NBA Predictability Index

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	37	2	29	8.3
2	Mavericks	29	2	36	8.7
3	Grizzlies	31	1	34	9.1
4	76ers	34	2	30	9.8
5	Suns	40	2	25	9.9
6	Spurs	37	2	28	9.9
7	Trail Blazers	34	2	31	10.2
8	Nuggets	38	0	29	10.4
9	Pacers	29	0	38	10.4
10	Pistons	34	0	32	10.5
11	Lakers	35	2	29	10.5
12	Thunder	31	1	35	10.5
13	Rockets	29	0	37	10.7
14	Jazz	36	0	31	10.8
15	Kings	27	0	40	10.8
16	Warriors	29	0	37	11.1
17	Magic	28	1	36	11.1
18	Nets	28	2	36	11.2
19	Celtics	39	0	27	11.2
20	Bulls	29	2	36	11.2
21	Cavaliers	28	1	38	11.3
22	Raptors	32	1	33	11.4
23	Clippers	36	0	30	11.9
24	Heat	40	1	26	12.0
25	Timberwolves	28	0	39	12.0
26	Wizards	27	0	38	12.1
27	Knicks	37	1	31	12.2
28	Hornets	41	1	25	12.3
29	Hawks	34	0	32	12.3
30	Bucks	28	0	37	12.6

Home Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	19	2	13	8.4
2	Mavericks	17	0	17	9.9
3	Grizzlies	14	0	18	11.0
4	76ers	15	0	19	9.6
5	Suns	20	1	14	10.9
6	Spurs	18	1	13	8.7
7	Trail Blazers	19	1	14	10.4
8	Nuggets	15	0	16	11.5
9	Pacers	18	0	16	9.8
10	Pistons	16	0	18	11.6
11	Lakers	18	2	14	10.2
12	Thunder	15	0	20	11.7
13	Rockets	12	0	19	8.7
14	Jazz	18	0	16	11.3
15	Kings	15	0	19	10.5
16	Warriors	15	0	19	10.8
17	Magic	15	0	19	9.1
18	Nets	14	2	16	9.3
19	Celtics	16	0	15	11.3
20	Bulls	16	1	17	12.7
21	Cavaliers	13	1	20	10.4
22	Raptors	15	0	19	10.6
23	Clippers	17	0	15	13.0
24	Heat	21	0	13	11.8
25	Timberwolves	14	0	20	13.0
26	Wizards	16	0	17	13.8
27	Knicks	22	1	10	11.6
28	Hornets	19	1	11	9.1
29	Hawks	15	0	18	12.2
30	Bucks	14	0	19	13.3

Away Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Pelicans	18	0	16	8.3
2	Mavericks	12	2	19	7.4
3	Grizzlies	17	1	16	7.4
4	76ers	19	2	11	10.1
5	Suns	20	1	11	8.8
6	Spurs	19	1	15	11.0
7	Trail Blazers	15	1	17	10.0
8	Nuggets	23	0	13	9.4
9	Pacers	11	0	22	11.1
10	Pistons	18	0	14	9.3
11	Lakers	17	0	15	10.9
12	Thunder	16	1	15	9.3
13	Rockets	17	0	18	12.5
14	Jazz	18	0	15	10.3
15	Kings	12	0	21	11.2
16	Warriors	14	0	18	11.3
17	Magic	13	1	17	13.3
18	Nets	14	0	20	13.0
19	Celtics	23	0	12	11.1
20	Bulls	13	1	19	9.7
21	Cavaliers	15	0	18	12.1
22	Raptors	17	1	14	12.3
23	Clippers	19	0	15	10.8
24	Heat	19	1	13	12.2
25	Timberwolves	14	0	19	11.0
26	Wizards	11	0	21	10.3
27	Knicks	15	0	21	12.8
28	Hornets	22	0	14	15.0
29	Hawks	19	0	14	12.4
30	Bucks	14	0	18	11.8

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.