
27 Lakers 4623611.6
28 Bulls 4323811.9
29 Warriors 4324012.1
30 Trail Blazers 4613512.7

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Hornets 191218.5
2 Suns 1512510.5
3 Rockets 2202110.2
4 Pelicans 212188.7
5 76ers 121289.9
6 Pistons 190229.1
7 Magic 230199.4
8 Cavaliers 2311910.0
9 Bucks 231189.8
10 Timberwolves 170249.8
11 Mavericks 200209.6
12 Hawks 181229.1
13 Jazz 200219.9
14 Heat 2111910.3
15 Wizards 1702411.5
16 Nets 161249.8
17 Thunder 3111311.9
18 Spurs 2102011.8
19 Raptors 2411611.4
20 Pacers 193218.7
21 Celtics 1902411.5
22 Clippers 2801311.2
23 Nuggets 1812410.6
24 Grizzlies 2102111.5
25 Kings 1512610.4
26 Knicks 2212011.1
27 Lakers 280159.7
28 Bulls 2112011.8
29 Warriors 1812312.6
30 Trail Blazers 2401715.4

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Hornets 181229.2
2 Suns 160257.7
3 Rockets 220198.7
4 Pelicans 1202910.5
5 76ers 170249.3
6 Pistons 2421710.2
7 Magic 2002310.3
8 Cavaliers 260159.7
9 Bucks 2012210.0
10 Timberwolves 2302010.2
11 Mavericks 1922310.6
12 Hawks 2302011.2
13 Jazz 2111910.4
14 Heat 2012410.1
15 Wizards 171239.2
16 Nets 2511511.0
17 Thunder 251149.3
18 Spurs 180239.7
19 Raptors 2311710.2
20 Pacers 1902213.1
21 Celtics 2102010.3
22 Clippers 2102211.0
23 Nuggets 2012011.6
24 Grizzlies 2212110.8
25 Kings 2012012.3
26 Knicks 1902211.6
27 Lakers 1822113.5
28 Bulls 2211812.1
29 Warriors 2511711.6
30 Trail Blazers 2211810.1

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NBA table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NBA winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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