AFL Qual & Elim Finals

AFL

Geelong

v


Carlton

Friday, September 4th, 2026
7:40 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
MCG (Melbourne, VIC)

Introduction

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Qual & Elim Finals clash between Geelong and Carlton. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

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MarketSelectionOpenCurrent
H2H Geelong
Carlton
1.62
2.30
1.62
2.30
Line Geelong
Carlton
-8.5  1.90
+8.5  1.90
-8.5  1.85
+8.5  1.95

Compare bookmaker odds for the AFL Qual & Elim Finals

Member Tipping

The # and % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped. Submit or edit your tips for this fixture.

All Tippers

Selection #%
Geelong
Carlton
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Geelong (-8.5)
Carlton (+8.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 175.5
Under 175.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

My Favourite Tippers

Selection #%
Geelong
Carlton
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Geelong (-8.5)
Carlton (+8.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 175.5
Under 175.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Geelong Supporters

Selection #%
Geelong
Carlton
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Geelong (-8.5)
Carlton (+8.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 175.5
Under 175.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Carlton Supporters

Selection #%
Geelong
Carlton
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Geelong (-8.5)
Carlton (+8.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 175.5
Under 175.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Form Guide: Geelong

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2026-08-22Geelong
Richmond
Win20.13 (133)
11.10 (76)
2026-08-15North Melbourne
Geelong
Win17.8 (110)
19.11 (125)
2026-08-08Geelong
Essendon
Win17.15 (117)
7.8 (50)
2026-07-30Collingwood
Geelong
Win10.12 (72)
15.7 (97)
2026-07-24Melbourne
Geelong
Win14.13 (97)
18.9 (117)
2026-07-16Geelong
St Kilda
Win15.12 (102)
11.9 (75)
2026-07-11GWS
Geelong
Loss12.14 (86)
11.7 (73)
2026-07-02Geelong
Brisbane
Loss14.17 (101)
19.9 (123)
2026-06-18Fremantle
Geelong
Loss14.15 (99)
14.6 (90)
2026-06-12Geelong
Gold Coast
Win15.15 (105)
8.12 (60)
2026-06-04Adelaide
Geelong
Loss11.9 (75)
10.14 (74)
2026-05-29Carlton
Geelong
Loss12.16 (88)
12.12 (84)

Form Guide: Carlton

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2026-08-29Melbourne
Carlton
Win7.13 (55)
10.14 (74)
2026-08-22Carlton
Fremantle
Win18.11 (119)
12.10 (82)
2026-08-16Western Bulldogs
Carlton
Draw12.10 (82)
12.10 (82)
2026-08-09St Kilda
Carlton
Win8.14 (62)
16.10 (106)
2026-08-01Carlton
Brisbane
Win24.10 (154)
11.12 (78)
2026-07-25Carlton
Gold Coast
Win16.14 (110)
15.7 (97)
2026-07-18Collingwood
Carlton
Loss14.6 (90)
10.9 (69)
2026-07-11Carlton
Hawthorn
Loss6.3 (39)
15.13 (103)
2026-07-04Richmond
Carlton
Win10.12 (72)
10.14 (74)
2026-06-27Carlton
West Coast
Win17.15 (117)
9.10 (64)
2026-06-20GWS
Carlton
Win9.11 (65)
12.16 (88)
2026-06-07Essendon
Carlton
Win10.7 (67)
10.12 (72)

Head-to-Head Results

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2026-05-29Carlton
Geelong
12.16 (88)
12.12 (84)
2025-04-27Carlton
Geelong
14.10 (94)
12.4 (76)
2024-06-21Carlton
Geelong
21.12 (138)
11.9 (75)
2024-04-27Geelong
Carlton
18.10 (118)
15.15 (105)
2023-03-23Carlton
Geelong
13.12 (90)
12.10 (82)
2022-07-16Carlton
Geelong
8.7 (55)
12.13 (85)
2021-07-10Carlton
Geelong
5.14 (44)
10.10 (70)
2020-06-20Geelong
Carlton
11.11 (77)
12.7 (79)
2019-08-24Geelong
Carlton
19.15 (129)
8.13 (61)
2018-05-26Geelong
Carlton
11.7 (73)
5.15 (45)
2017-07-29Carlton
Geelong
8.10 (58)
18.15 (123)
2016-05-29Carlton
Geelong
16.8 (104)
12.13 (85)

Note: only league fixtures are included, not
pre-season or cup fixtures.

