A-League - Poisson Distribution Analysis



This tool uses the Poisson distribution to calculate various outcome probabilities and their respective fair odds for a selected pair of teams.

This model is sensitive to which side is specified as being the home team. It applies the approach outlined by this article: Poisson Distribution: How to calculate Poisson Distribution for soccer betting.


Select two teams and choose the timeframe for which the Poisson distribution is to be calculated.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is August 29, 2008.

Home Team:  
Away Team:  
Start date:  
End date:  

Other A-League Resources

The interactive A-League form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The A-League betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The A-League Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The A-League home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The A-League score statistics provides goals for, goals against, goal difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The A-League stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The A-League table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The A-League winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

A-League clean sheets displays each team's clean sheets tally for the date range of your choosing.




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