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NFL - Betting Value Index

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The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from Pinnacle Sports are used. If you would like to compare betting value in line markets, check out the the NFL line betting table.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is September 7, 2006.

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NFL Betting Value Index

Team Home Away Home & Away
Fav Und All Fav Und All Fav Und All Games Profit
Philadelphia Eagles $2.09 $1.52 $3.61 $0.67 $3.19 $4.81 $2.76 $4.71 $8.42 19 44.3%
Carolina Panthers -$0.45 $2.54 $2.09 -$0.07 $3.15 $3.08 -$0.51 $5.69 $5.18 17 30.5%
Jacksonville Jaguars $1.25 $0.39 $1.64 -$2.03 $5.23 $3.20 -$0.77 $5.62 $4.85 19 25.5%
Miami Dolphins $1.51 $1.22 $2.73 -$1.00 $3.04 $2.04 $0.51 $4.26 $4.77 16 29.8%
Minnesota Vikings $1.56 $2.32 $3.89 -$0.25 $0.11 $0.81 $1.32 $2.43 $4.70 18 26.1%
Buffalo Bills $2.80 -$0.41 $2.39 -$0.25 $1.36 $1.11 $2.55 $0.95 $3.50 17 20.6%
Kansas City Chiefs -$0.16 $0.00 -$0.16 -$1.53 $4.28 $2.75 -$1.69 $4.28 $2.59 17 15.2%
Pittsburgh Steelers $0.07 -$1.00 -$0.93 $1.28 $1.66 $2.94 $1.35 $0.66 $2.01 17 11.8%
Arizona Cardinals $0.97 $1.70 $2.67 $0.11 -$0.78 -$0.67 $1.08 $0.92 $2.00 16 12.5%
Los Angeles Rams -$0.98 -$1.00 -$2.98 $1.85 $2.15 $4.95 $0.86 $1.15 $1.97 17 11.6%
New England Patriots -$1.07 $0.00 -$1.07 $1.97 $0.00 $1.97 $0.90 $0.00 $0.90 19 4.8%
Tennessee Titans $2.28 -$1.00 $1.28 -$0.12 -$0.35 -$0.47 $2.16 -$1.35 $0.81 18 4.5%
New Orleans Saints $2.62 -$1.00 $1.62 $0.85 -$1.94 -$1.09 $3.47 -$2.94 $0.53 18 3.0%
Atlanta Falcons -$0.48 $0.00 -$0.48 -$0.35 $1.27 $0.92 -$0.83 $1.27 $0.44 18 2.5%
Detroit Lions -$0.03 -$1.92 -$1.95 $1.21 $0.82 $2.03 $1.18 -$1.10 $0.08 16 0.5%
Seattle Seahawks -$2.35 $1.71 -$1.64 $1.26 $0.01 $1.27 -$1.09 $1.72 -$0.37 16 -2.3%
Los Angeles Chargers -$0.85 -$0.01 -$0.86 $1.22 -$1.17 $0.05 $0.37 -$1.18 -$0.81 16 -5.1%
Washington Redskins $1.61 -$0.34 $0.27 -$2.00 $0.84 -$1.16 -$0.39 $0.50 -$0.89 16 -5.5%
Baltimore Ravens $0.14 -$1.00 -$0.86 $0.13 -$0.31 -$0.18 $0.27 -$1.31 -$1.04 16 -6.5%
Cincinnati Bengals -$1.84 $0.53 -$1.31 $0.60 -$0.53 $0.07 -$1.24 -$0.00 -$1.24 16 -7.7%
Dallas Cowboys -$1.85 -$0.90 -$2.75 $2.35 -$1.00 $1.35 $0.50 -$1.90 -$1.40 16 -8.8%
New York Giants -$2.00 $1.45 -$0.55 -$1.00 -$0.19 -$1.19 -$3.00 $1.26 -$1.74 16 -10.9%
Chicago Bears -$1.57 $0.92 -$0.65 $0.00 -$1.72 -$1.72 -$1.57 -$0.80 -$2.37 16 -14.8%
New York Jets $0.00 $3.04 $3.04 $0.85 -$7.00 -$6.15 $0.85 -$3.96 -$3.11 16 -19.5%
San Francisco 49ers $0.75 -$1.70 -$0.95 $0.38 -$2.62 -$2.24 $1.12 -$4.32 -$3.20 16 -20.0%
Green Bay Packers $1.94 -$4.00 -$2.06 -$0.23 -$0.91 -$1.14 $1.71 -$4.91 -$3.20 16 -20.0%
Oakland Raiders -$1.13 -$0.62 -$1.75 -$0.38 -$3.76 -$4.13 -$1.50 -$4.38 -$5.88 16 -36.8%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers $0.92 -$0.69 $0.23 -$1.12 -$5.00 -$6.12 -$0.21 -$5.69 -$5.90 16 -36.9%
Denver Broncos -$0.83 $0.18 -$0.65 -$2.33 -$4.00 -$6.33 -$3.16 -$3.82 -$6.98 16 -43.6%
Indianapolis Colts $2.30 -$5.00 -$2.70 $0.00 -$4.75 -$4.75 $2.30 -$9.75 -$7.45 16 -46.6%
Houston Texans -$1.95 -$0.73 -$2.68 $0.00 -$5.03 -$5.03 -$1.95 -$5.76 -$7.71 16 -48.2%
Cleveland Browns $0.00 -$8.00 -$8.00 $0.00 -$8.00 -$8.00 $0.00 -$16.00 -$16.00 16 -100.0%
 

Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
Games = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

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