NBA - Betting Value Index

The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from bet365 are used. If you would like to compare betting value in line markets, check out the the NBA line betting table.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is October 27, 2015.

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Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
# = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

Betting Value Index: Home & Away

Team	Betting Value		#	Profit
Heat	Fav:	$5.65	105	17.3%
	Und:	12.65
	All:	$18.21
Pacers	Fav:	$-6.64	85	9.9%
	Und:	15.05
	All:	$8.41
Nuggets	Fav:	$1.09	100	7.7%
	Und:	4.75
	All:	$7.66
Thunder	Fav:	$3.27	84	7.0%
	Und:	1.70
	All:	$5.88
Cavaliers	Fav:	$0.28	85	4.6%
	Und:	3.60
	All:	$3.88
Timberwolves	Fav:	$3.52	85	3.9%
	Und:	-0.10
	All:	$3.33
Lakers	Fav:	$-0.47	98	1.7%
	Und:	4.15
	All:	$1.68
Bulls	Fav:	$-3.62	84	1.6%
	Und:	4.05
	All:	$1.34
Grizzlies	Fav:	$-4.80	84	1.3%
	Und:	6.90
	All:	$1.10
Pelicans	Fav:	$-8.31	86	1.1%
	Und:	11.25
	All:	$0.94
Magic	Fav:	$2.69	84	1.0%
	Und:	-2.75
	All:	$0.85
Knicks	Fav:	$3.66	91	0.8%
	Und:	-2.85
	All:	$0.72
Hornets	Fav:	$-1.11	82	0.8%
	Und:	1.80
	All:	$0.69
76ers	Fav:	$2.88	92	0.5%
	Und:	-2.20
	All:	$0.50
Mavericks	Fav:	$2.79	84	0.1%
	Und:	-4.50
	All:	$0.11
Hawks	Fav:	$-6.07	85	-3.3%
	Und:	4.30
	All:	$-2.77
Rockets	Fav:	$4.28	82	-3.5%
	Und:	-8.05
	All:	$-2.86
Kings	Fav:	$-5.45	87	-4.3%
	Und:	2.70
	All:	$-3.75
Celtics	Fav:	$-3.60	100	-4.2%
	Und:	0.40
	All:	$-4.20
Clippers	Fav:	$-1.00	85	-5.3%
	Und:	-3.40
	All:	$-4.49
Jazz	Fav:	$0.93	82	-6.1%
	Und:	-4.95
	All:	$-5.02
Suns	Fav:	$-3.37	91	-7.4%
	Und:	-2.35
	All:	$-6.72
Spurs	Fav:	$2.28	82	-11.2%
	Und:	-11.45
	All:	$-9.17
Bucks	Fav:	$-6.85	85	-13.8%
	Und:	-4.85
	All:	$-11.70
Warriors	Fav:	$-3.54	92	-12.8%
	Und:	-8.10
	All:	$-11.73
Trail Blazers	Fav:	$-4.47	82	-17.2%
	Und:	-9.60
	All:	$-14.07
Nets	Fav:	$1.23	82	-22.9%
	Und:	-20.95
	All:	$-18.81
Raptors	Fav:	$-2.76	82	-32.6%
	Und:	-23.95
	All:	$-26.71
Wizards	Fav:	$-5.89	82	-37.5%
	Und:	-25.75
	All:	$-30.73
Pistons	Fav:	$-4.20	82	-43.7%
	Und:	-31.65
	All:	$-35.85

