AFL Round 10

AFL

Brisbane

v


Geelong

Thursday, May 14th, 2026
7:30 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
The Gabba (Brisbane, QLD)

Introduction

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Round 10 clash between Brisbane and Geelong. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

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MarketSelectionOpenCurrent
H2H Brisbane
Geelong
1.43
2.75
1.45
2.75
Line Brisbane
Geelong
-14.5  1.90
+14.5  1.90
-14.5  1.90
+14.5  1.90

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Member Tipping

The # and % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped. Submit or edit your tips for this fixture.

All Tippers

Selection #%
Brisbane
Geelong
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Brisbane (-14.5)
Geelong (+14.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

My Favourite Tippers

Selection #%
Brisbane
Geelong
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Brisbane (-14.5)
Geelong (+14.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Brisbane Supporters

Selection #%
Brisbane
Geelong
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Brisbane (-14.5)
Geelong (+14.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Geelong Supporters

Selection #%
Brisbane
Geelong
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Brisbane (-14.5)
Geelong (+14.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Form Guide: Brisbane

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2026-05-08Brisbane
Carlton
Win14.16 (100)
13.11 (89)
2026-05-02Essendon
Brisbane
Win11.13 (79)
22.11 (143)
2026-04-26Brisbane
Adelaide
Win19.13 (127)
11.9 (75)
2026-04-19Melbourne
Brisbane
Loss16.8 (104)
15.12 (102)
2026-04-11North Melbourne
Brisbane
Win9.12 (66)
13.14 (92)
2026-04-02Brisbane
Collingwood
Win17.17 (119)
10.5 (65)
2026-03-28St Kilda
Brisbane
Win11.14 (80)
17.11 (113)
2026-03-14Sydney
Brisbane
Loss15.14 (104)
8.12 (60)
2026-03-07Brisbane
Western Bulldogs
Loss15.16 (106)
16.15 (111)
2025-09-27Geelong
Brisbane
Win11.9 (75)
18.14 (122)
2025-09-20Collingwood
Brisbane
Win11.5 (71)
15.10 (100)
2025-09-13Brisbane
Gold Coast
Win14.16 (100)
6.11 (47)

Form Guide: Geelong

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2026-05-09Geelong
Collingwood
Win18.14 (122)
9.14 (68)
2026-05-02Geelong
North Melbourne
Win21.9 (135)
13.8 (86)
2026-04-25Port Adelaide
Geelong
Loss13.17 (95)
10.5 (65)
2026-04-17Geelong
Western Bulldogs
Win19.17 (131)
8.8 (56)
2026-04-12Geelong
West Coast
Win17.20 (122)
11.10 (76)
2026-04-06Hawthorn
Geelong
Loss13.14 (92)
14.7 (91)
2026-03-26Geelong
Adelaide
Win9.14 (68)
9.6 (60)
2026-03-14Geelong
Fremantle
Win16.14 (110)
14.16 (100)
2026-03-06Gold Coast
Geelong
Loss19.11 (125)
10.9 (69)
2025-09-27Geelong
Brisbane
Loss11.9 (75)
18.14 (122)
2025-09-19Geelong
Hawthorn
Win17.13 (115)
13.7 (85)
2025-09-05Geelong
Brisbane
Win16.16 (112)
11.8 (74)

Head-to-Head Results

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2025-09-27Geelong
Brisbane
11.9 (75)
18.14 (122)
2025-09-05Geelong
Brisbane
16.16 (112)
11.8 (74)
2025-06-20Geelong
Brisbane
6.15 (51)
14.8 (92)
2025-03-29Brisbane
Geelong
10.10 (70)
9.7 (61)
2024-09-21Geelong
Brisbane
12.13 (85)
14.11 (95)
2024-04-20Brisbane
Geelong
4.13 (37)
9.9 (63)
2023-07-22Brisbane
Geelong
9.10 (64)
7.11 (53)
2022-09-16Geelong
Brisbane
18.12 (120)
7.7 (49)
2022-04-08Geelong
Brisbane
11.14 (80)
11.4 (70)
2021-06-24Brisbane
Geelong
13.16 (94)
7.8 (50)
2021-03-26Geelong
Brisbane
12.9 (81)
11.14 (80)
2020-10-17Brisbane
Geelong
6.6 (42)
11.16 (82)

Note: only league fixtures are included, not
pre-season or cup fixtures.

