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| Event | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|
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Halfball (+0.5): Odds: |
Pending |
| Crystal Palace boast the best away record in the league (5-1-2) and they continue to do well on the xG front, but the Eagles have been fatigued by their horrific fixture schedule. They are the only English club that will be involved in European football in midweek. That game is on a Thursday night, so they face just a 48-hour turnaround for this fixture. This game was originally scheduled for the 21st, but was moved forward one day due to Palace’s EFL Cup fixture against Arsenal on the 23rd. Crystal Palace’s already small squad isn’t helped by the injury to Munoz and the AFCON involvement for Sarr. Palace have yet to win a game on the back of a midweek UEFA Conference League game. Elland Road has proven to be a difficult place to visit this season. Leeds boast a 3-3-2 record at home. Their most recent home games saw them beat Chelsea and draw Liverpool. Leeds are unbeaten in three games coming into this fixture. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in four consecutive games and the side has improved since Daniel Farke switched to play with a 3-5-2 formation earlier in December. | ||
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Draw No Bet: Odds: |
Win |
| Due to their European commitments, both teams are in the midst of a brutal run of fixtures. This hurts Crystal Palace more due to their smaller squad. Palace have been better away (5-1-2) than at home (2-4-1) this season. City have won five of their last six in the league. They boast an 8-3-0 record at Selhurst Park in all competitions dating back to the 2015-16 EPL season. | ||
|
SGM: Odds: |
Win |
| Newcastle have gone 12-1-3 as the home favourite over the last twelve months and in the EPL they have won six in a row against Burnley. The Clarets enter this game on the back of five consecutive defeats and they have gone 1-0-6 away from home this season. Burnley scored in five of their six away defeats this season. Both teams scored in each of Newcastle’s last seven games. | ||
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Draw No Bet: Odds: |
Refund |
| Chelsea suffered a midweek away defeat to Leeds, but the Blues have gone 6-1-3 on the back of a defeat over the last twelve months. They also boast a 5-2-1 away record against Bournemouth in the Premier League. Bournemouth enter this game in 0-1-4 form. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
| Newcastle have won three in a row at home. Over the last twelve months they have gone 12-0-3 as the home favourite. Since 2010, Newcastle have gone 3-0-0 as the home favourite against Tottenham. Both home and away, Newcastle have won five of their last six against Spurs. Tottenham bring 1-1-4 form into this clash. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
| Bournemouth have gone 4-2-0 at home this season. They were boosted by the return of Antoine Semenyo from injury over the weekend. Everton have gone 0-2-6 at Dean Court since the Cherries were promoted. | ||
|
Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Loss |
| Man City play in midweek in the UEFA Champions League, but that game is at home and I can’t look past Leeds’ recent away struggles. City have won five in a row at home in the EPL, while Leeds have gone 1-0-5 away from home this campaign. Four of Leeds’ five away defeats were by 2+ goals. Over the last twelve months, 12 of Man City’s 14 home league wins were by 2+ goals. | ||
|
Head-to-head: Odds: |
Win |
| Chelsea have won six games in a row at Turf Moor. Looking at the EPL interactive form guide, Burnley have lost five games in a row against strong opposition. Chelsea, meanwhile, have gone 4-0-0 against weak opposition. Those four wins for the Blues were by a combined 13 goals to 1. | ||
|
Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Win |
| Spanning this season and the last, Newcastle have failed to win their last eight EPL away games. They recorded an xG of just 0.54 away against West Ham last week – an opponent that has been far weaker than Brentford this season. The Bees boast an impressive 5-3-3 record as the home underdog over the last twelve months. Newcastle will be backing up following their UEFA Champions League clash against Athletic Bilbao, while Brentford have no midweek fixture. | ||
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Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Win |
| Sunderland have gone 3-1-0 at home since promotion. Only three clubs have picked up more points at home than they have this season. Everton have gone 1-0-3 away from home this campaign. Their only away win came against the bottom-of-the-table Wolves. Sunderland have won three of their last four games and they have only lost one of their last seven games. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Win |
| Both teams will be backing up after playing at home in midweek. Arsenal have a much tougher opponent in Atlético Madrid, compared to AEK Larnaca for Crystal Palace, however the Gunners’ midweek clash is two days before Palace’s. Spanning this season and the last, Arsenal bring 8-1-1 form into this game. The standout feature of that run is defence. The Gunners have conceded just four goals in their last ten league games. Crystal Palace, meanwhile, have conceded five goals in their last two fixtures. Those who are risk-averse should consider Arsenal +0.5. The Gunners have only lost twice at home (11-6-2) over the last twelve months and they have only lost once at home (6-5-1) against Palace since the Eagles were promoted. | ||
