EPL - Home-field Advantage Analysis

EPL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the difference between their winning record at home and their winning record on the road.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is August 14, 2010.

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EPL Home Advantage Measurements

Team Home Win % Away Win % Difference %

Sheffield Utd
39.39%
(13/33)
15.63%
(5/32)
23.76%

Everton
50.74%
(103/203)
27.72%
(56/202)
23.02%

Arsenal
63.55%
(129/203)
42.57%
(86/202)
20.98%

Man City
77.83%
(158/203)
57.14%
(116/203)
20.69%

Fulham
34.86%
(38/109)
15.89%
(17/107)
18.97%

Man Utd
65.52%
(133/203)
47.78%
(97/203)
17.74%

West Ham
40.44%
(74/183)
23.37%
(43/184)
17.07%

Newcastle
40.44%
(74/183)
23.37%
(43/184)
17.07%

Chelsea
64.36%
(130/202)
48.53%
(99/204)
15.83%

Tottenham
60.89%
(123/202)
45.32%
(92/203)
15.57%

Liverpool
62.07%
(126/203)
47.78%
(97/203)
14.29%

Wolves
38.20%
(34/89)
24.44%
(22/90)
13.76%

Burnley
36.70%
(40/109)
23.15%
(25/108)
13.55%

Leicester
48.03%
(61/127)
35.16%
(45/128)
12.87%

West Brom
32.73%
(54/165)
20.61%
(34/165)
12.12%

Brighton
27.14%
(19/70)
18.57%
(13/70)
8.57%

Southampton
37.80%
(62/164)
29.70%
(49/165)
8.10%

Aston Villa
29.17%
(42/144)
21.23%
(31/146)
7.94%

Crystal Palace
32.65%
(48/147)
31.51%
(46/146)
1.14%

Leeds
38.46%
(5/13)
46.15%
(6/13)
-7.69%
League Average
(all teams,
past and present)
45.18% 30.26% 14.92%
League Average
(active teams only)
46.05% 32.28% 13.77%
League Median
(active teams only)
39.92% 28.71% 14.93%
 

Other Resources

Watch EPL games live and on demand with Kayo Sports.

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on AusSportsBetting.com.

The interactive EPL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The EPL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The EPL Poisson distribution tool applies the Poisson distribution to any pair of teams and chosen timeframe. Outcome probabilities predicted by the model along with their respective fair odds are provided.

The EPL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The EPL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

Notes

The statistics for "League Average (all teams, past and present)" apply equal weighting to each fixture. In contrast, "League Average (currently active teams only)" takes the average of each team's statistics. The two figures won't necessarily correspond if:

  1. There has been a change to the currently active teams
  2. Some teams have played more fixtures than others (i.e. due to finals / postseason fixtures)
  3. Some teams have played more home fixtures than others (common for partial season data)

For the reasons above we recommend using "League Average (all teams, past and present)" if you're taking note of league averages.

Please take these figures with a grain of salt because some postseason fixtures at neutral venues have not been appropriately accounted for. For these fixtures the "home" team was arbitrarily assigned to one of the two sides.

It is not uncommons for the Home Win % plus the Away Win % for "League Average(all teams, past and present)" to not sum to 100% where draws are possible.

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