Colossalbet

Featured Tipper: ATS King

Bio: I'm based in Sydney but spent seven years in the American school system where I grew up playing baseball, basketball and American football. I use third party analysis and software to help form my picks.

Latest Picks

Event Pick Result

NFL:
Arizona vs. St. Louis
Mon, 5 Oct 2015
7:25 AM

Line/Handicap:
Arizona -6.5

Odds:
1.83 (William Hill)

Loss
With QB Carson Palmer back healthy again after tearing his ACL last year, Arizona have got off to a strong 3-0 start this season, winning 31-19 over NO in week 1, 48-23 over Chicago in Week 2 and 47-7 over SF in Week 3. They certainly love playing at home, where they've gone 7-1 in both the head-to-head and the line over the past 12 months. During that time they've gone 4-0 in the head-to-head and at the line when they were the home favourite. Five of Arizona's seven home wins over the past 12 months have been by 8+ points. It's worth noting that Arizona won every game that Quarterback Carson Palmer started last season.

Since beating Seattle in overtime in Week 1, St. Louis have suffered defeats to Washington and Pittsburgh, scoring just just 10 and 6 points respectively in those games. Three of their past seven away games have resulted in 13+ defeats and another big loss is a possibility this weekend.

St. Louis haven't enjoyed visiting the University of Phoenix Stadium in recent years. They lost 31-14 at this venue in 2014 and 30-10 in 2013. A similar scoreline this weekend wouldn't surprise me.

NFL:
Jarryd Hayne Special Market
Sun, 30 Aug 2015
11:00 AM

Jarryd Hayne Plays in a Regular Season NFL game:
Yes

Odds:
1.18 (William Hill)

Win
Yes, I know, the 1.18 odds look short, but I'm prepared to back Jarryd Hayne to make the 49ers 53-man roster (and at some point in the season the game day 46-man roster) given his quality game time and impressive punt returns in the second week of pre-season. NFL teams tend to start each pre-season fixture with their first string line-up, then switch down to their second and then third string players later in the game. The fact that Hayne was taking punt returns in the first quarter (rather than the fourth) is a promising indicator of his place in the depth chart for punt returners.

One American commentator called him the story of the pre-season in pro football, so it's not just like a biased Australian media are talking him up. He's well and truly on the radar of the American press as well.

I should point out that William Hill are also offering 2.75 odds for him to score a regular season touchdown. That's probably also worth a shout if he gets snaps as a running back, but I'm not quite sure where he lies in the depth chart for running backs at this stage, so while I think he has a great chance of scoring a touchdown at some point in his career, I don't know when it will be. At least with the "Jarryd Hayne Plays in a Regular Season NFL game" market you should collect sooner rather than later.

NFL:
Oakland vs. Kansas City
Mon, 16 Dec 2013
8:05 AM

Line/Handicap:
Kansas City -4.5

Odds:
1.99 (Pinnacle)

Win
The 10-3 Kansas City Chiefs visit the 4-9 Oakland Raiders having already beaten the Raiders 24-7 earlier this season. The Chiefs have a 5-0-2 away record this season so they don't mind going on the road. They are also 5-0-2 at the line on the road and 4-0-0 at the line as the road favourite.

After a rough stretch consisting of two games against Denver in three weeks the Chiefs have found their rhythm again, crushing Washington 45-10 last week.

Oakland have lost 5 of their last 6 and have yet to beat a team with a winning record this season.

College Football:
UCLA @ Stanford
Sun, 20 Oct 2013
6:30 AM

Line/Handicap:
UCLA +6.0

Odds:
1.83 (Luxbet)

Loss
Having participated in a tennis camp on the Stanford campus as a teenager, I have a soft spot for the 13th ranked Stanford Cardinal (5-1), however I fear for the worst when they take on the 9th ranked UCLA Bruins (5-0).

Stanford beat UCLA twice last year - once in an end of season game where UCLA had already secured a place in the PAC-12 title game, and the second in the PAC-12 title game, when Stanford came away with a 3-point win in Palo Alto.

