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Tipper Event & Pick Result

James Bartman
 

EPL
Brighton vs. Man Utd
Mon, 20 May 2024
1:00 AM

Asian Handicap:
Brighton +0.5

Odds:
1.43 (Betfair)

Loss
Brighton have won four in a row against Manchester United. The Seagulls have won four of their six home fixtures against United since their promotion into the Premier League. Brighton have gone 8-5-1 as the home favourite over the last twelve months, while Man Utd have gone 2-2-6 as the away underdog.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Chelsea vs. Bournemouth
Mon, 20 May 2024
1:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Chelsea

Odds:
1.50 (bet365)

Win
I always have a strong bias towards the home side at the end of the season. The home side will seek to end the season on a high, while the away side – unless they have a specific target to play for – will have one eye on the off-season. Chelsea have won four consecutive home games and their last three home wins were by a combined 13 goals to nil. Looking back further, Chelsea have scored 2+ goals in their last seven home fixtures. Bournemouth have lost their last two games and they have gone 2-3-9 as the away underdog over the last twelve months.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Newcastle vs. Brighton
Sun, 12 May 2024
12:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Newcastle

Odds:
1.57 (Betfair)

Loss
Newcastle have won four of their last five games and their last three wins were all by 3+ goal margins. They defeated Brighton 4-1 at this venue last season. Brighton have gone 2-1-10 as the away underdog over the last twelve months and goals have dried up for them in recent weeks. The Seagulls have scored just one goal in their last three games and two goals across their last six games. Their last three defeats were all by 3+ goal margins.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Brighton vs. Aston Villa
Sun, 5 May 2024
11:00 PM

Asian Handicap:
Aston Villa +0.5

Odds:
1.46 (BoomBet)

Loss
Brighton limp into this game in 1-3-5 form. Their inability to score has been their Achilles heel lately. The Seagulls have scored just one goal in their last five games. Worryingly, they have seen an increase in goals conceded, with Bournemouth the third opponent in four games to score 3+ times against them. Aston Villa are battling Tottenham for the final Champions League spot, so they still have a huge amount to play for. Villa boast a respectable 6-2-2 record as the away favourite over the last twelve months and they recently beat Arsenal away from home. Aston Villa have only lost one of their last seven games and they have won five games in a row against Brighton. This includes a 6-1 mauling at Villa Park in September.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Arsenal vs. Chelsea
Wed, 24 Apr 2024
5:00 AM

Total Score:
Over 2.5

Odds:
1.50 (bet365)

Win
Largely driven by the in-form Cole Palmer, Chelsea’s offence has been in top gear recently. This has been them score 2+ goals in eight of their last nine games. Defensively they have been poor, however, which has seen them concede 2+ goals in five of their last six games. Nine of Chelsea’s last ten games went over 3.5 goals as a result. After a long run of high-scoring games, Arsenal have had a short run of lower-scoring fixtures, but I expect they will find the back of the net against Chelsea’s porous defence. Eight of the last twelve meetings between these two sides went over 2.5 goals, and that was back when Chelsea knew how to defend.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Newcastle vs. Tottenham
Sat, 13 Apr 2024
9:30 PM

Both Teams To Score:
Yes

Odds:
1.41 (Betfair)

Loss
Both sides scored in 11 of Newcastle’s last 13 league games. Similarly, both sides scored in 12 of Tottenham’s last 14 league games. Newcastle have only been held scoreless in 2 of their 21 home games over the last twelve months. Tottenham have been held scoreless in just 1 of their 39 games over the same period. Both teams scored in ten of the last twelve meetings between Newcastle and Tottenham at St. James’ Park.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Fulham vs. Newcastle
Sun, 7 Apr 2024
1:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Fulham

Odds:
2.55 (bet365)

Loss
Fulham have been poor away, but strong at home this season. The Cottagers’ last two home games resulted in 3-0 wins over Brighton and Tottenham. Fulham have gone 9-2-1 as the home favourite over the last twelve months, while Newcastle have gone 1-0-5 as the away underdog. Fulham boast the 7th best home record this season (9-1-5), while Newcastle have the 14th best away record (3-2-9). Fulham have scored three goals in three of their last four home games.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Luton vs. Bournemouth
Sun, 7 Apr 2024
1:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Bournemouth

Odds:
1.95 (BlueBet)

Loss
Bournemouth bring 4-1-0 form into this game and they have won three consecutive fixtures. The Cherries have gone 3-0-0 as the away favourite over the last twelve months. The injury-ravaged Luton were forced to name a 16-year old on the bench midweek. They currently have eleven players out injured. Luton have a dire 3-3-9 home record this season and they bring 0-2-7 form into this game.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Crystal Palace vs. Man City
Sat, 6 Apr 2024
10:30 PM

Head-to-head:
Man City

Odds:
1.36 (bet365)

Win
This is primarily a bet against the hosts. Crystal Palace have gone 1-0-4 as the home underdog over the last twelve months and they have gone 1-2-7 at home against Manchester City since promotion. There hasn’t been much of a lift under their new manager and I’m happy to continue to bet against them so long as Michael Olise remains injured.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace
Wed, 3 Apr 2024
5:45 AM

Asian Handicap:
Bournemouth +0.5

Odds:
1.30 (Betfair)

