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St Kilda

vs.

Western Bulldogs

AFL

AFL Finals Week 1

Saturday, October 3rd, 2020
4:40 PM (Timezone: Australia/Sydney)
Venue: The Gabba (Brisbane, QLD)

This match centre provides fixture details, team news, bookmaker odds, form guides and team statistics for the AFL Finals Week 1 clash between St Kilda and Western Bulldogs. You can view other fixtures for this round in the AFL match centre.

 

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Round Preview

A preview with betting tips for the AFL Finals Week 1 has been published on our sister site, AusSportsBetting.com.

Form Guide

The interactive AFL form guide enables you to view overall as well as home and away form guides for the league. You can also filter the form guide by strength of opponent.

Betting Value Index

The AFL betting value index ranks each team based on their betting value in the head-to-head market. The data can be filtered by date.

Home Advantage

The AFL home-field advantage analysis compares each team's winning records at home versus away. League averages and medians are also provided. The data can be filtered by date.

Line Betting Table

The AFL line betting table ranks each team based on how frequently they have covered the line this season. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Predictability Index

The AFL predictability index ranks each team based on the predictability of their score lines as measured by the accuracy of pre-game bookmaker lines. Figures are shown for home, away and all fixtures.

Stadium Analysis

The AFL stadium analysis provides win records, head-to-head betting value, line records, over/under records, average total scores and win percentages for each team at each stadium.

Elo Ratings

The AFL Elo ratings tool enables you to calculate the Elo ratings of each team using the parameters of your choosing.

 

Bookmaker Odds

View a full comparison of bookmaker odds for the AFL Finals Week 1

 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
St Kilda
Western Bulldogs
2.05
1.78
2.05
1.68
2.25
1.78
2.22
1.70
Line St Kilda
Western Bulldogs
(+3.5)  1.91
(-3.5)  1.91
(+3.5)  1.91
(-5.5)  1.91
(+5.5)  1.91
(-3.5)  1.91
(+5.5)  1.87
(-5.5)  1.95
Total
Score
Over
Under
(120.5)  1.91
(120.5)  1.91
(120.5)  1.91
(120.5)  1.91
(123.5)  1.91
(123.5)  1.91
(123.5)  1.91
(123.5)  1.91
 
MarketSelectionOpenMinMaxCurrent
Head
to Head
St Kilda
Western Bulldogs
2.08
1.75
1.01
1.48
2.60
15.00
1.01
15.00
Line St Kilda
Western Bulldogs
(+3.5)  1.90
(-3.5)  1.90
(-23.5)  1.90
(-8.5)  1.90
(+8.5)  1.90
(+23.5)  1.90
(-23.5)  1.90
(+23.5)  1.90
Total
Score
Over
Under
(122.5)  1.88
(122.5)  1.88
(121.5)  1.88
(121.5)  1.88
(127.5)  1.90
(127.5)  1.82
(126.5)  1.88
(126.5)  1.88
 

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Member Tipping

All Tippers My Favourite Tippers St Kilda
Supporters
Western Bulldogs
Supporters
Market Selection Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units Num%Units
H2H St Kilda
Western Bulldogs
11
22
33.3%
66.7%
110
220
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
1
1
50.0%
50.0%
10
10
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Line St Kilda (+3.5)
Western Bulldogs (-3.5)
9
8
52.9%
47.1%
90
80
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
0.0%
100.0%
0
10
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
Total
Score
Over 121.5
Under 121.5
6
10
37.5%
62.5%
60
100
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
0.0%
100.0%
0
10
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0
0

The % columns denote the number of tippers for each selection, not the number of units tipped.
Submit / edit your tips for this fixture