On form, Stanford have gone backwards since then while UCLA have improved. The unfortunate death of teammate Nick Pasquale has really brought the Bruins side together and UCLA have a real chance of winning this one as they play with revenge in mind.

NFL:
St. Louis vs. San Francisco
Fri, 27 Sep 2013
10:25 AM

Total Score:
Under 42

Odds:
1.93 (10Bet)

Loss
The Rams and 49ers are NFC West rivals and with the Seahawks soaring at the moment both sides will be keen to avoid falling further behind in this competitive division.

The last 7 occasions when St. Louis hosted San Francisco the total went under the bookmaker's mark 5 times. With both teams coming into this fixture on the back of games when their offences didn't fire (both teams scored just 7 points last week), there's a fair chance we will see the total score go under again.

Another interesting stat for this matchup is 3 of the last 6 games (including the last 2) have gone into overtime, with St. Louis prevailing 16-13 in overtime last year.

MLB:
NY Mets at Cincinnati
Wed, 25 Sep 2013
9:10 AM

Head-to-head:
Cincinnati Reds

Odds:
1.56 (William Hill)

Loss
While the 90-67 Cincinnati Reds have clinched a playoff berth, the National League Central is still up for grabs so they still have plenty to play for. The 71-86 NY Mets meanwhile are well out of the wildcard race.

While the Mets are 4-2 in their last 6 and 4-1 in their last 5 on the road, they are 1-9 in their last 10 against Cincinnati, including 0-4 so far this season. Cincinnati bring even hotter recent form into this game, going 6-1 in their last 7 and 6-2 in their last 8 at home.

Cincinnati starting pitcher Mike Leake is in fantastic form with a 0.84 ERA in his last 3 starts. He is going up against Johnathon Niese, who has a 1-4 record against Cincinnati. Leake, meanwhile, is 4-1 record against the Mets.

Based on Leake's imposing form I would take the home side. I think this could be a low scoring game so prefer the head-to-head to the -1.5 line at 2.10.

MLB:
Cleveland at Atlanta
Thu, 29 Aug 2013
9:10 AM

Head-to-head:
Cleveland Indians

Odds:
2.02 (bet365)

Loss
The 71-60 Cleveland Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 games and 4-2 in their last 6 on the road. Starting pitcher Justin Masterson has a 3.50 ERA with a 14-9 W/L record for the season. The Indians have won 5 of his last 7 starts.

The 79-52 Atlanta Braves are in strong form as well, going 5-1 in their last 6 at home and 4-2 in their last 6 against Cleveland, but I'm taking Cleveland for the value because the Atlanta has lost 7 of their last 9 games and all of their last 4 games when using starting pitcher Paul Maholm. Maholm has a season 4.51 ERA with a 9-10 W/L record but his ERA over his last 4 starts is 9.38.

This game features two good teams, but I'm taking the underdogs due to the superior pitching matchup.

MLB:
Philadelphia at NY Mets
Thu, 29 Aug 2013
9:10 AM

Head-to-head:
Philadelphia Phillies

Odds:
1.65 (Centrebet)

Win
The Phillies have picked up under interim manager Ryne Sandberg, going 5-2 in their last 7. They are 8-3 in their last 11 when playing on the road against the NY Mets. Starting pitcher Cole Hamels has a 3.62 ERA and has won his last 3 starts. Over his last 6 starts he has a 2.00 ERA.

The 59-71 NY Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 and 1-5 in their last 6 at home. Starting pitcher Daisuke Matsuzaka has a 9.00 ERA in his only start this season after giving up 5 earned runs in 5 innings against Detroit last week. His season ERA in 2008 was 8.28. Matsuzaka is 0-5 with a 13.06 ERA in six starts since his last win.

While Hamels doesn't have a good record against the Mets, I'm taking the Phillies because of the Mets' depleted batting line up (David Wright out injured and Marlon Byrd & John Buck traded to Pittsburgh) and weak starting pitcher. The Phillies offense has been cold on the road of late, but this is a good chance for them to score some runs.

