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AFL Round 17

AFL

Adelaide

v


Melbourne

Sunday, July 6th, 2025
3:15 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Adelaide Oval (Adelaide, SA)

Introduction

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Round 17 clash between Adelaide and Melbourne. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

View active bookmaker promotions (excludes NSW)

View a preview with betting tips for this round.

MarketSelectionOpenCurrent
H2H Adelaide
Melbourne
1.28
3.75
1.22
4.35
Line Adelaide
Melbourne
-22.5  1.91
+22.5  1.91
-26.5  1.91
+26.5  1.91
Total Over
Under
170.5  1.89
170.5  1.89
171.5  1.89
171.5  1.89

Compare bookmaker odds for AFL Round 17

MarketSelectionOpenCurrent
H2H Adelaide
Melbourne
1.26
3.80
1.24
4.10
Line Adelaide
Melbourne
-24.5  1.90
+24.5  1.90
-26.5  1.90
+26.5  1.90

Member Tipping

The # and % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped. Submit or edit your tips for this fixture.

All Tippers

Selection #%
Adelaide
Melbourne
20
14
58.8%
41.2%
Adelaide (-25.5)
Melbourne (+25.5)
7
6
53.8%
46.2%
Over 170.5
Under 170.5
3
4
42.9%
57.1%

My Favourite Tippers

Selection #%
Adelaide
Melbourne
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Adelaide (-25.5)
Melbourne (+25.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 170.5
Under 170.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Adelaide Supporters

Selection #%
Adelaide
Melbourne
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Adelaide (-25.5)
Melbourne (+25.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 170.5
Under 170.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Melbourne Supporters

Selection #%
Adelaide
Melbourne
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Adelaide (-25.5)
Melbourne (+25.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 170.5
Under 170.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Form Guide: Adelaide

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2025-06-29Richmond
Adelaide
Win8.6 (54)
18.14 (122)
2025-06-13Hawthorn
Adelaide
Loss6.11 (47)
5.14 (44)
2025-06-06Adelaide
Brisbane
Win10.8 (68)
8.15 (63)
2025-05-31Sydney
Adelaide
Win5.11 (41)
21.5 (131)
2025-05-25Adelaide
West Coast
Win19.14 (128)
8.14 (62)
2025-05-17Collingwood
Adelaide
Loss11.12 (78)
10.8 (68)
2025-05-10Port Adelaide
Adelaide
Win12.12 (84)
13.11 (89)
2025-05-03Adelaide
Carlton
Win16.14 (110)
7.8 (50)
2025-04-25Fremantle
Adelaide
Loss12.13 (85)
9.13 (67)
2025-04-19Adelaide
GWS
Win7.10 (52)
4.10 (34)
2025-04-10Adelaide
Geelong
Loss15.10 (100)
18.11 (119)
2025-04-05Gold Coast
Adelaide
Loss13.13 (91)
14.6 (90)

Form Guide: Melbourne

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2025-06-28Gold Coast
Melbourne
Loss15.14 (104)
12.13 (85)
2025-06-15Port Adelaide
Melbourne
Loss14.9 (93)
9.14 (68)
2025-06-09Melbourne
Collingwood
Loss10.11 (71)
11.6 (72)
2025-06-01Melbourne
St Kilda
Loss7.21 (63)
14.7 (91)
2025-05-25Melbourne
Sydney
Win19.17 (131)
12.6 (78)
2025-05-18Brisbane
Melbourne
Win13.10 (88)
14.15 (99)
2025-05-10Melbourne
Hawthorn
Loss7.14 (56)
13.13 (91)
2025-05-03West Coast
Melbourne
Win11.10 (76)
16.12 (108)
2025-04-24Melbourne
Richmond
Win12.11 (83)
9.9 (63)
2025-04-19Melbourne
Fremantle
Win16.11 (107)
14.13 (97)
2025-04-12Melbourne
Essendon
Loss8.9 (57)
15.6 (96)
2025-04-04Geelong
Melbourne
Loss12.13 (85)
6.10 (46)