Form Guides

Form Guide: St Kilda

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2020-09-18St Kilda
GWS
Win12.10 (82)
3.12 (30)
2020-09-10St Kilda
West Coast
Loss6.14 (50)
9.11 (65)
2020-09-06St Kilda
Hawthorn
Win11.14 (80)
9.12 (66)
2020-08-29Melbourne
St Kilda
Loss8.4 (52)
7.7 (49)
2020-08-23Brisbane
St Kilda
Loss6.14 (50)
7.6 (48)
2020-08-16St Kilda
Essendon
Win10.8 (68)
5.3 (33)
2020-08-10St Kilda
Geelong
Loss4.10 (34)
14.9 (93)
2020-08-06Gold Coast
St Kilda
Win11.8 (74)
12.6 (78)
2020-08-01St Kilda
Sydney
Win15.11 (101)
6.12 (48)
2020-07-25Port Adelaide
St Kilda
Win6.8 (44)
12.1 (73)
2020-07-20Adelaide
St Kilda
Win8.7 (55)
12.6 (78)
2020-07-11Fremantle
St Kilda
Loss12.7 (79)
11.7 (73)

Form Guide: Western Bulldogs

Date (y-m-d)FixtureResultScore
2020-09-20Fremantle
Western Bulldogs
Win6.8 (44)
11.8 (74)
2020-09-13Hawthorn
Western Bulldogs
Win6.4 (40)
11.10 (76)
2020-09-06Western Bulldogs
West Coast
Win6.13 (49)
7.5 (47)
2020-08-28Western Bulldogs
Geelong
Loss9.7 (61)
10.12 (72)
2020-08-22Western Bulldogs
Melbourne
Win12.8 (80)
7.10 (52)
2020-08-16Western Bulldogs
Adelaide
Win16.15 (111)
8.6 (54)
2020-08-08Brisbane
Western Bulldogs
Loss14.12 (96)
11.6 (72)
2020-08-03Port Adelaide
Western Bulldogs
Loss8.7 (55)
5.12 (42)
2020-07-29Western Bulldogs
Richmond
Loss7.7 (49)
13.12 (90)
2020-07-23Gold Coast
Western Bulldogs
Win6.10 (46)
7.9 (51)
2020-07-17Essendon
Western Bulldogs
Win7.9 (51)
14.9 (93)
2020-07-12Carlton
Western Bulldogs
Loss16.7 (103)
7.9 (51)

H2H Guide: St Kilda vs. Western Bulldogs

Date (y-m-d)FixtureScore
2020-06-14St Kilda
Western Bulldogs
14.4 (88)
7.7 (49)
2019-07-21St Kilda
Western Bulldogs
17.14 (116)
14.5 (89)
2018-08-04St Kilda
Western Bulldogs
9.14 (68)
15.13 (103)
2017-05-27Western Bulldogs
St Kilda
13.12 (90)
7.8 (50)
2016-07-23Western Bulldogs
St Kilda
9.6 (60)
11.9 (75)
2016-04-02St Kilda
Western Bulldogs
5.6 (36)
13.15 (93)
2015-06-27St Kilda
Western Bulldogs
7.14 (56)
9.8 (62)
2015-05-09Western Bulldogs
St Kilda
13.9 (87)
14.10 (94)
2014-08-10St Kilda
Western Bulldogs
15.9 (99)
18.14 (122)
2013-05-25St Kilda
Western Bulldogs
15.11 (101)
17.8 (110)
2012-07-29St Kilda
Western Bulldogs
16.22 (118)
6.6 (42)
2012-04-14Western Bulldogs
St Kilda
5.10 (40)
15.13 (103)

Note: only league games are included. The above does not include preseason and cup fixtures.

Value Guides:

TeamMarketLast 6Last 12Last 18
St KildaH2H$-1.50$0.00$1.35
Line$-0.27$-0.55$1.11
Western BulldogsH2H$1.22$-1.41$-1.29
Line$3.55$1.33$1.06

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game. Where applicable, the line and O/U figures start from the dates provided in the Notes section below the Performance Guide.

