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Event | Pick | Result |
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Total Goals: Odds: |
Win |
Fulham’s last six games went over 2.5 goals and Tottenham’s last ten games went over this total. Looking at a higher target, seven of Tottenham’s last nine games have gone over 3.5 goals. Tottenham’s average total score away from home this season is 3.8. | ||
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Total Goals: Odds: |
Loss |
Crystal Palace have Eberechi Eze back from injury and new manager Oliver Glasner has signaled his intent to play attack-minded football. Palace’s last four home games went over 2.5 goals and three of those went over 3.5. Luton’s last six games went over 2.5 goals. Five of their last six went over 3.5 and three of their last five went over 4.5. Luton’s average away game this season has seen a total of 3.8 goals. | ||
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Total Goals: Odds: |
Win |
Newcastle continue to both score and concede with regularity. Their last eight games went over 3.5 goals and five of their last seven went over 4.5. Newcastle’s average total score this season is 3.8, which is the highest in the league. Seven of Wolverhampton’s last ten games went over 2.5 goals. Their average total score this season is 3.1. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Win |
Bournemouth have gone 0-0-13 against Manchester City since promotion and ten of those defeats were by 2+ goal margins. In their last three meetings, Man City out-scored Bournemouth by a combined 14 goals to 2. City bring 7-1-0 league form into this game, while the Cherries are winless in their last six. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
Tottenham have won five in a row at home and they have gone 10-0-4 as the home favourite over the last twelve months. Spurs have been boosted by the return of captain Son Heung-min from the Asian Cup. Wolves will likely be without Matheus Cunha due to a hamstring injury. This is a huge blow given he had been involved in twelve goals in Wolves’ last twelve league games (7 goals, 5 assists). | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Win |
Crystal Palace are a Jekyll and Hyde team and it’s no secret as to the root cause. They are a mid-table side when Eberechi Eze and Michael Olise are both fit, and a relegation-quality side when one or both of those players isn’t available. At the time of writing Eze isn’t expected to play in this match and Olise is expected to be out for up to two months. The additional recent injury of Marc Guehi and the long-term injury to Cheick Doucoure further scuttles their chances. Chelsea are having a poor season by their standards, but they are still faring better than Palace and Chelsea boast a 12-game winning streak against the Eagles. Over the last decade, Chelsea have gone 8-0-2 at Selhurst Park. Chelsea do have the distraction of a midweek FA Cup clash against Aston Villa, but given Palace’s terrible form guide in the absence of Eze and Olise, I’m still happy to back the visitors. | ||
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Total Goals: Odds: |
Loss |
Brighton haven’t scored in three games and the last five games between these two fierce rivals went under 2.5 goals. Roy Hodgson’s focus will be on not losing, so this might not be a great game for the neutral. | ||
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Total Goals: Odds: |
Win |
Both sides have been consistently involved in high-scoring games. Tottenham’s last six home games went over 2.5 goals and their last three games went over 3.5 goals. Brentford’s last four games went over 2.5 goals and their last three games went over 3.5 goals. Each of the last three meetings between Tottenham and Brentford went over 3.5 goals. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
Sheffield United have gone 2-1-7 at home this season and their last home game saw them slump to a 2-3 defeat to Luton. West Ham have gone 4-1-0 as the away favourite over the last twelve months. They have kept four clean sheets coming into this game, which includes their 2-0 away win over Arsenal. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
Aston Villa have won five on the trot against Everton and the hosts limp into this fixture on the back of three consecutive defeats. Everton have gone 2-2-4 as the home underdog over the last twelve months, while Aston Villa have gone 4-2-2 as the away favourite. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
Fulham have lost three consecutive games by a combined 8 goals to nil. They have gone 1-0-7 as the home underdog over the last twelve months. Arsenal bring 5-1-1 form into this clash and they have won five consecutive games at Craven Cottage. | ||
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Asian Handicap: Odds: |
Win |
Nottingham Forest bring 0-1-5 form into this game and they have only scored one goal in their last four fixtures. Bournemouth bring 4-1-0 form into this game. Their only draw during that run came against the red-hot Aston Villa. All four of Bournemouth’s wins during that run were by 2+ goal margins. The Cherries have scored 2+ goals in six of their last seven games. | ||
EPL: |
Head-to-head: Odds: |
Refund |
Bournemouth are flying at the moment. They bring 4-1-0 form into this clash and the Cherries have scored 2+ goals in six of their last seven games (the sole exception was away against Man City). Bournemouth’s last four wins were all by 2+ goal margins. Luton have gone 1-1-6 away from home this season and they have lost three consecutive away games. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Win |
Crystal Palace continue to struggle in the absence of the injured Eberechi Eze. The Eagles limp into this fixture in 1-1-5 form form and they have lost five of their last six home games against Liverpool. Liverpool bring 5-2-0 form into this clash and they have scored 2+ goals in six of their last eight games. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Win |
Brentford have suffered back-to-back defeats against title-chasers Arsenal and Liverpool, but prior to that they had won three on the trot against Burnley, Chelsea and West Ham. Luton have gone 1-1-5 away from home this season. Luton did pick up a rare home win over Crystal Palace last week, however the visitors suffered key injuries during that game and had out-performed Luton in the expected goals metric. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Loss |
Luton have gone 0-2-3 at home this season while Crystal Palace have gone 4-0-0 as the away favourite over the last twelve months. The Eagles have key players Michael Olise and Eberechi Eze both back from injury. This could be the first time all season that they both start. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Win |
This is primarily a bet against Burnley, who have made a 0-0-6 start to the season at home. West Ham have lost three in a row away from home, however those fixtures were against tougher opponents. Over the last twelve months the Hammers have gone 3-2-0 as the away favourite. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Win |
Aston Villa have won twelve consecutive home games. They have also won their last two home games against Fulham. | ||
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Total Score: Odds: |
Loss |
Brighton’s last ten away fixtures went over 2.5 goals and their last three visits to Goodison Park saw 5+ goals. | ||
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Head-to-head: Odds: |
Win |
I will continue to bet against Crystal Palace so long as they remain without Michael Olise and Eberechi Eze. Since Eze’s injury they have failed to score in their 0-0 home draw with Nottingham Forest and 0-4 away defeat to Newcastle. Tottenham have won three games in a row against Crystal Palace by a combined 8 goals to nil. Spurs continue to be a revelation this year under new head coach Postecoglou. They bring 7-1-0 form into this clash. |