EPL Gameweek 5

Burnley

v

Nottm Forest

Sunday, September 21st, 2025
12:00 AM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Turf Moor (Burnley)

Introduction

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the EPL Gameweek 5 clash between Burnley and Nottingham Forest. You can view other fixtures for this round in the EPL match centre.

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Market	Selection	Open	Current
H2H	Burnley Draw Nottm Forest	3.20 3.60 2.10	3.20 3.40 2.20
Goals	Over 2.5 Under 2.5	2.00 1.80	2.00 1.80

Compare bookmaker odds for EPL Gameweek 5


Market	Selection	Open	Current
H2H	Burnley Draw Nottm Forest	3.70 3.30 2.00	3.40 3.30 2.10
Goals	Over 2.5 Under 2.5	1.92 1.85	1.98 1.80

Member Tipping

The # and % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped. Submit or edit your tips for this fixture.

All Tippers

Selection	#	%
Burnley Draw Nottm Forest	6 6 10	27.3% 27.3% 45.5%
Over 2.5 Under 2.5	9 8	52.9% 47.1%

My Favourite Tippers

Selection	#	%
Burnley Draw Nottm Forest	0 0 0	0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Over 2.5 Under 2.5	0 0	0.0% 0.0%

Burnley Supporters

Selection	#	%
Burnley Draw Nottm Forest	0 0 0	0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Over 2.5 Under 2.5	0 0	0.0% 0.0%

Nottm Forest Supporters

Selection	#	%
Burnley Draw Nottm Forest	0 0 0	0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Over 2.5 Under 2.5	0 0	0.0% 0.0%

Form Guide: Burnley

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Result	Score
2025-09-14	Burnley vs. Liverpool	Loss	0-1
2025-08-31	Man Utd vs. Burnley	Loss	3-2
2025-08-24	Burnley vs. Sunderland	Win	2-0
2025-08-17	Tottenham vs. Burnley	Loss	3-0
2024-05-20	Burnley vs. Nottm Forest	Loss	1-2
2024-05-12	Tottenham vs. Burnley	Loss	2-1
2024-05-05	Burnley vs. Newcastle	Loss	1-4
2024-04-28	Man Utd vs. Burnley	Draw	1-1
2024-04-21	Sheffield Utd vs. Burnley	Win	1-4
2024-04-14	Burnley vs. Brighton	Draw	1-1
2024-04-07	Everton vs. Burnley	Loss	1-0
2024-04-03	Burnley vs. Wolves	Draw	1-1

Form Guide: Nottingham Forest

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Result	Score
2025-09-13	Arsenal vs. Nottm Forest	Loss	3-0
2025-08-31	Nottm Forest vs. West Ham	Loss	0-3
2025-08-24	Crystal Palace vs. Nottm Forest	Draw	1-1
2025-08-17	Nottm Forest vs. Brentford	Win	3-1
2025-05-26	Nottm Forest vs. Chelsea	Loss	0-1
2025-05-18	West Ham vs. Nottm Forest	Win	1-2
2025-05-11	Nottm Forest vs. Leicester	Draw	2-2
2025-05-06	Crystal Palace vs. Nottm Forest	Draw	1-1
2025-05-02	Nottm Forest vs. Brentford	Loss	0-2
2025-04-22	Tottenham vs. Nottm Forest	Win	1-2
2025-04-13	Nottm Forest vs. Everton	Loss	0-1
2025-04-06	Aston Villa vs. Nottm Forest	Loss	2-1

Head-to-Head Results

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Score
2024-05-20	Burnley vs. Nottm Forest	1-2
2023-09-19	Nottm Forest vs. Burnley	1-1

Note: only league fixtures are included, not
pre-season or cup fixtures.

Performance Guide: Burnley

H2H Betting	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
	Last 12 Months		vs. Nottm Forest
Streak	1 loss	2 losses	1 loss	1 loss
Record	1-0-1	1-0-3	0-0-1	0-1-1
Value	$0.35	$-1.65	$-1.00	$-2.00
Draw Value	$-2.00	$-4.00	$-1.00	$1.50
Record as Fav	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Value as Fav	$1.35	$1.35	$0.00	$0.00
Record as Dog	0-0-1	0-0-3	0-0-1	0-1-1
Value as Dog	$-1.00	$-3.00	$-1.00	$-2.00
Clean Sheets and BTTS	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
Total Games	2	4	1	2
Clean Sheets	1	1	0	0
Held Scoreless	1	2	0	0
Both Teams Scored	0	1	1	2
Winning Margins and Win to Nil	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
Total Wins	1	1	0	0
Won by 1 goal	0	0	0	0
Won by 2 goals	1	1	0	0
Won by 3 goals	0	0	0	0
Won by 4 goals	0	0	0	0
Won by 5 goals	0	0	0	0
Won by 6+ goals	0	0	0	0
Won to nil	1	1	0	0
Losing Margins and Lost to Nil	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
Total Losses	1	3	1	1
Lost by 1 goal	1	2	1	1
Lost by 2 goals	0	0	0	0
Lost by 3 goals	0	1	0	0
Lost by 4 goals	0	0	0	0
Lost by 5 goals	0	0	0	0
Lost by 6+ goals	0	0	0	0
Lost to nil	1	2	0	0
Total Score Betting	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
O/U 2.5 Streak	2 unders	1 under	1 over	1 over
O/U 2.5 Record	0-2	2-2	1-0	1-1
Overs 2.5 Value	$-2.00	$-0.36	$0.53	$-0.47
Unders 2.5 Value	$2.12	$0.12	$-1.00	$-0.09
O/U 0.5 Record	2-0	4-0	1-0	2-0
O/U 1.5 Record	1-1	3-1	1-0	2-0
O/U 3.5 Record	0-2	1-3	0-1	0-2
O/U 4.5 Record	0-2	1-3	0-1	0-2
O/U 5.5 Record	0-2	0-4	0-1	0-2

