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Tipper Event & Pick Result

James Bartman
 

EPL
Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham
Mon, 28 Oct 2024
1:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Tottenham

Odds:
1.88 (Betfair)

Pending
Crystal Palace have made a 0-3-5 start to the season. They have lost three consecutive games and they scored just once in those three defeats. Palace have gone 1-2-4 as the home underdog over the last twelve months and they have lost five consecutive games against Spurs. Since Palace were promoted, Tottenham have gone 17-3-2 as the favourite against the Eagles. Spurs have scored twelve goals across their last four games.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Nottm Forest vs. Crystal Palace
Tue, 22 Oct 2024
6:00 AM

Asian Handicap:
Nottingham Forest +0.5

Odds:
1.40 (bet365)

Win
Crystal Palace have made a winless 0-3-4 start to the season and they have a 0-3-1 record against Nottingham Forest in the Premier League. Forest have only lost one of their seven games so far this season. They have only lost one of six games as the home favourite over the last twelve months. Palace have gone 1-6-6 as the away underdog over the same period.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool
Sat, 5 Oct 2024
9:30 PM

Head-to-head:
Liverpool

Odds:
1.54 (Betfair)

Win
Crystal Palace have made a 0-3-3 start to the season as they continue to struggle without the departed Michael Olise. Liverpool, meanwhile, have made a 5-0-1 start under new manager Arne Slot. Impressively, Liverpool conceded just two goals in those six games. The Reds didn’t play well last week but they still managed to win away against Wolverhampton, so despite having to back up after playing midweek against Bologna, I’m happy to back Liverpool in this fixture. The Reds have gone 8-2-1 at Selhurst Park since Palace were promoted.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Newcastle vs. Man City
Sat, 28 Sep 2024
9:30 PM

Head-to-head:
Man City

Odds:
1.66 (Betfair)

Loss
Newcastle have been getting positive results without playing well this season, but their luck ran out last week when they fell 1-3 away to Fulham. Newcastle have lost three in a row to Manchester City. They have also lost three of their last four home games against the Sky Blues. Looking back at longer-term data, Newcastle have a 1-3-9 record in their last thirteen games as the home underdog against City. Spanning this season and the last, Man City bring 13-1-0 form into this fixture. They have won seven consecutive away games and all of those wins were by 2+ goal margins.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Crystal Palace vs. Man Utd
Sun, 22 Sep 2024
2:30 AM

Asian Handicap:
Man Utd +0.5

Odds:
1.51 (Betfair)

Win
Manchester United have gone 7-1-1 as the away favourite over the last twelve months, while Crystal Palace have gone 1-1-4 as the home underdog. Man Utd have gone 6-3-1 at Selhurst Park since the Eagles were promoted. Crystal Palace sold their best player in Michael Olise during the summer and they have made a mediocre 0-2-2 start to this campaign.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Aston Villa vs. Everton
Sun, 15 Sep 2024
2:30 AM

Head-to-head:
Aston Villa

Odds:
1.48 (betr)

Win
Aston Villa won their last three home games against Everton. Looking back further, over the last decade they boast a 5-1-0 record as the home favourite against the Toffees. Everton played well for 87 minutes before blowing a two-goal lead to inexplicably lose 2-3 at home to Bournemouth last week. It feels like if they concede one goal they fear for the worst, which leads to the worst. Everton have now conceded 3+ goals in all three of their defeats to start the season. They have a goal difference of -8 after just three games.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace
Sun, 1 Sep 2024
10:30 PM

Head-to-head:
Chelsea

Odds:
1.66 (Betfair)

Loss
Chelsea have won thirteen consecutive league games against Crystal Palace. The Blues come into this game on the back of a 6-2 away win over Wolverhampton. Palace sold their best player in Michael Olise and one of their top two centre-backs in Joachim Andersen in the transfer window. The Eagles have made a 0-0-2 start to the season.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Brighton vs. Man Utd
Mon, 20 May 2024
1:00 AM

Asian Handicap:
Brighton +0.5

Odds:
1.43 (Betfair)

Loss
Brighton have won four in a row against Manchester United. The Seagulls have won four of their six home fixtures against United since their promotion into the Premier League. Brighton have gone 8-5-1 as the home favourite over the last twelve months, while Man Utd have gone 2-2-6 as the away underdog.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Chelsea vs. Bournemouth
Mon, 20 May 2024
1:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Chelsea

Odds:
1.50 (bet365)

Win
I always have a strong bias towards the home side at the end of the season. The home side will seek to end the season on a high, while the away side – unless they have a specific target to play for – will have one eye on the off-season. Chelsea have won four consecutive home games and their last three home wins were by a combined 13 goals to nil. Looking back further, Chelsea have scored 2+ goals in their last seven home fixtures. Bournemouth have lost their last two games and they have gone 2-3-9 as the away underdog over the last twelve months.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Newcastle vs. Brighton
Sun, 12 May 2024
12:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Newcastle

Odds:
1.57 (Betfair)

Loss
Newcastle have won four of their last five games and their last three wins were all by 3+ goal margins. They defeated Brighton 4-1 at this venue last season. Brighton have gone 2-1-10 as the away underdog over the last twelve months and goals have dried up for them in recent weeks. The Seagulls have scored just one goal in their last three games and two goals across their last six games. Their last three defeats were all by 3+ goal margins.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Brighton vs. Aston Villa
Sun, 5 May 2024
11:00 PM

