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AFL Round 5

AFL

Melbourne

v


Essendon

Saturday, April 12th, 2025
7:35 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Adelaide Oval (Adelaide, SA - neutral venue)

Introduction

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Round 5 clash between Melbourne and Essendon. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

View active bookmaker promotions (excludes NSW)

View a preview with betting tips for this round.

MarketSelectionOpenCurrent
H2H Melbourne
Essendon
1.91
1.91
1.90
1.95
Line Melbourne
Essendon
-1.5  2.00
+1.5  1.82
-1.5  1.95
+1.5  1.87
Total Over
Under
169.5  1.89
169.5  1.89
171.5  1.91
171.5  1.91

Compare bookmaker odds for AFL Round 5

MarketSelectionOpenCurrent
H2H Melbourne
Essendon
1.94
1.83
1.90
1.90
Line Melbourne
Essendon
+2.5  1.85
-2.5  1.95
+1.5  1.85
-1.5  1.95
Total Over
Under
168.5  1.87
168.5  1.87
170.5  1.87
170.5  1.90

Member Tipping

The # and % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped. Submit or edit your tips for this fixture.

All Tippers

Selection #%
Melbourne
Essendon
10
19
34.5%
65.5%
Melbourne (+1.5)
Essendon (-1.5)
9
7
56.3%
43.8%
Over 169.5
Under 169.5
4
10
28.6%
71.4%

My Favourite Tippers

Selection #%
Melbourne
Essendon
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Melbourne (+1.5)
Essendon (-1.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 169.5
Under 169.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Melbourne Supporters

Selection #%
Melbourne
Essendon
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Melbourne (+1.5)
Essendon (-1.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 169.5
Under 169.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Essendon Supporters

Selection #%
Melbourne
Essendon
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Melbourne (+1.5)
Essendon (-1.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 169.5
Under 169.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Form Guide: Melbourne

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2025-04-04Geelong
Melbourne
Loss12.13 (85)
6.10 (46)
2025-03-29Melbourne
Gold Coast
Loss8.14 (62)
18.12 (120)
2025-03-23North Melbourne
Melbourne
Loss19.11 (125)
9.12 (66)
2025-03-16Melbourne
GWS
Loss11.8 (74)
11.11 (77)
2024-08-23Melbourne
Collingwood
Loss8.9 (57)
15.13 (103)
2024-08-17Gold Coast
Melbourne
Win9.9 (63)
18.9 (117)
2024-08-10Melbourne
Port Adelaide
Loss7.9 (51)
7.11 (53)
2024-08-02Western Bulldogs
Melbourne
Loss15.20 (110)
9.5 (59)
2024-07-27Melbourne
GWS
Loss12.11 (83)
13.7 (85)
2024-07-21Fremantle
Melbourne
Loss17.14 (116)
10.6 (66)
2024-07-13Melbourne
Essendon
Win13.6 (84)
10.7 (67)
2024-07-07Melbourne
West Coast
Win17.10 (112)
8.10 (58)

Form Guide: Essendon

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2025-03-27Essendon
Port Adelaide
Win9.18 (72)
8.12 (60)
2025-03-22Essendon
Adelaide
Loss15.10 (100)
25.11 (161)
2025-03-14Hawthorn
Essendon
Loss17.9 (111)
12.13 (85)
2024-08-24Brisbane
Essendon
Loss11.21 (87)
10.7 (67)
2024-08-16Essendon
Sydney
Loss8.11 (59)
15.8 (98)
2024-08-10Essendon
Gold Coast
Loss12.14 (86)
13.9 (87)
2024-08-04Essendon
Fremantle
Win13.12 (90)
14.5 (89)
2024-07-27St Kilda
Essendon
Loss17.6 (108)
8.7 (55)
2024-07-19Essendon
Adelaide
Loss17.11 (113)
17.13 (115)
2024-07-13Melbourne
Essendon
Loss13.6 (84)
10.7 (67)
2024-07-05Collingwood
Essendon
Win12.8 (80)
13.14 (92)
2024-06-29Geelong
Essendon
Loss16.9 (105)
9.6 (60)

