NBA Predictability Index

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	43	3	36	8.4
2	Mavericks	36	2	44	8.9
3	Grizzlies	37	1	44	9.9
4	Nuggets	46	0	42	10.1
5	Spurs	60	2	43	10.2
6	Suns	50	2	36	10.3
7	Trail Blazers	45	2	41	10.3
8	Pacers	40	0	42	10.3
9	Warriors	36	0	48	10.4
10	Pistons	50	0	46	10.6
11	Lakers	49	2	41	10.6
12	Thunder	47	1	49	10.6
13	76ers	49	2	43	10.8
14	Cavaliers	39	2	59	10.9
15	Nets	36	2	44	11.1
16	Rockets	38	0	50	11.1
17	Kings	36	0	46	11.3
18	Wizards	33	0	49	11.3
19	Magic	42	1	48	11.4
20	Bulls	37	2	43	11.5
21	Jazz	41	0	41	11.6
22	Celtics	51	0	38	11.6
23	Clippers	43	0	40	11.7
24	Raptors	46	1	42	11.9
25	Timberwolves	43	0	51	11.9
26	Heat	46	1	36	12.3
27	Hawks	46	0	42	12.4
28	Knicks	57	1	43	12.4
29	Hornets	50	1	33	12.4
30	Bucks	35	0	47	12.5

Home Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	24	3	14	8.7
2	Mavericks	20	0	21	9.7
3	Grizzlies	19	0	22	10.6
4	Nuggets	22	0	22	10.2
5	Spurs	28	1	22	9.7
6	Suns	25	1	19	10.6
7	Trail Blazers	24	1	18	11.2
8	Pacers	24	0	17	9.5
9	Warriors	18	0	23	10.2
10	Pistons	25	0	24	11.0
11	Lakers	26	2	18	10.4
12	Thunder	24	0	26	11.5
13	76ers	22	0	25	10.5
14	Cavaliers	21	1	28	10.6
15	Nets	18	2	21	10.1
16	Rockets	18	0	26	10.0
17	Kings	18	0	23	10.7
18	Wizards	18	0	23	12.6
19	Magic	23	0	23	9.8
20	Bulls	20	1	20	12.8
21	Jazz	22	0	19	12.5
22	Celtics	24	0	21	11.7
23	Clippers	22	0	20	12.8
24	Raptors	24	0	20	12.1
25	Timberwolves	22	0	25	12.8
26	Heat	23	0	18	11.8
27	Hawks	22	0	22	12.5
28	Knicks	33	1	16	11.1
29	Hornets	26	1	15	10.4
30	Bucks	19	0	22	12.7

Away Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	19	0	22	8.1
2	Mavericks	16	2	23	8.2
3	Grizzlies	18	1	22	9.1
4	Nuggets	24	0	20	10.0
5	Spurs	32	1	21	10.7
6	Suns	25	1	17	9.8
7	Trail Blazers	21	1	23	9.4
8	Pacers	16	0	25	11.1
9	Warriors	18	0	25	10.6
10	Pistons	25	0	22	10.2
11	Lakers	23	0	23	10.8
12	Thunder	23	1	23	9.8
13	76ers	27	2	18	11.2
14	Cavaliers	18	1	31	11.2
15	Nets	18	0	23	12.1
16	Rockets	20	0	24	12.2
17	Kings	18	0	23	11.8
18	Wizards	15	0	26	10.1
19	Magic	19	1	25	13.0
20	Bulls	17	1	23	10.1
21	Jazz	19	0	22	10.6
22	Celtics	27	0	17	11.4
23	Clippers	21	0	20	10.5
24	Raptors	22	1	22	11.6
25	Timberwolves	21	0	26	11.0
26	Heat	23	1	18	12.8
27	Hawks	24	0	20	12.2
28	Knicks	24	0	27	13.7
29	Hornets	24	0	18	14.5
30	Bucks	16	0	25	12.3

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.