MLB:
NY Yankees at Toronto
Thu, 29 Aug 2013
9:05 AM

Head-to-head:
NY Yankees

Odds:
1.75 (Pinnacle)

Loss
The 70-62 New York Yankees are 12-5 in their last 17 games, 11-1 in their last 12 against Toronto and 4-2 in their last 6 on the road against Toronto. Starting pitcher Hiroki Kuroda has a 2.71 ERA with a 11-9 W/L record for the season. He has been on the winning side in all of his five previous starts against Toronto. He gave up no earned runs over 8 innings in his previous start against Toronto.

The 59-74 Toronto Blue Jays are 2-8 in their last 10 games. Starting pitcher Todd Redmond has a 4.62 ERA with a 1-1 W/L record for the season. The Blue Jays have lost in his last 4 starts this season. Redmond's most recent start was against Houston, where he gave up 7 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings.

Given the Yankees have dominated the Blue Jays of late, I'm on the visitors.

MLB:
Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers
Wed, 28 Aug 2013
12:10 PM

Line/Handicap:
LA Dodgers -1.5

Odds:
1.75 (William Hill)

Loss
The 55-76 Chicago Cubs are 1-6 in their last 7 games, 1-4 in their last 5 on the road, 0-5 in their last 5 against the LA Dodgers and 1-4 in their last 5 on the road against the Dodgers. Starting pitcher Travis Wood has a 3.22 ERA for the season with a 7-10 W/L record. The Cubs have lost 4 of the last 5 games when he has started. Wood gave up 5 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in his last start against the LA Dodgers. He has a lifetime 7.65 ERA against them.

The 77-54 LA Dodgers are 20-5 in their last 25 games. They are 8-2 in their last 10 at home. Starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw has a 1.72 ERA for the season with a 13-7 W/L record. With Mets pitcher Matt Harvey being shut down with injury, Kershaw is now arguably the sole contender for the National League Cy Young Award, which highlights the strong form he's in. He has won his last 3 starts, pitching 8 innings in each of them. He gave up only 1 earned run during that stretch. Also, Kershaw has a 1.61 lifetime ERA against the Cubs and a 1.56 ERA at home this season.

Given the disparities in both the batting and pitching line ups, I would take the LA Dodgers -1.5.

MLB:
San Francisco at Tampa Bay
Sat, 3 Aug 2013
9:10 AM

Head-to-head:
Tampa Bay Rays

Odds:
1.75 (Centrebet)

Loss
The 48-59 San Francisco Giants are 3-8 in their last 11 games, although they are 6-2 in their last 8 on the road. Starting pitcher Madison Bumgarner is having an excellent season, with a 2.76 ERA, however he is going up against an even hotter pitcher for the home side.

The 64-44 Tampa Bay Rays are 19-4 in their last 23 and 12-2 in their last 14 at home. Starting pitcher Chris Archer is in top form. He has an impressive 2.39 ERA for the season but has been even better this month, with a 0.29 ERA in his last four starts. In two of those starts he pitched for complete games.

Given Archer's dominant form and Tampa Bay's recent consistency, I like the home side at 1.75 odds.

MLB:
Chicago White Sox at Detroit
Sat, 3 Aug 2013
9:05 AM

Head-to-head:
Detroit Tigers

Odds:
1.45 (Centrebet)

Win
The 40-66 Chicago White Sox are on a 7-game losing streak and have an 18-38 away record. Detroit has not been a happy hunting ground for them, where they have a 3-13 record in their last 16 games in this city. Starting pitcher Hector Santiago has a decent 3.20 ERA but has been on the losing side in each of his last 6 starts. The White Sox offence is simply awful, with 3.7 runs per game scored on average which is the worst in the league.

The 61-45 Detroit Tigers are on a 5-game winning streak. Their offence has been supreme of late, as shown by the fact that they are the highest scoring team in the league at 5.2 runs per game. Starting pitcher Doug Fister has a 3.67 ERA and a 9-5 W/L record. He has been in strong form in the last few weeks, with a 3-0 record and a 1.35 ERA his last three starts.