Asian Handicap:
Aston Villa +0.5

Odds:
1.46 (BoomBet)

Loss
Brighton limp into this game in 1-3-5 form. Their inability to score has been their Achilles heel lately. The Seagulls have scored just one goal in their last five games. Worryingly, they have seen an increase in goals conceded, with Bournemouth the third opponent in four games to score 3+ times against them. Aston Villa are battling Tottenham for the final Champions League spot, so they still have a huge amount to play for. Villa boast a respectable 6-2-2 record as the away favourite over the last twelve months and they recently beat Arsenal away from home. Aston Villa have only lost one of their last seven games and they have won five games in a row against Brighton. This includes a 6-1 mauling at Villa Park in September.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Arsenal vs. Chelsea
Wed, 24 Apr 2024
5:00 AM

Total Score:
Over 2.5

Odds:
1.50 (bet365)

Win
Largely driven by the in-form Cole Palmer, Chelsea’s offence has been in top gear recently. This has been them score 2+ goals in eight of their last nine games. Defensively they have been poor, however, which has seen them concede 2+ goals in five of their last six games. Nine of Chelsea’s last ten games went over 3.5 goals as a result. After a long run of high-scoring games, Arsenal have had a short run of lower-scoring fixtures, but I expect they will find the back of the net against Chelsea’s porous defence. Eight of the last twelve meetings between these two sides went over 2.5 goals, and that was back when Chelsea knew how to defend.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Newcastle vs. Tottenham
Sat, 13 Apr 2024
9:30 PM

Both Teams To Score:
Yes

Odds:
1.41 (Betfair)

Loss
Both sides scored in 11 of Newcastle’s last 13 league games. Similarly, both sides scored in 12 of Tottenham’s last 14 league games. Newcastle have only been held scoreless in 2 of their 21 home games over the last twelve months. Tottenham have been held scoreless in just 1 of their 39 games over the same period. Both teams scored in ten of the last twelve meetings between Newcastle and Tottenham at St. James’ Park.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Fulham vs. Newcastle
Sun, 7 Apr 2024
1:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Fulham

Odds:
2.55 (bet365)

Loss
Fulham have been poor away, but strong at home this season. The Cottagers’ last two home games resulted in 3-0 wins over Brighton and Tottenham. Fulham have gone 9-2-1 as the home favourite over the last twelve months, while Newcastle have gone 1-0-5 as the away underdog. Fulham boast the 7th best home record this season (9-1-5), while Newcastle have the 14th best away record (3-2-9). Fulham have scored three goals in three of their last four home games.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Luton vs. Bournemouth
Sun, 7 Apr 2024
1:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Bournemouth

Odds:
1.95 (betr)

Loss
Bournemouth bring 4-1-0 form into this game and they have won three consecutive fixtures. The Cherries have gone 3-0-0 as the away favourite over the last twelve months. The injury-ravaged Luton were forced to name a 16-year old on the bench midweek. They currently have eleven players out injured. Luton have a dire 3-3-9 home record this season and they bring 0-2-7 form into this game.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Crystal Palace vs. Man City
Sat, 6 Apr 2024
10:30 PM

Head-to-head:
Man City

Odds:
1.36 (bet365)

Win
This is primarily a bet against the hosts. Crystal Palace have gone 1-0-4 as the home underdog over the last twelve months and they have gone 1-2-7 at home against Manchester City since promotion. There hasn’t been much of a lift under their new manager and I’m happy to continue to bet against them so long as Michael Olise remains injured.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace
Wed, 3 Apr 2024
5:45 AM

Asian Handicap:
Bournemouth +0.5

Odds:
1.30 (Betfair)

Win
Bournemouth are unbeaten in four games, while Crystal Palace have failed to win their last nine away games. The Eagles’ last away win came back in early November. Bournemouth have gone 8-2-1 as the favourite over the last twelve months, while Palace have gone 2-7-12 as the away underdog. Every team carries injuries at the moment, but the absence of Michael Olise for Crystal Palace is particularly impactful.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Brentford vs. Man Utd
Sun, 31 Mar 2024
7:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Man Utd

Odds:
2.18 (Unibet)

Loss
For all of the criticisms levelled at Manchester United this season, they continue to get results. United have won five of their last seven games and they have gone 7-1-3 as the away favourite over the last twelve months. Brentford limp into this fixture in 0-1-5 form and they have gone 1-1-5 as the home underdog over the last twelve months. Brentford have gone 1-0-4 against Manchester United since promotion.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Fulham vs. Tottenham
Sun, 17 Mar 2024
4:30 AM

Total Goals:
Over 2.5

Odds:
1.58 (Betfair)

Win
Fulham’s last six games went over 2.5 goals and Tottenham’s last ten games went over this total. Looking at a higher target, seven of Tottenham’s last nine games have gone over 3.5 goals. Tottenham’s average total score away from home this season is 3.8.

James Bartman
 

EPL:
Crystal Palace vs. Luton
Sun, 10 Mar 2024
2:00 AM

Total Goals:
Over 2.5

Odds:
1.90 (Unibet)

Loss
Crystal Palace have Eberechi Eze back from injury and new manager Oliver Glasner has signaled his intent to play attack-minded football. Palace’s last four home games went over 2.5 goals and three of those went over 3.5. Luton’s last six games went over 2.5 goals. Five of their last six went over 3.5 and three of their last five went over 4.5. Luton’s average away game this season has seen a total of 3.8 goals.
Time zone: Australia/Sydney (change)
 

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