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Featured Tip from Mike Wilson

Pick Details

Sport / league:: NRL
Event / fixture:: Warriors vs. Sharks
Event date: Sun, 10 Aug 2014 at 2:00 PM
Market:: Line/Handicap
Tip:: Warriors 13+ @ 1.83 (Sportsbet)
Tip Result:: Loss

Sharks’ Captain Paul Gallen is said to be returning to the fray as the team makes their way across the ditch to take on the Warriors as their new campaign (the one to avoid the wooden spoon) begins.
Is Gallen the difference that the Sharks need? Well they certainly need him but I highly doubt he is going to spur the team into a sudden victory over one of the better performing teams of the competition.
Many may have forgotten that when these two sides met in round 5 that the Sharks were eventual 31 point winners in what seemingly turned out to be one of the best things to happen to the New Zealand side all year.
As a result of their farcical belting that became their 3rd loss in 5 games, the Warriors dropped their then Coach Matt Elliott and appointed Andrew McFadden as caretaker in his absence. Fast forward to round 22 and the Warriors enter the round inside the top 8 as one of the more favoured teams to challenge the top sides for the premiership.
With all factors considered the Warriors will take the field as very short $1.18 favourites but if you were to base the odds on recent match ups between these two sides then it very well might be the Sharks who are favourites having not lost to the Warriors since 2011.
And here’s one for the statistics hoarders: there has been a field goal kicked in four of the last seven games between these two teams and in three of those four, the margin has been over 27 points.
I can’t really see this one being too close a match either, even with the Warriors missing chief points scoring protagonist Shaun Johnson.
The total match points line has been set at 46.5 and I expect the score to be under this amount. The Sharks’ defence won’t be as easily penetrable for the Warriors as the Raiders’ was last week and power plays will yield less points than before.
No Shaun Johnson will also cost the Warriors a few points and will weaken the side’s productivity from 5th tackle options.

Mike’s Tip: Warriors
Mike’s Best Bet:
1. Total match points under 46.5 @ $1.90 (Sportsbet)
2. Warriors 13+ @ $1.83 (Sportsbet)

About Mike Wilson

Bio: Mike Wilson is an avid Rugby League fan and has been following the game since he was 6 years old. He devotes much of his time to studying and reviewing games. When he is not neck deep in match replays and stats, Mike enjoys earning some pocket money playing online poker, which he has done successfully for over 7 years. Mike lives on the Gold Coast and also enjoys Formula One and casual afternoon in front of the horses with a few quiet beers ;)

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