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Featured Tipper: valuesportsbetting

Website: Value Sports Betting
Valuesportsbetting.com provides picks for the 5 major football leagues in Europe. (EPL, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga and Ligue 1). They cover match odds, asian handicaps , overs and unders and some of the fringe markets.

Membership is currently free.

Our betting philosophy is based around long term, consistent betting on selections that contain decent value as calculated by our models (historical statistics) and knowledge of the leagues.

We are proofed by Secret Betting Club, Aus Sports Tipping and Sports Tipsters.co.uk

Latest Picks

Event Pick Result

English Premier League:
West Brom vs. Hull
Sun, 11 Jan 2015
2:00 AM

Asian Handicap:
Hull

Odds:
1.89 (Pinnacle)

Loss
This bet is the equivalent of laying West Brom on the exchanges, we just can't see any value in their short price of 2.16, a price normally given to teams that have a reasonable home record and are playing a poor away team. Hull actually have more away points than West Brom have home points and its worth siding with Hull here in match where really anything can happen.

English Premier League:
Tottenham vs. Liverpool
Sun, 31 Aug 2014
10:30 PM

Asian Handicap:
Over 2.75

Odds:
1.92 (Pinnacle)

Half Win
Similar games featuring Tottenham at home or Liverpool away have seen large numbers of goals. 13 from the last 20 have featured more than 3 and 3 games with 3 goals exactly.

English Premier League:
Sunderland vs. Man Utd
Mon, 25 Aug 2014
1:00 AM

Asian Handicap:
Man United -0.75

Odds:
2.06 (Pinnacle)

Loss
Everyone is looking for another Man United slip up here but the fact is that their away record was one of the best last season. We think its down to less pressure on the team and can see no reason why they won't open their account with an away win here. The odds aren't the best so we've extended the asian handicap to -0.75. The away tea has won by more than 2 goals in 8 and won by 1 goal in another 8 of the last 20 similar games, featuring either of these two teams.

English Premier League:
Swansea vs. Fulham
Wed, 29 Jan 2014
6:45 AM

Asian Handicap:
Fulham +0.75

Odds:
2.06 (Pinnacle)

Loss
Swansea are simply too short here. Both teams are in terrible form and looking at their records over the last rolling season they are very similar. Against similar opposition Swansea show negative value of 35%, from the 35 games we analysed and we rate them a 40% chance (odds of 2.50). There are many ways to play this but given the unpredictability of these two teams at the moment we'll give ourselves a decent chance. Fulham +0.75 gives us the draw and away win and returns half our stake if they lose by the single goal.




































English Premier League:
Fulham vs. Man Utd
Sun, 3 Nov 2013
2:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Manchester United

Odds:
1.62 (Pinnacle)

Win
One of the best away records vs one of the worst home records. Simple.

English Premier League:
Southampton vs. Fulham
Sun, 27 Oct 2013
3:30 AM

Line/Handicap:
Fulham +1

Odds:
1.93 (bet365)

Loss
I don't know why Southampton are 1.62 for this match. Sure they are a great team
at the moment but this price would suggest they win 60% of their home matches against average away teams.
Looking at the last 19 home games (1 season's worth), Southampton have only won 7 of 19, a paltry 37%. Fulham are an average away team (11th in the last 19 away league table).

Southampton could easily win this but to suggest they have a 50% chance to win by more than one goal is lunacy. Stick with Fulham to cover the +1 Handicap.

English Premier League:
Man City vs. Everton
Sat, 5 Oct 2013
9:45 PM

Man City Clean Sheet:
Yes

Odds:
2.72 (Betfair)

Loss
Man City have kept a clean sheet in12 of their last 19 home games and Everton have failed to score in 6 their last 19 home games, This equates to 2.11. Odds of 2.72 offer excellent value

Brazilian Serie A:
Nautico vs Atletico
Sun, 1 Sep 2013
7:30 AM

Full Time Result:
Nautico

Odds:
3.13 (Pinnacle)

Loss
These two teams have featured in 14 similar games in the last few seasons. In those games the home team won 57% of the time. This equates to odds of 1.75 which is 86% value based on these statistics

