NRL Round 11

Warriors

v

Broncos

Sunday, May 17th, 2026
4:05 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane, QLD - neutral venue)

Introduction

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the NRL Round 11 clash between the New Zealand Warriors and the Brisbane Broncos. You can view other fixtures for this round in the NRL match centre.

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Market	Selection	Open	Current
H2H	Warriors Broncos	1.65 2.20	1.70 2.15
Line	Warriors Broncos	-2.5 1.95 +2.5 1.85	-2.5 1.95 +2.5 1.85
Total	Over Under	50.5 1.85 50.5 2.10	50.5 1.85 50.5 2.10

Compare bookmaker odds for NRL Round 11

Member Tipping

The # and % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped. Submit or edit your tips for this fixture.

All Tippers

Selection	#	%
Warriors Broncos	16 20	44.4% 55.6%
Warriors (-2.5) Broncos (+2.5)	5 10	33.3% 66.7%
Over 50.5 Under 50.5	5 5	50.0% 50.0%

My Favourite Tippers

Selection	#	%
Warriors Broncos	0 0	0.0% 0.0%
Warriors (-2.5) Broncos (+2.5)	0 0	0.0% 0.0%
Over 50.5 Under 50.5	0 0	0.0% 0.0%

Warriors Supporters

Selection	#	%
Warriors Broncos	0 0	0.0% 0.0%
Warriors (-2.5) Broncos (+2.5)	0 0	0.0% 0.0%
Over 50.5 Under 50.5	0 0	0.0% 0.0%

Broncos Supporters

Selection	#	%
Warriors Broncos	0 0	0.0% 0.0%
Warriors (-2.5) Broncos (+2.5)	0 0	0.0% 0.0%
Over 50.5 Under 50.5	0 0	0.0% 0.0%

Form Guide: New Zealand Warriors

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Result	Score
2026-05-02	Eels vs. Warriors	Win	14-36
2026-04-25	Warriors vs. Dolphins	Win	20-18
2026-04-18	Warriors vs. Titans	Win	28-20
2026-04-11	Storm vs. Warriors	Win	14-38
2026-04-05	Sharks vs. Warriors	Loss	36-22
2026-03-27	Warriors vs. Tigers	Loss	14-32
2026-03-21	Knights vs. Warriors	Win	12-38
2026-03-13	Warriors vs. Raiders	Win	40-6
2026-03-06	Warriors vs. Roosters	Win	42-18
2025-09-13	Warriors vs. Panthers	Loss	8-24
2025-09-05	Sea Eagles vs. Warriors	Loss	27-26
2025-08-29	Warriors vs. Eels	Loss	22-26

Form Guide: Brisbane Broncos

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Result	Score
2026-05-09	Sea Eagles vs. Broncos	Loss	32-4
2026-05-02	Roosters vs. Broncos	Loss	38-24
2026-04-24	Broncos vs. Bulldogs	Win	32-12
2026-04-18	Tigers vs. Broncos	Win	20-21
2026-04-10	Broncos vs. Cowboys	Loss	31-35
2026-04-04	Titans vs. Broncos	Win	12-26
2026-03-27	Broncos vs. Dolphins	Win	26-12
2026-03-20	Storm vs. Broncos	Win	14-18
2026-03-12	Broncos vs. Eels	Loss	32-40
2026-03-06	Broncos vs. Panthers	Loss	0-26
2025-10-05	Storm vs. Broncos	Win	22-26
2025-09-28	Broncos vs. Panthers	Win	16-14

Head-to-Head Results

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Score
2025-06-28	Broncos vs. Warriors	26-12
2025-04-19	Warriors vs. Broncos	20-18 (OT)
2024-06-29	Warriors vs. Broncos	32-16
2023-09-23	Broncos vs. Warriors	42-12
2023-05-27	Warriors vs. Broncos	22-26
2022-04-02	Warriors vs. Broncos	20-6
2021-08-22	Broncos vs. Warriors	24-22
2020-07-04	Warriors vs. Broncos	26-16
2019-07-13	Broncos vs. Warriors	18-18 (OT)
2019-05-25	Warriors vs. Broncos	2-8
2018-07-15	Broncos vs. Warriors	6-26
2018-04-14	Warriors vs. Broncos	18-27

Note: only league fixtures are included, not
pre-season or cup fixtures.

