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AFL Round 8

AFL

Melbourne

v


Geelong

Saturday, May 4th, 2024
7:30 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
MCG (Melbourne, VIC)

Introduction

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Round 8 clash between Melbourne and Geelong. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

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View a preview with betting tips for this round.

MarketSelectionOpenCurrent
H2H Melbourne
Geelong
1.85
1.97
2.10
1.77
Line Melbourne
Geelong
-1.5  1.91
+1.5  1.91
+3.5  1.95
-3.5  1.87
Total Over
Under
166.5  1.89
166.5  1.89
161.5  1.91
161.5  1.91
MarketSelectionOpenCurrent
H2H Melbourne
Geelong
2.05
1.77
2.10
1.74
Line Melbourne
Geelong
+2.5  1.95
-2.5  1.85
+4.5  1.90
-4.5  1.90
Total Over
Under
164.5  1.90
164.5  1.85
164.5  1.90
164.5  1.85

Compare bookmaker odds for AFL Round 8

Member Tipping

The # and % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped. Submit or edit your tips for this fixture.

All Tippers

Selection #%
Melbourne
Geelong
8
35
18.6%
81.4%
Melbourne (+1.5)
Geelong (-1.5)
7
10
41.2%
58.8%
Over 165.5
Under 165.5
9
5
64.3%
35.7%

My Favourite Tippers

Selection #%
Melbourne
Geelong
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Melbourne (+1.5)
Geelong (-1.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 165.5
Under 165.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Melbourne Supporters

Selection #%
Melbourne
Geelong
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Melbourne (+1.5)
Geelong (-1.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 165.5
Under 165.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Geelong Supporters

Selection #%
Melbourne
Geelong
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Melbourne (+1.5)
Geelong (-1.5)
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
Over 165.5
Under 165.5
0
0
0.0%
0.0%

Form Guide: Melbourne

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2024-04-24Richmond
Melbourne
Win5.12 (42)
13.7 (85)
2024-04-11Melbourne
Brisbane
Loss8.12 (60)
12.10 (82)
2024-04-04Adelaide
Melbourne
Win8.15 (63)
10.18 (78)
2024-03-30Port Adelaide
Melbourne
Win13.11 (89)
15.6 (96)
2024-03-23Hawthorn
Melbourne
Win5.8 (38)
14.9 (93)
2024-03-17Melbourne
Western Bulldogs
Win16.13 (109)
9.10 (64)
2024-03-07Sydney
Melbourne
Loss12.14 (86)
9.10 (64)
2023-09-15Melbourne
Carlton
Loss9.17 (71)
11.7 (73)
2023-09-07Collingwood
Melbourne
Loss9.6 (60)
7.11 (53)
2023-08-27Sydney
Melbourne
Win7.14 (56)
11.11 (77)
2023-08-20Melbourne
Hawthorn
Win13.9 (87)
9.6 (60)
2023-08-12Carlton
Melbourne
Loss9.6 (60)
8.8 (56)

Form Guide: Geelong

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2024-04-27Geelong
Carlton
Win18.10 (118)
15.15 (105)
2024-04-20Brisbane
Geelong
Win4.13 (37)
9.9 (63)
2024-04-14Geelong
North Melbourne
Win21.13 (139)
10.4 (64)
2024-04-06Western Bulldogs
Geelong
Win14.7 (91)
14.11 (95)
2024-04-01Hawthorn
Geelong
Win10.10 (70)
17.4 (106)
2024-03-22Adelaide
Geelong
Win11.11 (77)
14.12 (96)
2024-03-16Geelong
St Kilda
Win10.16 (76)
9.14 (68)
2023-08-26Geelong
Western Bulldogs
Loss11.13 (79)
16.8 (104)
2023-08-19St Kilda
Geelong
Loss12.16 (88)
8.7 (55)
2023-08-11Collingwood
Geelong
Loss16.13 (109)
15.11 (101)
2023-08-05Geelong
Port Adelaide
Win14.13 (97)
12.13 (85)
2023-07-29Geelong
Fremantle
Loss9.10 (64)
10.11 (71)

