NBA Predictability Index

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	37	2	29	8.3
2	Mavericks	30	2	36	8.9
3	Grizzlies	31	1	34	9.1
4	76ers	35	2	31	9.8
5	Spurs	38	2	28	9.9
6	Suns	40	2	25	9.9
7	Trail Blazers	34	2	32	10.3
8	Nuggets	38	0	30	10.3
9	Pacers	29	0	39	10.3
10	Lakers	36	2	29	10.4
11	Thunder	32	1	35	10.4
12	Pistons	34	0	33	10.6
13	Jazz	36	0	32	10.7
14	Rockets	29	0	37	10.7
15	Kings	29	0	40	10.9
16	Nets	29	2	36	11.0
17	Magic	29	1	36	11.1
18	Warriors	30	0	37	11.1
19	Celtics	39	0	28	11.2
20	Bulls	29	2	36	11.2
21	Raptors	33	1	33	11.4
22	Cavaliers	28	1	39	11.5
23	Timberwolves	28	0	40	11.9
24	Heat	40	1	27	11.9
25	Clippers	36	0	31	12.0
26	Wizards	28	0	38	12.0
27	Hornets	41	1	26	12.2
28	Knicks	37	1	32	12.2
29	Hawks	35	0	32	12.3
30	Bucks	29	0	38	12.4

Home Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	19	2	13	8.4
2	Mavericks	17	0	17	9.9
3	Grizzlies	14	0	18	11.0
4	76ers	16	0	20	9.5
5	Spurs	19	1	13	8.6
6	Suns	20	1	14	10.9
7	Trail Blazers	19	1	14	10.4
8	Nuggets	15	0	16	11.5
9	Pacers	18	0	16	9.8
10	Lakers	19	2	14	10.0
11	Thunder	16	0	20	11.5
12	Pistons	16	0	18	11.6
13	Jazz	18	0	16	11.3
14	Rockets	12	0	19	8.7
15	Kings	16	0	19	10.3
16	Nets	14	2	16	9.3
17	Magic	15	0	19	9.1
18	Warriors	15	0	19	10.8
19	Celtics	16	0	16	11.2
20	Bulls	16	1	17	12.7
21	Raptors	16	0	19	10.7
22	Cavaliers	13	1	21	10.9
23	Timberwolves	14	0	20	13.0
24	Heat	21	0	14	11.7
25	Clippers	17	0	16	13.2
26	Wizards	16	0	17	13.8
27	Hornets	19	1	11	9.1
28	Knicks	22	1	11	11.6
29	Hawks	16	0	18	12.2
30	Bucks	15	0	19	13.0

Away Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	18	0	16	8.3
2	Mavericks	13	2	19	8.0
3	Grizzlies	17	1	16	7.4
4	76ers	19	2	11	10.1
5	Spurs	19	1	15	11.0
6	Suns	20	1	11	8.8
7	Trail Blazers	15	1	18	10.1
8	Nuggets	23	0	14	9.3
9	Pacers	11	0	23	10.8
10	Lakers	17	0	15	10.9
11	Thunder	16	1	15	9.3
12	Pistons	18	0	15	9.4
13	Jazz	18	0	16	10.1
14	Rockets	17	0	18	12.5
15	Kings	13	0	21	11.5
16	Nets	15	0	20	12.7
17	Magic	14	1	17	13.1
18	Warriors	15	0	18	11.3
19	Celtics	23	0	12	11.1
20	Bulls	13	1	19	9.7
21	Raptors	17	1	14	12.3
22	Cavaliers	15	0	18	12.1
23	Timberwolves	14	0	20	10.9
24	Heat	19	1	13	12.2
25	Clippers	19	0	15	10.8
26	Wizards	12	0	21	10.2
27	Hornets	22	0	15	14.7
28	Knicks	15	0	21	12.8
29	Hawks	19	0	14	12.4
30	Bucks	14	0	19	11.8

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.