NFL - Betting Value Index

The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from bet365 are used. If you would like to compare betting value in line markets, check out the the NFL line betting table.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is September 7, 2006.

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Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
# = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

Betting Value Index: Home & Away

Team	Betting Value		#	Profit
Houston	Fav:	$-0.04	19	28.0%
	Und:	5.35
	All:	$5.31
Green Bay	Fav:	$0.57	19	26.4%
	Und:	3.55
	All:	$5.02
Baltimore	Fav:	$0.43	19	23.6%
	Und:	4.05
	All:	$4.48
Cleveland	Fav:	$1.33	18	23.8%
	Und:	2.95
	All:	$4.28
Kansas City	Fav:	$-1.97	21	18.2%
	Und:	5.80
	All:	$3.83
Pittsburgh	Fav:	$-0.42	18	17.9%
	Und:	3.65
	All:	$3.23
Detroit	Fav:	$3.62	20	12.1%
	Und:	-1.20
	All:	$2.42
Tampa Bay	Fav:	$0.39	19	11.0%
	Und:	1.70
	All:	$2.09
Indianapolis	Fav:	$4.54	17	10.8%
	Und:	-1.70
	All:	$1.84
Cincinnati	Fav:	$-0.69	17	10.6%
	Und:	2.50
	All:	$1.81
Denver	Fav:	$-0.51	17	8.5%
	Und:	1.95
	All:	$1.44
Las Vegas	Fav:	$1.43	17	7.9%
	Und:	-1.00
	All:	$1.34
Arizona	Fav:	$0.00	17	5.6%
	Und:	0.95
	All:	$0.95
Tennessee	Fav:	$-1.45	17	4.4%
	Und:	2.20
	All:	$0.76
LA Rams	Fav:	$2.42	18	1.0%
	Und:	-3.15
	All:	$0.18
NY Giants	Fav:	$0.48	17	-2.8%
	Und:	-0.95
	All:	$-0.47
Seattle	Fav:	$1.57	17	-4.6%
	Und:	-2.35
	All:	$-0.78
Jacksonville	Fav:	$-0.11	17	-5.0%
	Und:	-0.75
	All:	$-0.86
Philadelphia	Fav:	$-0.55	18	-7.5%
	Und:	-0.80
	All:	$-1.35
NY Jets	Fav:	$1.27	17	-9.0%
	Und:	-1.80
	All:	$-1.53
San Francisco	Fav:	$-1.62	20	-8.1%
	Und:	0.00
	All:	$-1.62
Dallas	Fav:	$2.03	18	-11.0%
	Und:	-4.00
	All:	$-1.98
Minnesota	Fav:	$-0.48	17	-11.6%
	Und:	-0.50
	All:	$-1.98
Chicago	Fav:	$0.71	17	-12.0%
	Und:	-2.75
	All:	$-2.04
New Orleans	Fav:	$-1.37	17	-12.5%
	Und:	-0.75
	All:	$-2.12
Buffalo	Fav:	$-1.33	19	-11.7%
	Und:	-0.90
	All:	$-2.23
Miami	Fav:	$2.21	18	-13.3%
	Und:	-4.60
	All:	$-2.39
Atlanta	Fav:	$-2.54	17	-24.3%
	Und:	-1.60
	All:	$-4.14
New England	Fav:	$-3.31	17	-25.4%
	Und:	-1.00
	All:	$-4.31
Washington	Fav:	$-2.68	17	-51.0%
	Und:	-5.98
	All:	$-8.66
LA Chargers	Fav:	$-3.38	17	-55.5%
	Und:	-6.05
	All:	$-9.43
Carolina	Fav:	$0.00	17	-71.8%
	Und:	-12.20
	All:	$-12.20

