NBA Predictability Index

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Hornets	37	2	43	8.8
2	Suns	31	1	50	9.1
3	Rockets	44	0	40	9.4
4	Pelicans	33	2	47	9.6
5	76ers	29	1	52	9.6
6	Pistons	43	2	39	9.6
7	Magic	43	0	42	9.8
8	Cavaliers	49	1	34	9.8
9	Bucks	43	2	40	9.9
10	Timberwolves	40	0	44	10.0
11	Mavericks	39	2	43	10.1
12	Hawks	41	1	42	10.2
13	Jazz	41	1	40	10.2
14	Heat	41	2	43	10.2
15	Wizards	34	1	47	10.3
16	Nets	41	2	39	10.4
17	Thunder	56	2	27	10.7
18	Spurs	39	0	43	10.7
19	Raptors	47	2	33	10.8
20	Pacers	38	3	43	10.8
21	Celtics	40	0	44	10.9
22	Clippers	49	0	35	11.1
23	Nuggets	38	2	44	11.1
24	Grizzlies	43	1	42	11.2
25	Kings	35	2	46	11.3
26	Knicks	41	1	42	11.4
27	Lakers	46	2	36	11.6
28	Bulls	43	2	38	11.9
29	Warriors	43	2	40	12.1
30	Trail Blazers	46	1	35	12.7

Home Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Hornets	19	1	21	8.5
2	Suns	15	1	25	10.5
3	Rockets	22	0	21	10.2
4	Pelicans	21	2	18	8.7
5	76ers	12	1	28	9.9
6	Pistons	19	0	22	9.1
7	Magic	23	0	19	9.4
8	Cavaliers	23	1	19	10.0
9	Bucks	23	1	18	9.8
10	Timberwolves	17	0	24	9.8
11	Mavericks	20	0	20	9.6
12	Hawks	18	1	22	9.1
13	Jazz	20	0	21	9.9
14	Heat	21	1	19	10.3
15	Wizards	17	0	24	11.5
16	Nets	16	1	24	9.8
17	Thunder	31	1	13	11.9
18	Spurs	21	0	20	11.8
19	Raptors	24	1	16	11.4
20	Pacers	19	3	21	8.7
21	Celtics	19	0	24	11.5
22	Clippers	28	0	13	11.2
23	Nuggets	18	1	24	10.6
24	Grizzlies	21	0	21	11.5
25	Kings	15	1	26	10.4
26	Knicks	22	1	20	11.1
27	Lakers	28	0	15	9.7
28	Bulls	21	1	20	11.8
29	Warriors	18	1	23	12.6
30	Trail Blazers	24	0	17	15.4

Away Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Hornets	18	1	22	9.2
2	Suns	16	0	25	7.7
3	Rockets	22	0	19	8.7
4	Pelicans	12	0	29	10.5
5	76ers	17	0	24	9.3
6	Pistons	24	2	17	10.2
7	Magic	20	0	23	10.3
8	Cavaliers	26	0	15	9.7
9	Bucks	20	1	22	10.0
10	Timberwolves	23	0	20	10.2
11	Mavericks	19	2	23	10.6
12	Hawks	23	0	20	11.2
13	Jazz	21	1	19	10.4
14	Heat	20	1	24	10.1
15	Wizards	17	1	23	9.2
16	Nets	25	1	15	11.0
17	Thunder	25	1	14	9.3
18	Spurs	18	0	23	9.7
19	Raptors	23	1	17	10.2
20	Pacers	19	0	22	13.1
21	Celtics	21	0	20	10.3
22	Clippers	21	0	22	11.0
23	Nuggets	20	1	20	11.6
24	Grizzlies	22	1	21	10.8
25	Kings	20	1	20	12.3
26	Knicks	19	0	22	11.6
27	Lakers	18	2	21	13.5
28	Bulls	22	1	18	12.1
29	Warriors	25	1	17	11.6
30	Trail Blazers	22	1	18	10.1

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.