Betting Value Index: Home

Team	Betting Value		#	Profit
Rockets	Fav:	$2.28	41	18.9%
	Und:	4.55
	All:	$7.74
Magic	Fav:	$2.95	41	14.4%
	Und:	2.05
	All:	$5.91
Thunder	Fav:	$5.15	43	13.5%
	Und:	0.65
	All:	$5.80
Jazz	Fav:	$1.67	41	12.2%
	Und:	4.35
	All:	$5.02
Nuggets	Fav:	$3.42	52	8.7%
	Und:	1.10
	All:	$4.52
Lakers	Fav:	$4.02	49	7.2%
	Und:	1.50
	All:	$3.52
Pacers	Fav:	$-4.11	41	6.4%
	Und:	6.75
	All:	$2.64
Bucks	Fav:	$-1.79	45	3.9%
	Und:	3.55
	All:	$1.76
Cavaliers	Fav:	$0.82	44	3.5%
	Und:	0.70
	All:	$1.52
Timberwolves	Fav:	$-1.56	43	1.9%
	Und:	1.45
	All:	$0.80
Hawks	Fav:	$-2.63	42	1.8%
	Und:	3.40
	All:	$0.77
Bulls	Fav:	$-6.03	42	-1.2%
	Und:	4.60
	All:	$-0.52
Mavericks	Fav:	$-2.52	41	-2.5%
	Und:	0.60
	All:	$-1.01
Knicks	Fav:	$3.36	46	-2.6%
	Und:	-5.45
	All:	$-1.18
Spurs	Fav:	$1.16	41	-3.0%
	Und:	-2.40
	All:	$-1.24
Celtics	Fav:	$-1.97	52	-3.8%
	Und:	0.00
	All:	$-1.97
Hornets	Fav:	$-1.88	41	-10.0%
	Und:	-2.20
	All:	$-4.08
Nets	Fav:	$3.31	41	-12.3%
	Und:	-9.25
	All:	$-5.03
Suns	Fav:	$-1.19	45	-11.4%
	Und:	-2.95
	All:	$-5.14
Clippers	Fav:	$-4.13	43	-12.6%
	Und:	-1.30
	All:	$-5.43
Kings	Fav:	$-5.05	44	-12.7%
	Und:	-0.55
	All:	$-5.60
76ers	Fav:	$-1.55	45	-14.2%
	Und:	-6.65
	All:	$-6.38
Pelicans	Fav:	$-7.20	42	-16.7%
	Und:	2.20
	All:	$-7.00
Trail Blazers	Fav:	$-4.47	41	-20.7%
	Und:	-4.00
	All:	$-8.47
Heat	Fav:	$1.57	50	-17.9%
	Und:	-11.45
	All:	$-8.97
Warriors	Fav:	$-9.63	45	-24.4%
	Und:	-1.35
	All:	$-10.98
Grizzlies	Fav:	$-4.89	42	-36.5%
	Und:	-10.45
	All:	$-15.34
Wizards	Fav:	$-4.89	41	-40.9%
	Und:	-12.80
	All:	$-16.78
Raptors	Fav:	$-1.09	41	-41.3%
	Und:	-15.85
	All:	$-16.94
Pistons	Fav:	$-3.20	40	-54.0%
	Und:	-18.40
	All:	$-21.60

Betting Value Index: Away

Team	Betting Value		#	Profit
Heat	Fav:	$4.08	55	49.4%
	Und:	24.10
	All:	$27.18
Grizzlies	Fav:	$0.09	42	39.1%
	Und:	17.35
	All:	$16.44
Pelicans	Fav:	$-1.11	44	18.0%
	Und:	9.05
	All:	$7.94
76ers	Fav:	$4.43	47	14.6%
	Und:	4.45
	All:	$6.88
Pacers	Fav:	$-2.53	44	13.1%
	Und:	8.30
	All:	$5.77
Hornets	Fav:	$0.77	41	11.6%
	Und:	4.00
	All:	$4.77
Nuggets	Fav:	$-2.33	48	6.5%
	Und:	3.65
	All:	$3.14
Timberwolves	Fav:	$5.08	42	6.0%
	Und:	-1.55
	All:	$2.53
Cavaliers	Fav:	$-0.54	41	5.8%
	Und:	2.90
	All:	$2.36
Knicks	Fav:	$0.30	45	4.2%
	Und:	2.60
	All:	$1.90
Bulls	Fav:	$2.41	42	4.4%
	Und:	-0.55
	All:	$1.86
Kings	Fav:	$-0.40	43	4.3%
	Und:	3.25
	All:	$1.85
Mavericks	Fav:	$5.31	43	2.6%
	Und:	-5.10
	All:	$1.12
Clippers	Fav:	$3.13	42	2.2%
	Und:	-2.10
	All:	$0.94
Thunder	Fav:	$-1.88	41	0.2%
	Und:	1.05
	All:	$0.08
Warriors	Fav:	$6.09	47	-1.6%
	Und:	-6.75
	All:	$-0.75
Suns	Fav:	$-2.18	46	-3.4%
	Und:	0.60
	All:	$-1.58
Lakers	Fav:	$-4.49	49	-3.8%
	Und:	2.65
	All:	$-1.84
Celtics	Fav:	$-1.63	48	-4.6%
	Und:	0.40
	All:	$-2.23
Hawks	Fav:	$-3.44	43	-8.2%
	Und:	0.90
	All:	$-3.54
Magic	Fav:	$-0.26	43	-11.8%
	Und:	-4.80
	All:	$-5.06
Trail Blazers	Fav:	$0.00	41	-13.7%
	Und:	-5.60
	All:	$-5.60
Spurs	Fav:	$1.12	41	-19.3%
	Und:	-9.05
	All:	$-7.93
Raptors	Fav:	$-1.67	41	-23.8%
	Und:	-8.10
	All:	$-9.77
Jazz	Fav:	$-0.74	41	-24.5%
	Und:	-9.30
	All:	$-10.04
Rockets	Fav:	$2.00	41	-25.9%
	Und:	-12.60
	All:	$-10.60
Bucks	Fav:	$-5.06	40	-33.7%
	Und:	-8.40
	All:	$-13.46
Nets	Fav:	$-2.08	41	-33.6%
	Und:	-11.70
	All:	$-13.78
Wizards	Fav:	$-1.00	41	-34.0%
	Und:	-12.95
	All:	$-13.95
Pistons	Fav:	$-1.00	42	-33.9%
	Und:	-13.25
	All:	$-14.25

Other NBA Resources

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The NBA Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBA home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBA line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBA score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.