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AFL Round 5

AFL

Essendon

v


Melbourne

Saturday, April 11th, 2026
1:15 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Adelaide Oval (Adelaide, SA - neutral venue)

Introduction

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Round 5 clash between Essendon and Melbourne. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

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View a preview with betting tips for this round.

MarketSelectionOpenCurrent
H2H Essendon
Melbourne
3.30
1.30
4.10
1.24
Line Essendon
Melbourne
+27.5  1.90
-27.5  1.90
+27.5  1.90
-27.5  1.90
Total Over
Under
187.5  1.87
187.5  1.87
187.5  1.87
187.5  1.87

Compare bookmaker odds for AFL Round 5

Member Tipping

The # and % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped. Submit or edit your tips for this fixture.

All Tippers

Selection #%
Essendon
Melbourne
0
2
0.0%
100.0%
Essendon (+27.5)
Melbourne (-27.5)
0
1
0.0%
100.0%
Over 192.5
Under 192.5
0
1
0.0%
100.0%

My Favourite Tippers

Selection #%
Essendon
Melbourne
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Essendon (+27.5)
Melbourne (-27.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 192.5
Under 192.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Essendon Supporters

Selection #%
Essendon
Melbourne
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Essendon (+27.5)
Melbourne (-27.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 192.5
Under 192.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Melbourne Supporters

Selection #%
Essendon
Melbourne
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Essendon (+27.5)
Melbourne (-27.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 192.5
Under 192.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Form Guide: Essendon

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2026-04-05Western Bulldogs
Essendon
Loss14.15 (99)
9.11 (65)
2026-03-28Essendon
North Melbourne
Loss9.15 (69)
12.9 (81)
2026-03-22Port Adelaide
Essendon
Loss20.13 (133)
10.10 (70)
2026-03-13Essendon
Hawthorn
Loss13.5 (83)
21.19 (145)
2025-08-27Gold Coast
Essendon
Loss23.15 (153)
8.10 (58)
2025-08-21Essendon
Carlton
Loss8.8 (56)
13.12 (90)
2025-08-15Essendon
St Kilda
Loss11.9 (75)
11.11 (77)
2025-08-08Geelong
Essendon
Loss15.19 (109)
10.5 (65)
2025-08-02Sydney
Essendon
Loss9.14 (68)
7.12 (54)
2025-07-25Essendon
Western Bulldogs
Loss7.8 (50)
22.11 (143)
2025-07-17Essendon
GWS
Loss7.14 (56)
16.8 (104)
2025-07-12Richmond
Essendon
Loss6.10 (46)
4.13 (37)

Form Guide: Melbourne

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2026-04-05Melbourne
Gold Coast
Win16.13 (109)
14.5 (89)
2026-03-29Carlton
Melbourne
Win11.11 (77)
15.10 (100)
2026-03-21Fremantle
Melbourne
Loss17.16 (118)
10.10 (70)
2026-03-15Melbourne
St Kilda
Win18.12 (120)
15.17 (107)
2025-08-22Collingwood
Melbourne
Loss11.16 (82)
11.10 (76)
2025-08-16Hawthorn
Melbourne
Loss13.14 (92)
8.8 (56)
2025-08-10Melbourne
Western Bulldogs
Loss15.9 (99)
15.15 (105)
2025-08-02Melbourne
West Coast
Win21.13 (139)
8.8 (56)
2025-07-27St Kilda
Melbourne
Loss15.6 (96)
13.12 (90)
2025-07-19Carlton
Melbourne
Loss12.6 (78)
10.10 (70)
2025-07-13Melbourne
North Melbourne
Win18.11 (119)
12.11 (83)
2025-07-06Adelaide
Melbourne
Loss13.12 (90)
11.11 (77)

Head-to-Head Results

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2025-04-12Melbourne
Essendon
8.9 (57)
15.6 (96)
2024-07-13Melbourne
Essendon
13.6 (84)
10.7 (67)
2023-04-15Essendon
Melbourne
15.14 (104)
11.11 (77)
2022-04-01Melbourne
Essendon
14.15 (99)
10.10 (70)
2021-06-26Essendon
Melbourne
8.9 (57)
9.14 (68)
2020-09-19Essendon
Melbourne
7.7 (49)
10.8 (68)
2019-04-05Melbourne
Essendon
18.4 (112)
20.10 (130)
2018-04-29Essendon
Melbourne
10.12 (72)
16.12 (108)
2017-04-30Essendon
Melbourne
10.14 (74)
17.10 (112)
2016-04-02Essendon
Melbourne
11.14 (80)
10.7 (67)
2015-07-11Essendon
Melbourne
10.9 (69)
7.18 (60)
2014-06-15Essendon
Melbourne
10.17 (77)
12.6 (78)

Note: only league fixtures are included, not
pre-season or cup fixtures.