Head-to-Head Results

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2024-07-13Melbourne
Essendon
13.6 (84)
10.7 (67)
2023-04-15Essendon
Melbourne
15.14 (104)
11.11 (77)
2022-04-01Melbourne
Essendon
14.15 (99)
10.10 (70)
2021-06-26Essendon
Melbourne
8.9 (57)
9.14 (68)
2020-09-19Essendon
Melbourne
7.7 (49)
10.8 (68)
2019-04-05Melbourne
Essendon
18.4 (112)
20.10 (130)
2018-04-29Essendon
Melbourne
10.12 (72)
16.12 (108)
2017-04-30Essendon
Melbourne
10.14 (74)
17.10 (112)
2016-04-02Essendon
Melbourne
11.14 (80)
10.7 (67)
2015-07-11Essendon
Melbourne
10.9 (69)
7.18 (60)
2014-06-15Essendon
Melbourne
10.17 (77)
12.6 (78)
2013-04-06Essendon
Melbourne
28.16 (184)
5.6 (36)

Note: only league fixtures are included, not
pre-season or cup fixtures.

Performance Guide: Melbourne

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Essendon
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak5 losses5 losses2 wins1 win
Record5-0-67-0-143-0-110-0-5
Value$-2.65$-8.29$1.63$14.64
Record as Fav3-0-14-0-51-0-15-0-4
Value as Fav$-0.25$-4.09$-0.76$-1.45
Record as Dog2-0-53-0-92-0-05-0-1
Value as Dog$-2.40$-4.20$2.39$16.09
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss3 losses2 wins1 win
Record6-0-59-0-122-0-16-0-6
Value$0.52$-3.70$0.82$-0.63
Record as Fav2-0-23-0-61-0-14-0-5
Value as Fav$-0.18$-3.31$-0.09$-1.38
Record as Dog4-0-36-0-61-0-02-0-1
Value as Dog$0.70$-0.39$0.91$0.74
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins44310
40+ wins1300
1-39 losses3814
40+ losses3601
1-24 win3326
25+ win2414
1-24 loss3513
25+ loss3902
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 over1 under1 under1 under
O/U Record5-0-610-0-112-0-13-0-8
Overs Value$-1.45$-1.90$0.82$-5.27
Unders Value$0.42$-0.13$-1.09$4.43

Performance Guide: Essendon

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Melbourne
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak4 losses1 win2 losses1 loss
Record4-0-69-1-111-0-35-0-10
Value$-2.03$-2.01$-1.20$1.41
Record as Fav2-0-34-0-50-0-21-0-5
Value as Fav$-2.43$-4.24$-2.00$-4.92
Record as Dog2-0-35-1-61-0-14-0-5
Value as Dog$0.40$2.23$0.80$6.33
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss1 win2 losses1 loss
Record3-0-77-0-141-0-26-0-6
Value$-4.27$-7.59$-1.09$-0.48
Record as Fav0-0-50-0-90-0-11-0-2
Value as Fav$-5.00$-9.00$-1.00$-1.08
Record as Dog3-0-27-0-51-0-15-0-4
Value as Dog$0.73$1.41$-0.09$0.60
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins4814
40+ wins0101
1-39 losses48310
40+ losses2300
1-24 win4713
25+ win0202
1-24 loss3526
25+ loss3614
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 over1 under1 under1 under
O/U Record5-0-512-0-92-0-13-0-8
Overs Value$-0.47$1.94$0.82$-5.27
Unders Value$-0.55$-3.91$-1.09$4.43

Further Analysis: Melbourne

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record2-0-55-0-9
H2H Betting Value$-2.40$-5.89
Line Record3-0-46-0-8
Line Betting Value$-1.19$-2.52
Over/Under Record2-0-58-0-6
Overs Betting Value$-3.18$1.28
Unders Betting Value$2.49$-2.62

 

Further Analysis: Essendon

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record4-1-44-0-7
H2H Betting Value$0.49$-2.92
Line Record3-0-64-0-7
Line Betting Value$-3.27$-3.32
Over/Under Record4-0-58-0-3
Overs Betting Value$-1.36$4.30
Unders Betting Value$0.45$-5.27

 

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
MelbourneH2H$-2.80$-5.13$-8.55
Line$-2.14$-2.39$-4.53
EssendonH2H$-3.75$-5.05$-5.03
Line$-2.18$-4.32$-8.41

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering
$1.00 on the associated selection each game.

Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from
the dates provided in the Notes section below the
Performance Guide.

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to April, 2024. The line records date back to April, 2024. The O/U records date back to April, 2024.
3. The H2H records between Melbourne and Essendon date back to July, 2009. The line records between the two opponents date back to March, 2013. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to March, 2014.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

AFL Resources

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on AusSportsBetting.com.

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The AFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The AFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The AFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The AFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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