Betting Value Index: Home

Team	Betting Value		#	Profit
Cleveland	Fav:	$2.14	9	77.6%
	Und:	4.85
	All:	$6.99
NY Giants	Fav:	$0.00	8	36.9%
	Und:	2.95
	All:	$2.95
Houston	Fav:	$1.10	10	28.5%
	Und:	1.75
	All:	$2.85
Green Bay	Fav:	$1.04	8	31.7%
	Und:	1.50
	All:	$2.54
Tennessee	Fav:	$-0.45	9	19.5%
	Und:	2.20
	All:	$1.76
Denver	Fav:	$-1.11	9	17.1%
	Und:	2.65
	All:	$1.54
Pittsburgh	Fav:	$-0.79	9	15.7%
	Und:	2.20
	All:	$1.41
Chicago	Fav:	$0.71	8	17.0%
	Und:	0.65
	All:	$1.36
Las Vegas	Fav:	$2.43	9	14.9%
	Und:	-2.00
	All:	$1.34
Dallas	Fav:	$1.32	9	14.7%
	Und:	0.00
	All:	$1.32
Detroit	Fav:	$1.24	10	12.4%
	Und:	0.00
	All:	$1.24
Atlanta	Fav:	$-0.28	8	10.3%
	Und:	1.10
	All:	$0.82
Cincinnati	Fav:	$1.72	9	8.0%
	Und:	-1.00
	All:	$0.72
Philadelphia	Fav:	$1.62	8	7.7%
	Und:	-1.00
	All:	$0.62
NY Jets	Fav:	$0.67	9	6.8%
	Und:	-0.05
	All:	$0.62
Seattle	Fav:	$-0.49	8	4.5%
	Und:	0.85
	All:	$0.36
Arizona	Fav:	$0.00	8	4.4%
	Und:	0.35
	All:	$0.35
Tampa Bay	Fav:	$-0.05	9	3.9%
	Und:	0.40
	All:	$0.35
Miami	Fav:	$1.06	9	0.7%
	Und:	-1.00
	All:	$0.06
Buffalo	Fav:	$-0.55	11	-5.0%
	Und:	0.00
	All:	$-0.55
LA Rams	Fav:	$1.40	8	-7.5%
	Und:	-2.00
	All:	$-0.60
Kansas City	Fav:	$-1.73	11	-5.7%
	Und:	1.10
	All:	$-0.63
New Orleans	Fav:	$0.26	8	-9.2%
	Und:	-1.00
	All:	$-0.74
Baltimore	Fav:	$-0.25	11	-11.4%
	Und:	-1.00
	All:	$-1.25
San Francisco	Fav:	$-1.47	10	-14.7%
	Und:	0.00
	All:	$-1.47
Indianapolis	Fav:	$2.08	9	-19.1%
	Und:	-2.80
	All:	$-1.72
Minnesota	Fav:	$-3.00	8	-26.9%
	Und:	1.85
	All:	$-2.15
Jacksonville	Fav:	$-0.06	9	-34.0%
	Und:	-3.00
	All:	$-3.06
Carolina	Fav:	$0.00	8	-40.0%
	Und:	-3.20
	All:	$-3.20
New England	Fav:	$-3.00	9	-54.4%
	Und:	-1.90
	All:	$-4.90
LA Chargers	Fav:	$-2.44	9	-71.6%
	Und:	-4.00
	All:	$-6.44
Washington	Fav:	$-1.68	8	-83.5%
	Und:	-5.00
	All:	$-6.68

Betting Value Index: Away

Team	Betting Value		#	Profit
Baltimore	Fav:	$0.69	8	71.7%
	Und:	5.05
	All:	$5.74
Kansas City	Fav:	$-0.24	10	44.6%
	Und:	4.70
	All:	$4.46
Indianapolis	Fav:	$2.47	8	44.6%
	Und:	1.10
	All:	$3.57
Green Bay	Fav:	$-0.47	11	22.6%
	Und:	2.05
	All:	$2.49
Houston	Fav:	$-1.13	9	27.4%
	Und:	3.60
	All:	$2.47
Jacksonville	Fav:	$-0.04	8	27.6%
	Und:	2.25
	All:	$2.21
Pittsburgh	Fav:	$0.37	9	20.2%
	Und:	1.45
	All:	$1.82
Tampa Bay	Fav:	$0.44	10	17.4%
	Und:	1.30
	All:	$1.74
Detroit	Fav:	$2.38	10	11.8%
	Und:	-1.20
	All:	$1.18
Cincinnati	Fav:	$-2.41	8	13.6%
	Und:	3.50
	All:	$1.09
LA Rams	Fav:	$1.02	10	7.7%
	Und:	-1.15
	All:	$0.77
Arizona	Fav:	$0.00	9	6.7%
	Und:	0.60
	All:	$0.60
New England	Fav:	$-0.31	8	7.4%
	Und:	0.90
	All:	$0.59
Minnesota	Fav:	$2.52	9	1.9%
	Und:	-2.35
	All:	$0.17
Las Vegas	Fav:	$-1.00	8	0.0%
	Und:	1.00
	All:	$0.00
Denver	Fav:	$0.61	8	-1.2%
	Und:	-0.70
	All:	$-0.09
San Francisco	Fav:	$-0.15	10	-1.5%
	Und:	0.00
	All:	$-0.15
Tennessee	Fav:	$-1.00	8	-12.5%
	Und:	0.00
	All:	$-1.00
Seattle	Fav:	$2.06	9	-12.7%
	Und:	-3.20
	All:	$-1.14
New Orleans	Fav:	$-1.64	9	-15.4%
	Und:	0.25
	All:	$-1.39
Buffalo	Fav:	$-0.79	8	-21.1%
	Und:	-0.90
	All:	$-1.69
Philadelphia	Fav:	$-2.16	10	-19.6%
	Und:	0.20
	All:	$-1.96
Washington	Fav:	$-1.00	9	-22.0%
	Und:	-0.98
	All:	$-1.98
NY Jets	Fav:	$0.61	8	-26.8%
	Und:	-1.75
	All:	$-2.14
Miami	Fav:	$1.15	9	-27.3%
	Und:	-3.60
	All:	$-2.45
Cleveland	Fav:	$-0.80	9	-30.0%
	Und:	-1.90
	All:	$-2.70
LA Chargers	Fav:	$-0.94	8	-37.4%
	Und:	-2.05
	All:	$-2.99
Dallas	Fav:	$0.70	9	-36.6%
	Und:	-4.00
	All:	$-3.30
Chicago	Fav:	$0.00	9	-37.8%
	Und:	-3.40
	All:	$-3.40
NY Giants	Fav:	$0.48	9	-38.0%
	Und:	-3.90
	All:	$-3.42
Atlanta	Fav:	$-2.26	9	-55.1%
	Und:	-2.70
	All:	$-4.96
Carolina	Fav:	$0.00	9	-100.0%
	Und:	-9.00
	All:	$-9.00

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