Head-to-Head Results

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2023-06-22Geelong
Melbourne
11.12 (78)
8.15 (63)
2022-07-07Geelong
Melbourne
12.19 (91)
9.9 (63)
2021-09-10Melbourne
Geelong
19.11 (125)
6.6 (42)
2021-08-21Geelong
Melbourne
12.5 (77)
12.9 (81)
2021-04-11Melbourne
Geelong
12.13 (85)
9.6 (60)
2020-06-28Melbourne
Geelong
6.8 (44)
7.5 (47)
2019-03-30Geelong
Melbourne
20.6 (126)
6.10 (46)
2018-09-07Melbourne
Geelong
10.15 (75)
6.10 (46)
2018-07-21Geelong
Melbourne
16.4 (100)
14.14 (98)
2018-03-25Melbourne
Geelong
13.16 (94)
14.13 (97)
2017-04-08Geelong
Melbourne
20.6 (126)
13.19 (97)
2016-08-27Geelong
Melbourne
24.11 (155)
6.8 (44)

Note: only league fixtures are included, not
pre-season or cup fixtures.

Performance Guide: Melbourne

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Geelong
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss1 win2 wins2 losses
Record6-0-416-0-93-0-35-0-14
Value$-0.46$-0.28$-0.80$-5.49
Record as Fav4-0-412-0-63-0-14-0-2
Value as Fav$-2.50$-1.92$1.20$1.10
Record as Dog2-0-04-0-30-0-21-0-12
Value as Dog$2.04$1.64$-2.00$-6.59
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss1 win4 wins2 losses
Record4-0-612-0-134-0-27-0-8
Value$-2.36$-2.22$1.62$-1.62
Record as Fav2-0-68-0-103-0-14-0-2
Value as Fav$-4.18$-2.82$1.71$1.68
Record as Dog2-0-04-0-31-0-13-0-6
Value as Dog$1.82$0.60$-0.09$-3.30
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins51224
40+ wins1411
1-39 losses4926
40+ losses0018
1-24 win4902
25+ win2733
1-24 loss4924
25+ loss00110
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 under3 unders1 over1 under
O/U Record3-0-77-0-182-0-49-0-5
Overs Value$-4.27$-11.67$-2.17$3.18
Unders Value$3.33$9.22$1.57$-4.52

Performance Guide: Geelong

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Melbourne
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak4 wins7 wins2 losses2 wins
Record5-1-613-1-93-0-314-0-5
Value$-0.03$-0.16$-1.06$0.59
Record as Fav1-1-39-1-52-0-012-0-1
Value as Fav$-2.67$-1.79$0.68$2.38
Record as Dog3-0-33-0-41-0-32-0-4
Value as Dog$1.70$0.70$-1.74$-1.79
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak4 wins6 wins4 losses2 wins
Record6-0-611-0-122-0-48-0-7
Value$-0.53$-1.94$-2.09$0.45
Record as Fav1-0-46-0-91-0-16-0-3
Value as Fav$-3.09$-3.50$-0.07$2.62
Record as Dog4-0-24-0-31-0-32-0-4
Value as Dog$1.56$0.56$-2.02$-2.17
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins51026
40+ wins0318
1-39 losses6924
40+ losses0011
1-24 win3724
25+ win26110
1-24 loss3502
25+ loss3433
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 under1 over1 over1 under
O/U Record7-0-514-0-92-0-49-0-5
Overs Value$1.35$3.72$-2.17$3.18
Unders Value$-2.45$-5.81$1.57$-4.52

Further Analysis: Melbourne

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record11-0-55-0-4
H2H Betting Value$1.86$-2.14
Line Record8-0-84-0-5
Line Betting Value$-0.82$-1.40
Over/Under Record6-0-101-0-8
Overs Betting Value$-4.58$-7.09
Unders Betting Value$3.02$6.20

 

Further Analysis: Geelong

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record8-1-44-0-5
H2H Betting Value$1.90$-2.08
Line Record8-0-52-0-7
Line Betting Value$2.37$-5.22
Over/Under Record9-0-44-0-5
Overs Betting Value$4.17$-1.36
Unders Betting Value$-5.36$0.55

 

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
MelbourneH2H$2.13$-0.60$0.85
Line$3.41$-0.68$-0.95
GeelongH2H$5.49$2.28$0.39
Line$5.55$-0.45$1.19

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering
$1.00 on the associated selection each game.

Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from
the dates provided in the Notes section below the
Performance Guide.

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to May, 2023. The line records date back to May, 2023. The O/U records date back to May, 2023.
3. The H2H records between Melbourne and Geelong date back to June, 2009. The line records between the two opponents date back to April, 2013. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to September, 2013.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

AFL Resources

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on AusSportsBetting.com.

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The AFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The AFL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The AFL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The AFL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

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