Performance Guide: Essendon

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Melbourne
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak8 losses17 losses1 win1 win
Record3-0-85-0-194-0-76-0-10
Value$-6.10$-15.82$2.61$2.36
Record as Fav2-0-03-0-11-0-31-0-5
Value as Fav$0.60$-0.07$-2.92$-4.92
Record as Dog1-0-82-0-183-0-45-0-5
Value as Dog$-6.70$-15.75$5.53$7.28
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win2 wins2 wins1 win
Record3-0-89-0-155-0-47-0-6
Value$-5.28$-6.83$0.62$0.40
Record as Fav0-0-20-0-41-0-11-0-2
Value as Fav$-2.00$-4.00$-0.08$-1.08
Record as Dog3-0-69-0-114-0-36-0-4
Value as Dog$-3.28$-2.83$0.69$1.47
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins3535
40+ wins0011
1-39 losses38710
40+ losses51100
1-24 win3423
25+ win0123
1-24 loss2646
25+ loss61334
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 under2 unders1 over2 unders
O/U Record4-0-78-0-161-0-73-0-9
Overs Value$-3.40$-8.80$-6.09$-6.27
Unders Value$2.33$6.48$5.52$5.34

Performance Guide: Melbourne

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Essendon
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win2 wins1 loss1 loss
Record3-0-810-0-137-0-410-0-6
Value$-1.97$0.54$13.01$13.64
Record as Fav2-0-26-0-44-0-35-0-5
Value as Fav$-0.72$-1.26$-0.69$-2.45
Record as Dog1-0-64-0-93-0-15-0-1
Value as Dog$-1.25$1.80$13.70$16.09
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win2 wins2 losses1 loss
Record6-0-514-0-94-0-56-0-7
Value$0.49$3.75$-1.45$-1.63
Record as Fav2-0-25-0-53-0-44-0-6
Value as Fav$-0.19$-0.46$-1.29$-2.38
Record as Dog4-0-39-0-41-0-12-0-1
Value as Dog$0.68$4.21$-0.17$0.74
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins38710
40+ wins0200
1-39 losses71235
40+ losses1111
1-24 win2646
25+ win1434
1-24 loss5723
25+ loss3623
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 over2 overs1 over2 unders
O/U Record6-0-513-0-101-0-73-0-9
Overs Value$0.42$1.71$-6.09$-6.27
Unders Value$-1.49$-3.94$5.52$5.34

Further Analysis: Essendon

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record3-0-32-0-16
H2H Betting Value$-0.42$-15.40
Line Record3-0-36-0-12
Line Betting Value$-0.31$-6.52
Over/Under Record1-0-57-0-11
Overs Betting Value$-4.09$-4.71
Unders Betting Value$3.55$2.93

 

Further Analysis: Melbourne

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record4-0-56-0-8
H2H Betting Value$-0.87$1.41
Line Record4-0-510-0-4
Line Betting Value$-1.37$5.12
Over/Under Record4-0-59-0-5
Overs Betting Value$-1.40$3.11
Unders Betting Value$0.51$-4.45

 

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
EssendonH2H$-6.00$-12.00$-16.73
Line$-2.20$-2.47$-4.61
MelbourneH2H$1.50$-2.24$-0.62
Line$1.61$3.25$4.93

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering
$1.00 on the associated selection each game.

Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from
the dates provided in the Notes section below the
Performance Guide.

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to April, 2025. The line records date back to April, 2025. The O/U records date back to April, 2025.
3. The H2H records between Essendon and Melbourne date back to June, 2009. The line records between the two opponents date back to March, 2013. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to March, 2014.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

AFL Resources

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on AusSportsBetting.com.

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The AFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The AFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The AFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The AFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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