AFL - Betting Value Index

The following table ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. Closing odds primarily from bet365 are used. If you would like to compare betting value in line markets, check out the the AFL line betting table.

The figures represent the net profit had you wagered $1.00 on the corresponding team in the head-to-head market for each game.

Note that the earliest record on file for this league is June 27, 2009.

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Notes:

Fav = favourite, meaning games where the team was at shorter odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
Und = underdog, meaning games where the team was at longer odds in the head-to-head market than its opponent
All = all fixtures (favourite, underdog and equal favourite)
# = the number of games
Profit = net returns over all of the games divided by the number of games: net profit / games

The favourite + underdog stats may not always correspond to the All statitisics because All includes fixtures where the team started as the joint favourite, while Fav and Und do not.

Betting Value Index: Home & Away

Team	Betting Value		#	Profit
GWS	Fav:	$2.70	26	62.3%
	Und:	13.50
	All:	$16.20
Fremantle	Fav:	$-0.69	23	37.2%
	Und:	9.25
	All:	$8.56
Carlton	Fav:	$-0.09	26	21.8%
	Und:	5.77
	All:	$5.68
West Coast	Fav:	$0.00	23	23.0%
	Und:	5.30
	All:	$5.30
Collingwood	Fav:	$3.06	27	14.3%
	Und:	0.80
	All:	$3.86
Port Adelaide	Fav:	$1.03	25	3.8%
	Und:	-1.02
	All:	$0.94
Sydney	Fav:	$-2.73	24	0.0%
	Und:	2.73
	All:	$-0.01
Melbourne	Fav:	$-1.75	26	-0.4%
	Und:	1.64
	All:	$-0.11
Geelong	Fav:	$-2.03	23	-1.7%
	Und:	0.70
	All:	$-0.40
Brisbane	Fav:	$-2.82	26	-4.2%
	Und:	1.73
	All:	$-1.09
Hawthorn	Fav:	$0.00	23	-9.3%
	Und:	-2.15
	All:	$-2.15
Essendon	Fav:	$1.52	24	-10.5%
	Und:	-4.05
	All:	$-2.53
Gold Coast	Fav:	$1.61	23	-15.7%
	Und:	-5.21
	All:	$-3.60
Richmond	Fav:	$-1.58	24	-17.6%
	Und:	-1.65
	All:	$-4.23
Western Bulldogs	Fav:	$-0.82	23	-21.1%
	Und:	-3.03
	All:	$-4.85
St Kilda	Fav:	$-0.14	24	-28.9%
	Und:	-6.80
	All:	$-6.94
Adelaide	Fav:	$-4.82	23	-35.4%
	Und:	-3.33
	All:	$-8.15
North Melbourne	Fav:	$-1.00	23	-84.8%
	Und:	-18.50
	All:	$-19.50

Betting Value Index: Home

Team	Betting Value		#	Profit
Hawthorn	Fav:	$-0.73	10	38.7%
	Und:	4.60
	All:	$3.87
Gold Coast	Fav:	$2.31	12	27.1%
	Und:	0.94
	All:	$3.25
Richmond	Fav:	$0.30	12	20.0%
	Und:	3.10
	All:	$2.40
Collingwood	Fav:	$3.36	15	15.7%
	Und:	-1.00
	All:	$2.36
Port Adelaide	Fav:	$-0.41	13	6.8%
	Und:	1.30
	All:	$0.89
Brisbane	Fav:	$0.21	15	1.4%
	Und:	0.00
	All:	$0.21
Melbourne	Fav:	$-2.17	12	-1.1%
	Und:	2.04
	All:	$-0.13
Essendon	Fav:	$1.08	11	-2.5%
	Und:	-1.35
	All:	$-0.27
Geelong	Fav:	$0.16	10	-8.4%
	Und:	-1.00
	All:	$-0.84
Sydney	Fav:	$-1.91	12	-7.5%
	Und:	1.01
	All:	$-0.91
GWS	Fav:	$0.99	11	-9.2%
	Und:	-2.00
	All:	$-1.01
Carlton	Fav:	$-1.70	13	-9.2%
	Und:	0.50
	All:	$-1.20
West Coast	Fav:	$0.00	13	-13.1%
	Und:	-1.70
	All:	$-1.70
Fremantle	Fav:	$-0.27	11	-15.6%
	Und:	-1.45
	All:	$-1.72
Adelaide	Fav:	$-2.99	12	-16.8%
	Und:	0.97
	All:	$-2.02
St Kilda	Fav:	$-1.07	11	-29.7%
	Und:	-2.20
	All:	$-3.27
Western Bulldogs	Fav:	$-1.64	13	-35.7%
	Und:	-2.00
	All:	$-4.64
North Melbourne	Fav:	$0.00	12	-70.8%
	Und:	-8.50
	All:	$-8.50

Betting Value Index: Away

Team	Betting Value		#	Profit
GWS	Fav:	$1.71	15	114.7%
	Und:	15.50
	All:	$17.21
Fremantle	Fav:	$-0.42	12	85.7%
	Und:	10.70
	All:	$10.28
West Coast	Fav:	$0.00	10	70.0%
	Und:	7.00
	All:	$7.00
Carlton	Fav:	$1.61	13	52.9%
	Und:	5.27
	All:	$6.88
Collingwood	Fav:	$-0.30	12	12.5%
	Und:	1.80
	All:	$1.50
Sydney	Fav:	$-0.82	12	7.5%
	Und:	1.72
	All:	$0.90
Geelong	Fav:	$-2.19	13	3.4%
	Und:	1.70
	All:	$0.45
Port Adelaide	Fav:	$1.44	12	0.4%
	Und:	-2.32
	All:	$0.05
Melbourne	Fav:	$0.42	14	0.1%
	Und:	-0.40
	All:	$0.02
Western Bulldogs	Fav:	$0.82	10	-2.1%
	Und:	-1.03
	All:	$-0.21
Brisbane	Fav:	$-3.03	11	-11.8%
	Und:	1.73
	All:	$-1.30
Essendon	Fav:	$0.44	13	-17.4%
	Und:	-2.70
	All:	$-2.26
St Kilda	Fav:	$0.93	13	-28.2%
	Und:	-4.60
	All:	$-3.67
Hawthorn	Fav:	$0.73	13	-46.3%
	Und:	-6.75
	All:	$-6.02
Adelaide	Fav:	$-1.83	11	-55.7%
	Und:	-4.30
	All:	$-6.13
Richmond	Fav:	$-1.88	12	-55.3%
	Und:	-4.75
	All:	$-6.63
Gold Coast	Fav:	$-0.70	11	-62.3%
	Und:	-6.15
	All:	$-6.85
North Melbourne	Fav:	$-1.00	11	-100.0%
	Und:	-10.00
	All:	$-11.00

Other AFL Resources

A preview with betting tips for this round has been published on AusSportsBetting.com.

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter by strength of opponent.

The AFL Elo ratings tool calculates the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's home and away records.

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines using pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

The AFL score statistics provides points for, points against, points difference plus total score statistics for the current season. Averages for home games, away games and all games are provided.