Head-to-Head Results

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2024-04-04Adelaide
Melbourne
8.15 (63)
10.18 (78)
2023-07-23Melbourne
Adelaide
14.13 (97)
13.15 (93)
2022-07-02Adelaide
Melbourne
10.5 (65)
14.10 (94)
2021-08-15Melbourne
Adelaide
16.8 (104)
9.9 (63)
2021-05-22Adelaide
Melbourne
15.6 (96)
14.11 (95)
2020-08-05Adelaide
Melbourne
5.7 (37)
13.10 (88)
2019-06-01Melbourne
Adelaide
12.16 (88)
14.6 (90)
2018-07-28Adelaide
Melbourne
10.17 (77)
13.12 (90)
2018-05-27Melbourne
Adelaide
23.8 (146)
8.7 (55)
2017-07-15Melbourne
Adelaide
10.10 (70)
17.14 (116)
2017-05-13Adelaide
Melbourne
9.12 (66)
17.5 (107)
2016-07-03Melbourne
Adelaide
15.8 (98)
18.12 (120)

Note: only league fixtures are included, not
pre-season or cup fixtures.

Performance Guide: Adelaide

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Melbourne
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak4 wins1 win2 losses4 losses
Record8-0-213-0-104-0-68-0-11
Value$2.36$-2.21$-2.31$-5.96
Record as Fav7-0-111-0-13-0-37-0-4
Value as Fav$1.61$3.14$-2.31$-1.96
Record as Dog1-0-02-0-81-0-31-0-7
Value as Dog$1.75$-4.35$0.00$-4.00
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss2 wins2 losses1 loss
Record6-0-415-0-82-0-75-0-10
Value$1.48$5.71$-5.15$-5.41
Record as Fav5-0-38-0-41-0-42-0-6
Value as Fav$1.57$3.30$-3.06$-4.14
Record as Dog1-0-07-0-31-0-33-0-4
Value as Dog$0.91$3.41$-2.09$-1.27
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins5724
40+ wins3624
1-39 losses1946
40+ losses1125
1-24 win2413
25+ win6935
1-24 loss1835
25+ loss1236
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 under1 over2 unders1 under
O/U Record5-0-511-0-122-0-68-0-6
Overs Value$-0.51$-2.07$-4.18$1.33
Unders Value$-0.45$-0.08$3.45$-2.55

Performance Guide: Melbourne

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Adelaide
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak2 losses4 losses2 wins4 wins
Record3-0-68-0-156-0-411-0-8
Value$1.43$-2.35$13.85$13.29
Record as Fav1-0-14-0-33-0-17-0-1
Value as Fav$-0.52$-1.15$0.06$1.90
Record as Dog2-0-54-0-123-0-34-0-7
Value as Dog$1.95$-1.20$13.79$11.39
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win1 win2 wins1 win
Record4-0-511-0-127-0-210-0-5
Value$-1.28$-1.89$4.48$4.19
Record as Fav1-0-13-0-43-0-14-0-3
Value as Fav$-0.09$-1.27$1.67$0.60
Record as Dog3-0-48-0-84-0-16-0-2
Value as Dog$-1.19$-0.62$2.81$3.60
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins2546
40+ wins1325
1-39 losses31024
40+ losses3524
1-24 win1435
25+ win2436
1-24 loss1513
25+ loss51035
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak4 overs2 overs2 unders1 under
O/U Record8-0-113-0-102-0-68-0-6
Overs Value$6.28$1.83$-4.18$1.33
Unders Value$-7.09$-3.90$3.45$-2.55

Further Analysis: Adelaide

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record6-0-77-0-3
H2H Betting Value$-3.01$0.80
Line Record7-0-68-0-2
Line Betting Value$0.41$5.30
Over/Under Record4-0-97-0-3
Overs Betting Value$-5.44$3.37
Unders Betting Value$4.19$-4.27

 

Further Analysis: Melbourne

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record4-0-44-0-11
H2H Betting Value$-0.82$-1.53
Line Record3-0-58-0-7
Line Betting Value$-2.27$0.38
Over/Under Record3-0-510-0-5
Overs Betting Value$-2.27$4.10
Unders Betting Value$1.55$-5.45

 

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
AdelaideH2H$-0.75$-2.31$-1.65
Line$3.55$3.30$3.03
MelbourneH2H$1.62$1.78$-1.02
Line$1.68$-0.50$-0.71

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering
$1.00 on the associated selection each game.

Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from
the dates provided in the Notes section below the
Performance Guide.

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to July, 2024. The line records date back to July, 2024. The O/U records date back to July, 2024.
3. The H2H records between Adelaide and Melbourne date back to June, 2009. The line records between the two opponents date back to March, 2013. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to March, 2014.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

AFL Resources

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on AusSportsBetting.com.

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The AFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The AFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The AFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The AFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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