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NBA Predictability Index

NBA

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Pistons 401419.0
2 76ers 521369.4
3 Rockets 452359.4
4 Wizards 363439.5
5 Warriors 422399.7
6 Suns 352499.7
7 Heat 432449.7
8 Bulls 421419.9
9 Nuggets 4324910.0
10 Spurs 4313810.0
11 Clippers 4004810.1
12 Nets 3434510.2
13 Hornets 3404810.3
14 Raptors 3604610.4
15 Magic 5503410.5
16 Hawks 2905410.6
17 Lakers 4304610.6
18 Knicks 4814610.6
19 Trail Blazers 4014110.8
20 Timberwolves 4934610.9
21 Grizzlies 4004210.9
22 Celtics 5164411.1
23 Jazz 4204011.2
24 Cavaliers 4414911.3
25 Thunder 5213911.3
26 Pacers 5534211.9
27 Mavericks 6014312.0
28 Bucks 3805012.2
29 Kings 4314012.4
30 Pelicans 4524113.0

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Pistons 181218.1
2 76ers 2511910.1
3 Rockets 2711311.4
4 Wizards 141268.3
5 Warriors 152249.7
6 Suns 161268.5
7 Heat 1702710.1
8 Bulls 1912211.7
9 Nuggets 231249.3
10 Spurs 211199.4
11 Clippers 1902512.3
12 Nets 2031810.2
13 Hornets 190229.6
14 Raptors 1402710.9
15 Magic 3101312.8
16 Hawks 150269.4
17 Lakers 2202310.4
18 Knicks 2312410.5
19 Trail Blazers 190229.1
20 Timberwolves 2112710.9
21 Grizzlies 160259.8
22 Celtics 2832111.7
23 Jazz 2401710.5
24 Cavaliers 2302410.9
25 Thunder 2901711.9
26 Pacers 2921811.1
27 Mavericks 2602511.0
28 Bucks 2102413.1
29 Kings 1902312.6
30 Pelicans 2102312.9

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 Pistons 2202010.0
2 76ers 270178.6
3 Rockets 181227.3
4 Wizards 2221710.7
5 Warriors 270159.6
6 Suns 1912310.8
7 Heat 262179.4
8 Bulls 230198.0
9 Nuggets 2012510.6
10 Spurs 2201910.7
11 Clippers 210238.0
12 Nets 1402710.2
13 Hornets 1502610.9
14 Raptors 2201910.0
15 Magic 240218.2
16 Hawks 1402811.8
17 Lakers 2102310.8
18 Knicks 2502210.7
19 Trail Blazers 2111912.5
20 Timberwolves 2821910.8
21 Grizzlies 2401712.1
22 Celtics 2332310.4
23 Jazz 1802311.9
24 Cavaliers 2112511.7
25 Thunder 2312210.8
26 Pacers 2612412.7
27 Mavericks 3411812.9
28 Bucks 1702611.2
29 Kings 2411712.2
30 Pelicans 2421813.1

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NBA table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NBA winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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