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| Event | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Pending |
| Man Utd have gone 2-0-0 under caretaker boss Michael Carrick and those two wins were over Man City and Arsenal. In recent years, United have gone 6-2-1 at home against Fulham. The Cottagers have a loss-heavy 3-2-10 record as the away underdog over the last twelve months. | ||
|
Draw No Bet: Odds: |
Win |
| I’ve done well by betting against the beleaguered Crystal Palace each week and with their captain now departed I see no reason to stop. The Eagles’ small squad has struggled badly with their added European commitments this season. They currently have the most injuries of any Premier League team, with up to 10 players out. Palace have made just 22 changes to their starting XI this season, which is nine fewer than any other team. Chelsea, meanwhile, are enjoying a new manager bounce under Liam Rosenior. The Blues boast a 9-1-2 record at Selhurst Park since the Eagles were promoted. Palace have won just twice at home this season (2-5-3). | ||
|
Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Win |
| This fixture is sandwiched between two UEFA Champions League fixtures for Man City, while Wolves have no midweek commitments. City are winless in four Premier League games while Wolves are unbeaten in four. Wolverhampton’s last three away defeats were all by 1-goal margins (against Aston Villa, Liverpool and Arsenal). | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
| Aston Villa have won eight straight at home in the EPL. They have also won four straight at home against Everton. Looking back at longer-term data, Villa have gone 8-1-0 as the favourite against Everton over the last twelve years. The Toffees will be without the suspended Michael Keane. This is in addition to their AFCON absentees Ndiaye and Gana. | ||
|
Halfball (+0.5): Odds: |
Win |
| Sunderland boast an unbeaten 5-5-0 home record this season. The fatigued and injury-hit Crystal Palace are on a nine-game winless streak in all competitions. | ||
|
Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
| Regardless of who’s managing United on the day, I will simply bet against Burnley. The Clarets bring 0-2-9 form into this game. During Burnley’s most recent stints in the Premier League, Man Utd went 6-2-0 at Turf Moor. | ||
|
Head-to-head: Odds: |
Win |
| Newcastle have two extra days to prepare for this fixture. Crystal Palace limp into this game having played eight fixtures in December. Newcastle have gone 11-1-3 as the home favourite over the last twelve months. Crystal Palace have gone 2-2-7 at St. James’ Park since promotion. Their last two visits to Newcastle saw them lose by 4-0 and 5-0 margins. Palace failed to score a goal in their last four visits to St. James’ Park. | ||
|
Head-to-head: Odds: |
Win |
| Aston Villa have won eight of their last nine league games. They have also won seven league home games in a row. Nottingham Forest have lost three in a row and they only scored one goal during that stretch. Villa have gone 11-3-1 as the home favourite over the last twelve months, while Forest have gone 2-2-9 as the away underdog. Nottingham Forest lost all three previous visits to Villa Park since promotion. | ||
|
SGM: Odds: |
Loss |
| West Ham have lost three home games in a row. Looking back further, the Hammers have gone 2-1-10 as the home underdog over the last twelve months. Brighton are unbeaten at the Olympic Stadium (2-6-0) since promotion. The Seagulls have gone 5-1-2 as the away favourite over the last twelve months. Both teams have struggled for goals lately. West Ham have scored 0, 1, 1, 2, 0 and 0 goals in their last six games, while Brighton have scored 1, 0, 0, and 1 goals in their last four games. The last four meetings between the two at Olympic Stadium went under 2.5 goals. | ||
|
Head-to-head: Odds: |
Win |
| Man City have won seven straight games in all competitions. Since promotion, Nottingham Forest have gone 1-1-4 at home against Man City. Man City’s last three Premier League wins were by 3-0 scorelines. | ||
|
Halfball (+0.5): Odds: |
Win |
