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Newcastle

vs.

Burnley

EPL

EPL Round 4

Sunday, October 4th, 2020
6:00 AM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Venue: St. James' Park (Newcastle)

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the EPL Round 4 clash between Newcastle and Burnley. You can view other fixtures for this round in the EPL match centre.

 

Round Preview

A preview with betting tips for EPL Round 4 has been published on our sister site, AusSportsBetting.com.

Form Guide

The interactive EPL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter the form guide by strength of opponent.

Betting Value Index

The EPL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. The data can be filtered by date.

Home Advantage

The EPL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's winning records at home versus away. League averages and medians are also provided. The data can be filtered by date.

Poisson Distribution

The EPL Poisson distribution tool enables you to apply the Poisson distribution to any pair of teams and chosen timeframe. Outcome probabilities predicted by the model along with their respective fair odds are provided.

Elo Ratings

The EPL Elo ratings tool enables you to calculate the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

 

Bookmaker Odds

View a full comparison of bookmaker odds for EPL Round 4

 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Newcastle
Draw
Burnley
2.40
3.10
3.10
2.37
3.10
3.00
2.45
3.25
3.10
2.37
3.25
3.10
Goals Over 2.5
Under 2.5
2.50
1.53
2.00
1.53
2.50
1.80
2.00
1.80
 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Newcastle
Draw
Burnley
2.40
3.00
3.00
1.20
3.00
2.88
2.63
5.00
26.00
1.20
5.00
26.00
Goals Over 2.5
Under 2.5
2.32
1.56
1.90
1.52
2.42
1.80
2.37
1.53
 

Bookmaker Promotions

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Member Tipping

All Tippers My Favourite Tippers Newcastle
Supporters
Burnley
Supporters
Market Selection Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units
H2H Newcastle
Draw
Burnley
21
10
13
47.7%
22.7%
29.5%
198
94
130
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0
0
10
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
Goals Over 2.5
Under 2.5
14
11
56.0%
44.0%
140
110
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
1
0
100.0%
0.0%
10
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0

The % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped.
Submit / edit your tips for this fixture

Form Guides

Form Guide: Newcastle

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2020-09-27Tottenham vs. NewcastleDraw1-1
2020-09-20Newcastle vs. BrightonLoss0-3
2020-09-13West Ham vs. NewcastleWin0-2
2020-07-27Newcastle vs. LiverpoolLoss1-3
2020-07-21Brighton vs. NewcastleDraw0-0
2020-07-16Newcastle vs. TottenhamLoss1-3
2020-07-11Watford vs. NewcastleLoss2-1
2020-07-09Man City vs. NewcastleLoss5-0
2020-07-05Newcastle vs. West HamDraw2-2
2020-07-02Bournemouth vs. NewcastleWin1-4
2020-06-25Newcastle vs. Aston VillaDraw1-1
2020-06-21Newcastle vs. Sheffield UtdWin3-0

Form Guide: Burnley

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2020-09-27Burnley vs. SouthamptonLoss0-1
2020-09-21Leicester vs. BurnleyLoss4-2
2020-07-27Burnley vs. BrightonLoss1-2
2020-07-19Norwich vs. BurnleyWin0-2
2020-07-16Burnley vs. WolvesDraw1-1
2020-07-12Liverpool vs. BurnleyDraw1-1
2020-07-09West Ham vs. BurnleyWin0-1
2020-07-05Burnley vs. Sheffield UtdDraw1-1
2020-06-30Crystal Palace vs. BurnleyWin0-1
2020-06-26Burnley vs. WatfordWin1-0
2020-06-23Man City vs. BurnleyLoss5-0
2020-03-08Burnley vs. TottenhamDraw1-1

H2H Guide: Newcastle vs. Burnley

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2020-03-01Newcastle vs. Burnley0-0
2019-12-15Burnley vs. Newcastle1-0
2019-02-27Newcastle vs. Burnley2-0
2018-11-27Burnley vs. Newcastle1-2
2018-02-01Newcastle vs. Burnley1-1
2017-10-31Burnley vs. Newcastle1-0
2015-01-02Newcastle vs. Burnley3-3
2014-12-03Burnley vs. Newcastle1-1

Note: only league games are included. The above does not include preseason and cup fixtures.

