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NFL - Betting Value Index

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The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from Pinnacle Sports are used. If you would like to compare betting value in line markets, check out the the NFL line betting table.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is September 7, 2006.

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NFL Betting Value Index

Team Home Away Home & Away
Fav Und All Fav Und All Fav Und All Games Profit
Philadelphia Eagles $2.09 $1.52 $4.51 -$1.26 $4.19 $3.88 $0.83 $5.71 $8.39 19 44.2%
Jacksonville Jaguars $1.25 $2.49 $3.74 -$1.35 $3.37 $2.02 -$0.09 $5.86 $5.77 19 30.4%
Miami Dolphins $1.51 $1.22 $3.63 -$1.00 $2.88 $1.88 $0.51 $4.10 $5.51 17 32.4%
Minnesota Vikings $1.34 $2.32 $3.67 -$0.37 $1.11 $1.69 $0.98 $3.43 $5.36 18 29.8%
Carolina Panthers -$0.18 $2.54 $2.36 -$0.58 $2.15 $1.57 -$0.76 $4.69 $3.93 17 23.1%
Cincinnati Bengals $0.16 $0.53 $1.59 $1.46 -$0.53 $0.93 $1.62 -$0.00 $2.52 16 15.8%
Los Angeles Rams -$0.42 -$1.00 -$2.42 $1.53 $2.15 $4.63 $1.11 $1.15 $2.21 16 13.8%
Buffalo Bills $2.50 -$1.41 $1.09 -$0.25 $1.36 $1.11 $2.25 -$0.05 $2.20 17 12.9%
New Orleans Saints $1.82 $0.00 $1.82 $0.85 -$0.94 -$0.09 $2.67 -$0.94 $1.73 18 9.6%
Tennessee Titans $3.28 $0.65 $3.93 -$0.99 -$0.35 -$2.33 $2.30 $0.30 $1.60 18 8.9%
Kansas City Chiefs -$0.67 $0.00 -$0.67 -$1.53 $3.80 $2.27 -$2.20 $3.80 $1.60 17 9.4%
New England Patriots $0.33 $0.00 $0.33 $0.55 $0.00 $0.55 $0.88 $0.00 $0.88 19 4.6%
Arizona Cardinals -$0.03 $1.70 $1.67 $0.77 -$1.78 -$1.01 $0.74 -$0.08 $0.66 16 4.1%
Los Angeles Chargers -$0.85 -$0.01 -$0.86 $1.49 -$0.17 $1.32 $0.64 -$0.18 $0.46 16 2.9%
Pittsburgh Steelers -$1.20 -$1.00 -$2.21 $0.84 $1.66 $2.50 -$0.37 $0.66 $0.29 17 1.7%
New York Jets -$1.00 $3.04 $2.04 $0.85 -$3.45 -$2.60 -$0.15 -$0.41 -$0.56 17 -3.3%
San Francisco 49ers $1.15 $0.30 $1.45 $0.38 -$2.62 -$2.24 $1.52 -$2.32 -$0.80 15 -5.3%
Chicago Bears -$1.10 $1.92 $0.82 $0.00 -$1.72 -$1.72 -$1.10 $0.20 -$0.90 16 -5.6%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers $0.57 $0.56 $1.13 -$1.12 -$1.00 -$2.12 -$0.56 -$0.44 -$1.00 17 -5.9%
Atlanta Falcons -$0.63 $0.00 -$0.63 -$0.72 $1.27 -$0.45 -$1.34 $1.27 -$1.07 18 -6.0%
Dallas Cowboys -$1.59 -$0.90 -$2.49 $3.35 -$2.00 $1.35 $1.76 -$2.90 -$1.14 16 -7.1%
Washington Redskins $0.61 $0.66 $0.27 -$2.00 $0.58 -$1.42 -$1.39 $1.24 -$1.15 16 -7.2%
Seattle Seahawks -$2.48 $1.71 -$1.77 $1.26 -$0.99 $0.27 -$1.21 $0.72 -$1.49 16 -9.3%
New York Giants -$1.00 $0.45 -$0.55 -$1.00 -$0.19 -$1.19 -$2.00 $0.26 -$1.74 16 -10.9%
Green Bay Packers $1.54 -$3.95 -$2.41 -$0.23 $0.09 -$0.14 $1.31 -$3.86 -$2.55 16 -15.9%
Baltimore Ravens $0.09 -$1.00 -$0.91 $0.13 -$1.60 -$2.47 $0.22 -$2.60 -$3.38 16 -21.1%
Indianapolis Colts $2.30 -$5.00 -$2.70 $0.00 -$1.65 -$1.65 $2.30 -$6.65 -$4.35 16 -27.2%
Detroit Lions -$1.03 -$3.00 -$4.03 $1.21 -$1.69 -$0.48 $0.18 -$4.69 -$4.51 16 -28.2%
Denver Broncos -$0.55 -$1.00 -$1.55 -$2.33 -$4.00 -$6.33 -$2.88 -$5.00 -$7.88 16 -49.2%
Oakland Raiders -$1.25 -$1.62 -$2.88 -$0.38 -$6.00 -$6.38 -$1.63 -$7.62 -$9.25 16 -57.8%
Houston Texans -$0.95 -$0.73 -$1.68 -$1.00 -$8.00 -$9.00 -$1.95 -$8.73 -$10.68 16 -66.7%
Cleveland Browns $0.57 -$6.72 -$6.15 $0.00 -$8.00 -$8.00 $0.57 -$14.72 -$14.15 17 -83.3%
 

Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
Games = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

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