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AFL Round 9

AFL

Melbourne

v


Hawthorn

Saturday, May 10th, 2025
1:20 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
MCG (Melbourne, VIC)

Introduction

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Round 9 clash between Melbourne and Hawthorn. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

View active bookmaker promotions (excludes NSW)

View a preview with betting tips for this round.

MarketSelectionOpenCurrent
H2H Melbourne
Hawthorn
3.50
1.31
3.85
1.27
Line Melbourne
Hawthorn
+20.5  1.91
-20.5  1.91
+23.5  1.91
-23.5  1.91
Total Over
Under
169.5  1.89
169.5  1.89
169.5  1.89
169.5  1.89

Compare bookmaker odds for AFL Round 9

MarketSelectionOpenCurrent
H2H Melbourne
Hawthorn
3.85
1.26
3.80
1.27
Line Melbourne
Hawthorn
+24.5  1.90
-24.5  1.90
+22.5  1.90
-22.5  1.90
Total Over
Under
170.5  1.87
170.5  1.87
170.5  1.95
170.5  1.80

Member Tipping

The # and % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped. Submit or edit your tips for this fixture.

All Tippers

Selection #%
Melbourne
Hawthorn
16
21
43.2%
56.8%
Melbourne (+23.5)
Hawthorn (-23.5)
8
6
57.1%
42.9%
Over 169.5
Under 169.5
5
5
50.0%
50.0%

My Favourite Tippers

Selection #%
Melbourne
Hawthorn
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Melbourne (+23.5)
Hawthorn (-23.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 169.5
Under 169.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Melbourne Supporters

Selection #%
Melbourne
Hawthorn
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Melbourne (+23.5)
Hawthorn (-23.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 169.5
Under 169.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Hawthorn Supporters

Selection #%
Melbourne
Hawthorn
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Melbourne (+23.5)
Hawthorn (-23.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 169.5
Under 169.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Form Guide: Melbourne

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2025-05-03West Coast
Melbourne
Win11.10 (76)
16.12 (108)
2025-04-24Melbourne
Richmond
Win12.11 (83)
9.9 (63)
2025-04-19Melbourne
Fremantle
Win16.11 (107)
14.13 (97)
2025-04-12Melbourne
Essendon
Loss8.9 (57)
15.6 (96)
2025-04-04Geelong
Melbourne
Loss12.13 (85)
6.10 (46)
2025-03-29Melbourne
Gold Coast
Loss8.14 (62)
18.12 (120)
2025-03-23North Melbourne
Melbourne
Loss19.11 (125)
9.12 (66)
2025-03-16Melbourne
GWS
Loss11.8 (74)
11.11 (77)
2024-08-23Melbourne
Collingwood
Loss8.9 (57)
15.13 (103)
2024-08-17Gold Coast
Melbourne
Win9.9 (63)
18.9 (117)
2024-08-10Melbourne
Port Adelaide
Loss7.9 (51)
7.11 (53)
2024-08-02Western Bulldogs
Melbourne
Loss15.20 (110)
9.5 (59)

Form Guide: Hawthorn

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2025-05-04Hawthorn
Richmond
Win16.13 (109)
6.8 (44)
2025-04-27Hawthorn
West Coast
Win18.16 (124)
11.8 (74)
2025-04-21Geelong
Hawthorn
Loss12.14 (86)
11.13 (79)
2025-04-13Port Adelaide
Hawthorn
Loss18.13 (121)
14.7 (91)
2025-03-29Hawthorn
GWS
Win10.16 (76)
9.10 (64)
2025-03-20Carlton
Hawthorn
Win8.12 (60)
12.8 (80)
2025-03-14Hawthorn
Essendon
Win17.9 (111)
12.13 (85)
2025-03-07Sydney
Hawthorn
Win11.10 (76)
14.12 (96)
2024-09-13Port Adelaide
Hawthorn
Loss11.9 (75)
11.6 (72)
2024-09-06Western Bulldogs
Hawthorn
Win9.8 (62)
14.15 (99)
2024-08-24Hawthorn
North Melbourne
Win26.14 (170)
7.4 (46)
2024-08-18Hawthorn
Richmond
Win19.17 (131)
10.8 (68)

