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A-League - Betting Value Index

A-League

The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from bet365 are used.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is August 29, 2008.

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Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
# = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

Betting Value Index: Home & Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Western Utd
Fav:$4.13 30 48.3%
Und:$10.35
All:$14.48

Wellington
Fav:$3.50 27 26.4%
Und:$3.64
All:$7.14

Adelaide
Fav:$3.86 29 17.4%
Und:$2.20
All:$5.06

Central Coast
Fav:$3.82 27 14.4%
Und:$0.07
All:$3.89

Melbourne V.
Fav:-$2.64 28 13.1%
Und:$6.30
All:$3.66

Macarthur
Fav:-$2.79 26 0.5%
Und:$2.92
All:$0.13

Newcastle
Fav:-$0.95 26 -13.3%
Und:-$2.50
All:-$3.45

Perth
Fav:-$2.00 26 -16.3%
Und:-$1.25
All:-$4.25

Melbourne C.
Fav:-$6.65 29 -16.5%
Und:$1.87
All:-$4.78

Sydney
Fav:-$5.05 26 -31.0%
Und:-$3.00
All:-$8.05

Western Sydney
Fav:-$9.34 26 -38.5%
Und:-$0.68
All:-$10.02

Brisbane
Fav:-$1.88 26 -38.8%
Und:-$8.20
All:-$10.08
 

Betting Value Index: Home

Team Betting Value # Profit

Wellington
Fav:$2.90 13 58.0%
Und:$4.64
All:$7.54

Central Coast
Fav:$1.95 13 57.8%
Und:$5.57
All:$7.52

Western Utd
Fav:$5.13 15 44.2%
Und:$1.50
All:$6.63

Macarthur
Fav:-$2.09 13 15.6%
Und:$4.12
All:$2.03

Newcastle
Fav:$2.05 13 13.8%
Und:-$0.25
All:$1.80

Adelaide
Fav:$5.31 15 8.7%
Und:-$4.00
All:$1.31

Brisbane
Fav:$2.12 13 0.9%
Und:-$2.00
All:$0.12

Melbourne V.
Fav:-$4.60 14 -2.9%
Und:$4.20
All:-$0.40

Perth
Fav:-$2.00 13 -5.8%
Und:$2.25
All:-$0.75

Western Sydney
Fav:-$5.34 13 -20.9%
Und:$2.62
All:-$2.72

Sydney
Fav:-$2.75 13 -36.5%
Und:-$2.00
All:-$4.75

Melbourne C.
Fav:-$4.97 15 -33.1%
Und:$0.00
All:-$4.97
 

Betting Value Index: Away

Team Betting Value # Profit

Western Utd
Fav:-$1.00 15 52.3%
Und:$8.85
All:$7.85

Melbourne V.
Fav:$1.96 14 29.0%
Und:$2.10
All:$4.06

Adelaide
Fav:-$1.45 14 26.8%
Und:$6.20
All:$3.75

Melbourne C.
Fav:-$1.68 14 1.4%
Und:$1.87
All:$0.19

Wellington
Fav:$0.60 14 -2.9%
Und:-$1.00
All:-$0.40

Macarthur
Fav:-$0.70 13 -14.6%
Und:-$1.20
All:-$1.90

Sydney
Fav:-$2.30 13 -25.4%
Und:-$1.00
All:-$3.30

Perth
Fav:$0.00 13 -26.9%
Und:-$3.50
All:-$3.50

Central Coast
Fav:$1.87 14 -25.9%
Und:-$5.50
All:-$3.63

Newcastle
Fav:-$3.00 13 -40.4%
Und:-$2.25
All:-$5.25

Western Sydney
Fav:-$4.00 13 -56.2%
Und:-$3.30
All:-$7.30

Brisbane
Fav:-$4.00 13 -78.5%
Und:-$6.20
All:-$10.20
 

Other Resources

Watch A-League games live and on demand with Kayo Sports. New to Kayo? Try Free Now.

The interactive A-League form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The A-League home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The A-League Poisson distribution tool applies the Poisson distribution to any pair of teams and chosen timeframe. Outcome probabilities predicted by the model along with their respective fair odds are provided.

The A-League stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The A-League Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The A-League winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

The A-League table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

A-League clean sheets displays each team's clean sheets tally for the date range of your choosing.

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