|
Total Goals: Odds: |
Loss |
| The last eight meetings between Crystal Palace and Bournemouth went under 2.5 goals. The last three meetings went under 1.5 and the last two meetings were goalless draws. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
| Brighton have an unbeaten 3-5-0 home record against Newcastle since promotion. Spanning this season and the last, Newcastle are winless in their last six away games (0-4-2) while Brighton are unbeaten in their last seven home games (3-4-0). | ||
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Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Win |
| Crystal Palace are on an 18-game unbeaten streak in all competitions (12 in the Premier League), but they will be backing up following a Thursday night game away against Dynamo Kyiv (played in Lublin, Poland). Everton enjoy an unbeaten record (1-2-0) in the Premier League at their new Hill Dickinson Stadium. The Toffees have only lost one game as the home favourite (4-7-1) over the last twelve months. Palace have a poor (2-4-6) record away against Everton since promotion back into the Premier League. | ||
|
Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Loss |
| Man Utd have drawn half of their games (1-3-2) as the home underdog over the last twelve months. Chelsea have drawn four of their last six games (0-4-2) as the away favourite at Old Trafford. The Blues have a draw-heavy 6-5-2 record as the away favourite over the last twelve months. Four of the last eight games between Man Utd and Chelsea resulted in a 1-1 draw. | ||
|
Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Win |
| Spanning this season and the last, Everton bring 5-0-1 form into this game. Jack Grealish has proven to be a good addition as he has contributed two assists in each of his two starts for Everton. Both of his starts resulted in Everton wins. The Toffees have gone 4-5-1 as the home favourite over the last twelve months and they defeated a dangerous Brighton side 2-0 in their first Premier League fixture at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Aston Villa have yet to score this season. They enter this game on the back of defeats to Brentford and Crystal Palace. For both of those teams, their only win of the season has been over Villa. The +0.5 Asian Handicap for Everton holds appeal. Looking back at older head-to-head results, the Toffees have avoided defeat in eight of the last ten games as the home favourite against Villa. This equates to fair odds of 1.25. | ||
|
Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
| Tottenham have made a dream start under new manager Thomas Frank. They have won two games from two, including an away win over Man City, and have kept clean sheets in both. Bournemouth have a 1-0-6 record as the away underdog against Spurs in the Premier League. The Cherries are still adjusting to life after losing a number of key defenders during the summer. | ||
|
Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Win |
| There might be a bit of fire in this, because Crystal Palace were demoted out of the Europa League, and the extra £20m prize money that comes with it, with Nottingham Forest taking their place. A key for this game is Crystal Palace are the only Premier League club this week to be backing up after a midweek fixture. They host Fredrikstad in their Europa Conference League playoff first leg on Thursday night. They will then play the second leg the following Thursday. Oliver Glasner is a tournament-focused coach, so I suspect he will field a near full-strength squad against the Norwegian side, despite Palace being the heavy favourite. Added to the mix is the uncertainty over whether Crystal Palace will keep hold of captain Marc Guehi and talisman Eberechi Eze. One or both of these players could be gone by the time this game kicks off. Nottingham Forest boast an unbeaten 2-4-0 record against Crystal Palace since promotion, and a 0-3-0 record at Selhurst Park. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
| Seven of the last eight EPL meetings between the two sides were won by the home team. Aston Villa finished last season with five consecutive home wins, and with little player turnover this summer, they should hit the ground quickly. Newcastle have endured a frustrating summer as most of their transfer targets opted for other clubs. Manager Eddie Howe is having to juggle multiple jobs due to Chief executive Darren Eales’ stepping down with health issues and sporting director Paul Mitchell’s sudden departure. Added to the mix is the transfer saga over Alexander Isak, who missed Newcastle’s pre-season tour of Asia due to transfer interest by Liverpool. The Athletic reported that the striker was “adamant he will never represent Newcastle again”. Isak’s unavailability is compounded by the departure of Callum Wilson. Newcastle went 0-0-5 as the away underdog last season. | ||
|
SGM: Odds: |
Win |
| Liverpool have won six home games in a row against Bournemouth. In all competitions the Reds have won 12 of their last 13 meetings against the Cherries. Liverpool have since spent over £250M, primarily on attacking players, in the transfer window. Bournemouth have lost key defenders Dean Huijsen and Milos Kerkez, while Illia Zabarnyi is also set to depart. Liverpool’s last seven home games against Bournemouth went over 2.5 goals. With an average of 3.4 goals per game, 15 of Bournemouth’s 19 away games went over 2.5 last season. Liverpool have looked vulnerable defensively in pre-season and key defensive player Ryan Gravenberch is suspended for this clash. | ||