Performance Guide: New Zealand Warriors

H2H Betting	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
	Last 12 Months		vs. Broncos
Streak	2 wins	4 wins	2 wins	1 loss
Record	6-0-7	13-0-11	10-0-5	13-1-13
Value	$-3.32	$-0.78	$5.29	$1.38
Record as Fav	5-0-6	10-0-6	4-0-5	4-0-7
Value as Fav	$-3.52	$-0.68	$-3.28	$-5.28
Record as Dog	1-0-1	3-0-5	6-0-0	8-1-6
Value as Dog	$0.20	$-0.10	$8.57	$5.75
Line Betting	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
Streak	1 loss	1 win	2 wins	1 loss
Record	3-1-9	10-1-13	7-0-5	9-0-10
Value	$-6.15	$-3.80	$1.39	$-1.76
Record as Fav	2-1-8	6-1-9	2-0-5	2-0-7
Value as Fav	$-6.10	$-3.50	$-3.06	$-5.06
Record as Dog	1-0-1	4-0-4	5-0-0	7-0-3
Value as Dog	$-0.05	$-0.30	$4.44	$3.30
Winning Margin Betting	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
1-12 wins	3	5	5	5
13+ wins	3	8	5	8
1-12 losses	5	6	4	8
13+ losses	2	5	1	5
1-7 win	2	4	2	2
8+ win	4	9	8	11
1-7 loss	3	4	2	6
8+ loss	4	7	3	7
Total Score Betting	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
O/U Streak	4 unders	3 unders	1 under	2 unders
O/U Record	4-0-9	12-0-12	4-0-8	7-0-13
Overs Value	$-5.49	$-1.62	$-4.37	$-6.55
Unders Value	$4.04	$-1.16	$3.56	$5.19

Performance Guide: Brisbane Broncos

H2H Betting	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
	Last 12 Months		vs. Warriors
Streak	2 losses	2 losses	2 losses	1 win
Record	9-0-4	18-0-9	5-0-10	13-1-13
Value	$4.23	$4.88	$-2.06	$-0.58
Record as Fav	4-0-1	10-0-6	0-0-6	6-1-8
Value as Fav	$0.33	$-1.92	$-6.00	$-5.55
Record as Dog	5-0-3	6-0-3	5-0-4	7-0-4
Value as Dog	$3.90	$5.00	$3.94	$5.97
Line Betting	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
Streak	2 losses	2 losses	2 losses	1 win
Record	8-1-4	17-1-9	5-0-7	10-0-9
Value	$20.20	$23.40	$-2.33	$0.43
Record as Fav	3-1-1	9-1-6	0-0-5	3-0-7
Value as Fav	$1.65	$2.00	$-5.00	$-4.25
Record as Dog	5-0-3	6-0-3	5-0-2	7-0-2
Value as Dog	$18.55	$19.55	$2.67	$4.68
Winning Margin Betting	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
1-12 wins	7	10	4	8
13+ wins	2	8	1	5
1-12 losses	0	4	5	5
13+ losses	4	5	5	8
1-7 win	5	7	2	6
8+ win	4	11	3	7
1-7 loss	0	3	2	2
8+ loss	4	6	8	11
Total Score Betting	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
O/U Streak	1 under	1 under	1 under	2 unders
O/U Record	5-0-8	12-0-15	4-0-8	7-0-13
Overs Value	$-3.71	$-4.50	$-4.37	$-6.55
Unders Value	$2.35	$1.71	$3.56	$5.19

Further Analysis: New Zealand Warriors

Record	On the Back of a Win	On the Back of a Loss
H2H Record	8-0-5	5-0-6
H2H Betting Value	$0.37	$-1.15
Line Record	5-1-7	5-0-6
Line Betting Value	$-2.35	$-1.45
Over/Under Record	5-0-8	7-0-4
Overs Betting Value	$-3.66	$2.04
Unders Betting Value	$2.39	$-3.55

Further Analysis: Brisbane Broncos

Record	On the Back of a Win	On the Back of a Loss
H2H Record	13-0-5	5-0-4
H2H Betting Value	$4.60	$0.28
Line Record	12-1-5	5-0-4
Line Betting Value	$5.80	$17.60
Over/Under Record	7-0-11	5-0-4
Overs Betting Value	$-4.97	$0.47
Unders Betting Value	$3.00	$-1.29

Value Guides:

Team	Market	Last 6	Last 12	Last 18
Warriors	H2H	$1.29	$0.77	$-0.60
	Line	$-1.20	$0.55	$-3.55
	Overs	$-2.28	$-0.79	$-3.07
	Unders	$1.92	$-0.31	$1.09
Broncos	H2H	$-0.60	$1.92	$4.58
	Line	$16.00	$17.65	$21.00
	Overs	$-2.31	$-4.56	$-3.12
	Unders	$2.02	$3.56	$1.30

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering
$1.00 on the associated selection each game.

Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from
the dates provided in the Notes section below the
Performance Guide.

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to May, 2025. The line records date back to May, 2025. The O/U records date back to May, 2025.
3. The H2H records between New Zealand Warriors and Brisbane Broncos date back to March, 2009. The line records between the two opponents date back to March, 2013. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to March, 2013.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

NRL Resources

The interactive NRL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NRL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NRL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NRL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NRL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NRL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NRL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.