NBA Predictability Index

NBA

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Cavaliers 451388.7
2 Pistons 442369.4
3 Pacers 373429.4
4 Lakers 350479.5
5 Wizards 323479.7
6 Hawks 410489.9
7 Magic 370459.9
8 Rockets 344449.9
9 Bulls 4414210.1
10 Kings 3814310.2
11 Knicks 3904310.3
12 Thunder 4843010.4
13 Jazz 3535010.5
14 Nuggets 3904810.5
15 Suns 5104410.6
16 Nets 3435010.6
17 76ers 4405010.7
18 Warriors 5444610.8
19 Spurs 4413810.9
20 Pelicans 4514411.0
21 Clippers 4014311.0
22 Mavericks 5714211.2
23 Timberwolves 4714111.2
24 Raptors 4723911.2
25 Heat 5524311.5
26 Celtics 5724711.7
27 Bucks 4414911.7
28 Hornets 4523611.9
29 Trail Blazers 3005212.8
30 Grizzlies 5913413.4

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Cavaliers 240187.3
2 Pistons 221189.3
3 Pacers 182219.5
4 Lakers 170249.6
5 Wizards 192209.8
6 Hawks 2501911.0
7 Magic 1502610.8
8 Rockets 1522410.0
9 Bulls 2501810.8
10 Kings 1902210.7
11 Knicks 1602510.2
12 Thunder 214169.1
13 Jazz 1812510.0
14 Nuggets 1602711.5
15 Suns 2402410.3
16 Nets 1003410.7
17 76ers 2102610.5
18 Warriors 322199.4
19 Spurs 2002110.4
20 Pelicans 2312111.3
21 Clippers 2002212.6
22 Mavericks 2911910.5
23 Timberwolves 2412012.0
24 Raptors 211229.5
25 Heat 2612411.4
26 Celtics 2322811.9
27 Bucks 1703011.3
28 Hornets 2211811.1
29 Trail Blazers 1702412.4
30 Grizzlies 3101615.7

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Cavaliers 2112010.2
2 Pistons 221189.4
3 Pacers 191219.3
4 Lakers 180239.4
5 Wizards 131279.6
6 Hawks 160298.8
7 Magic 220199.0
8 Rockets 192209.8
9 Bulls 191249.4
10 Kings 191219.7
11 Knicks 2301810.4
12 Thunder 2701411.7
13 Jazz 1722511.0
14 Nuggets 230219.4
15 Suns 2702010.9
16 Nets 2431610.5
17 76ers 2302410.8
18 Warriors 2222712.2
19 Spurs 2411711.5
20 Pelicans 2202310.6
21 Clippers 201219.4
22 Mavericks 2802311.9
23 Timberwolves 2302110.3
24 Raptors 2611713.0
25 Heat 2911911.5
26 Celtics 3401911.4
27 Bucks 2711912.1
28 Hornets 2311812.8
29 Trail Blazers 1302813.2
30 Grizzlies 2811811.2

Other Resources

Watch NBA games live and on demand with Kayo Sports.

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

The NBA table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

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