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NBA Predictability Index

NBA

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Magic 200258.7
2 Pacers 202229.3
3 Wizards 191249.3
4 Knicks 220239.4
5 Rockets 182259.6
6 Celtics 211239.6
7 Cavaliers 301149.9
8 Pelicans 2002410.1
9 Pistons 2002310.1
10 Kings 2002610.1
11 Thunder 2811410.2
12 Warriors 2521710.2
13 Suns 2401910.2
14 76ers 2202110.4
15 Raptors 2111910.5
16 Lakers 1802610.6
17 Mavericks 2302110.6
18 Hawks 1602710.8
19 Jazz 2012310.8
20 Hornets 2701710.8
21 Bucks 2012510.9
22 Nets 1712511.0
23 Bulls 2401811.1
24 Clippers 2002511.2
25 Timberwolves 2302111.4
26 Nuggets 1802411.7
27 Trail Blazers 1702611.7
28 Spurs 2302111.8
29 Heat 2601812.5
30 Grizzlies 3001615.2

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Magic 40148.4
2 Pacers 122109.2
3 Wizards 12099.6
4 Knicks 1101310.3
5 Rockets 611310.6
6 Celtics 1011210.7
7 Cavaliers 15068.3
8 Pelicans 130810.1
9 Pistons 110109.2
10 Kings 1301410.6
11 Thunder 14178.9
12 Warriors 15169.2
13 Suns 110118.5
14 76ers 701110.0
15 Raptors 111118.0
16 Lakers 1001610.2
17 Mavericks 100119.3
18 Hawks 801211.7
19 Jazz 801410.3
20 Hornets 140410.6
21 Bucks 801412.1
22 Nets 601711.2
23 Bulls 130812.5
24 Clippers 1201511.8
25 Timberwolves 1001212.5
26 Nuggets 901013.5
27 Trail Blazers 1201311.1
28 Spurs 1101010.9
29 Heat 110813.6
30 Grizzlies 1501116.2

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Magic 160118.9
2 Pacers 80129.4
3 Wizards 71159.0
4 Knicks 110108.5
5 Rockets 121128.8
6 Celtics 110118.5
7 Cavaliers 151811.3
8 Pelicans 701610.0
9 Pistons 901310.9
10 Kings 70129.4
11 Thunder 140711.5
12 Warriors 1011111.2
13 Suns 130812.0
14 76ers 1501010.7
15 Raptors 100813.8
16 Lakers 801011.2
17 Mavericks 1301011.9
18 Hawks 801510.0
19 Jazz 121911.4
20 Hornets 1301311.0
21 Bucks 121119.9
22 Nets 111810.9
23 Bulls 110109.7
24 Clippers 801010.4
25 Timberwolves 130910.3
26 Nuggets 901410.2
27 Trail Blazers 501312.6
28 Spurs 1201112.6
29 Heat 1501011.6
30 Grizzlies 150513.8

Other Resources

Watch NBA games live and on demand with Kayo Sports.

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

The NBA table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

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