NBA Predictability Index

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Lakers	50	2	47	8.6
2	Rockets	32	5	45	8.7
3	Raptors	41	1	41	8.7
4	Pacers	42	1	39	8.8
5	Mavericks	30	3	49	8.8
6	Pistons	33	4	45	8.9
7	Wizards	38	3	41	9.0
8	Heat	44	3	56	9.1
9	Cavaliers	44	3	40	9.2
10	Clippers	43	0	44	9.2
11	Jazz	47	0	35	9.5
12	Knicks	51	3	39	9.6
13	Timberwolves	43	1	45	9.7
14	Kings	49	0	40	9.8
15	Hawks	39	1	49	9.9
16	Hornets	37	3	42	10.0
17	76ers	54	1	38	10.0
18	Pelicans	40	2	41	10.0
19	Suns	46	2	45	10.1
20	Magic	45	4	33	10.1
21	Nuggets	54	1	43	10.1
22	Thunder	48	2	34	10.2
23	Grizzlies	39	2	47	10.2
24	Bucks	42	7	38	10.3
25	Trail Blazers	40	0	42	10.4
26	Nets	43	1	42	10.6
27	Warriors	43	1	51	11.0
28	Celtics	55	1	46	11.1
29	Bulls	41	3	40	11.4
30	Spurs	33	0	49	11.6

Home Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Lakers	27	1	22	8.8
2	Rockets	18	4	19	9.2
3	Raptors	25	0	17	8.3
4	Pacers	22	1	18	7.5
5	Mavericks	12	3	26	9.5
6	Pistons	16	1	24	7.7
7	Wizards	18	2	21	9.7
8	Heat	21	2	28	8.4
9	Cavaliers	24	2	18	9.2
10	Clippers	20	0	23	10.7
11	Jazz	21	0	20	10.5
12	Knicks	22	2	22	10.0
13	Timberwolves	21	0	23	10.4
14	Kings	20	0	25	10.2
15	Hawks	19	1	24	9.1
16	Hornets	16	0	25	9.2
17	76ers	28	0	18	8.1
18	Pelicans	24	1	17	10.8
19	Suns	25	1	21	10.2
20	Magic	23	0	18	11.7
21	Nuggets	31	1	18	9.1
22	Thunder	24	1	16	10.8
23	Grizzlies	25	1	18	10.1
24	Bucks	24	2	18	11.3
25	Trail Blazers	18	0	23	11.7
26	Nets	20	1	22	8.5
27	Warriors	30	1	16	9.5
28	Celtics	28	1	23	10.9
29	Bulls	21	1	19	13.6
30	Spurs	19	0	22	10.8

Away Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Lakers	23	1	25	8.4
2	Rockets	14	1	26	8.1
3	Raptors	16	1	24	9.1
4	Pacers	20	0	21	10.0
5	Mavericks	18	0	23	8.2
6	Pistons	17	3	21	10.1
7	Wizards	20	1	20	8.4
8	Heat	23	1	28	9.8
9	Cavaliers	20	1	22	9.2
10	Clippers	23	0	21	7.8
11	Jazz	26	0	15	8.5
12	Knicks	29	1	17	9.2
13	Timberwolves	22	1	22	9.0
14	Kings	29	0	15	9.4
15	Hawks	20	0	25	10.6
16	Hornets	21	3	17	10.8
17	76ers	26	1	20	11.9
18	Pelicans	16	1	24	9.3
19	Suns	21	1	24	10.0
20	Magic	22	4	15	8.5
21	Nuggets	23	0	25	11.2
22	Thunder	24	1	18	9.7
23	Grizzlies	14	1	29	10.4
24	Bucks	18	5	20	9.2
25	Trail Blazers	22	0	19	9.1
26	Nets	23	0	20	12.6
27	Warriors	13	0	35	12.4
28	Celtics	27	0	23	11.4
29	Bulls	20	2	21	9.4
30	Spurs	14	0	27	12.4

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.