| Crystal Palace boast the best away record in the league (5-1-2) and they continue to do well on the xG front, but the Eagles have been fatigued by their horrific fixture schedule. They are the only English club that will be involved in European football in midweek. That game is on a Thursday night, so they face just a 48-hour turnaround for this fixture. This game was originally scheduled for the 21st, but was moved forward one day due to Palace’s EFL Cup fixture against Arsenal on the 23rd. Crystal Palace’s already small squad isn’t helped by the injury to Munoz and the AFCON involvement for Sarr. Palace have yet to win a game on the back of a midweek UEFA Conference League game. Elland Road has proven to be a difficult place to visit this season. Leeds boast a 3-3-2 record at home. Their most recent home games saw them beat Chelsea and draw Liverpool. Leeds are unbeaten in three games coming into this fixture. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in four consecutive games and the side has improved since Daniel Farke switched to play with a 3-5-2 formation earlier in December. | ||
|
Draw No Bet: Odds: |
Win |
| Due to their European commitments, both teams are in the midst of a brutal run of fixtures. This hurts Crystal Palace more due to their smaller squad. Palace have been better away (5-1-2) than at home (2-4-1) this season. City have won five of their last six in the league. They boast an 8-3-0 record at Selhurst Park in all competitions dating back to the 2015-16 EPL season. | ||
|
SGM: Odds: |
Win |
| Newcastle have gone 12-1-3 as the home favourite over the last twelve months and in the EPL they have won six in a row against Burnley. The Clarets enter this game on the back of five consecutive defeats and they have gone 1-0-6 away from home this season. Burnley scored in five of their six away defeats this season. Both teams scored in each of Newcastle’s last seven games. | ||
|
Draw No Bet: Odds: |
Refund |
| Chelsea suffered a midweek away defeat to Leeds, but the Blues have gone 6-1-3 on the back of a defeat over the last twelve months. They also boast a 5-2-1 away record against Bournemouth in the Premier League. Bournemouth enter this game in 0-1-4 form. | ||
|
Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
| Newcastle have won three in a row at home. Over the last twelve months they have gone 12-0-3 as the home favourite. Since 2010, Newcastle have gone 3-0-0 as the home favourite against Tottenham. Both home and away, Newcastle have won five of their last six against Spurs. Tottenham bring 1-1-4 form into this clash. | ||
|
Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
| Bournemouth have gone 4-2-0 at home this season. They were boosted by the return of Antoine Semenyo from injury over the weekend. Everton have gone 0-2-6 at Dean Court since the Cherries were promoted. | ||
|
Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Loss |
| Man City play in midweek in the UEFA Champions League, but that game is at home and I can’t look past Leeds’ recent away struggles. City have won five in a row at home in the EPL, while Leeds have gone 1-0-5 away from home this campaign. Four of Leeds’ five away defeats were by 2+ goals. Over the last twelve months, 12 of Man City’s 14 home league wins were by 2+ goals. | ||
|
Head-to-head: Odds: |
Win |
| Chelsea have won six games in a row at Turf Moor. Looking at the EPL interactive form guide, Burnley have lost five games in a row against strong opposition. Chelsea, meanwhile, have gone 4-0-0 against weak opposition. Those four wins for the Blues were by a combined 13 goals to 1. | ||
|
Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Win |
| Spanning this season and the last, Newcastle have failed to win their last eight EPL away games. They recorded an xG of just 0.54 away against West Ham last week – an opponent that has been far weaker than Brentford this season. The Bees boast an impressive 5-3-3 record as the home underdog over the last twelve months. Newcastle will be backing up following their UEFA Champions League clash against Athletic Bilbao, while Brentford have no midweek fixture. | ||
|
Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Win |
| Sunderland have gone 3-1-0 at home since promotion. Only three clubs have picked up more points at home than they have this season. Everton have gone 1-0-3 away from home this campaign. Their only away win came against the bottom-of-the-table Wolves. Sunderland have won three of their last four games and they have only lost one of their last seven games. | ||