Performance Guide: Geelong

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Carlton
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak3 wins6 wins1 win3 losses
Record13-0-217-0-97-0-113-0-8
Value$2.97$-0.33$1.06$-3.43
Record as Fav13-0-215-0-67-0-113-0-7
Value as Fav$2.97$0.05$1.06$-2.43
Record as Dog0-0-01-0-30-0-00-0-1
Value as Dog$0.00$-1.25$0.00$-1.00
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss2 losses1 win3 losses
Record10-0-515-0-114-0-37-0-9
Value$4.02$2.52$0.71$-2.48
Record as Fav10-0-511-0-104-0-37-0-8
Value as Fav$4.02$-0.08$0.71$-1.48
Record as Dog0-0-03-0-10-0-00-0-1
Value as Dog$0.00$1.70$0.00$-1.00
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins6949
40+ wins7834
1-39 losses1717
40+ losses1201
1-24 win2436
25+ win111347
1-24 loss1615
25+ loss1303
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 over2 overs3 overs2 unders
O/U Record9-0-614-0-125-0-19-0-6
Overs Value$1.94$0.29$3.48$2.24
Unders Value$-3.34$-2.72$-4.19$-3.63

Performance Guide: Carlton

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Geelong
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win2 wins1 loss3 wins
Record6-1-613-1-101-0-78-0-13
Value$-0.53$5.14$-3.50$9.29
Record as Fav2-1-15-1-10-0-01-0-0
Value as Fav$-0.78$0.49$0.00$0.63
Record as Dog4-0-58-0-91-0-77-0-13
Value as Dog$0.25$4.65$-3.50$8.66
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win2 wins1 loss3 wins
Record7-0-614-0-103-0-49-0-7
Value$0.35$2.65$-1.30$1.18
Record as Fav0-0-42-0-50-0-01-0-0
Value as Fav$-4.00$-3.20$0.00$0.87
Record as Dog7-0-212-0-53-0-48-0-7
Value as Dog$4.35$5.85$-1.30$0.31
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins51017
40+ wins1301
1-39 losses5849
40+ losses1234
1-24 win4815
25+ win2503
1-24 loss4636
25+ loss2447
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak8 unders1 under3 overs2 unders
O/U Record5-0-811-0-135-0-19-0-6
Overs Value$-3.60$-3.38$3.48$2.24
Unders Value$2.77$1.28$-4.19$-3.63

Further Analysis: Geelong

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record12-0-55-0-4
H2H Betting Value$2.24$-2.57
Line Record11-0-64-0-5
Line Betting Value$3.92$-1.40
Over/Under Record9-0-85-0-4
Overs Betting Value$-0.06$0.35
Unders Betting Value$-1.65$-1.07

 

Further Analysis: Carlton

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record9-1-33-0-7
H2H Betting Value$7.83$-4.24
Line Record7-0-66-0-4
Line Betting Value$0.35$1.40
Over/Under Record4-0-96-0-4
Overs Betting Value$-5.52$1.27
Unders Betting Value$4.70$-2.42

 

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
GeelongH2H$2.27$-2.39$0.27
Line$1.60$-0.60$2.90
CarltonH2H$5.84$6.08$8.83
Line$3.55$1.35$4.85

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering
$1.00 on the associated selection each game.

Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from
the dates provided in the Notes section below the
Performance Guide.

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to March, 2026. The line records date back to March, 2026. The O/U records date back to March, 2026.
3. The H2H records between Geelong and Carlton date back to July, 2009. The line records between the two opponents date back to March, 2013. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to March, 2014.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

AFL Resources

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The AFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The AFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The AFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The AFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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