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EPL - Betting Value Index

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The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from Pinnacle Sports are used.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is August 14, 2010.

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EPL Betting Value Index

Team Home Away Home & Away
Fav Und All Fav Und All Fav Und All Games Profit
Manchester City $1.38 $0.00 $1.38 $6.45 $0.00 $6.45 $7.83 $0.00 $7.83 39 20.1%
Burnley $3.15 -$3.92 -$0.77 $0.00 $8.12 $8.12 $3.15 $4.20 $7.35 38 19.3%
Manchester Utd $3.27 $1.20 $4.47 -$2.16 $2.95 $0.79 $1.11 $4.15 $5.26 38 13.8%
Bournemouth $1.92 -$3.23 -$1.31 -$2.00 $7.63 $5.63 -$0.08 $4.40 $4.32 38 11.4%
Watford $1.59 $5.65 $7.24 -$1.00 -$2.22 -$3.22 $0.59 $3.43 $4.02 38 10.6%
Newcastle -$2.14 $7.90 $5.76 -$3.00 $0.06 -$2.94 -$5.14 $7.96 $2.82 38 7.4%
Tottenham $2.51 -$1.00 $1.51 $0.06 -$1.69 -$1.63 $2.57 -$2.69 -$0.12 38 -0.3%
Crystal Palace $1.23 -$0.35 $0.88 -$3.00 $1.80 -$1.20 -$1.77 $1.45 -$0.32 38 -0.8%
Brighton
and
Hove
Albion
-$0.24 $9.13 $8.89 $0.00 -$10.29 -$10.29 -$0.24 -$1.16 -$1.40 38 -3.7%
Wolverhampton
Wanderers
-$1.00 $0.00 -$1.00 $0.00 -$1.00 -$1.00 -$1.00 -$1.00 -$2.00 2 -100.0%
Cardiff City $0.00 -$1.00 -$1.00 $0.00 -$1.00 -$1.00 $0.00 -$2.00 -$2.00 2 -100.0%
Fulham -$1.00 $0.00 -$1.00 $0.00 -$1.00 -$1.00 -$1.00 -$1.00 -$2.00 2 -100.0%
Chelsea $0.42 -$1.00 -$0.58 $0.31 -$3.00 -$2.69 $0.73 -$4.00 -$3.27 38 -8.6%
Leicester City -$3.12 $2.83 -$0.29 $1.06 -$4.80 -$3.74 -$2.06 -$1.97 -$4.03 38 -10.6%
Liverpool -$3.35 $2.03 -$1.32 $0.48 -$3.00 -$3.52 -$2.87 -$0.97 -$4.84 38 -12.7%
Huddersfield Town -$1.64 $3.52 $1.88 $0.00 -$8.56 -$8.56 -$1.64 -$5.04 -$6.68 38 -17.6%
West Ham -$0.17 $1.38 $1.21 $0.81 -$9.50 -$8.69 $0.64 -$8.12 -$7.48 38 -19.7%
Everton $9.39 -$7.00 $2.39 -$1.00 -$11.25 -$10.47 $8.39 -$18.25 -$8.08 39 -20.7%
Arsenal $5.56 -$3.00 $1.56 -$6.27 -$6.00 -$12.27 -$0.71 -$9.00 -$10.71 38 -28.2%
Southampton -$6.54 -$6.00 -$12.54 -$2.07 -$10.00 -$12.07 -$8.61 -$16.00 -$24.61 38 -64.8%
 

Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
Games = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

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