Performance Guide: Nottingham Forest

H2H Betting	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
	Last 12 Months		vs. Burnley
Streak	1 loss	2 losses	1 win	1 win
Record	8-4-7	18-7-13	1-0-0	1-1-0
Value	$3.28	$7.11	$1.25	$0.25
Draw Value	$-4.15	$-10.65	$-1.00	$1.50
Record as Fav	4-0-0	13-1-4	1-0-0	1-1-0
Value as Fav	$4.70	$9.73	$1.25	$0.25
Record as Dog	4-4-7	5-6-9	0-0-0	0-0-0
Value as Dog	$-1.42	$-2.62	$0.00	$0.00
Clean Sheets and BTTS	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
Total Games	19	38	1	2
Clean Sheets	3	11	0	0
Held Scoreless	4	10	0	0
Both Teams Scored	12	18	1	2
Winning Margins and Win to Nil	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
Total Wins	8	18	1	1
Won by 1 goal	3	10	1	1
Won by 2 goals	4	5	0	0
Won by 3 goals	1	2	0	0
Won by 4 goals	0	0	0	0
Won by 5 goals	0	0	0	0
Won by 6+ goals	0	1	0	0
Won to nil	3	10	0	0
Losing Margins and Lost to Nil	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
Total Losses	7	13	0	0
Lost by 1 goal	3	6	0	0
Lost by 2 goals	0	2	0	0
Lost by 3 goals	3	4	0	0
Lost by 4 goals	0	0	0	0
Lost by 5 goals	1	1	0	0
Lost by 6+ goals	0	0	0	0
Lost to nil	4	9	0	0
Total Score Betting	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
O/U 2.5 Streak	1 over	2 overs	1 over	1 over
O/U 2.5 Record	14-5	22-16	1-0	1-1
Overs 2.5 Value	$6.01	$1.70	$0.53	$-0.47
Unders 2.5 Value	$-8.98	$-5.39	$-1.00	$-0.09
O/U 0.5 Record	19-0	37-1	1-0	2-0
O/U 1.5 Record	19-0	29-9	1-0	2-0
O/U 3.5 Record	6-13	11-27	0-1	0-2
O/U 4.5 Record	4-15	6-32	0-1	0-2
O/U 5.5 Record	2-17	3-35	0-1	0-2

Further Analysis: Burnley

Record	On the Back of a Win	On the Back of a Loss
H2H Record	0-0-1	1-0-2
H2H Betting Value	$-1.00	$-0.65
Over/Under 2.5	1-0	1-2
Overs Betting Value	$0.73	$-1.09
Unders Betting Value	$-1.00	$1.12

Further Analysis: Nottingham Forest

Record	On the Back of a Win	On the Back of a Loss
H2H Record	9-3-7	5-3-4
H2H Betting Value	$1.98	$2.23
Over/Under 2.5	11-8	7-5
Overs Betting Value	$1.41	$0.22
Unders Betting Value	$-1.79	$-2.27

Value Guides:

Team	Market	Last 6	Last 12	Last 18
Burnley	H2H	$-3.65	$-7.02	$-9.92
	Over 2.5	$0.39	$-2.48	$0.01
	Under 2.5	$-1.88	$2.28	$-1.57
Nottm Forest	H2H	$-1.70	$-4.70	$-2.65
	Over 2.5	$1.31	$0.56	$-0.05
	Under 2.5	$-2.07	$-2.39	$-2.54

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering
$1.00 on the associated selection each game.

Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from
the dates provided in the Notes section below the
Performance Guide.

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to September, 2024. The O/U records date back to September, 2024.
3. The H2H records between Burnley and Nottingham Forest date back to August, 2022. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to August, 2022.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

EPL Resources

The interactive EPL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The EPL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The EPL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The EPL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The EPL Poisson distribution tool applies the Poisson distribution to any pair of teams and chosen timeframe. Outcome probabilities predicted by the model along with their respective fair odds are provided.

The EPL score statistics provides goals for, goals against, goal difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.