NBA Predictability Index

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	43	3	36	8.4
2	Mavericks	36	2	44	8.9
3	Spurs	49	2	36	9.7
4	Grizzlies	37	1	44	9.9
5	Nuggets	46	0	41	10.0
6	76ers	45	2	40	10.1
7	Suns	50	2	36	10.3
8	Pacers	40	0	42	10.3
9	Trail Blazers	45	2	40	10.3
10	Warriors	36	0	48	10.4
11	Pistons	45	0	41	10.5
12	Thunder	41	1	44	10.6
13	Lakers	47	2	37	10.7
14	Cavaliers	34	2	50	10.7
15	Rockets	37	0	49	11.0
16	Nets	36	2	44	11.1
17	Kings	36	0	46	11.3
18	Celtics	51	0	35	11.3
19	Wizards	33	0	49	11.3
20	Magic	41	1	46	11.4
21	Bulls	37	2	43	11.5
22	Knicks	46	1	40	11.5
23	Timberwolves	40	0	47	11.6
24	Jazz	41	0	41	11.6
25	Clippers	43	0	40	11.7
26	Hawks	46	0	40	11.8
27	Raptors	44	1	41	12.1
28	Heat	46	1	36	12.3
29	Hornets	50	1	33	12.4
30	Bucks	35	0	47	12.5

Home Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	24	3	14	8.7
2	Mavericks	20	0	21	9.7
3	Spurs	23	1	18	8.2
4	Grizzlies	19	0	22	10.6
5	Nuggets	22	0	22	10.2
6	76ers	21	0	23	9.7
7	Suns	25	1	19	10.6
8	Pacers	24	0	17	9.5
9	Trail Blazers	24	1	18	11.2
10	Warriors	18	0	23	10.2
11	Pistons	22	0	21	10.8
12	Thunder	20	0	24	12.1
13	Lakers	25	2	16	10.4
14	Cavaliers	18	1	24	10.2
15	Rockets	18	0	25	9.7
16	Nets	18	2	21	10.1
17	Kings	18	0	23	10.7
18	Celtics	24	0	19	11.4
19	Wizards	18	0	23	12.6
20	Magic	23	0	22	9.8
21	Bulls	20	1	20	12.8
22	Knicks	29	1	13	11.0
23	Timberwolves	20	0	23	12.7
24	Jazz	22	0	19	12.5
25	Clippers	22	0	20	12.8
26	Hawks	22	0	21	11.7
27	Raptors	23	0	20	12.2
28	Heat	23	0	18	11.8
29	Hornets	26	1	15	10.4
30	Bucks	19	0	22	12.7

Away Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	19	0	22	8.1
2	Mavericks	16	2	23	8.2
3	Spurs	26	1	18	11.1
4	Grizzlies	18	1	22	9.1
5	Nuggets	24	0	19	9.8
6	76ers	24	2	17	10.5
7	Suns	25	1	17	9.8
8	Pacers	16	0	25	11.1
9	Trail Blazers	21	1	22	9.4
10	Warriors	18	0	25	10.6
11	Pistons	23	0	20	10.2
12	Thunder	21	1	20	9.0
13	Lakers	22	0	21	10.9
14	Cavaliers	16	1	26	11.2
15	Rockets	19	0	24	12.3
16	Nets	18	0	23	12.1
17	Kings	18	0	23	11.8
18	Celtics	27	0	16	11.2
19	Wizards	15	0	26	10.1
20	Magic	18	1	24	13.2
21	Bulls	17	1	23	10.1
22	Knicks	17	0	27	12.1
23	Timberwolves	20	0	24	10.4
24	Jazz	19	0	22	10.6
25	Clippers	21	0	20	10.5
26	Hawks	24	0	19	12.0
27	Raptors	21	1	21	12.0
28	Heat	23	1	18	12.8
29	Hornets	24	0	18	14.5
30	Bucks	16	0	25	12.3

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.