NBA Predictability Index

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Hornets	37	2	43	8.8
2	Suns	31	1	50	9.1
3	Pistons	44	2	42	9.4
4	Rockets	47	0	42	9.5
5	Pelicans	33	2	47	9.6
6	76ers	29	1	52	9.6
7	Magic	44	0	44	9.8
8	Bucks	45	2	41	10.1
9	Mavericks	39	2	43	10.1
10	Hawks	41	1	42	10.2
11	Jazz	41	1	40	10.2
12	Timberwolves	48	0	49	10.2
13	Wizards	34	1	47	10.3
14	Nets	41	2	39	10.4
15	Spurs	39	0	43	10.7
16	Raptors	47	2	33	10.8
17	Cavaliers	52	1	38	10.9
18	Heat	41	2	45	10.9
19	Grizzlies	45	1	42	11.1
20	Pacers	49	3	49	11.2
21	Clippers	50	1	38	11.2
22	Celtics	44	0	49	11.3
23	Kings	35	2	46	11.3
24	Thunder	62	2	38	11.3
25	Knicks	50	1	49	11.4
26	Lakers	46	2	39	11.4
27	Nuggets	46	3	47	11.6
28	Warriors	47	2	46	11.7
29	Bulls	43	2	38	11.9
30	Trail Blazers	46	1	35	12.7

Home Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Hornets	19	1	21	8.5
2	Suns	15	1	25	10.5
3	Pistons	19	0	25	8.7
4	Rockets	23	0	22	10.4
5	Pelicans	21	2	18	8.7
6	76ers	12	1	28	9.9
7	Magic	24	0	20	9.1
8	Bucks	24	1	19	10.2
9	Mavericks	20	0	20	9.6
10	Hawks	18	1	22	9.1
11	Jazz	20	0	21	9.9
12	Timberwolves	23	0	25	10.2
13	Wizards	17	0	24	11.5
14	Nets	16	1	24	9.8
15	Spurs	21	0	20	11.8
16	Raptors	24	1	16	11.4
17	Cavaliers	23	1	22	10.2
18	Heat	21	1	21	11.6
19	Grizzlies	23	0	21	11.4
20	Pacers	23	3	24	9.3
21	Clippers	29	1	14	11.3
22	Celtics	21	0	26	11.8
23	Kings	15	1	26	10.4
24	Thunder	37	1	16	12.4
25	Knicks	25	1	24	11.7
26	Lakers	28	0	16	9.8
27	Nuggets	23	1	24	10.9
28	Warriors	20	1	26	11.8
29	Bulls	21	1	20	11.8
30	Trail Blazers	24	0	17	15.4

Away Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Hornets	18	1	22	9.2
2	Suns	16	0	25	7.7
3	Pistons	25	2	17	10.1
4	Rockets	24	0	20	8.6
5	Pelicans	12	0	29	10.5
6	76ers	17	0	24	9.3
7	Magic	20	0	24	10.5
8	Bucks	21	1	22	10.0
9	Mavericks	19	2	23	10.6
10	Hawks	23	0	20	11.2
11	Jazz	21	1	19	10.4
12	Timberwolves	25	0	24	10.2
13	Wizards	17	1	23	9.2
14	Nets	25	1	15	11.0
15	Spurs	18	0	23	9.7
16	Raptors	23	1	17	10.2
17	Cavaliers	29	0	16	11.5
18	Heat	20	1	24	10.1
19	Grizzlies	22	1	21	10.8
20	Pacers	26	0	25	13.0
21	Clippers	21	0	24	11.2
22	Celtics	23	0	23	10.8
23	Kings	20	1	20	12.3
24	Thunder	25	1	22	10.1
25	Knicks	25	0	25	11.1
26	Lakers	18	2	23	13.0
27	Nuggets	23	2	23	12.2
28	Warriors	27	1	20	11.6
29	Bulls	22	1	18	12.1
30	Trail Blazers	22	1	18	10.1

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.