Website: Value Sports Betting
Valuesportsbetting.com provides picks for the 5 major football leagues in Europe. (EPL, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga and Ligue 1). They cover match odds, asian handicaps , overs and unders and some of the fringe markets.
Membership is currently free.
Our betting philosophy is based around long term, consistent betting on selections that contain decent value as calculated by our models (historical statistics) and knowledge of the leagues.
We are proofed by Secret Betting Club, Aus Sports Tipping and Sports Tipsters.co.uk
Event | Pick | Result |
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English Premier League: |
Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Loss |
This bet is the equivalent of laying West Brom on the exchanges, we just can't see any value in their short price of 2.16, a price normally given to teams that have a reasonable home record and are playing a poor away team. Hull actually have more away points than West Brom have home points and its worth siding with Hull here in match where really anything can happen. |
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English Premier League: |
Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Half Win |
Similar games featuring Tottenham at home or Liverpool away have seen large numbers of goals. 13 from the last 20 have featured more than 3 and 3 games with 3 goals exactly. | ||
English Premier League: |
Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Loss |
Everyone is looking for another Man United slip up here but the fact is that their away record was one of the best last season. We think its down to less pressure on the team and can see no reason why they won't open their account with an away win here. The odds aren't the best so we've extended the asian handicap to -0.75. The away tea has won by more than 2 goals in 8 and won by 1 goal in another 8 of the last 20 similar games, featuring either of these two teams. | ||
English Premier League: |
Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Loss |
Swansea are simply too short here. Both teams are in terrible form and looking at their records over the last rolling season they are very similar. Against similar opposition Swansea show negative value of 35%, from the 35 games we analysed and we rate them a 40% chance (odds of 2.50). There are many ways to play this but given the unpredictability of these two teams at the moment we'll give ourselves a decent chance. Fulham +0.75 gives us the draw and away win and returns half our stake if they lose by the single goal. |
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English Premier League: |
Head-to-head: Odds: |
Win |
One of the best away records vs one of the worst home records. Simple. | ||
English Premier League: |
Line/Handicap: Odds: |
Loss |
I don't know why Southampton are 1.62 for this match. Sure they are a great team at the moment but this price would suggest they win 60% of their home matches against average away teams. Looking at the last 19 home games (1 season's worth), Southampton have only won 7 of 19, a paltry 37%. Fulham are an average away team (11th in the last 19 away league table). Southampton could easily win this but to suggest they have a 50% chance to win by more than one goal is lunacy. Stick with Fulham to cover the +1 Handicap. |
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English Premier League: |
Man City Clean Sheet: Odds: |
Loss |
Man City have kept a clean sheet in12 of their last 19 home games and Everton have failed to score in 6 their last 19 home games, This equates to 2.11. Odds of 2.72 offer excellent value | ||
Brazilian Serie A: |
Full Time Result: Odds: |
Loss |
These two teams have featured in 14 similar games in the last few seasons. In those games the home team won 57% of the time. This equates to odds of 1.75 which is 86% value based on these statistics |
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J League: |
Full Time Result: Odds: |
Loss |
These two teams have featured in 73 similar games in the last few seasons. In those games the home team won 59% of the time. This equates to odds of 1.70 which is 21% value based on these statistics |
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English Premier League: |
Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
These two teams have featured in 50 similar games in the last few seasons. In those games more than 2.5 goals have been scored 70% of the time. This equates to odds of 1.43 which is excellent value based on these statistics |
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English Premier League: |
Draw No Bet: Odds: |
Refund |
These two teams have featured in 17 similar games in the last few seasons (taking out the draws). In those games the away team has won 54% of the time. This equates to odds of 1.84 which is excellent value based on these statistics |
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German Bundesliga: |
1st Half Result: Odds: |
Loss |
These two teams have featured in 30 similar games in the last few seasons. In those games the home team has won the first half 77% of the time. This equates to odds of 1.30 which is Excellent value based on these statistics |
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Brazilian Serie A: |
Half Time Result: Odds: |
Loss |
The half time draw has occurred in 54% of 60 similar games between these two teams. This equates to 1.85. Bet365 offer a very generous 2.3. | ||
Brazilian Serie A: |
Half Time Result: Odds: |
Win |
The half time draw has occurred in 54% of 60 similar games between these two teams. This equates to 1.85. Bet365 offer a very generous 2.25. | ||
Brazilian Serie A: |
Under Over 2.5 Goals: Odds: |
Loss |
These two teams have played in 19 similar matches. In those matches less than 2.5 goals were scored 68% of the time. This is the equivalent of 1.47 in odds based on these statistics. 2.10 is widely available with the bookmakers. | ||
Norwegian Tippeligaen: |
Half Time Result: Odds: |
Loss |
36 games have been played featuring one of these two teams. In those games the Half Time Draw occurred in 61% of the time. This equates to 1.64 in odds. Bet365 are offering a generous 2.37. | ||
Norwegian Tippeligaen: |
Both Teams to Score : Odds: |
Loss |
These two teams have featured in 23 similar games. In those games the Both Teams to Score No came in 70% of the time which is 1.44. The bookies are offering 2.00 | ||
Major League Soccer: |
Draw No Bet: Odds: |
Win |
These two teams have featured in 30 similar games. In those games the Home team has won in 70% of the time which is 1.44. The bookies are offering 1.85, which is great value | ||
Major League Soccer: |
Under Over 2.5 Goals: Odds: |
Win |
These two teams have featured in 27 similar games. In those games, lesss than 2.5 goals were scored in 64% of the time which is 1.57 in odds. The bookies are offering 2.10 | ||
Norwegian Tippeligaen: |
2nd Half Result: Odds: |
Loss |
These two teams have featured in 27 similar games. In those games the Home team has won the 2nd half in 67% of the time which is 1.50 in odds. The bookies are offering 1.92 |