NRL Grand Final

Storm

v

Broncos

Sunday, October 5th, 2025
7:30 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Accor Stadium (Sydney, NSW - neutral venue)

Introduction

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the NRL Grand Final clash between Melbourne Storm and the Brisbane Broncos. You can view other fixtures for this round in the NRL match centre.

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Market	Selection	Open	Current
H2H	Storm Broncos	1.70 2.15	1.70 2.15
Line	Storm Broncos	-2.5 1.95 +2.5 1.85	-2.5 1.95 +2.5 1.85
Total	Over Under	40.5 1.90 40.5 1.90	40.5 1.85 40.5 1.95

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Member Tipping

The # and % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped. Submit or edit your tips for this fixture.

All Tippers

Selection	#	%
Storm Broncos	20 16	55.6% 44.4%
Storm (-2.5) Broncos (+2.5)	7 6	53.8% 46.2%
Over 40.5 Under 40.5	5 3	62.5% 37.5%

My Favourite Tippers

Selection	#	%
Storm Broncos	0 0	0.0% 0.0%
Storm (-2.5) Broncos (+2.5)	0 0	0.0% 0.0%
Over 40.5 Under 40.5	0 0	0.0% 0.0%

Storm Supporters

Selection	#	%
Storm Broncos	1 1	50.0% 50.0%
Storm (-2.5) Broncos (+2.5)	1 0	100.0% 0.0%
Over 40.5 Under 40.5	1 0	100.0% 0.0%

Broncos Supporters

Selection	#	%
Storm Broncos	0 0	0.0% 0.0%
Storm (-2.5) Broncos (+2.5)	0 0	0.0% 0.0%
Over 40.5 Under 40.5	0 0	0.0% 0.0%

Form Guide: Melbourne Storm

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Result	Score
2025-09-26	Storm vs. Sharks	Win	22-14
2025-09-12	Storm vs. Bulldogs	Win	26-18
2025-09-04	Broncos vs. Storm	Loss	30-14
2025-08-29	Storm vs. Roosters	Loss	10-40
2025-08-22	Storm vs. Bulldogs	Win	20-14
2025-08-14	Panthers vs. Storm	Win	18-22 (OT)
2025-08-07	Storm vs. Broncos	Win	22-2
2025-07-31	Eels vs. Storm	Win	10-16
2025-07-24	Roosters vs. Storm	Win	30-34
2025-07-19	Storm vs. Sea Eagles	Loss	16-18
2025-07-12	Knights vs. Storm	Win	14-32
2025-07-05	Cowboys vs. Storm	Win	20-26

Form Guide: Brisbane Broncos

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Result	Score
2025-09-28	Broncos vs. Panthers	Win	16-14
2025-09-14	Raiders vs. Broncos	Win	28-29 (OT)
2025-09-04	Broncos vs. Storm	Win	30-14
2025-08-30	Cowboys vs. Broncos	Win	30-38
2025-08-24	Knights vs. Broncos	Win	12-46
2025-08-16	Broncos vs. Dolphins	Win	38-28
2025-08-07	Storm vs. Broncos	Loss	22-2
2025-08-01	Broncos vs. Rabbitohs	Win	60-14
2025-07-25	Broncos vs. Eels	Loss	20-22
2025-07-13	Titans vs. Broncos	Win	14-26
2025-07-04	Bulldogs vs. Broncos	Win	18-22
2025-06-28	Broncos vs. Warriors	Win	26-12

Head-to-Head Results

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Score
2025-09-04	Broncos vs. Storm	30-14
2025-08-07	Storm vs. Broncos	22-2
2024-09-05	Broncos vs. Storm	12-50
2024-04-04	Storm vs. Broncos	34-32
2023-09-08	Broncos vs. Storm	26-0
2023-08-31	Broncos vs. Storm	22-32
2023-05-11	Storm vs. Broncos	24-16
2022-08-19	Broncos vs. Storm	12-60
2022-06-17	Storm vs. Broncos	32-20
2021-05-27	Broncos vs. Storm	12-40
2021-04-02	Storm vs. Broncos	40-6
2020-07-24	Broncos vs. Storm	8-46

Note: only league fixtures are included, not
pre-season or cup fixtures.

