NBA Predictability Index

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Nuggets	40	2	43	9.0
2	Pistons	40	1	41	9.0
3	Rockets	45	2	35	9.4
4	76ers	51	1	34	9.4
5	Wizards	36	3	43	9.5
6	Suns	35	2	47	9.6
7	Warriors	42	2	39	9.7
8	Heat	43	2	41	9.7
9	Bulls	42	1	41	9.9
10	Timberwolves	42	3	39	9.9
11	Clippers	39	0	45	10.0
12	Spurs	43	1	38	10.0
13	Nets	34	3	45	10.2
14	Hornets	34	0	48	10.3
15	Raptors	36	0	46	10.4
16	Knicks	44	1	40	10.5
17	Magic	52	0	33	10.5
18	Hawks	29	0	54	10.6
19	Lakers	41	0	46	10.6
20	Trail Blazers	40	1	41	10.8
21	Grizzlies	40	0	42	10.9
22	Celtics	42	5	37	11.1
23	Jazz	42	0	40	11.2
24	Cavaliers	40	1	44	11.3
25	Thunder	47	1	36	11.4
26	Mavericks	49	0	35	12.0
27	Pacers	45	3	37	12.1
28	Bucks	36	0	48	12.2
29	Kings	43	1	40	12.4
30	Pelicans	45	2	39	13.0

Home Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Nuggets	22	1	20	8.8
2	Pistons	18	1	21	8.1
3	Rockets	27	1	13	11.4
4	76ers	25	1	17	10.2
5	Wizards	14	1	26	8.3
6	Suns	16	1	24	8.2
7	Warriors	15	2	24	9.7
8	Heat	17	0	25	10.2
9	Bulls	19	1	22	11.7
10	Timberwolves	20	1	22	9.5
11	Clippers	19	0	24	11.9
12	Spurs	21	1	19	9.4
13	Nets	20	3	18	10.2
14	Hornets	19	0	22	9.6
15	Raptors	14	0	27	10.9
16	Knicks	21	1	21	10.2
17	Magic	29	0	13	12.9
18	Hawks	15	0	26	9.4
19	Lakers	21	0	23	10.3
20	Trail Blazers	19	0	22	9.1
21	Grizzlies	16	0	25	9.8
22	Celtics	23	2	18	11.7
23	Jazz	24	0	17	10.5
24	Cavaliers	21	0	22	11.3
25	Thunder	28	0	15	11.6
26	Mavericks	21	0	20	11.4
27	Pacers	22	2	17	11.7
28	Bucks	20	0	24	12.8
29	Kings	19	0	23	12.6
30	Pelicans	21	0	21	13.0

Away Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Nuggets	18	1	23	9.3
2	Pistons	22	0	20	10.0
3	Rockets	18	1	22	7.3
4	76ers	26	0	17	8.6
5	Wizards	22	2	17	10.7
6	Suns	19	1	23	10.8
7	Warriors	27	0	15	9.6
8	Heat	26	2	16	9.2
9	Bulls	23	0	19	8.0
10	Timberwolves	22	2	17	10.2
11	Clippers	20	0	21	8.0
12	Spurs	22	0	19	10.7
13	Nets	14	0	27	10.2
14	Hornets	15	0	26	10.9
15	Raptors	22	0	19	10.0
16	Knicks	23	0	19	10.8
17	Magic	23	0	20	8.3
18	Hawks	14	0	28	11.8
19	Lakers	20	0	23	10.9
20	Trail Blazers	21	1	19	12.5
21	Grizzlies	24	0	17	12.1
22	Celtics	19	3	19	10.4
23	Jazz	18	0	23	11.9
24	Cavaliers	19	1	22	11.3
25	Thunder	19	1	21	11.3
26	Mavericks	28	0	15	12.7
27	Pacers	23	1	20	12.5
28	Bucks	16	0	24	11.5
29	Kings	24	1	17	12.2
30	Pelicans	24	2	18	13.1

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.