MLB:
Toronto at Oakland
Tue, 30 Jul 2013
12:05 PM

Head-to-head:
Oakland Athletics

Odds:
1.63 (William Hill)

Win
The 48-56 Toronto Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 games and 2-5 in their last 7 on the road. Starting pitcher Esmil Rogers has been on the losing side in 4 of his last 6 starts. Rogers is a good pitcher but the Blue Jays bullpen has been letting the side down.

The 62-43 Oakland Athletics are 33-16 at home this year. Bookmakers have been predicting their results well this season with Oakland having a 46-23 record when installed as the favourite. They come into this game having won 4 of their last 5 and 5 of their last 6 at home. Starting pitcher AJ Griffin has had 2 previous starts against the Blue Jays and has yet to give up an earned run against them. He's not the best pitcher in the league but he's been on the winning team in 5 of his last 6 starts. Oakland have an excellent home record with Griffin as the starter.

MLB:
NY Mets at Miami
Tue, 30 Jul 2013
9:10 AM

Head-to-head:
Miami Marlins

Odds:
1.92 (William Hill)

Loss
The 46-56 NY Mets are 2-4 in their last 6 games, 2-5 in their last 7 on the road and 0-5 in their last 5 against Miami. Starting pitcher Jeremy Hefner was red hot through early July but he has struggled badly over the last few weeks, giving up 15 earned runs in his last 3 starts. He has started against Miami twice this season and was on the losing side both times. The Mets offense hasn't been helping out their pitching staff of late. They have scored just 1 run in each of their last 3 games.

The 40-63 Miami Marlins have been terrible this season but they're in decent form at the moment. They are 5-2 in their last 7 and 5-2 in their last 7 at home. Starting pitcher Jacob Turner has been unfortunate not to win more often than his 3-3 record shows. He has a 2.49 ERA for the season (compared to Hefner's 4.05) and has given up 2 earned runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts. If the Marlins could just give him some run support they'd be doing well.

It's not often you see Miami installed as a favourite (1.92 odds vs 1.94 for the Mets), but they have a 6-4 record this season as the favourite.

MLB:
Houston at St. Louis
Wed, 10 Jul 2013
9:05 AM

Head-to-head:
St. Louis Cardinals

Odds:
1.43 (William Hill)

Win
The 32-57 Houston Astros are 2-8 in their last 10, 3-9 in their last 12 road games, 2-11 in their last 13 against St. Louis and 0-5 in their last 5 road games against St. Louis. Starting pitcher Bud Norris has a 3.22 ERA with a 6-7 W/L record.

The 53-34 St. Louis Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5. Starting pitcher Adam Wainwright has a 2.36 ERA with an 11-5 W/L record. At home he has a 1.84 ERA for the season. Against Houston he has an imposing 12-1 career W/L record. He has given up a total of 4 earned runs in his last 5 starts against Houston.

Both Norris and Wainwright are handy pitchers, but with St. Louis boasting a 45-22 record against right-handed pitching, Wainwright should get the better run support.

MLB:
Milwaukee at Washington
Tue, 2 Jul 2013
9:05 AM

Head-to-head:
Washington Nationals

Odds:
1.56 (William Hill)

Win
The 32-48 Milwaukee Brewers have a terrible 13-25 road record. They are 0-5 in their last 5 games, 1-6 in their last 7 road games, and 2-5 in their last 7 visits to Washington. Starting pitcher Yovani Gallardo has a 6-7 W/L record and a 4.20 ERA for the season.

The 41-40 Washington Nationals are 4-2 in their last 6 games and 6-3 in their last 9 at home. The main reason I am backing them is because of starting pitcher Jordan Zimmermann, who has a 2.28 ERA and 11-3 W/L record. At home this season he has a 8-0 W/L record with a 1.09 ERA. Zimmermann has faced Milwaukee two times before and gave up just 1 earned run in each start.

MLB:
Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Sat, 29 Jun 2013
9:05 AM

Head-to-head:
Pittsburgh

Odds:
1.60 (William Hill)

Win
The 48-30 Pittsburgh Pirates lead the NL Central. They have won their last 6 and are 15-5 in their last 20 home games. They are also 5-1 in their last 6 against Milwaukee. Starting pitcher Gerrit Cole has a 3-0 W/L record and a 3.44 ERA. The Pirates currently have the second stingiest defence in the league, giving up just 3.5 runs per game.

