You are here: Home > EPL > Round 4 > Aston Villa vs. Liverpool

Aston Villa

vs.

Liverpool

EPL

EPL Round 4

Monday, October 5th, 2020
5:15 AM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Venue: Villa Park (Birmingham)

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the EPL Round 4 clash between Aston Villa and Liverpool. You can view other fixtures for this round in the EPL match centre.

 

Round Preview

A preview with betting tips for EPL Round 4 has been published on our sister site, AusSportsBetting.com.

Form Guide

The interactive EPL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter the form guide by strength of opponent.

Betting Value Index

The EPL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. The data can be filtered by date.

Home Advantage

The EPL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's winning records at home versus away. League averages and medians are also provided. The data can be filtered by date.

Poisson Distribution

The EPL Poisson distribution tool enables you to apply the Poisson distribution to any pair of teams and chosen timeframe. Outcome probabilities predicted by the model along with their respective fair odds are provided.

Elo Ratings

The EPL Elo ratings tool enables you to calculate the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

 

Bookmaker Odds

View a full comparison of bookmaker odds for EPL Round 4

 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Aston Villa
Draw
Liverpool
9.00
5.00
1.33
6.50
4.33
1.30
10.00
5.50
1.50
6.50
4.80
1.44
Goals Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1.57
2.37
1.44
2.20
1.66
2.75
1.44
2.75
 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Aston Villa
Draw
Liverpool
8.00
5.00
1.33
1.00
4.00
1.28
9.50
501.00
501.00
1.00
501.00
501.00
Goals Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1.53
2.39
1.14
2.21
1.62
5.00
1.14
5.00
 

Bookmaker Promotions

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Member Tipping

All Tippers My Favourite Tippers Aston Villa
Supporters
Liverpool
Supporters
Market Selection Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units
H2H Aston Villa
Draw
Liverpool
18
4
27
36.7%
8.2%
55.1%
172
40
270
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
10
0
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
Goals Over 2.5
Under 2.5
8
14
36.4%
63.6%
80
140
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
1
0
100.0%
0.0%
10
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0

The % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped.
Submit / edit your tips for this fixture

Form Guides

Form Guide: Aston Villa

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2020-09-29Fulham vs. Aston VillaWin0-3
2020-09-22Aston Villa vs. Sheffield UtdWin1-0
2020-07-27West Ham vs. Aston VillaDraw1-1
2020-07-22Aston Villa vs. ArsenalWin1-0
2020-07-17Everton vs. Aston VillaDraw1-1
2020-07-12Aston Villa vs. Crystal PalaceWin2-0
2020-07-10Aston Villa vs. Man UtdLoss0-3
2020-07-06Liverpool vs. Aston VillaLoss2-0
2020-06-27Aston Villa vs. WolvesLoss0-1
2020-06-25Newcastle vs. Aston VillaDraw1-1
2020-06-22Aston Villa vs. ChelseaLoss1-2
2020-06-18Aston Villa vs. Sheffield UtdDraw0-0

Form Guide: Liverpool

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2020-09-29Liverpool vs. ArsenalWin3-1
2020-09-21Chelsea vs. LiverpoolWin0-2
2020-09-13Liverpool vs. LeedsWin4-3
2020-07-27Newcastle vs. LiverpoolWin1-3
2020-07-23Liverpool vs. ChelseaWin5-3
2020-07-16Arsenal vs. LiverpoolLoss2-1
2020-07-12Liverpool vs. BurnleyDraw1-1
2020-07-09Brighton vs. LiverpoolWin1-3
2020-07-06Liverpool vs. Aston VillaWin2-0
2020-07-03Man City vs. LiverpoolLoss4-0
2020-06-25Liverpool vs. Crystal PalaceWin4-0
2020-06-22Everton vs. LiverpoolDraw0-0

H2H Guide: Aston Villa vs. Liverpool

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2020-07-06Liverpool vs. Aston Villa2-0
2019-11-03Aston Villa vs. Liverpool1-2
2016-02-15Aston Villa vs. Liverpool0-6
2015-09-27Liverpool vs. Aston Villa3-2
2015-01-18Aston Villa vs. Liverpool0-2
2014-09-14Liverpool vs. Aston Villa0-1
2014-01-18Liverpool vs. Aston Villa2-2
2013-08-24Aston Villa vs. Liverpool0-1
2013-03-31Aston Villa vs. Liverpool1-2
2012-12-15Liverpool vs. Aston Villa1-3
2012-04-07Liverpool vs. Aston Villa1-1
2011-12-18Aston Villa vs. Liverpool0-2

Note: only league games are included. The above does not include preseason and cup fixtures.