Head-to-Head Results

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2024-03-23Hawthorn
Melbourne
5.8 (38)
14.9 (93)
2023-08-20Melbourne
Hawthorn
13.9 (87)
9.6 (60)
2023-05-13Hawthorn
Melbourne
7.7 (49)
15.13 (103)
2022-04-30Melbourne
Hawthorn
13.13 (91)
11.15 (81)
2021-07-17Melbourne
Hawthorn
11.13 (79)
12.7 (79)
2021-04-18Hawthorn
Melbourne
8.6 (54)
15.14 (104)
2020-07-19Hawthorn
Melbourne
7.6 (48)
14.7 (91)
2019-05-04Melbourne
Hawthorn
11.13 (79)
11.8 (74)
2018-09-14Hawthorn
Melbourne
10.11 (71)
16.8 (104)
2018-04-15Hawthorn
Melbourne
18.7 (115)
6.12 (48)
2017-05-07Melbourne
Hawthorn
14.7 (91)
14.10 (94)
2016-08-06Melbourne
Hawthorn
17.8 (110)
11.15 (81)

Note: only league fixtures are included, not
pre-season or cup fixtures.

Performance Guide: Melbourne

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Hawthorn
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak2 wins3 wins2 wins4 wins
Record6-0-78-0-144-1-59-1-11
Value$-2.07$-6.39$-0.21$-4.04
Record as Fav4-0-25-0-52-1-16-1-2
Value as Fav$-0.92$-3.44$-1.08$-0.96
Record as Dog2-0-53-0-92-0-43-0-9
Value as Dog$-1.15$-2.95$0.87$-3.08
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss1 win3 losses1 win
Record6-0-79-0-132-0-59-0-7
Value$-1.52$-4.71$-3.19$1.34
Record as Fav2-0-43-0-70-0-44-0-5
Value as Fav$-2.18$-4.27$-4.00$-1.32
Record as Dog4-0-36-0-62-0-15-0-2
Value as Dog$0.66$-0.44$0.81$2.66
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins5645
40+ wins1204
1-39 losses4813
40+ losses3648
1-24 win4422
25+ win2427
1-24 loss3413
25+ loss41048
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 under1 over1 under3 unders
O/U Record6-0-712-0-103-0-37-0-8
Overs Value$-1.54$0.92$-0.25$-1.60
Unders Value$0.33$-3.04$-0.24$0.41

Performance Guide: Hawthorn

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Melbourne
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak2 losses2 wins2 losses4 losses
Record7-0-619-0-65-1-411-1-9
Value$-0.41$7.67$1.78$-0.60
Record as Fav4-0-212-0-24-0-29-0-3
Value as Fav$0.37$3.11$-1.55$-1.11
Record as Dog2-0-36-0-31-1-22-1-6
Value as Dog$-0.68$4.66$3.33$0.51
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak2 losses1 win3 wins1 loss
Record8-0-519-0-65-0-27-0-9
Value$2.39$11.36$2.53$-2.55
Record as Fav4-0-211-0-31-0-22-0-5
Value as Fav$1.74$7.11$-1.13$-3.21
Record as Dog3-0-27-0-24-0-05-0-4
Value as Dog$0.75$4.35$3.66$0.65
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins31013
40+ wins4948
1-39 losses5545
40+ losses1104
1-24 win2613
25+ win51348
1-24 loss4422
25+ loss2227
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 under1 under1 under3 unders
O/U Record4-0-912-0-133-0-37-0-8
Overs Value$-5.42$-2.14$-0.25$-1.60
Unders Value$4.19$-0.17$-0.24$0.41

Further Analysis: Melbourne

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record3-0-45-0-10
H2H Betting Value$-1.69$-4.70
Line Record3-0-46-0-9
Line Betting Value$-1.23$-3.48
Over/Under Record3-0-49-0-6
Overs Betting Value$-1.27$2.19
Unders Betting Value$0.58$-3.62

 

Further Analysis: Hawthorn

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record14-0-55-0-1
H2H Betting Value$4.00$3.67
Line Record15-0-44-0-2
Line Betting Value$9.70$1.66
Over/Under Record8-0-114-0-2
Overs Betting Value$-3.78$1.64
Unders Betting Value$2.01$-2.18

 

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
MelbourneH2H$0.16$-2.64$-3.75
Line$-2.18$-2.39$-2.62
HawthornH2H$-0.93$0.63$2.42
Line$-0.27$3.28$4.93

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering
$1.00 on the associated selection each game.

Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from
the dates provided in the Notes section below the
Performance Guide.

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to May, 2024. The line records date back to May, 2024. The O/U records date back to May, 2024.
3. The H2H records between Melbourne and Hawthorn date back to June, 2009. The line records between the two opponents date back to April, 2013. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to September, 2013.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

AFL Resources

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on AusSportsBetting.com.

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The AFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The AFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The AFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The AFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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