Win
Bournemouth are unbeaten in four games, while Crystal Palace have failed to win their last nine away games. The Eagles’ last away win came back in early November. Bournemouth have gone 8-2-1 as the favourite over the last twelve months, while Palace have gone 2-7-12 as the away underdog. Every team carries injuries at the moment, but the absence of Michael Olise for Crystal Palace is particularly impactful.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Brentford vs. Man Utd
Sun, 31 Mar 2024
7:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Man Utd

Odds:
2.18 (Unibet)

Loss
For all of the criticisms levelled at Manchester United this season, they continue to get results. United have won five of their last seven games and they have gone 7-1-3 as the away favourite over the last twelve months. Brentford limp into this fixture in 0-1-5 form and they have gone 1-1-5 as the home underdog over the last twelve months. Brentford have gone 1-0-4 against Manchester United since promotion.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Fulham vs. Tottenham
Sun, 17 Mar 2024
4:30 AM

Total Goals:
Over 2.5

Odds:
1.58 (Betfair)

Win
Fulham’s last six games went over 2.5 goals and Tottenham’s last ten games went over this total. Looking at a higher target, seven of Tottenham’s last nine games have gone over 3.5 goals. Tottenham’s average total score away from home this season is 3.8.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Crystal Palace vs. Luton
Sun, 10 Mar 2024
2:00 AM

Total Goals:
Over 2.5

Odds:
1.90 (Unibet)

Loss
Crystal Palace have Eberechi Eze back from injury and new manager Oliver Glasner has signaled his intent to play attack-minded football. Palace’s last four home games went over 2.5 goals and three of those went over 3.5. Luton’s last six games went over 2.5 goals. Five of their last six went over 3.5 and three of their last five went over 4.5. Luton’s average away game this season has seen a total of 3.8 goals.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Newcastle vs. Wolves
Sun, 3 Mar 2024
2:00 AM

Total Goals:
Over 2.5

Odds:
1.58 (BoomBet)

Win
Newcastle continue to both score and concede with regularity. Their last eight games went over 3.5 goals and five of their last seven went over 4.5. Newcastle’s average total score this season is 3.8, which is the highest in the league. Seven of Wolverhampton’s last ten games went over 2.5 goals. Their average total score this season is 3.1.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Bournemouth vs. Man City
Sun, 25 Feb 2024
4:30 AM

Head-to-head:
Man City

Odds:
1.44 (bet365)

Win
Bournemouth have gone 0-0-13 against Manchester City since promotion and ten of those defeats were by 2+ goal margins. In their last three meetings, Man City out-scored Bournemouth by a combined 14 goals to 2. City bring 7-1-0 league form into this game, while the Cherries are winless in their last six.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Tottenham vs. Wolves
Sun, 18 Feb 2024
2:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Tottenham

Odds:
1.60 (Unibet)

Loss
Tottenham have won five in a row at home and they have gone 10-0-4 as the home favourite over the last twelve months. Spurs have been boosted by the return of captain Son Heung-min from the Asian Cup. Wolves will likely be without Matheus Cunha due to a hamstring injury. This is a huge blow given he had been involved in twelve goals in Wolves’ last twelve league games (7 goals, 5 assists).

James Bartman
 

EPL
Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea
Tue, 13 Feb 2024
7:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Chelsea

Odds:
2.00 (Betfair)

Win
Crystal Palace are a Jekyll and Hyde team and it’s no secret as to the root cause. They are a mid-table side when Eberechi Eze and Michael Olise are both fit, and a relegation-quality side when one or both of those players isn’t available. At the time of writing Eze isn’t expected to play in this match and Olise is expected to be out for up to two months. The additional recent injury of Marc Guehi and the long-term injury to Cheick Doucoure further scuttles their chances. Chelsea are having a poor season by their standards, but they are still faring better than Palace and Chelsea boast a 12-game winning streak against the Eagles. Over the last decade, Chelsea have gone 8-0-2 at Selhurst Park. Chelsea do have the distraction of a midweek FA Cup clash against Aston Villa, but given Palace’s terrible form guide in the absence of Eze and Olise, I’m still happy to back the visitors.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Brighton vs. Crystal Palace
Sun, 4 Feb 2024
2:00 AM

Total Goals:
Under 2.5

Odds:
2.18 (Betfair)

Loss
Brighton haven’t scored in three games and the last five games between these two fierce rivals went under 2.5 goals. Roy Hodgson’s focus will be on not losing, so this might not be a great game for the neutral.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Tottenham vs. Brentford
Thu, 1 Feb 2024
6:30 AM

Total Goals:
Over 2.5

Odds:
1.50 (bet365)

Win
Both sides have been consistently involved in high-scoring games. Tottenham’s last six home games went over 2.5 goals and their last three games went over 3.5 goals. Brentford’s last four games went over 2.5 goals and their last three games went over 3.5 goals. Each of the last three meetings between Tottenham and Brentford went over 3.5 goals.

James Bartman
 

EPL
Sheffield Utd vs. West Ham
Mon, 22 Jan 2024
1:00 AM

Head-to-head:
West Ham

Odds:
2.24 (Betfair)

Loss
Sheffield United have gone 2-1-7 at home this season and their last home game saw them slump to a 2-3 defeat to Luton. West Ham have gone 4-1-0 as the away favourite over the last twelve months. They have kept four clean sheets coming into this game, which includes their 2-0 away win over Arsenal.
Time zone: Australia/Sydney (change)
 
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