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
Aston VillaH2H$4.39$-1.61$-4.51
Over 2.5$-4.10$-6.83$-5.60
Under 2.5$3.51$5.18$3.75
LiverpoolH2H$2.24$0.32$0.56
Over 2.5$1.79$0.88$0.83
Under 2.5$-3.63$-2.41$-3.29

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game. Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from the dates provided in the Notes section below the Performance Guide.

 

Performance Guides

Performance Guide: Aston Villa

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Liverpool
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak3 wins2 wins6 losses5 losses
Record7-1-810-6-171-0-63-2-9
Value$1.77$-5.96$-3.89$9.40
Draw Value$-12.60$-10.35$-7.00$-1.29
Record as Fav5-0-16-0-10-0-00-0-0
Value as Fav$5.47$6.84$0.00$0.00
Record as Dog2-1-74-6-161-0-63-2-9
Value as Dog$-3.70$-12.80$-3.89$9.40
Clean Sheets
and BTTS
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Total Games1633714
Clean Sheets6712
Held Scoreless3946
Both Teams Scored81826
Winning Margins
and Win to Nil
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Total Wins71013
Won by 1 goal5612
Won by 2 goals2201
Won by 3 goals0100
Won by 4 goals0100
Won by 5 goals0000
Won by 6+ goals0000
Won to nil5612
Losing Margins
and Lost to Nil
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Total Losses81769
Lost by 1 goal4734
Lost by 2 goals1423
Lost by 3 goals2401
Lost by 4 goals0100
Lost by 5 goals1100
Lost by 6+ goals0011
Lost to nil2846
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U 2.5 Streak3 unders1 over2 overs1 under
O/U 2.5 Record9-0-719-0-143-0-47-0-7
Overs 2.5 Value$-1.45$-1.85$-1.74$-3.12
Unders 2.5 Value$-2.56$-4.55$0.58$0.78
O/U 0.5 Record15-132-17-014-0
O/U 1.5 Record11-528-55-211-3
O/U 3.5 Record4-127-261-64-10
O/U 4.5 Record3-134-291-62-12
O/U 5.5 Record1-152-311-61-13

Performance Guide: Liverpool

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Aston Villa
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak2 wins5 wins6 wins5 wins
Record11-2-328-3-36-0-19-2-3
Value$1.35$7.69$3.46$0.83
Draw Value$-8.20$-19.70$-7.00$-1.29
Record as Fav11-2-227-3-26-0-19-2-3
Value as Fav$2.35$6.94$3.46$0.83
Record as Dog0-0-11-0-10-0-00-0-0
Value as Dog$-1.00$0.75$0.00$0.00
Clean Sheets
and BTTS
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Total Games1634714
Clean Sheets71446
Held Scoreless3312
Both Teams Scored71826
Winning Margins
and Win to Nil
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Total Wins112869
Won by 1 goal51234
Won by 2 goals41123
Won by 3 goals1201
Won by 4 goals1300
Won by 5 goals0000
Won by 6+ goals0011
Won to nil61346
Losing Margins
and Lost to Nil
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Total Losses3313
Lost by 1 goal1112
Lost by 2 goals0001
Lost by 3 goals1100
Lost by 4 goals1100
Lost by 5 goals0000
Lost by 6+ goals0000
Lost to nil2212
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U 2.5 Streak1 under1 over2 overs1 under
O/U 2.5 Record10-0-622-0-123-0-47-0-7
Overs 2.5 Value$0.29$0.57$-1.74$-3.12
Unders 2.5 Value$-2.31$-4.89$0.58$0.78
O/U 0.5 Record15-133-17-014-0
O/U 1.5 Record13-330-45-211-3
O/U 3.5 Record4-1212-221-64-10
O/U 4.5 Record0-164-301-62-12
O/U 5.5 Record0-163-311-61-13

Further Analysis

Further Analysis: Aston Villa

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record2-3-44-3-10
H2H Betting Value$-4.33$-6.18
Over/Under Record7-0-28-0-9
Overs Betting Value$2.28$-3.53
Unders Betting Value$-5.00$2.13

Further Analysis: Liverpool

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record23-3-23-0-0
H2H Betting Value$6.61$1.38
Over/Under Record17-0-112-0-1
Overs Betting Value$-1.24$0.12
Unders Betting Value$-1.51$-0.38

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to October, 2019. The O/U records date back to October, 2019.
3. The H2H records between Aston Villa and Liverpool date back to August, 2010. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to August, 2010.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

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