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Richmond

vs.

Geelong

AFL

AFL Grand Final

Saturday, October 24th, 2020
7:30 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Venue: The Gabba (Brisbane, QLD)

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Grand Final clash between Richmond and Geelong. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

 

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Round Preview

A preview with betting tips for the AFL Grand Final has been published on our sister site, AusSportsBetting.com.

Form Guide

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter the form guide by strength of opponent.

Betting Value Index

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. The data can be filtered by date.

Home Advantage

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's winning records at home versus away. League averages and medians are also provided. The data can be filtered by date.

Line Betting Table

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Predictability Index

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Stadium Analysis

The AFL stadium analysis provides win records, head-to-head betting value, line records, over/under records, average total scores and win percentages for each team at each stadium.

Elo Ratings

The AFL Elo ratings tool enables you to calculate the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

 

Bookmaker Odds

View a full comparison of bookmaker odds for the AFL Grand Final

 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Richmond
Geelong
1.77
2.10
1.77
2.00
1.90
2.10
1.90
2.00
Line Richmond
Geelong
(-3.5)  1.91
(+3.5)  1.91
(-3.5)  1.91
(+1.5)  1.87
(-1.5)  1.97
(+3.5)  1.91
(-1.5)  1.97
(+1.5)  1.87
Total
Score
Over
Under
(118.5)  1.91
(118.5)  1.91
(105.5)  1.91
(105.5)  1.91
(118.5)  1.91
(118.5)  1.91
(105.5)  1.91
(105.5)  1.91
 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
Richmond
Geelong
1.80
2.10
1.01
1.14
5.50
21.00
1.01
21.00
Line Richmond
Geelong
(-2.5)  1.90
(+2.5)  1.90
(-22.5)  1.90
(-20.5)  1.88
(+20.5)  1.92
(+22.5)  1.90
(-22.5)  1.90
(+22.5)  1.90
Total
Score
Over
Under
(118.5)  1.88
(118.5)  1.88
(105.5)  1.82
(105.5)  1.88
(122.5)  1.76
(122.5)  2.00
(122.5)  1.76
(122.5)  2.00
 

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Member Tipping

All Tippers My Favourite Tippers Richmond
Supporters
Geelong
Supporters
Market Selection Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units
H2H Richmond
Geelong
28
22
56.0%
44.0%
280
220
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Line Richmond (-3.5)
Geelong (+3.5)
8
9
47.1%
52.9%
80
90
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Total
Score
Over 118.5
Under 118.5
6
7
46.2%
53.8%
60
70
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0

The % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped.
Submit / edit your tips for this fixture

Form Guides

Form Guide: Richmond

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2020-10-16Port Adelaide
Richmond
Win6.4 (40)
6.10 (46)
2020-10-09Richmond
St Kilda
Win12.8 (80)
6.13 (49)
2020-10-02Brisbane
Richmond
Loss10.9 (69)
8.6 (54)
2020-09-19Adelaide
Richmond
Win4.9 (33)
12.5 (77)
2020-09-11Geelong
Richmond
Win4.7 (31)
7.15 (57)
2020-09-02Richmond
Fremantle
Win8.8 (56)
4.5 (29)
2020-08-27Richmond
West Coast
Win14.4 (88)
9.7 (61)
2020-08-22Essendon
Richmond
Win10.1 (61)
10.13 (73)
2020-08-17Richmond
Gold Coast
Win8.5 (53)
4.8 (32)
2020-08-08Port Adelaide
Richmond
Loss13.15 (93)
11.6 (72)
2020-08-04Richmond
Brisbane
Win12.10 (82)
4.17 (41)
2020-07-29Western Bulldogs
Richmond
Win7.7 (49)
13.12 (90)

Form Guide: Geelong

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2020-10-17Brisbane
Geelong
Win6.6 (42)
11.16 (82)
2020-10-10Geelong
Collingwood
Win15.10 (100)
5.2 (32)
2020-10-01Port Adelaide
Geelong
Loss9.4 (58)
5.12 (42)
2020-09-20Sydney
Geelong
Win9.9 (63)
10.9 (69)
2020-09-11Geelong
Richmond
Loss4.7 (31)
7.15 (57)
2020-09-06Geelong
Essendon
Win17.6 (108)
5.12 (42)
2020-08-28Western Bulldogs
Geelong
Win9.7 (61)
10.12 (72)
2020-08-23Adelaide
Geelong
Win5.7 (37)
9.11 (65)
2020-08-14Geelong
Port Adelaide
Win14.7 (91)
4.7 (31)
2020-08-10St Kilda
Geelong
Win4.10 (34)
14.9 (93)
2020-08-05Geelong
North Melbourne
Win13.12 (90)
9.3 (57)
2020-08-01West Coast
Geelong
Loss11.7 (73)
10.4 (64)

