A-League Round 29

Melbourne V.

v

Newcastle

Sunday, May 4th, 2025
5:00 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
AAMI Park (Melbourne, VIC)

Introduction

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the A-League Round 29 clash between Melbourne Victory and the Newcastle Jets. You can view other fixtures for this round in the A-League match centre.

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View a preview with betting tips for this round.


Market	Selection	Open	Current
H2H	Melbourne V. Draw Newcastle	1.40 5.00 6.25	1.45 5.00 5.75
Goals	Over 2.5 Under 2.5	1.36 3.20	1.33 3.40

Compare bookmaker odds for A-League Round 29


Market	Selection	Open	Current
H2H	Melbourne V. Draw Newcastle	1.40 5.00 6.00	1.40 5.00 6.00
Goals	Over 2.5 Under 2.5	1.34 3.20	1.34 3.20

Member Tipping

The # and % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped. Submit or edit your tips for this fixture.

All Tippers

Selection	#	%
Melbourne V. Draw Newcastle	15 2 15	46.9% 6.3% 46.9%
Over 2.5 Under 2.5	8 6	57.1% 42.9%

My Favourite Tippers

Selection	#	%
Melbourne V. Draw Newcastle	0 0 0	0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Over 2.5 Under 2.5	0 0	0.0% 0.0%

Melbourne V. Supporters

Selection	#	%
Melbourne V. Draw Newcastle	0 0 1	0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Over 2.5 Under 2.5	1 0	100.0% 0.0%

Newcastle Supporters

Selection	#	%
Melbourne V. Draw Newcastle	0 0 0	0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Over 2.5 Under 2.5	0 0	0.0% 0.0%

Form Guide: Melbourne Victory

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Result	Score
2025-04-25	Macarthur vs. Melbourne V.	Win	1-2
2025-04-19	Melbourne V. vs. Auckland	Loss	0-2
2025-04-12	Wellington vs. Melbourne V.	Win	2-3
2025-03-29	Melbourne V. vs. Adelaide	Win	5-3
2025-03-15	Western Sydney vs. Melbourne V.	Loss	4-2
2025-03-08	Melbourne V. vs. Central Coast	Win	3-0
2025-03-01	Brisbane vs. Melbourne V.	Draw	1-1
2025-02-22	Melbourne V. vs. Melbourne C.	Draw	2-2
2025-02-14	Melbourne V. vs. Wellington	Win	1-0
2025-02-08	Newcastle vs. Melbourne V.	Loss	3-0
2025-02-01	Perth vs. Melbourne V.	Win	0-2
2025-01-24	Melbourne V. vs. Sydney	Win	2-0

Form Guide: Newcastle Jets

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Result	Score
2025-04-26	Newcastle vs. Western Sydney	Loss	0-1
2025-04-20	Sydney vs. Newcastle	Loss	3-2
2025-04-12	Newcastle vs. Central Coast	Win	6-0
2025-04-06	Newcastle vs. Wellington	Loss	1-2
2025-03-28	Macarthur vs. Newcastle	Draw	3-3
2025-03-16	Newcastle vs. Western Utd	Loss	2-6
2025-03-12	Melbourne C. vs. Newcastle	Win	0-1
2025-03-09	Newcastle vs. Auckland	Draw	1-1
2025-02-21	Newcastle vs. Brisbane	Win	3-1
2025-02-15	Adelaide vs. Newcastle	Win	1-2
2025-02-08	Newcastle vs. Melbourne V.	Win	3-0
2025-02-01	Central Coast vs. Newcastle	Draw	2-2

Head-to-Head Results

Date (y-m-d)	Fixture	Score
2025-02-08	Newcastle vs. Melbourne V.	3-0
2024-02-03	Newcastle vs. Melbourne V.	1-1
2023-10-29	Melbourne V. vs. Newcastle	5-3
2023-02-12	Newcastle vs. Melbourne V.	2-1
2022-11-04	Melbourne V. vs. Newcastle	4-0
2022-04-16	Newcastle vs. Melbourne V.	1-2
2022-02-12	Melbourne V. vs. Newcastle	1-2
2021-04-10	Newcastle vs. Melbourne V.	1-2
2021-02-21	Melbourne V. vs. Newcastle	0-1
2020-02-22	Newcastle vs. Melbourne V.	1-1
2020-01-05	Melbourne V. vs. Newcastle	4-0
2019-03-02	Melbourne V. vs. Newcastle	0-2

Note: only league fixtures are included, not
pre-season or cup fixtures.

