NBA Predictability Index

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	25	2	22	8.3
2	76ers	26	1	19	8.5
3	Mavericks	21	2	23	9.1
4	Pistons	24	0	21	9.1
5	Grizzlies	19	1	24	9.4
6	Trail Blazers	26	2	20	9.6
7	Nuggets	28	0	19	9.6
8	Spurs	24	1	22	9.6
9	Suns	31	1	15	9.7
10	Knicks	24	1	22	9.9
11	Celtics	25	0	21	10.1
12	Lakers	23	2	20	10.6
13	Bucks	19	0	26	10.8
14	Magic	17	0	28	10.8
15	Rockets	21	0	23	10.9
16	Kings	18	0	30	11.1
17	Warriors	23	0	25	11.2
18	Nets	20	2	23	11.3
19	Cavaliers	18	0	30	11.4
20	Pacers	23	0	24	11.5
21	Bulls	22	2	22	11.6
22	Thunder	23	0	25	11.6
23	Timberwolves	20	0	27	11.6
24	Raptors	24	1	23	11.9
25	Heat	26	1	20	12.1
26	Clippers	23	0	23	12.2
27	Jazz	25	0	22	12.2
28	Wizards	19	0	26	12.5
29	Hawks	24	0	24	12.7
30	Hornets	27	1	19	13.4

Home Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	13	2	11	6.9
2	76ers	12	0	14	8.0
3	Mavericks	15	0	11	10.0
4	Pistons	13	0	11	10.5
5	Grizzlies	10	0	13	11.8
6	Trail Blazers	14	1	9	9.7
7	Nuggets	11	0	10	10.6
8	Spurs	12	0	10	9.3
9	Suns	15	0	6	10.4
10	Knicks	17	1	7	11.2
11	Celtics	10	0	11	9.9
12	Lakers	9	2	9	11.3
13	Bucks	8	0	13	11.7
14	Magic	10	0	13	9.6
15	Rockets	8	0	11	7.5
16	Kings	10	0	15	11.3
17	Warriors	14	0	10	10.2
18	Nets	10	2	11	9.0
19	Cavaliers	8	0	19	10.3
20	Pacers	14	0	10	10.9
21	Bulls	13	1	11	14.3
22	Thunder	12	0	14	12.2
23	Timberwolves	10	0	14	11.3
24	Raptors	9	0	14	10.6
25	Heat	13	0	9	12.1
26	Clippers	11	0	11	13.5
27	Jazz	15	0	10	12.0
28	Wizards	10	0	12	14.9
29	Hawks	9	0	13	12.9
30	Hornets	12	1	9	10.4

Away Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	12	0	11	9.8
2	76ers	14	1	5	9.0
3	Mavericks	6	2	12	7.9
4	Pistons	11	0	10	7.5
5	Grizzlies	9	1	11	6.7
6	Trail Blazers	12	1	11	9.4
7	Nuggets	17	0	9	8.9
8	Spurs	12	1	12	10.0
9	Suns	16	1	9	9.1
10	Knicks	7	0	15	8.5
11	Celtics	15	0	10	10.3
12	Lakers	14	0	11	10.0
13	Bucks	11	0	13	10.0
14	Magic	7	0	15	12.0
15	Rockets	13	0	12	13.5
16	Kings	8	0	15	10.9
17	Warriors	9	0	15	12.1
18	Nets	10	0	12	13.8
19	Cavaliers	10	0	11	12.7
20	Pacers	9	0	14	12.0
21	Bulls	9	1	11	8.3
22	Thunder	11	0	11	10.8
23	Timberwolves	10	0	13	11.8
24	Raptors	15	1	9	13.1
25	Heat	13	1	11	12.1
26	Clippers	12	0	12	10.9
27	Jazz	10	0	12	12.3
28	Wizards	9	0	14	10.3
29	Hawks	15	0	11	12.6
30	Hornets	15	0	10	16.1

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.