H2H Guide: Richmond vs. Geelong

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2020-09-11Geelong
Richmond
4.7 (31)
7.15 (57)
2019-09-20Richmond
Geelong
12.13 (85)
9.12 (66)
2019-06-07Richmond
Geelong
5.7 (37)
16.8 (104)
2018-08-03Richmond
Geelong
12.13 (85)
12.10 (82)
2018-06-17Geelong
Richmond
9.11 (65)
12.11 (83)
2017-09-08Geelong
Richmond
5.10 (40)
13.13 (91)
2017-08-12Geelong
Richmond
11.14 (80)
9.12 (66)
2016-08-14Richmond
Geelong
12.6 (78)
10.22 (82)
2015-05-02Richmond
Geelong
11.10 (76)
12.13 (85)
2014-05-04Geelong
Richmond
11.15 (81)
12.4 (76)
2013-05-04Richmond
Geelong
13.9 (87)
20.11 (131)
2012-04-22Geelong
Richmond
11.9 (75)
9.11 (65)

Note: only league games are included. The above does not include preseason and cup fixtures.

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
RichmondH2H$1.91$4.33$3.19
Line$1.64$1.37$1.10
GeelongH2H$-0.09$1.20$1.78
Line$-0.27$1.33$1.06

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game. Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from the dates provided in the Notes section below the Performance Guide.

 

Performance Guides

Performance Guide: Richmond

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Geelong
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak7 wins2 wins1 win2 wins
Record8-0-114-1-52-0-45-0-9
Value$2.89$3.23$-3.23$-5.38
Record as Fav7-0-110-1-32-0-13-0-2
Value as Fav$1.89$0.61$-0.23$-0.66
Record as Dog1-0-04-0-20-0-32-0-7
Value as Dog$1.00$2.62$-3.00$-4.72
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win2 wins1 win2 wins
Record6-0-311-0-92-0-46-0-5
Value$2.46$1.01$-2.07$0.77
Record as Fav5-0-37-0-71-0-22-0-3
Value as Fav$1.55$-0.63$-1.09$-1.15
Record as Dog1-0-04-0-21-0-24-0-2
Value as Dog$0.91$1.64$-0.98$1.92
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins61024
40+ wins2401
1-39 losses1525
40+ losses0024
1-24 win3523
25+ win5902
1-24 loss0325
25+ loss1224
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 over1 under2 unders3 unders
O/U Record3-0-69-0-111-0-42-0-8
Overs Value$-3.27$-2.81$-3.17$-6.37
Unders Value$2.46$1.01$2.58$5.35

Performance Guide: Geelong

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Richmond
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win2 wins1 loss2 losses
Record7-0-314-0-64-0-29-0-5
Value$0.17$1.43$0.29$-0.84
Record as Fav6-0-011-0-23-0-07-0-2
Value as Fav$2.20$2.21$0.98$-0.54
Record as Dog1-0-33-0-41-0-22-0-3
Value as Dog$-2.03$-0.78$-0.69$-0.30
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win2 wins1 loss2 losses
Record4-0-611-0-94-0-25-0-6
Value$-2.36$0.97$1.72$-1.33
Record as Fav2-0-47-0-62-0-12-0-4
Value as Fav$-2.18$0.37$0.96$-2.04
Record as Dog2-0-24-0-32-0-13-0-2
Value as Dog$-0.18$0.60$0.76$0.71
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins5825
40+ wins2624
1-39 losses3624
40+ losses0001
1-24 win3325
25+ win41124
1-24 loss2423
25+ loss1202
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 over2 overs2 unders3 unders
O/U Record5-0-511-0-91-0-42-0-8
Overs Value$-0.45$1.01$-3.17$-6.37
Unders Value$-0.49$-2.85$2.58$5.35

Further Analysis

Further Analysis: Richmond

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record10-1-34-0-1
H2H Betting Value$2.96$1.27
Line Record8-0-63-0-2
Line Betting Value$1.28$0.73
Over/Under Record5-0-94-0-1
Overs Betting Value$-4.45$2.64
Unders Betting Value$3.19$-3.09

Further Analysis: Geelong

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record8-0-56-0-1
H2H Betting Value$-0.28$1.71
Line Record7-0-64-0-3
Line Betting Value$0.33$0.64
Over/Under Record6-0-75-0-2
Overs Betting Value$-1.54$2.55
Unders Betting Value$0.33$-3.18

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to March, 2020. The line records date back to March, 2020. The O/U records date back to March, 2020.
3. The H2H records between Richmond and Geelong date back to June, 2009. The line records between the two opponents date back to April, 2013. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to September, 2013.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

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