AFL - Home-field Advantage Analysis

AFL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the difference between their winning record at home and their winning record on the road.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is June 27, 2009.

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AFL Home Advantage Measurements

Team Home Win % Away Win % Difference %

Geelong
82.63%
(138/167)
56.69%
(89/157)
25.94%

Fremantle
62.75%
(96/153)
39.33%
(59/150)
23.42%

Hawthorn
70.97%
(110/155)
49.04%
(77/157)
21.93%

West Coast
65.61%
(103/157)
43.71%
(66/151)
21.90%

Adelaide
59.21%
(90/152)
40.67%
(61/150)
18.54%

Brisbane
50.33%
(77/153)
32.21%
(48/149)
18.12%

Gold Coast
35.11%
(46/131)
17.97%
(23/128)
17.14%

GWS
51.24%
(62/121)
35.66%
(46/129)
15.58%

Western Bulldogs
57.72%
(86/149)
43.75%
(70/160)
13.97%

Port Adelaide
57.24%
(87/152)
43.62%
(65/149)
13.62%

Richmond
61.69%
(95/154)
48.37%
(74/153)
13.32%

North Melbourne
49.31%
(71/144)
36.77%
(57/155)
12.54%

Essendon
48.61%
(70/144)
37.50%
(57/152)
11.11%

St Kilda
49.67%
(75/151)
39.33%
(59/150)
10.34%

Melbourne
43.14%
(66/153)
39.73%
(58/146)
3.41%

Sydney
62.89%
(100/159)
59.49%
(94/158)
3.40%

Carlton
40.82%
(60/147)
37.58%
(56/149)
3.24%

Collingwood
59.49%
(94/158)
58.60%
(92/157)
0.89%
League Average
(all teams,
past and present)
56.52% 42.63% 13.89%
League Average
(active teams only)
56.02% 42.22% 13.80%
League Median
(active teams only)
57.48% 40.20% 13.79%
 

Other Resources

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The AFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The AFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

The AFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

Notes

The statistics for "League Average (all teams, past and present)" apply equal weighting to each fixture. In contrast, "League Average (currently active teams only)" takes the average of each team's statistics. The two figures won't necessarily correspond if:

  1. There has been a change to the currently active teams
  2. Some teams have played more fixtures than others (i.e. due to finals / postseason fixtures)
  3. Some teams have played more home fixtures than others (common for partial season data)

For the reasons above we recommend using "League Average (all teams, past and present)" if you're taking note of league averages.

Please take these figures with a grain of salt because some postseason fixtures at neutral venues have not been appropriately accounted for. For these fixtures the "home" team was arbitrarily assigned to one of the two sides.

It is not uncommons for the Home Win % plus the Away Win % for "League Average(all teams, past and present)" to not sum to 100% where draws are possible.

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