NFL Week 5

NFL

Buffalo

v


New England

Monday, October 6th, 2025
11:20 AM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Highmark Stadium (Buffalo, New York)

Introduction

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the NFL Week 5 clash between the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots. You can view other fixtures for this round in the NFL match centre.

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MarketSelectionOpenCurrent
H2H Buffalo
New England
1.26
3.90
1.24
4.10

Compare bookmaker odds for NFL Week 5

Member Tipping

The # and % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped. Submit or edit your tips for this fixture.

All Tippers

Selection #%
Buffalo
New England
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Buffalo (-7.5)
New England (+7.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 49.5
Under 49.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

My Favourite Tippers

Selection #%
Buffalo
New England
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Buffalo (-7.5)
New England (+7.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 49.5
Under 49.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Buffalo Supporters

Selection #%
Buffalo
New England
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Buffalo (-7.5)
New England (+7.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 49.5
Under 49.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

New England Supporters

Selection #%
Buffalo
New England
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Buffalo (-7.5)
New England (+7.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 49.5
Under 49.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Form Guide: Buffalo Bills

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2025-09-29Buffalo vs. New OrleansWin31-19
2025-09-19Buffalo vs. MiamiWin31-21
2025-09-15NY Jets vs. BuffaloWin10-30
2025-09-08Buffalo vs. BaltimoreWin41-40
2025-01-27Kansas City vs. BuffaloLoss32-29
2025-01-20Buffalo vs. BaltimoreWin27-25
2025-01-13Buffalo vs. DenverWin31-7
2025-01-06New England vs. BuffaloLoss23-16
2024-12-30Buffalo vs. NY JetsWin40-14
2024-12-23Buffalo vs. New EnglandWin24-21
2024-12-16Detroit vs. BuffaloWin42-48
2024-12-09LA Rams vs. BuffaloLoss44-42

Form Guide: New England Patriots

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2025-09-29New England vs. CarolinaWin42-13
2025-09-22New England vs. PittsburghLoss14-21
2025-09-15Miami vs. New EnglandWin27-33
2025-09-08New England vs. Las VegasLoss13-20
2025-01-06New England vs. BuffaloWin23-16
2024-12-29New England vs. LA ChargersLoss7-40
2024-12-23Buffalo vs. New EnglandLoss24-21
2024-12-16Arizona vs. New EnglandLoss30-17
2024-12-02New England vs. IndianapolisLoss24-25
2024-11-25Miami vs. New EnglandLoss34-15
2024-11-18New England vs. LA RamsLoss22-28
2024-11-11Chicago vs. New EnglandWin3-19

Head-to-Head Results

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2025-01-06New England vs. Buffalo23-16
2024-12-23Buffalo vs. New England24-21
2024-01-01Buffalo vs. New England27-21
2023-10-23New England vs. Buffalo29-25
2023-01-09Buffalo vs. New England35-23
2022-12-02New England vs. Buffalo10-24
2022-01-16Buffalo vs. New England47-17
2021-12-27New England vs. Buffalo21-33
2021-12-07Buffalo vs. New England10-14
2020-12-29New England vs. Buffalo9-38
2020-11-02Buffalo vs. New England24-21
2019-12-22New England vs. Buffalo24-17

Note: only league fixtures are included, not
pre-season or cup fixtures.

Performance Guide: Buffalo Bills

 Last 12 Monthsvs. New England
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak11 wins4 wins4 wins1 loss
Record11-0-016-0-46-0-1411-0-28
Value$4.31$3.66$-9.85$-18.62
Record as Fav10-0-014-0-25-0-37-0-5
Value as Fav$3.26$3.41$-1.65$-2.88
Record as Dog1-0-02-0-21-0-113-0-23
Value as Dog$1.05$0.25$-8.20$-16.64
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak2 wins3 wins2 losses4 losses
Record8-0-313-0-75-1-1415-2-22
Value$4.14$4.69$-9.49$-8.37
Record as Fav7-0-311-0-52-0-64-0-8
Value as Fav$3.23$4.83$-4.19$-4.43
Record as Dog1-0-02-0-23-1-810-2-14
Value as Dog$0.91$-0.14$-5.30$-4.80
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-12 wins71057
13+ wins4614
1-12 losses04515
13+ losses00913
1-7 win4644
8+ win71027
1-7 loss04411
8+ loss001017
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak3 overs2 overs1 under1 over
O/U Record7-1-313-1-610-0-1021-1-17
Overs Value$2.46$4.91$-0.79$2.36
Unders Value$-4.27$-6.96$-0.77$-5.28

Performance Guide: New England Patriots

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Buffalo
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win1 win4 losses1 win
Record2-0-55-0-1214-0-628-0-11
Value$-1.45$-3.72$0.76$2.86
Record as Fav0-0-01-0-211-0-123-0-3
Value as Fav$0.00$-1.42$2.28$2.78
Record as Dog2-0-54-0-103-0-55-0-7
Value as Dog$-1.45$-2.30$-1.52$1.08
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak2 wins1 win2 wins4 wins
Record4-0-38-0-914-1-522-2-15
Value$0.63$-1.84$8.04$5.34
Record as Fav0-0-01-0-28-1-314-2-10
Value as Fav$0.00$-1.08$4.49$3.05
Record as Dog4-0-37-0-76-0-28-0-4
Value as Dog$0.63$-0.76$3.55$3.29
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-12 wins13515
13+ wins12913
1-12 losses2757
13+ losses3514
1-7 win13411
8+ win121017
1-7 loss2744
8+ loss3527
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 over1 over1 under1 over
O/U Record4-0-311-0-610-0-1021-1-17
Overs Value$0.98$4.35$-0.79$2.36
Unders Value$-1.27$-5.49$-0.77$-5.28

Further Analysis: Buffalo Bills

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record12-0-34-0-1
H2H Betting Value$1.57$2.09
Line Record10-0-53-0-2
Line Betting Value$3.96$0.73
Over/Under Record10-1-43-0-2
Overs Betting Value$4.14$0.77
Unders Betting Value$-5.77$-1.18

 

Further Analysis: New England Patriots

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record0-0-45-0-8
H2H Betting Value$-4.00$0.28
Line Record1-0-37-0-6
Line Betting Value$-2.13$0.29
Over/Under Record1-0-310-0-3
Overs Betting Value$-2.09$6.44
Unders Betting Value$1.78$-7.27

 

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
BuffaloH2H$1.51$1.22$3.83
Line$1.58$1.35$4.82
Overs$1.73$3.37$5.00
Unders$-2.50$-4.68$-6.86
New EnglandH2H$0.23$-2.37$-4.72
Line$-0.35$-0.58$-2.84
Overs$1.99$3.62$5.26
Unders$-2.13$-4.31$-6.49

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering
$1.00 on the associated selection each game.

Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from
the dates provided in the Notes section below the
Performance Guide.

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to October, 2024. The line records date back to October, 2024. The O/U records date back to October, 2024.
3. The H2H records between Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots date back to September, 2006. The line records between the two opponents date back to September, 2006. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to September, 2006.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

NFL Resources

The interactive NFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NFL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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