Performance Guide: Melbourne Storm

H2H Betting	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
	Last 12 Months		vs. Broncos
Streak	2 wins	2 wins	9 wins	1 loss
Record	11-0-4	19-0-8	15-0-3	29-0-6
Value	$-0.36	$-0.78	$3.17	$9.55
Record as Fav	11-0-3	18-0-6	15-0-2	25-0-2
Value as Fav	$0.64	$0.24	$4.17	$8.21
Record as Dog	0-0-1	1-0-1	0-0-1	4-0-3
Value as Dog	$-1.00	$-0.02	$-1.00	$2.34
Line Betting	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
Streak	2 wins	2 wins	1 win	1 loss
Record	8-0-7	12-0-15	9-0-4	20-0-7
Value	$0.25	$-4.10	$4.31	$11.37
Record as Fav	8-0-6	11-0-13	8-0-4	15-0-5
Value as Fav	$1.25	$-3.00	$3.36	$8.81
Record as Dog	0-0-1	1-0-1	1-0-0	5-0-1
Value as Dog	$-1.00	$-0.10	$0.94	$3.56
Winning Margin Betting	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
1-12 wins	5	11	6	11
13+ wins	6	8	9	18
1-12 losses	3	5	2	3
13+ losses	1	3	1	3
1-7 win	2	7	2	6
8+ win	9	12	13	23
1-7 loss	2	4	1	2
8+ loss	2	4	2	4
Total Score Betting	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
O/U Streak	1 under	1 under	1 under	2 unders
O/U Record	7-0-8	12-0-15	5-0-8	15-0-12
Overs Value	$-1.85	$-4.28	$-3.48	$1.76
Unders Value	$0.08	$1.25	$2.37	$-3.86

Performance Guide: Brisbane Broncos

H2H Betting	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
	Last 12 Months		vs. Storm
Streak	3 wins	6 wins	9 losses	1 win
Record	7-0-6	17-0-9	3-0-15	6-0-29
Value	$-1.17	$1.90	$-8.65	$-20.47
Record as Fav	5-0-4	12-0-7	1-0-0	3-0-4
Value as Fav	$-1.87	$-2.20	$0.66	$-2.06
Record as Dog	2-0-2	4-0-2	2-0-15	2-0-25
Value as Dog	$0.70	$3.20	$-9.31	$-19.31
Line Betting	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
Streak	3 wins	6 wins	1 loss	1 win
Record	6-0-7	15-0-11	4-0-9	7-0-20
Value	$-1.65	$2.50	$-5.31	$-13.51
Record as Fav	4-0-5	10-0-9	0-0-1	1-0-5
Value as Fav	$-1.45	$-0.05	$-1.00	$-4.00
Record as Dog	2-0-2	4-0-2	4-0-8	5-0-15
Value as Dog	$-0.20	$1.70	$-4.31	$-10.36
Winning Margin Betting	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
1-12 wins	5	9	2	3
13+ wins	2	8	1	3
1-12 losses	3	6	6	11
13+ losses	3	3	9	18
1-7 win	2	4	1	2
8+ win	5	13	2	4
1-7 loss	1	3	2	6
8+ loss	5	6	13	23
Total Score Betting	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
O/U Streak	3 overs	1 under	1 under	2 unders
O/U Record	5-0-8	12-0-14	5-0-8	15-0-12
Overs Value	$-3.71	$-3.32	$-3.48	$1.76
Unders Value	$2.07	$0.21	$2.37	$-3.86

Further Analysis: Melbourne Storm

Record	On the Back of a Win	On the Back of a Loss
H2H Record	12-0-7	7-0-1
H2H Betting Value	$-2.25	$1.47
Line Record	7-0-12	5-0-3
Line Betting Value	$-5.60	$1.50
Over/Under Record	7-0-12	5-0-3
Overs Betting Value	$-5.80	$1.52
Unders Betting Value	$3.64	$-2.39

Further Analysis: Brisbane Broncos

Record	On the Back of a Win	On the Back of a Loss
H2H Record	11-0-5	6-0-4
H2H Betting Value	$2.25	$-0.35
Line Record	10-0-6	5-0-5
Line Betting Value	$3.00	$-0.50
Over/Under Record	6-0-10	6-0-4
Overs Betting Value	$-4.74	$1.42
Unders Betting Value	$2.72	$-2.51

Value Guides:

Team	Market	Last 6	Last 12	Last 18
Storm	H2H	$0.34	$1.18	$1.64
	Line	$-0.25	$-2.45	$-0.80
	Overs	$-2.23	$-6.33	$-4.74
	Unders	$1.51	$4.94	$2.71
Broncos	H2H	$4.76	$5.16	$2.06
	Line	$5.35	$6.95	$4.75
	Overs	$1.44	$-2.66	$-2.94
	Unders	$-2.23	$1.18	$0.79

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering
$1.00 on the associated selection each game.

Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from
the dates provided in the Notes section below the
Performance Guide.

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to March, 2025. The line records date back to March, 2025. The O/U records date back to March, 2025.
3. The H2H records between Melbourne Storm and Brisbane Broncos date back to March, 2009. The line records between the two opponents date back to March, 2013. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to March, 2013.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

NRL Resources

The interactive NRL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NRL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NRL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NRL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NRL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NRL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NRL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.