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NBA Predictability Index

NBA

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Nets 13146.8
2 Heat 90107.1
3 Warriors 71117.4
4 Suns 9188.5
5 Knicks 10178.6
6 Bucks 70129.0
7 Celtics 8289.1
8 Wizards 80109.2
9 Bulls 61139.2
10 Hawks 50139.4
11 76ers 12069.4
12 Timberwolves 9369.5
13 Raptors 11089.6
14 Pistons 80119.6
15 Hornets 70109.8
16 Nuggets 71119.8
17 Mavericks 9089.9
18 Spurs 61119.9
19 Trail Blazers 90910.4
20 Jazz 100910.5
21 Clippers 701110.8
22 Rockets 102410.9
23 Cavaliers 701211.0
24 Magic 150311.4
25 Grizzlies 601111.6
26 Lakers 801211.9
27 Pelicans 111712.2
28 Pacers 90812.6
29 Kings 90812.7
30 Thunder 131412.9

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Nets 8127.8
2 Heat 2054.9
3 Warriors 1187.0
4 Suns 40410.9
5 Knicks 4149.0
6 Bucks 2076.9
7 Celtics 60210.2
8 Wizards 10610.4
9 Bulls 4169.3
10 Hawks 1077.3
11 76ers 70311.9
12 Timberwolves 71210.9
13 Raptors 60410.9
14 Pistons 30610.0
15 Hornets 30610.9
16 Nuggets 5134.7
17 Mavericks 3049.0
18 Spurs 3164.2
19 Trail Blazers 20510.9
20 Jazz 7028.1
21 Clippers 40413.6
22 Rockets 71115.3
23 Cavaliers 30812.8
24 Magic 90114.6
25 Grizzlies 30610.6
26 Lakers 3068.3
27 Pelicans 80314.8
28 Pacers 60512.5
29 Kings 3047.4
30 Thunder 70311.8

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Nets 5025.1
2 Heat 7058.5
3 Warriors 6037.8
4 Suns 5146.6
5 Knicks 6038.1
6 Bucks 50510.9
7 Celtics 2268.2
8 Wizards 7048.5
9 Bulls 2079.1
10 Hawks 40611.0
11 76ers 5036.4
12 Timberwolves 2247.8
13 Raptors 5048.2
14 Pistons 5059.2
15 Hornets 4048.6
16 Nuggets 20814.5
17 Mavericks 60410.5
18 Spurs 30517.0
19 Trail Blazers 70410.1
20 Jazz 30712.6
21 Clippers 3078.6
22 Rockets 3135.3
23 Cavaliers 4048.6
24 Magic 6027.4
25 Grizzlies 30512.7
26 Lakers 50614.7
27 Pelicans 3148.7
28 Pacers 30312.9
29 Kings 60416.4
30 Thunder 61114.2

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NBA table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NBA winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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