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Tipper Event & Pick Result

James Bartman
 

EPL
Newcastle vs. Liverpool
Thu, 5 Dec 2024
6:30 AM

Head-to-head:
Liverpool

Odds:
1.81 (Unibet)

Pending
Newcastle have had their ups and downs this season and they’re currently in a slump. They fell 0-2 at home to the out of sorts West Ham and they were lucky to get a 1-1 draw with Palace over the weekend, given the Magpies managed just 1 shot and 0 shots on target. Liverpool, meanwhile, have won 18 of 20 games under new manager Arne Slot. Their last two wins over Real Madrid and Man City were arguably their most impressive performances. Liverpool have won six consecutive league fixtures against Newcastle.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Ipswich vs. Crystal Palace
Wed, 4 Dec 2024
6:30 AM

Asian Handicap:
Ipswich +0.5

Odds:
1.66 (Betfair)

Pending
Ipswich are winless (0-4-2) at home this season, while Crystal Palace are winless (0-3-3) away from home. There is a high chance of a draw, but I will lean towards Ipswich in the Asian Handicap, because even with Eze back from injury, Palace continue to struggle badly to convert their chances. They aren’t helped by the continued injury absence of Adam Wharton.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Wolves vs. Bournemouth
Sun, 1 Dec 2024
2:00 AM

Total Goals:
Over 2.5

Odds:
1.69 (Betfair)

Win
Wolverhampton have conceded an eye-watering 28 goals in 12 games this season, however they have managed to score 20 as well – only one less than Arsenal. This combination has resulted in high scoring games in which both sides have scored with regularity. Wolverhampton’s average total goals per game this season is 4.0, which is the highest in the league. They now take on Bournemouth, who have averaged 3.0 goals away from home this campaign. Both teams scored in ten of Wolverhampton’s last 11 league games and ten of those games went over 2.5 goals. Four of their last six games went over 3.5 goals. Both teams scored in Bournemouth’s last four games and their last three games went over 2.5 goals.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle
Sun, 1 Dec 2024
2:00 AM

Asian Handicap:
Newcastle +0.5

Odds:
1.50 (Betfair)

Win
This is primarily a bet against Crystal Palace, who have failed to win 11 of their 12 games this season. The Eagles have gone 2-2-5 as the home underdog over the last twelve months. Palace remain without Eddie Nketiah and Adam Wharton, while Eberechi Eze is rated as a 50% chance of playing at the time of writing. Daichi Kamada is still suspended. Newcastle suffered an upset defeat to West Ham last week, however they had a superior xG in that game and the Magpies registered 18 shots on goal. Prior to that, Newcastle had beaten Arsenal and Nottingham Forest.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Brentford vs. Leicester
Sun, 1 Dec 2024
2:00 AM

Total Goals:
Over 2.5

Odds:
1.62 (Betfair)

Win
Brentford’s last three home games resulted in 5-3, 4-3 and 3-2 scorelines. The Bees have the highest average home total score in the league this season, at 4.8. Five of Leicester City’s six away games this season went over 2.5 goals. The Foxes have averaged 3.8 total goals away from home this season, which is the second highest in the league.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Brighton vs. Southampton
Sat, 30 Nov 2024
7:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Brighton

Odds:
1.44 (Betfair)

Loss
Brighton have Pedro back from injury, which is notable. He was involved in both of Brighton’s goals last week in their win over Bournemouth. The round before that, Pedro was involved in both goals in their win over Man City. The Seagulls have now gone 4-2-0 in games this season in which Pedro has played. Southampton, meanwhile, have made a 1-1-10 start to the season. The Saints have gone 0-0-6 away from home with a -10 goal difference on their travels.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Newcastle vs. West Ham
Tue, 26 Nov 2024
7:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Newcastle

Odds:
1.52 (Unibet)

Loss
Newcastle suffered through a five-game winless run but they have found their footing in recent weeks. The Magpies defeated Arsenal 1-0 at home and then ended Nottingham Forest’s impressive run with a 3-1 away win. West Ham, in contrast, limp into this fixture on the back of a 3-0 away defeat to Nottingham Forest and a poor 0-0 home draw with Everton. It took the Hammers 44 minutes to register a shot against the Toffees. West Ham’s last two away games resulted in defeats by a combined 7 goals to 1.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Crystal Palace vs. Fulham
Sun, 10 Nov 2024
2:00 AM

Asian Handicap:
Fulham +0.5

Odds:
1.59 (Betfair)

Win
Crystal Palace remain without the injured Eze and Wharton - arguably their two best players. They have failed to beat Fulham in their last five attempts, with four of those meetings resulting in a stalemate. Fulham have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 9 games, while Palace have only managed 1 win in their opening 10 games.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Southampton vs. Everton
Sun, 3 Nov 2024
2:00 AM

Asian Handicap:
Everton +0.5

Odds:
1.56 (Betfair)

Loss
Everton were poor against Fulham last week by their standards, but they still had enough quality to pick up a draw. The Toffees are now unbeaten in five games. Southampton have made a winless 0-1-8 to the season. Everton have gone 2-1-1 as the away favourite over the last twelve months. Southampton will be backing up after playing in the EFL Cup midweek, while Everton are already out of that competition. The Toffess have key defender Jarrad Branthwaite back from injury.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham
Mon, 28 Oct 2024
1:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Tottenham

Odds:
1.88 (Betfair)

Loss
Crystal Palace have made a 0-3-5 start to the season. They have lost three consecutive games and they scored just once in those three defeats. Palace have gone 1-2-4 as the home underdog over the last twelve months and they have lost five consecutive games against Spurs. Since Palace were promoted, Tottenham have gone 17-3-2 as the favourite against the Eagles. Spurs have scored twelve goals across their last four games.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Nottm Forest vs. Crystal Palace
Tue, 22 Oct 2024
6:00 AM