Performance Guide: Brisbane

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Geelong
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak3 wins3 wins1 win1 win
Record8-0-418-0-96-0-89-0-19
Value$-0.91$5.02$0.25$-5.88
Record as Fav8-0-412-0-64-0-24-0-4
Value as Fav$-0.91$-1.84$0.39$-1.61
Record as Dog0-0-06-0-32-0-65-0-15
Value as Dog$0.00$6.86$-0.14$-4.27
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss1 loss3 losses1 win
Record6-0-616-0-112-0-87-0-16
Value$-0.60$3.47$-6.09$-9.45
Record as Fav6-0-69-0-91-0-51-0-7
Value as Fav$-0.60$-0.89$-4.09$-6.09
Record as Dog0-0-07-0-21-0-36-0-9
Value as Dog$0.00$4.36$-2.00$-3.36
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins51145
40+ wins3724
1-39 losses4749
40+ losses02410
1-24 win4445
25+ win41424
1-24 loss4603
25+ loss03816
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak4 overs4 overs4 unders2 overs
O/U Record8-0-415-0-122-0-79-0-12
Overs Value$3.17$1.41$-5.20$-3.87
Unders Value$-4.36$-4.16$4.34$1.85

Performance Guide: Geelong

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Brisbane
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak3 losses2 wins1 loss1 loss
Record6-0-420-0-68-0-619-0-9
Value$-2.75$0.41$-2.32$-0.93
Record as Fav6-0-220-0-46-0-215-0-5
Value as Fav$-0.75$2.41$-0.69$-1.62
Record as Dog0-0-20-0-22-0-44-0-4
Value as Dog$-2.00$-2.00$-1.63$0.69
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss2 wins3 wins1 loss
Record5-0-515-0-118-0-216-0-7
Value$-0.48$2.57$5.28$7.75
Record as Fav4-0-414-0-103-0-19-0-6
Value as Fav$-0.38$2.67$1.77$2.42
Record as Dog1-0-11-0-15-0-17-0-1
Value as Dog$-0.10$-0.10$3.51$5.33
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins1849
40+ wins512410
1-39 losses3345
40+ losses1324
1-24 win0403
25+ win616816
1-24 loss1145
25+ loss3524
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak2 unders2 overs4 unders2 overs
O/U Record6-0-416-0-102-0-79-0-12
Overs Value$1.42$4.33$-5.20$-3.87
Unders Value$-2.44$-7.10$4.34$1.85

Further Analysis: Brisbane

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record11-0-67-0-2
H2H Betting Value$-0.44$6.46
Line Record9-0-87-0-2
Line Betting Value$0.12$4.35
Over/Under Record11-0-63-0-6
Overs Betting Value$3.85$-3.35
Unders Betting Value$-5.58$2.42

 

Further Analysis: Geelong

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record14-0-56-0-1
H2H Betting Value$-0.14$0.55
Line Record11-0-84-0-3
Line Betting Value$1.95$0.62
Over/Under Record11-0-85-0-2
Overs Betting Value$1.96$2.37
Unders Betting Value$-3.92$-3.18

 

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
BrisbaneH2H$0.20$2.25$2.83
Line$-0.30$1.32$1.05
GeelongH2H$-0.54$-0.24$0.37
Line$3.50$1.32$1.03

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering
$1.00 on the associated selection each game.

Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from
the dates provided in the Notes section below the
Performance Guide.

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to May, 2025. The line records date back to May, 2025. The O/U records date back to May, 2025.
3. The H2H records between Brisbane and Geelong date back to June, 2009. The line records between the two opponents date back to April, 2013. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to September, 2013.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

AFL Resources

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The AFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The AFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The AFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The AFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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