NBA Predictability Index

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	76ers	14	1	9	7.2
2	Pistons	14	0	11	8.1
3	Pelicans	14	2	10	8.2
4	Spurs	13	1	10	8.6
5	Mavericks	13	1	12	8.7
6	Thunder	14	0	11	9.2
7	Timberwolves	9	0	16	9.2
8	Nuggets	14	0	10	9.4
9	Knicks	16	0	8	9.5
10	Nets	10	1	13	9.8
11	Bucks	12	0	14	9.9
12	Trail Blazers	13	1	11	10.0
13	Grizzlies	11	0	14	10.1
14	Warriors	13	0	13	10.3
15	Lakers	14	1	9	10.3
16	Cavaliers	8	0	18	10.7
17	Heat	14	0	11	10.8
18	Rockets	14	0	8	10.9
19	Bulls	9	2	13	11.3
20	Kings	8	0	17	11.4
21	Clippers	8	0	17	11.4
22	Raptors	10	1	15	11.6
23	Hornets	12	1	12	11.6
24	Magic	12	0	13	11.8
25	Celtics	14	0	11	11.9
26	Pacers	13	0	12	12.0
27	Hawks	14	0	12	12.1
28	Suns	16	0	9	12.1
29	Jazz	13	0	11	12.2
30	Wizards	7	0	16	14.0

Home Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	76ers	7	0	8	7.4
2	Pistons	8	0	6	8.9
3	Pelicans	8	2	5	7.6
4	Spurs	8	0	3	6.1
5	Mavericks	8	0	8	9.5
6	Thunder	7	0	5	11.1
7	Timberwolves	4	0	8	8.8
8	Nuggets	5	0	5	12.4
9	Knicks	13	0	1	9.6
10	Nets	4	1	7	7.4
11	Bucks	8	0	7	11.6
12	Trail Blazers	6	0	3	10.1
13	Grizzlies	6	0	7	13.3
14	Warriors	6	0	5	7.9
15	Lakers	5	1	5	9.4
16	Cavaliers	4	0	11	8.2
17	Heat	8	0	5	10.8
18	Rockets	5	0	5	8.7
19	Bulls	5	1	5	14.3
20	Kings	2	0	9	12.9
21	Clippers	1	0	9	10.4
22	Raptors	4	0	10	10.6
23	Hornets	7	1	5	11.2
24	Magic	6	0	8	9.0
25	Celtics	7	0	5	13.5
26	Pacers	8	0	5	10.8
27	Hawks	4	0	6	14.1
28	Suns	9	0	3	11.4
29	Jazz	9	0	4	12.4
30	Wizards	3	0	8	17.7

Away Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	76ers	7	1	1	6.9
2	Pistons	6	0	5	7.0
3	Pelicans	6	0	5	9.1
4	Spurs	5	1	7	10.7
5	Mavericks	5	1	4	7.4
6	Thunder	7	0	6	7.3
7	Timberwolves	5	0	8	9.6
8	Nuggets	9	0	5	7.3
9	Knicks	3	0	7	9.4
10	Nets	6	0	6	12.1
11	Bucks	4	0	7	7.6
12	Trail Blazers	7	1	8	10.0
13	Grizzlies	5	0	7	6.6
14	Warriors	7	0	8	12.0
15	Lakers	9	0	4	11.0
16	Cavaliers	4	0	7	14.0
17	Heat	6	0	6	10.9
18	Rockets	9	0	3	12.7
19	Bulls	4	1	8	8.7
20	Kings	6	0	8	10.3
21	Clippers	7	0	8	12.1
22	Raptors	6	1	5	12.7
23	Hornets	5	0	7	12.0
24	Magic	6	0	5	15.4
25	Celtics	7	0	6	10.4
26	Pacers	5	0	7	13.3
27	Hawks	10	0	6	10.9
28	Suns	7	0	6	12.8
29	Jazz	4	0	7	12.0
30	Wizards	4	0	8	10.6

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.