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AFL Round 10

AFL

Melbourne

v


Hawthorn

Saturday, May 16th, 2026
4:15 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
MCG (Melbourne, VIC)

Introduction

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Round 10 clash between Melbourne and Hawthorn. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

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MarketSelectionOpenCurrent
H2H Melbourne
Hawthorn
3.20
1.34
3.05
1.38
Line Melbourne
Hawthorn
+20.5  1.90
-20.5  1.90
+18.5  1.90
-18.5  1.90

Compare bookmaker odds for AFL Round 10

Member Tipping

The # and % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped. Submit or edit your tips for this fixture.

All Tippers

Selection #%
Melbourne
Hawthorn
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Melbourne (+20.5)
Hawthorn (-20.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 180.5
Under 180.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

My Favourite Tippers

Selection #%
Melbourne
Hawthorn
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Melbourne (+20.5)
Hawthorn (-20.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 180.5
Under 180.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Melbourne Supporters

Selection #%
Melbourne
Hawthorn
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Melbourne (+20.5)
Hawthorn (-20.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 180.5
Under 180.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Hawthorn Supporters

Selection #%
Melbourne
Hawthorn
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Melbourne (+20.5)
Hawthorn (-20.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 180.5
Under 180.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Form Guide: Melbourne

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2026-05-10Melbourne
West Coast
Win15.9 (99)
9.13 (67)
2026-05-03Sydney
Melbourne
Loss19.17 (131)
17.12 (114)
2026-04-24Richmond
Melbourne
Win11.6 (72)
19.12 (126)
2026-04-19Melbourne
Brisbane
Win16.8 (104)
15.12 (102)
2026-04-11Essendon
Melbourne
Loss17.11 (113)
10.8 (68)
2026-04-05Melbourne
Gold Coast
Win16.13 (109)
14.5 (89)
2026-03-29Carlton
Melbourne
Win11.11 (77)
15.10 (100)
2026-03-21Fremantle
Melbourne
Loss17.16 (118)
10.10 (70)
2026-03-15Melbourne
St Kilda
Win18.12 (120)
15.17 (107)
2025-08-22Collingwood
Melbourne
Loss11.16 (82)
11.10 (76)
2025-08-16Hawthorn
Melbourne
Loss13.14 (92)
8.8 (56)
2025-08-10Melbourne
Western Bulldogs
Loss15.9 (99)
15.15 (105)

Form Guide: Hawthorn

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2026-05-07Fremantle
Hawthorn
Loss12.16 (88)
11.7 (73)
2026-04-30Collingwood
Hawthorn
Draw15.3 (93)
13.15 (93)
2026-04-25Hawthorn
Gold Coast
Win16.16 (112)
9.9 (63)
2026-04-18Hawthorn
Port Adelaide
Win13.11 (89)
13.8 (86)
2026-04-11Hawthorn
Western Bulldogs
Win15.14 (104)
8.16 (64)
2026-04-06Hawthorn
Geelong
Win13.14 (92)
14.7 (91)
2026-03-19Hawthorn
Sydney
Win14.15 (99)
13.4 (82)
2026-03-13Essendon
Hawthorn
Win13.5 (83)
21.19 (145)
2026-03-07GWS
Hawthorn
Loss19.8 (122)
14.11 (95)
2025-09-19Geelong
Hawthorn
Loss17.13 (115)
13.7 (85)
2025-09-12Adelaide
Hawthorn
Win10.7 (67)
14.17 (101)
2025-09-06GWS
Hawthorn
Win13.10 (88)
16.11 (107)

Head-to-Head Results

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2025-08-16Hawthorn
Melbourne
13.14 (92)
8.8 (56)
2025-05-10Melbourne
Hawthorn
7.14 (56)
13.13 (91)
2024-03-23Hawthorn
Melbourne
5.8 (38)
14.9 (93)
2023-08-20Melbourne
Hawthorn
13.9 (87)
9.6 (60)
2023-05-13Hawthorn
Melbourne
7.7 (49)
15.13 (103)
2022-04-30Melbourne
Hawthorn
13.13 (91)
11.15 (81)
2021-07-17Melbourne
Hawthorn
11.13 (79)
12.7 (79)
2021-04-18Hawthorn
Melbourne
8.6 (54)
15.14 (104)
2020-07-19Hawthorn
Melbourne
7.6 (48)
14.7 (91)
2019-05-04Melbourne
Hawthorn
11.13 (79)
11.8 (74)
2018-09-14Hawthorn
Melbourne
10.11 (71)
16.8 (104)
2018-04-15Hawthorn
Melbourne
18.7 (115)
6.12 (48)

Note: only league fixtures are included, not
pre-season or cup fixtures.

