NBL Predictability Index

NBL

Introduction

The following table ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

bet365 lines are used to determine the cover frequencies and predictability scores. The predictability scores are calculated as the average of the absolute values of the difference between the final score margin and the bookmaker\'s line. For example, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team wins by 2 points, the difference is abs(2 - 4.5) = 2.5. Alternatively, if the home line is -4.5 and the home team loses by 2 points, the difference is abs(-2 - 4.5) = 6.5.

The table headers are as follows: C: covers, P: pushes, NC: non covers, PS: predictability score.

Please note that the PS values essentially measure the unpredictability of a team's performance. A lower PS score indicates the bookmaker has more accurately set the lines for the team's games. Conversely, a higher PS score indicates the team's results have been more unpredictable this season.

All Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 JackJumpers 7089.4
2 36ers 9059.9
3 Wildcats 80710.5
4 Melbourne 110511.1
5 Breakers 70914.4
6 Phoenix 80614.4
7 Bullets 60914.6
8 Taipans 60915.0
9 Kings 60816.6
10 Hawks 60817.8

Home Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 JackJumpers 30511.4
2 36ers 4049.4
3 Wildcats 4039.6
4 Melbourne 50312.0
5 Breakers 30511.0
6 Phoenix 40219.7
7 Bullets 10619.6
8 Taipans 30612.5
9 Kings 20410.8
10 Hawks 30419.4

Away Fixtures

RTeamCPNCPS
1 JackJumpers 4037.1
2 36ers 50110.5
3 Wildcats 40411.3
4 Melbourne 60210.3
5 Breakers 40417.8
6 Phoenix 40410.5
7 Bullets 50310.1
8 Taipans 30318.8
9 Kings 40421.0
10 Hawks 30416.2

Other NBL Resources

The interactive NBL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The NBL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market.

The NBL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The NBL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The NBL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The NBL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.

The NBL stadium analysis provides a range of statistics for each team at each stadium.

The NBL table displays league table/ladder data for the date range of your choosing.

The NBL winning margins page provides winning margin data for the league as well as for specific teams at home and/or away.

About:

Partners:

Sports and Leagues:

AFL A-League Men Big Bash League
English Premier League NBA NBL
NFL NRL Super Rugby

18+

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au

© 2012- Australia Sports Tipping