Asian Handicap:
Nottingham Forest +0.5

Odds:
1.40 (bet365)

Win
Crystal Palace have made a winless 0-3-4 start to the season and they have a 0-3-1 record against Nottingham Forest in the Premier League. Forest have only lost one of their seven games so far this season. They have only lost one of six games as the home favourite over the last twelve months. Palace have gone 1-6-6 as the away underdog over the same period.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool
Sat, 5 Oct 2024
9:30 PM

Head-to-head:
Liverpool

Odds:
1.54 (Betfair)

Win
Crystal Palace have made a 0-3-3 start to the season as they continue to struggle without the departed Michael Olise. Liverpool, meanwhile, have made a 5-0-1 start under new manager Arne Slot. Impressively, Liverpool conceded just two goals in those six games. The Reds didn’t play well last week but they still managed to win away against Wolverhampton, so despite having to back up after playing midweek against Bologna, I’m happy to back Liverpool in this fixture. The Reds have gone 8-2-1 at Selhurst Park since Palace were promoted.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Newcastle vs. Man City
Sat, 28 Sep 2024
9:30 PM

Head-to-head:
Man City

Odds:
1.66 (Betfair)

Loss
Newcastle have been getting positive results without playing well this season, but their luck ran out last week when they fell 1-3 away to Fulham. Newcastle have lost three in a row to Manchester City. They have also lost three of their last four home games against the Sky Blues. Looking back at longer-term data, Newcastle have a 1-3-9 record in their last thirteen games as the home underdog against City. Spanning this season and the last, Man City bring 13-1-0 form into this fixture. They have won seven consecutive away games and all of those wins were by 2+ goal margins.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Crystal Palace vs. Man Utd
Sun, 22 Sep 2024
2:30 AM

Asian Handicap:
Man Utd +0.5

Odds:
1.51 (Betfair)

Win
Manchester United have gone 7-1-1 as the away favourite over the last twelve months, while Crystal Palace have gone 1-1-4 as the home underdog. Man Utd have gone 6-3-1 at Selhurst Park since the Eagles were promoted. Crystal Palace sold their best player in Michael Olise during the summer and they have made a mediocre 0-2-2 start to this campaign.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Aston Villa vs. Everton
Sun, 15 Sep 2024
2:30 AM

Head-to-head:
Aston Villa

Odds:
1.48 (betr)

Win
Aston Villa won their last three home games against Everton. Looking back further, over the last decade they boast a 5-1-0 record as the home favourite against the Toffees. Everton played well for 87 minutes before blowing a two-goal lead to inexplicably lose 2-3 at home to Bournemouth last week. It feels like if they concede one goal they fear for the worst, which leads to the worst. Everton have now conceded 3+ goals in all three of their defeats to start the season. They have a goal difference of -8 after just three games.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace
Sun, 1 Sep 2024
10:30 PM

Head-to-head:
Chelsea

Odds:
1.66 (Betfair)

Loss
Chelsea have won thirteen consecutive league games against Crystal Palace. The Blues come into this game on the back of a 6-2 away win over Wolverhampton. Palace sold their best player in Michael Olise and one of their top two centre-backs in Joachim Andersen in the transfer window. The Eagles have made a 0-0-2 start to the season.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Brighton vs. Man Utd
Mon, 20 May 2024
1:00 AM

Asian Handicap:
Brighton +0.5

Odds:
1.43 (Betfair)

Loss
Brighton have won four in a row against Manchester United. The Seagulls have won four of their six home fixtures against United since their promotion into the Premier League. Brighton have gone 8-5-1 as the home favourite over the last twelve months, while Man Utd have gone 2-2-6 as the away underdog.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Chelsea vs. Bournemouth
Mon, 20 May 2024
1:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Chelsea

Odds:
1.50 (bet365)

Win
I always have a strong bias towards the home side at the end of the season. The home side will seek to end the season on a high, while the away side – unless they have a specific target to play for – will have one eye on the off-season. Chelsea have won four consecutive home games and their last three home wins were by a combined 13 goals to nil. Looking back further, Chelsea have scored 2+ goals in their last seven home fixtures. Bournemouth have lost their last two games and they have gone 2-3-9 as the away underdog over the last twelve months.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Newcastle vs. Brighton
Sun, 12 May 2024
12:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Newcastle

Odds:
1.57 (Betfair)

Loss
Newcastle have won four of their last five games and their last three wins were all by 3+ goal margins. They defeated Brighton 4-1 at this venue last season. Brighton have gone 2-1-10 as the away underdog over the last twelve months and goals have dried up for them in recent weeks. The Seagulls have scored just one goal in their last three games and two goals across their last six games. Their last three defeats were all by 3+ goal margins.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Brighton vs. Aston Villa
Sun, 5 May 2024
11:00 PM

Asian Handicap:
Aston Villa +0.5

Odds:
1.46 (BoomBet)

Loss
Brighton limp into this game in 1-3-5 form. Their inability to score has been their Achilles heel lately. The Seagulls have scored just one goal in their last five games. Worryingly, they have seen an increase in goals conceded, with Bournemouth the third opponent in four games to score 3+ times against them. Aston Villa are battling Tottenham for the final Champions League spot, so they still have a huge amount to play for. Villa boast a respectable 6-2-2 record as the away favourite over the last twelve months and they recently beat Arsenal away from home. Aston Villa have only lost one of their last seven games and they have won five games in a row against Brighton. This includes a 6-1 mauling at Villa Park in September.
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