The 32-44 Milwaukee Brewers are 8-17 in their last 25 on the road. Starting pitcher Alfredo Figaro has a 1-2 W/L record and a 6.48 ERA. He's going up against a Pittsburgh side that is 40-22 against right handers this season.

From a betting stand point the Pirates are one of the hottest teams in the MLB. They should be too good for the poor travelling Brewers who give up more runs per game (4.7) than any other team.

MLB:
Chicago Cubs at St. Louis
Thu, 20 Jun 2013
10:15 AM

Head-to-head:
St. Louis Cardinals

Odds:
1.62 (William Hill)

Win
The 45-26 St. Louis Cardinals suffered an upset defeat to the Cubs yesterday but have a 21-4 record on the back of a loss this season. Despite yesterday's setback the Cardinals are 4-2 in their last 6 at home and 5-1 in their last 6 at home against the Cubs. Starting pitcher Jake Westbrook has a 2.05 ERA for the season with a 2-2 W/L record. Westbrook has won his last two against the Cubs, giving up a combined 3 earned runs in the process.

The 29-40 Chicago Cubs are in decent form and will be pleased to be 1-1 so far in this series. Beating the Cardinals twice in a row will be tough, though, with Edwin Jackson taking the mound for them. Jackson has a 5.40 ERA and a 3-8 W/L record for the season. He has given up a combined 12 earned runs in his last 2 starts against the Cardinals.

Also, both starting pitchers are right handed. The Cardinals are 37-18 against them while the Cubs are 19-27.

MLB:
Oakland at Texas
Thu, 20 Jun 2013
10:05 AM

Head-to-head:
Oakland Athletics

Odds:
2.01 (bet365)

Loss
The 43-30 Oakland Athletics are the slight underdog here but I give them a slightly better than 50:50 chance of winning. This season they have been a much more profitable team to bet on than the 39-32 Texas Rangers, going 14-14 as the underdog and 29-16 as the favourite.

Oakland starting pitcher Tom Milone has a 3.61 ERA and 6-6 record for the season. He was unfortunate to be on the losing side in his last two starts, with his team only putting 2 and 1 runs on the board. Milone has faced Texas three times, giving up 4, then 1 then 0 earned runs over a combined 21 innings.

Texas are 1-7 in their last 8 and 1-7 in their last 8 at home. A major part of the problem is run production. They have only put more than 2 runs on the board once in their last 5 games. Starting pitcher Justin Grimm has a 5.59 ERA with a 5-5 W/L record this season. He faced Oakland previously in May and gave up 5 earned runs in 5 innings for a 5-1 defeat.

MLB:
Colorado at Toronto
Thu, 20 Jun 2013
9:05 AM

Head-to-head:
Toronto Blue Jays

Odds:
1.64 (Pinnacle)

Win
I've enjoyed a good run lately by backing Toronto,so I thought I'd include them today as a published tip.

The 34-36 Toronto Blue Jays have won their last 8 straight and are 5-0 at home against Colorado. In fact, going back all the way to 2006 the home side has won the matchup between these inter-league teams. Starting pitcher Mark Buehrle has a 4.66 ERA and a 3-4 W/L record but has been excellent in his last two starts (1 earned run in 7 innings two starts ago and 0 earned runs in 7 innings in his last start). In fact, the entire Blue Jays pitching line up, including the bull pen, has been dominating of late. Buehrle has been on the winning side in both of his previous starts against Colorado. Another factor is that Buehrle is a lefty. Colorado are 27-20 against right-handed pitching this season but only 10-15 against lefties.

The 37-35 Colorado Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 and are 0-2 so far in this series. Starting pitcher Juan Nicasio has a 4.87 ERA with a 4-2 W/L record but is winless in his last 5 starts.
Time zone: Australia/Sydney (change)
 
Dabble

About:

Partners:

Sports and Leagues:

AFL A-League Men A-League Women
Big Bash League English Premier League Indian Premier League
NBA NBL NFL
NRL Super Rugby


For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au

© 2012- Australia Sports Tipping