NBA Predictability Index

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Hornets	37	2	43	8.8
2	Suns	31	1	50	9.1
3	Rockets	45	0	41	9.3
4	Pistons	43	2	41	9.5
5	Pelicans	33	2	47	9.6
6	76ers	29	1	52	9.6
7	Magic	44	0	43	9.7
8	Timberwolves	42	0	44	9.9
9	Bucks	45	2	41	10.1
10	Mavericks	39	2	43	10.1
11	Hawks	41	1	42	10.2
12	Jazz	41	1	40	10.2
13	Wizards	34	1	47	10.3
14	Nets	41	2	39	10.4
15	Cavaliers	51	1	34	10.5
16	Thunder	56	2	29	10.6
17	Celtics	41	0	45	10.7
18	Spurs	39	0	43	10.7
19	Raptors	47	2	33	10.8
20	Heat	41	2	45	10.9
21	Pacers	39	3	45	11.0
22	Grizzlies	45	1	42	11.1
23	Knicks	43	1	42	11.1
24	Clippers	50	0	36	11.2
25	Nuggets	39	2	45	11.3
26	Kings	35	2	46	11.3
27	Lakers	46	2	38	11.4
28	Bulls	43	2	38	11.9
29	Warriors	44	2	41	11.9
30	Trail Blazers	46	1	35	12.7

Home Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Hornets	19	1	21	8.5
2	Suns	15	1	25	10.5
3	Rockets	22	0	21	10.2
4	Pistons	19	0	24	8.8
5	Pelicans	21	2	18	8.7
6	76ers	12	1	28	9.9
7	Magic	24	0	20	9.1
8	Timberwolves	19	0	24	9.6
9	Bucks	24	1	19	10.2
10	Mavericks	20	0	20	9.6
11	Hawks	18	1	22	9.1
12	Jazz	20	0	21	9.9
13	Wizards	17	0	24	11.5
14	Nets	16	1	24	9.8
15	Cavaliers	23	1	19	10.0
16	Thunder	31	1	13	11.9
17	Celtics	19	0	24	11.5
18	Spurs	21	0	20	11.8
19	Raptors	24	1	16	11.4
20	Heat	21	1	21	11.6
21	Pacers	19	3	22	8.6
22	Grizzlies	23	0	21	11.4
23	Knicks	22	1	20	11.1
24	Clippers	29	0	14	11.5
25	Nuggets	18	1	24	10.6
26	Kings	15	1	26	10.4
27	Lakers	28	0	15	9.7
28	Bulls	21	1	20	11.8
29	Warriors	19	1	24	12.2
30	Trail Blazers	24	0	17	15.4

Away Fixtures

R		C	P	NC	PS
1	Hornets	18	1	22	9.2
2	Suns	16	0	25	7.7
3	Rockets	23	0	20	8.5
4	Pistons	24	2	17	10.2
5	Pelicans	12	0	29	10.5
6	76ers	17	0	24	9.3
7	Magic	20	0	23	10.3
8	Timberwolves	23	0	20	10.2
9	Bucks	21	1	22	10.0
10	Mavericks	19	2	23	10.6
11	Hawks	23	0	20	11.2
12	Jazz	21	1	19	10.4
13	Wizards	17	1	23	9.2
14	Nets	25	1	15	11.0
15	Cavaliers	28	0	15	11.1
16	Thunder	25	1	16	9.3
17	Celtics	22	0	21	10.0
18	Spurs	18	0	23	9.7
19	Raptors	23	1	17	10.2
20	Heat	20	1	24	10.1
21	Pacers	20	0	23	13.4
22	Grizzlies	22	1	21	10.8
23	Knicks	21	0	22	11.2
24	Clippers	21	0	22	11.0
25	Nuggets	21	1	21	12.0
26	Kings	20	1	20	12.3
27	Lakers	18	2	23	13.0
28	Bulls	22	1	18	12.1
29	Warriors	25	1	17	11.6
30	Trail Blazers	22	1	18	10.1

Other NBA Resources

The interactive NBA form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBA betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.