Performance Guide: Melbourne

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Hawthorn
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak4 wins1 win1 loss2 losses
Record7-0-310-0-134-1-69-1-13
Value$3.90$-0.30$-1.21$-6.04
Record as Fav4-0-16-0-42-1-16-1-2
Value as Fav$0.25$-1.70$-1.08$-0.96
Record as Dog3-0-24-0-92-0-53-0-11
Value as Dog$3.65$1.40$-0.13$-5.08
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss1 loss4 losses2 losses
Record8-0-215-0-82-0-69-0-9
Value$5.25$5.63$-4.19$-0.66
Record as Fav3-0-25-0-50-0-44-0-5
Value as Fav$0.73$-0.47$-4.00$-1.32
Record as Dog5-0-010-0-32-0-25-0-4
Value as Dog$4.52$6.10$-0.19$0.66
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins5745
40+ wins2304
1-39 losses31125
40+ losses0248
1-24 win3522
25+ win4527
1-24 loss2813
25+ loss15510
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 under1 under2 unders5 unders
O/U Record7-0-314-0-93-0-47-0-10
Overs Value$3.25$3.50$-1.25$-3.60
Unders Value$-4.31$-5.93$0.67$2.23

Performance Guide: Hawthorn

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Melbourne
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss1 loss1 win2 wins
Record5-1-716-1-86-1-413-1-9
Value$-1.99$2.71$2.03$-0.02
Record as Fav2-1-111-1-25-0-211-0-3
Value as Fav$-0.69$1.66$-1.30$-0.53
Record as Dog3-0-65-0-61-1-22-1-6
Value as Dog$-1.30$1.05$3.33$0.51
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak2 losses2 losses4 wins2 wins
Record5-0-812-0-136-0-29-0-9
Value$-3.42$-2.06$3.44$-0.73
Record as Fav2-0-27-0-72-0-24-0-5
Value as Fav$-0.19$-0.64$-0.22$-1.39
Record as Dog3-0-65-0-64-0-05-0-4
Value as Dog$-3.23$-1.42$3.66$0.65
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins41125
40+ wins1548
1-39 losses6745
40+ losses1104
1-24 win3813
25+ win28510
1-24 loss4422
25+ loss3427
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 under1 under2 unders5 unders
O/U Record8-0-59-0-163-0-47-0-10
Overs Value$2.19$-7.90$-1.25$-3.60
Unders Value$-3.35$5.46$0.67$2.23

Further Analysis: Melbourne

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record3-0-67-0-7
H2H Betting Value$-2.43$2.13
Line Record5-0-410-0-4
Line Betting Value$0.52$5.11
Over/Under Record5-0-49-0-5
Overs Betting Value$0.43$3.07
Unders Betting Value$-1.44$-4.49

 

Further Analysis: Hawthorn

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record11-1-45-0-3
H2H Betting Value$1.45$2.26
Line Record7-0-95-0-3
Line Betting Value$-2.64$1.58
Over/Under Record6-0-103-0-5
Overs Betting Value$-4.55$-2.35
Unders Betting Value$2.99$1.55

 

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
MelbourneH2H$2.77$0.82$-2.92
Line$1.60$3.22$4.90
HawthornH2H$0.16$1.15$1.15
Line$-2.20$-0.54$-0.81

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering
$1.00 on the associated selection each game.

Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from
the dates provided in the Notes section below the
Performance Guide.

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to May, 2025. The line records date back to May, 2025. The O/U records date back to May, 2025.
3. The H2H records between Melbourne and Hawthorn date back to June, 2009. The line records between the two opponents date back to April, 2013. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to September, 2013.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

AFL Resources

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The AFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The AFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The AFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The AFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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