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EPL - Poisson Distribution Analysis



This tool uses the Poisson distribution to calculate various outcome probabilities and their respective fair odds for a selected pair of teams.

This model is sensitive to which side is specified as being the home team. It applies the approach outlined by this article: Poisson Distribution: How to calculate Poisson Distribution for soccer betting.


Select two teams and choose the timeframe for which the Poisson distribution is to be calculated.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is August 14, 2010.

Home Team:
Away Team: 
Start date:  
End date:  


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