J League:
Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo
Sat, 31 Aug 2013
8:00 PM

Full Time Result:
Home

Odds:
2.12 (Pinnacle)

Loss
These two teams have featured in 73 similar games in the last few seasons. In those games the home team won 59% of the time. This equates to odds of 1.70 which is 21% value based on these statistics

English Premier League:
Newcastle vs. West Ham
Sun, 25 Aug 2013
12:00 AM

Head-to-head:
Over

Odds:
2.02 (Pinnacle)

Loss
These two teams have featured in 50 similar games in the last few seasons. In those games more than 2.5 goals have been scored 70% of the time. This equates to odds of 1.43 which is excellent value based on these statistics

English Premier League:
Southampton vs. Sunderland
Sun, 25 Aug 2013
12:00 AM

Draw No Bet:
Sunderland

Odds:
4.00 (bet365)

Refund
These two teams have featured in 17 similar games in the last few seasons (taking out the draws). In those games the away team has won 54% of the time. This equates to odds of 1.84 which is excellent value based on these statistics

German Bundesliga:
Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
Sat, 24 Aug 2013
6:30 AM

1st Half Result:
Dortmund

Odds:
1.62 (bet365)

Loss
These two teams have featured in 30 similar games in the last few seasons. In those games the home team has won the first half 77% of the time. This equates to odds of 1.30 which is Excellent value based on these statistics

Brazilian Serie A:
Atletico MG vs Bahia
Thu, 15 Aug 2013
8:30 AM

Half Time Result:
Draw

Odds:
2.30 (bet365)

Loss
The half time draw has occurred in 54% of 60 similar games between these two teams. This equates to 1.85. Bet365 offer a very generous 2.3.

Brazilian Serie A:
Santos vs Vasco
Thu, 15 Aug 2013
8:30 AM

Half Time Result:
Draw

Odds:
2.25 (bet365)

Win
The half time draw has occurred in 54% of 60 similar games between these two teams. This equates to 1.85. Bet365 offer a very generous 2.25.

Brazilian Serie A:
Criciuma vs Cruzeiro
Thu, 8 Aug 2013
8:30 AM

Under Over 2.5 Goals:
Under

Odds:
2.10 (Pinnacle)

Loss
These two teams have played in 19 similar matches. In those matches less than 2.5 goals were scored 68% of the time. This is the equivalent of 1.47 in odds based on these statistics. 2.10 is widely available with the bookmakers.

Norwegian Tippeligaen:
Honefoss vs Aalesund
Mon, 5 Aug 2013
2:00 AM

Half Time Result:
Draw

Odds:
2.37 (bet365)

Loss
36 games have been played featuring one of these two teams. In those games the Half Time Draw occurred in 61% of the time. This equates to 1.64 in odds. Bet365 are offering a generous 2.37.

Norwegian Tippeligaen:
Stromgodset vs Honefoss
Sun, 28 Jul 2013
11:30 PM

Both Teams to Score :
No

Odds:
2.00 (Sportsbet)

Loss
These two teams have featured in 23 similar games. In those games the Both Teams to Score No came in 70% of the time which is 1.44. The bookies are offering 2.00

Major League Soccer:
San Hose vs Portland
Sun, 28 Jul 2013
12:30 PM

Draw No Bet:
San Jose

Odds:
1.85 (Pinnacle)

Win
These two teams have featured in 30 similar games. In those games the Home team has won in 70% of the time which is 1.44. The bookies are offering 1.85, which is great value

Major League Soccer:
Vancouver vs Philadelphia
Sun, 28 Jul 2013
9:00 AM

Under Over 2.5 Goals:
Under

Odds:
2.10 (Pinnacle)

Win
These two teams have featured in 27 similar games. In those games, lesss than 2.5 goals were scored in 64% of the time which is 1.57 in odds. The bookies are offering 2.10

Norwegian Tippeligaen:
Aalesund vs Sandnes
Sat, 27 Jul 2013
11:30 PM

2nd Half Result:
Aalesund

Odds:
1.92 (Sportsbet)

Loss
These two teams have featured in 27 similar games. In those games the Home team has won the 2nd half in 67% of the time which is 1.50 in odds. The bookies are offering 1.92
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