 

Performance Guides

Performance Guide: St Kilda

 Last 12 Monthsvs. Western Bulldogs
H2H
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win1 win2 wins2 wins
Record6-0-210-0-77-0-511-0-6
Value$3.47$2.35$-0.35$5.45
Record as Fav4-0-17-0-35-0-26-0-2
Value as Fav$0.92$0.50$-0.40$0.12
Record as Dog2-0-13-0-42-0-35-0-4
Value as Dog$2.55$1.85$0.05$5.33
Line
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
Streak1 win1 win2 wins2 wins
Record5-0-310-0-73-0-45-0-5
Value$1.54$2.11$-1.26$-0.32
Record as Fav3-0-25-0-50-0-20-0-2
Value as Fav$0.72$-0.46$-2.00$-2.00
Record as Dog2-0-15-0-23-0-25-0-3
Value as Dog$0.82$2.57$0.75$1.68
Winning Margin
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins4858
40+ wins2223
1-39 losses1544
40+ losses1212
1-24 win1436
25+ win5645
1-24 loss1533
25+ loss1223
Total Score
Betting
Home
Games
All
Games
Home
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 under1 under1 under1 under
O/U Record4-0-47-0-103-0-33-0-6
Overs Value$-0.36$-3.63$-0.29$-3.29
Unders Value$-0.36$2.10$-0.12$2.71

Performance Guide: Western Bulldogs

 Last 12 Monthsvs. St Kilda
H2H
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak2 wins3 wins2 losses2 losses
Record5-0-410-0-75-0-76-0-11
Value$-0.81$-0.29$-0.54$-4.06
Record as Fav4-0-28-0-43-0-24-0-5
Value as Fav$-0.03$0.31$-0.76$-3.28
Record as Dog1-0-22-0-32-0-52-0-6
Value as Dog$-0.78$-0.60$0.22$-0.78
Line
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
Streak2 wins2 wins2 losses2 losses
Record5-0-410-0-74-0-35-0-5
Value$0.51$2.06$0.82$-0.32
Record as Fav3-0-36-0-62-0-33-0-5
Value as Fav$-0.31$-0.58$-1.04$-2.18
Record as Dog2-0-14-0-12-0-02-0-0
Value as Dog$0.82$2.64$1.86$1.86
Winning Margin
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
1-39 wins4744
40+ wins1312
1-39 losses3458
40+ losses1323
1-24 win1333
25+ win4723
1-24 loss2336
25+ loss2445
Total Score
Betting
Away
Games
All
Games
Away
Games
All
Games
O/U Streak1 over1 over1 under1 under
O/U Record4-0-59-0-83-0-33-0-6
Overs Value$-1.36$0.19$-0.29$-3.29
Unders Value$0.55$-1.72$-0.12$2.71

Further Analysis

Further Analysis: St Kilda

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record4-0-56-0-2
H2H Betting Value$-1.03$3.38
Line Record4-0-56-0-2
Line Betting Value$-1.37$3.48
Over/Under Record4-0-53-0-5
Overs Betting Value$-1.36$-2.27
Unders Betting Value$0.55$1.55

Further Analysis: Western Bulldogs

RecordOn the Back
of a Win
On the Back
of a Loss
H2H Record6-0-34-0-4
H2H Betting Value$0.94$-1.23
Line Record6-0-34-0-4
Line Betting Value$2.46$-0.40
Over/Under Record6-0-33-0-5
Overs Betting Value$2.46$-2.27
Unders Betting Value$-3.27$1.55

Notes

1. The Value represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.
2. For the 'Last 12 Months' figures the H2H records date back to March, 2020. The line records date back to March, 2020. The O/U records date back to March, 2020.
3. The H2H records between St Kilda and Western Bulldogs date back to June, 2009. The line records between the two opponents date back to March, 2013. The O/U records between the two opponents date back to March, 2014.
4. Where applicable, in the Value Guide for the last 6, 12 and 18, games, the actual lookback period is limited by the earliest line and O/U dates stated in Note 2 above.

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