EPL Gameweek 38

Man City

v

Aston Villa

Monday, May 25th, 2026
1:00 AM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Etihad Stadium (Manchester)

Introduction

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the EPL Gameweek 38 clash between Manchester City and Aston Villa. You can view other fixtures for this round in the EPL match centre.

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View a preview with betting tips for this round.


Market	Selection	Open	Current
H2H	Man City Draw Aston Villa	1.33 5.00 8.50	1.33 5.50 8.00
Goals	Over 2.5 Under 2.5	1.40 3.00	1.30 3.50

Compare bookmaker odds for EPL Gameweek 38


Market	Selection	Open	Current
H2H	Man City Draw Aston Villa	1.38 5.00 7.00	1.35 5.25 7.50
Goals	Over 2.5 Under 2.5	1.44 2.75	1.32 3.30

Featured Tips

Tipper	Pick	Odds
James Bartman	Head-to-head: Man City	1.50 bet365
Regardless of what happens in Manchester City’s fixture against Bournemouth, this is rumoured to be their final fixture under Pep Guardiola. They will want to see him off in style, while Aston Villa will be backing up following their Europa League final clash in Türkiye. With Aston Villa having already locked in UEFA Champions League spot for next season, they have little to collectively play for. With the FIFA World Cup this summer, the Villa players who will be involved in that tournament will have mentally checked out of this Premier League season. Going back to 2007, Manchester City have won 15 consecutive league home games against Aston Villa.

Member Tipping

The # and % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped. Submit or edit your tips for this fixture.

All Tippers

Selection	#	%
Man City Draw Aston Villa	17 5 12	50.0% 14.7% 35.3%
Over 2.5 Under 2.5	12 5	70.6% 29.4%

My Favourite Tippers

Selection	#	%
Man City Draw Aston Villa	0 0 0	0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Over 2.5 Under 2.5	0 0	0.0% 0.0%

Man City Supporters

Selection	#	%
Man City Draw Aston Villa	0 0 0	0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Over 2.5 Under 2.5	0 0	0.0% 0.0%

Aston Villa Supporters

Selection	#	%
Man City Draw Aston Villa	0 0 0	0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Over 2.5 Under 2.5	0 0	0.0% 0.0%

Form Guide: Manchester City

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Result	Score
2026-05-14	Man City vs. Crystal Palace	Win	3-0
2026-05-10	Man City vs. Brentford	Win	3-0
2026-05-05	Everton vs. Man City	Draw	3-3
2026-04-23	Burnley vs. Man City	Win	0-1
2026-04-20	Man City vs. Arsenal	Win	2-1
2026-04-13	Chelsea vs. Man City	Win	0-3
2026-03-15	West Ham vs. Man City	Draw	1-1
2026-03-05	Man City vs. Nottm Forest	Draw	2-2
2026-03-01	Leeds vs. Man City	Win	0-1
2026-02-22	Man City vs. Newcastle	Win	2-1
2026-02-12	Man City vs. Fulham	Win	3-0
2026-02-09	Liverpool vs. Man City	Win	1-2

Form Guide: Aston Villa

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Result	Score
2026-05-16	Aston Villa vs. Liverpool	Win	4-2
2026-05-10	Burnley vs. Aston Villa	Draw	2-2
2026-05-04	Aston Villa vs. Tottenham	Loss	1-2
2026-04-25	Fulham vs. Aston Villa	Loss	1-0
2026-04-19	Aston Villa vs. Sunderland	Win	4-3
2026-04-12	Nottm Forest vs. Aston Villa	Draw	1-1
2026-03-23	Aston Villa vs. West Ham	Win	2-0
2026-03-16	Man Utd vs. Aston Villa	Loss	3-1
2026-03-05	Aston Villa vs. Chelsea	Loss	1-4
2026-02-28	Wolves vs. Aston Villa	Loss	2-0
2026-02-22	Aston Villa vs. Leeds	Draw	1-1
2026-02-12	Aston Villa vs. Brighton	Win	1-0

Head-to-Head Results

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Score
2025-10-27	Aston Villa vs. Man City	1-0
2025-04-23	Man City vs. Aston Villa	2-1
2024-12-21	Aston Villa vs. Man City	2-1
2024-04-04	Man City vs. Aston Villa	4-1
2023-12-07	Aston Villa vs. Man City	1-0
2023-02-13	Man City vs. Aston Villa	3-1
2022-09-04	Aston Villa vs. Man City	1-1
2022-05-23	Man City vs. Aston Villa	3-2
2021-12-02	Aston Villa vs. Man City	1-2
2021-04-22	Aston Villa vs. Man City	1-2
2021-01-21	Man City vs. Aston Villa	2-0
2020-01-13	Aston Villa vs. Man City	1-6

Note: only league fixtures are included, not
pre-season or cup fixtures.