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
NewcastleH2H$-2.25$-1.75$-3.00
Over 2.5$-0.33$4.35$2.07
Under 2.5$-0.20$-4.48$-3.55
BurnleyH2H$-3.80$0.70$14.23
Over 2.5$-2.10$-6.74$-6.92
Under 2.5$1.59$3.80$3.60

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game. Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from the dates provided in the Notes section below the Performance Guide.

 

Performance Guides

Performance Guide: Newcastle

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Burnley
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak3 losses1 draw1 draw1 draw
Record6-6-511-10-131-3-02-4-2
Value$3.10$7.55$-1.80$-3.10
Draw Value$7.15$7.08$5.92$5.25
Record as Fav3-4-13-4-11-3-02-4-1
Value as Fav$-0.50$-0.50$-1.80$-2.10
Record as Dog3-2-48-6-120-0-00-0-1
Value as Dog$3.60$8.05$0.00$-1.00
Clean Sheets
and BTTS
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Total Games173448
Clean Sheets61022
Held Scoreless41113
Both Teams Scored91624
Winning Margins
and Win to Nil
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Total Wins61112
Won by 1 goal5701
Won by 2 goals0211
Won by 3 goals1200
Won by 4 goals0000
Won by 5 goals0000
Won by 6+ goals0000
Won to nil4711
Losing Margins
and Lost to Nil
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Total Losses51302
Lost by 1 goal1502
Lost by 2 goals2300
Lost by 3 goals2300
Lost by 4 goals0100
Lost by 5 goals0100
Lost by 6+ goals0000
Lost to nil2802
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U 2.5 Streak4 overs1 under3 unders3 unders
O/U 2.5 Record10-0-717-0-171-0-32-0-6
Overs 2.5 Value$2.99$-0.97$-1.90$-3.60
Unders 2.5 Value$-4.98$-3.00$0.96$1.97
O/U 0.5 Record15-231-33-17-1
O/U 1.5 Record12-524-103-15-3
O/U 3.5 Record4-1310-241-31-7
O/U 4.5 Record0-174-301-31-7
O/U 5.5 Record0-170-341-31-7

Performance Guide: Burnley

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Newcastle
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 loss3 losses1 draw1 draw
Record7-2-713-6-140-3-12-4-2
Value$13.00$12.88$-4.00$-2.83
Draw Value$-6.30$-9.95$5.92$5.25
Record as Fav1-0-04-0-30-0-01-0-0
Value as Fav$1.20$1.45$0.00$0.95
Record as Dog6-2-79-6-110-3-11-4-2
Value as Dog$11.80$11.43$-4.00$-3.78
Clean Sheets
and BTTS
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Total Games163348
Clean Sheets71313
Held Scoreless61022
Both Teams Scored41224
Winning Margins
and Win to Nil
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Total Wins71302
Won by 1 goal4802
Won by 2 goals2200
Won by 3 goals1300
Won by 4 goals0000
Won by 5 goals0000
Won by 6+ goals0000
Won to nil61102
Losing Margins
and Lost to Nil
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Total Losses71412
Lost by 1 goal2501
Lost by 2 goals1411
Lost by 3 goals2300
Lost by 4 goals0000
Lost by 5 goals2200
Lost by 6+ goals0000
Lost to nil5811
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U 2.5 Streak1 over1 under3 unders3 unders
O/U 2.5 Record8-0-815-0-181-0-32-0-6
Overs 2.5 Value$-1.51$-5.55$-1.90$-3.60
Unders 2.5 Value$-1.32$-0.85$0.96$1.97
O/U 0.5 Record15-131-23-17-1
O/U 1.5 Record11-523-103-15-3
O/U 3.5 Record3-135-281-31-7
O/U 4.5 Record3-135-281-31-7
O/U 5.5 Record1-152-311-31-7

Further Analysis

Further Analysis: Newcastle

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record3-3-53-6-5
H2H Betting Value$-2.60$-4.05
Over/Under Record7-0-45-0-9
Overs Betting Value$3.78$-4.70
Unders Betting Value$-3.07$1.89

Further Analysis: Burnley

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record5-4-44-0-9
H2H Betting Value$7.00$-1.52
Over/Under Record4-0-99-0-4
Overs Betting Value$-4.98$3.35
Unders Betting Value$3.54$-5.98

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to October, 2019. The O/U records date back to October, 2019.
3. The H2H records between Newcastle and Burnley date back to August, 2014. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to August, 2014.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

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