Featured Tip from ATS King

Pick Details

Sport / league:: MLB
Event / fixture:: NY Mets at Miami
Event date: Tue, 30 Jul 2013 at 9:10 AM
Market:: Head-to-head
Tip:: Miami Marlins @ 1.92 (William Hill)
Tip Result:: Loss

The 46-56 NY Mets are 2-4 in their last 6 games, 2-5 in their last 7 on the road and 0-5 in their last 5 against Miami. Starting pitcher Jeremy Hefner was red hot through early July but he has struggled badly over the last few weeks, giving up 15 earned runs in his last 3 starts. He has started against Miami twice this season and was on the losing side both times. The Mets offense hasn't been helping out their pitching staff of late. They have scored just 1 run in each of their last 3 games.

The 40-63 Miami Marlins have been terrible this season but they're in decent form at the moment. They are 5-2 in their last 7 and 5-2 in their last 7 at home. Starting pitcher Jacob Turner has been unfortunate not to win more often than his 3-3 record shows. He has a 2.49 ERA for the season (compared to Hefner's 4.05) and has given up 2 earned runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts. If the Marlins could just give him some run support they'd be doing well.

It's not often you see Miami installed as a favourite (1.92 odds vs 1.94 for the Mets), but they have a 6-4 record this season as the favourite.

About ATS King

Bio: I'm based in Sydney but spent seven years in the American school system where I grew up playing baseball, basketball and American football. I use third party analysis and software to help form my picks.

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