Performance Guide: Manchester City

H2H Betting	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
	Last 12 Months		vs. Aston Villa
Streak	3 wins	2 wins	12 wins	1 loss
Record	14-3-1	24-8-5	12-0-0	18-2-5
Value	$1.87	$0.36	$3.58	$-0.98
Draw Value	$-3.60	$-0.82	$-12.00	$-14.15
Record as Fav	14-3-1	23-7-5	12-0-0	18-2-5
Value as Fav	$1.87	$-0.64	$3.58	$-0.98
Record as Dog	0-0-0	1-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Value as Dog	$0.00	$1.00	$0.00	$0.00
Clean Sheets and BTTS	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
Total Games	18	37	12	25
Clean Sheets	9	17	6	10
Held Scoreless	1	4	0	4
Both Teams Scored	8	17	6	12
Winning Margins and Win to Nil	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
Total Wins	14	24	12	18
Won by 1 goal	3	9	3	7
Won by 2 goals	3	4	2	3
Won by 3 goals	7	9	3	3
Won by 4 goals	1	2	3	3
Won by 5 goals	0	0	1	2
Won by 6+ goals	0	0	0	0
Won to nil	9	16	6	9
Losing Margins and Lost to Nil	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
Total Losses	1	5	0	5
Lost by 1 goal	0	3	0	5
Lost by 2 goals	1	2	0	0
Lost by 3 goals	0	0	0	0
Lost by 4 goals	0	0	0	0
Lost by 5 goals	0	0	0	0
Lost by 6+ goals	0	0	0	0
Lost to nil	1	3	0	3
Total Score Betting	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
O/U 2.5 Streak	6 overs	3 overs	4 overs	1 under
O/U 2.5 Record	13-5	23-14	11-1	16-9
Overs 2.5 Value	$1.27	$-1.55	$3.00	$-1.97
Unders 2.5 Value	$-4.72	$-2.56	$-9.38	$-4.93
O/U 0.5 Record	18-0	36-1	12-0	24-1
O/U 1.5 Record	18-0	32-5	12-0	19-6
O/U 3.5 Record	4-14	8-29	9-3	11-14
O/U 4.5 Record	2-16	4-33	5-7	7-18
O/U 5.5 Record	1-17	3-34	0-12	1-24

Performance Guide: Aston Villa

H2H Betting	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
	Last 12 Months		vs. Man City
Streak	1 draw	1 win	12 losses	1 win
Record	6-6-7	18-8-12	0-0-12	5-2-18
Value	$-0.75	$8.34	$-12.00	$-2.33
Draw Value	$2.40	$-9.60	$-12.00	$-14.15
Record as Fav	2-4-3	11-6-7	0-0-0	0-0-0
Value as Fav	$-4.55	$-2.56	$0.00	$0.00
Record as Dog	4-2-4	7-2-5	0-0-12	5-2-18
Value as Dog	$3.80	$10.90	$-12.00	$-2.33
Clean Sheets and BTTS	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
Total Games	19	38	12	25
Clean Sheets	3	9	0	4
Held Scoreless	7	11	6	10
Both Teams Scored	11	21	6	12
Winning Margins and Win to Nil	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
Total Wins	6	18	0	5
Won by 1 goal	5	12	0	5
Won by 2 goals	1	5	0	0
Won by 3 goals	0	0	0	0
Won by 4 goals	0	1	0	0
Won by 5 goals	0	0	0	0
Won by 6+ goals	0	0	0	0
Won to nil	1	6	0	3
Losing Margins and Lost to Nil	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
Total Losses	7	12	12	18
Lost by 1 goal	2	5	3	7
Lost by 2 goals	4	4	2	3
Lost by 3 goals	1	3	3	3
Lost by 4 goals	0	0	3	3
Lost by 5 goals	0	0	1	2
Lost by 6+ goals	0	0	0	0
Lost to nil	5	8	6	9
Total Score Betting	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
O/U 2.5 Streak	1 over	3 overs	4 overs	1 under
O/U 2.5 Record	8-11	19-19	11-1	16-9
Overs 2.5 Value	$-4.88	$-3.53	$3.00	$-1.97
Unders 2.5 Value	$3.67	$1.28	$-9.38	$-4.93
O/U 0.5 Record	17-2	35-3	12-0	24-1
O/U 1.5 Record	15-4	28-10	12-0	19-6
O/U 3.5 Record	5-14	11-27	9-3	11-14
O/U 4.5 Record	3-16	6-32	5-7	7-18
O/U 5.5 Record	1-18	3-35	0-12	1-24

Further Analysis: Manchester City

Record	On the Back of a Win	On the Back of a Loss
H2H Record	16-5-3	4-0-1
H2H Betting Value	$0.38	$0.54
Over/Under 2.5	15-9	4-1
Overs Betting Value	$-0.38	$1.00
Unders Betting Value	$-2.89	$-2.50

Further Analysis: Aston Villa

Record	On the Back of a Win	On the Back of a Loss
H2H Record	10-3-5	4-4-4
H2H Betting Value	$10.35	$-2.76
Over/Under 2.5	9-9	7-5
Overs Betting Value	$-1.55	$0.31
Unders Betting Value	$1.19	$-1.83

Value Guides:

Team	Market	Last 6	Last 12	Last 18
Man City	H2H	$1.56	$3.19	$-1.51
	Over 2.5	$1.81	$1.67	$-2.71
	Under 2.5	$-2.80	$-4.42	$2.73
Aston Villa	H2H	$-1.55	$-3.72	$-4.51
	Over 2.5	$1.11	$-1.60	$-5.69
	Under 2.5	$-1.90	$0.41	$4.72

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering
$1.00 on the associated selection each game.

Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from
the dates provided in the Notes section below the
Performance Guide.

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to May, 2025. The O/U records date back to May, 2025.
3. The H2H records between Manchester City and Aston Villa date back to August, 2010. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to August, 2010.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

EPL Resources

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on AusSportsBetting.com.

The interactive EPL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The EPL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The EPL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The EPL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The EPL Poisson distribution tool applies the Poisson distribution to any pair of teams and chosen timeframe. Outcome probabilities predicted by the model along with their respective fair odds are provided.

The EPL score statistics provides goals for, goals against, goal difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.