Performance Guide: Melbourne Victory

H2H Betting	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
	Last 12 Months		vs. Newcastle
Streak	1 loss	1 win	2 wins	1 loss
Record	7-5-2	12-10-7	15-3-6	23-11-17
Value	$-2.35	$-7.68	$1.94	$-5.65
Draw Value	$4.63	$7.11	$-11.98	$-10.35
Record as Fav	7-5-2	12-7-5	15-3-5	21-7-13
Value as Fav	$-2.35	$-2.68	$2.94	$-2.86
Record as Dog	0-0-0	0-3-2	0-0-1	2-4-4
Value as Dog	$0.00	$-5.00	$-1.00	$-2.79
Clean Sheets and BTTS	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
Total Games	14	29	24	51
Clean Sheets	6	9	8	16
Held Scoreless	2	7	3	11
Both Teams Scored	7	16	13	27
Winning Margins and Win to Nil	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
Total Wins	7	12	15	23
Won by 1 goal	2	4	6	12
Won by 2 goals	4	7	5	6
Won by 3 goals	1	1	0	1
Won by 4 goals	0	0	2	2
Won by 5 goals	0	0	2	2
Won by 6+ goals	0	0	0	0
Won to nil	5	6	8	13
Losing Margins and Lost to Nil	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
Total Losses	2	7	6	17
Lost by 1 goal	1	3	4	10
Lost by 2 goals	1	2	2	5
Lost by 3 goals	0	2	0	2
Lost by 4 goals	0	0	0	0
Lost by 5 goals	0	0	0	0
Lost by 6+ goals	0	0	0	0
Lost to nil	1	4	3	8
Total Score Betting	Home Games	All Games	Home Games	All Games
O/U 2.5 Streak	1 under	1 over	3 overs	1 over
O/U 2.5 Record	6-8	14-15	15-9	28-23
Overs 2.5 Value	$-4.55	$-7.12	$-7.56	$-22.64
Unders 2.5 Value	$4.51	$3.77	$-9.59	$-16.27
O/U 0.5 Record	13-1	26-3	24-0	48-3
O/U 1.5 Record	12-2	24-5	21-3	38-13
O/U 3.5 Record	4-10	9-20	9-15	16-35
O/U 4.5 Record	2-12	5-24	5-19	8-43
O/U 5.5 Record	2-12	3-26	2-22	3-48

Performance Guide: Newcastle Jets

H2H Betting	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
	Last 12 Months		vs. Melbourne V.
Streak	1 loss	2 losses	2 losses	1 win
Record	5-2-5	8-5-12	6-3-15	17-11-23
Value	$7.68	$3.21	$8.34	$17.45
Draw Value	$-5.00	$-5.90	$-11.98	$-10.35
Record as Fav	1-0-0	3-1-1	1-0-0	4-4-2
Value as Fav	$1.38	$1.58	$1.37	$-1.05
Record as Dog	4-2-5	5-4-11	5-3-15	13-7-21
Value as Dog	$6.30	$1.63	$6.97	$18.50
Clean Sheets and BTTS	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
Total Games	12	25	24	51
Clean Sheets	3	5	3	11
Held Scoreless	1	4	8	16
Both Teams Scored	8	16	13	27
Winning Margins and Win to Nil	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
Total Wins	5	8	6	17
Won by 1 goal	4	4	4	10
Won by 2 goals	0	1	2	5
Won by 3 goals	0	1	0	2
Won by 4 goals	1	1	0	0
Won by 5 goals	0	0	0	0
Won by 6+ goals	0	1	0	0
Won to nil	3	5	3	8
Losing Margins and Lost to Nil	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
Total Losses	5	12	15	23
Lost by 1 goal	2	7	6	12
Lost by 2 goals	2	3	5	6
Lost by 3 goals	1	1	0	1
Lost by 4 goals	0	1	2	2
Lost by 5 goals	0	0	2	2
Lost by 6+ goals	0	0	0	0
Lost to nil	1	4	8	13
Total Score Betting	Away Games	All Games	Away Games	All Games
O/U 2.5 Streak	2 overs	1 under	3 overs	1 over
O/U 2.5 Record	9-3	18-7	15-9	28-23
Overs 2.5 Value	$1.36	$2.22	$-7.56	$-22.64
Unders 2.5 Value	$-5.15	$-6.48	$-9.59	$-16.27
O/U 0.5 Record	12-0	25-0	24-0	48-3
O/U 1.5 Record	10-2	20-5	21-3	38-13
O/U 3.5 Record	6-6	12-13	9-15	16-35
O/U 4.5 Record	3-9	5-20	5-19	8-43
O/U 5.5 Record	1-11	3-22	2-22	3-48

Further Analysis: Melbourne Victory

Record	On the Back of a Win	On the Back of a Loss
H2H Record	5-2-4	5-2-1
H2H Betting Value	$-3.38	$1.65
Over/Under 2.5	5-6	4-4
Overs Betting Value	$-3.13	$-2.07
Unders Betting Value	$3.22	$0.96

Further Analysis: Newcastle Jets

Record	On the Back of a Win	On the Back of a Loss
H2H Record	2-1-5	3-3-6
H2H Betting Value	$-1.30	$-3.12
Over/Under 2.5	7-1	8-4
Overs Betting Value	$2.22	$0.27
Unders Betting Value	$-5.70	$-0.53

Value Guides:

Team	Market	Last 6	Last 12	Last 18
Melbourne V.	H2H	$1.70	$0.57	$-5.43
	Over 2.5	$1.61	$-1.17	$-1.22
	Under 2.5	$-3.80	$0.35	$-1.64
Newcastle	H2H	$-4.00	$6.53	$3.33
	Over 2.5	$1.11	$1.14	$2.67
	Under 2.5	$-2.00	$-3.33	$-6.95

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering
$1.00 on the associated selection each game.

Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from
the dates provided in the Notes section below the
Performance Guide.

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to October, 2024. The O/U records date back to October, 2024.
3. The H2H records between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle Jets date back to August, 2008. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to August, 2008.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

A-League Resources

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on AusSportsBetting.com.

The interactive A-League form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The A-League betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The A-League Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The A-League home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The A-League Poisson distribution tool applies the Poisson distribution to any pair of teams and chosen timeframe. Outcome probabilities predicted by the model along with their respective fair odds are provided.

The A-League score statistics provides goals for, goals against, goal difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.